John P. Wiehoff - Chief Executive Officer and Chairman
Analyst · Wachovia Securities. Please go ahead
Thank you, Angie. And thanks to everybody who is taking the time to listen to our second quarter conference call. About an hour ago, we issued a press release sharing the results for the second quarter of 2008. I want to start by highlighting just a couple of the key financial results on that release. For the second quarter ended June 30, of 2008, our gross revenues increased to 23.5% to $2.3 billion. Our net revenues increased 9.7% to $341 million. Our income from operations increased 11.3% to $144 million. Net income increased 9.9% to $90 million and diluted EPS increased 10.6% to $0.52 a share. Year-to-date for the six months, gross revenues were up 23% to $4.3 billion. Net revenues increased 11.7% to $679 million. Income from operations up 14.5% to $280 million, net income increased by 13.8% to $176 million, and diluted EPS up 14.6% to a $1.2 per share. Our results for the second quarter reflected the continuation of several themes that we've discussed, both at the beginning of 2008 and at the end of the first quarter results. I want to start by just revisiting a few of those topics briefly, because they remain pretty relevant to understanding the results. The first topic is gross revenue increases driven both by volume and price increases, related to fuel. In the press release, we shared some comments on volume and price activity, by mode, but the overall picture, driven largely by the truck load results, are that we had both volume and price increases during the quarter. But the price increases, by our analysis were virtually all driven by fuel price increases. We did experience continued growth from transactions or volume increases. And we continue to believe that we are taking market share, and that most all of our service offerings were growing our offerings faster than the market is growing as a whole. Our assessment is that the third party model and our business continues to add a choice for customers and carriers, that makes economic sense for a greater share of the market. We feel pretty positive about that aspect of our results. The second topic is gross margin compression; our transportation gross margin percentage for the second quarter of this year was 15.4%, compared to our transportation gross margin percentage of 17.9% in the second quarter of last year. This obviously had a pretty significant impact on the results for the quarter. Some background and comments on how we look at gross margin activity for the quarter. To start with, as a reminder, we discussed at the beginning of the year that we are entering 2008 with gross margin percentages at the high end of historic ranges. Starting the year at the high end of historic ranges, for margins did fit the historical pattern, as we have high demand and tight capacity markets in '04 to '06, with the softening of demand and pricing in '07, and coming into '08. The most challenging time to grow our net revenue is in a sustained market of soft demand. This is the second year of softer demand. As freight demand stays softer, in general the shipper expectations are for flat to declining prices, and the capacity providers face pressure to rationalize down to the market demands. Volume increases get harder to find, as there is less freight available. When you add diesel fuel increases of 50 plus percent to that environment, things get pretty challenging and that's the environment we had in the second quarter of 2008. We work hard to plan for and adjust for market changes, including changes in fuel prices. But increases that at times were 50% or 70%, increases over a year ago provide enough pain and cost increase for margin compression for everybody in the supply chain including us. We've explained many times in the past that our approach towards the market and pricing does not allow us to quantify with absolute certainty the impact that changing fuel prices have on our margins, as most of our capacity is sourced or priced daily in the market, at current market rates, inclusive of fuel cost. When we annualize our gross margins for the second quarter, if we assume that fuel cost increase is simply passed through all of our transactions that would account for a major portion of the gross margin percentage decline for the quarter. But we did have additional margin compression beyond those estimated impacts of fuel driven by increases to our costs of hire from market conditions. The next topic, I want to touch on is the variable personnel costs. As we've talked many times our business model compensates us on highly variable basis. Similar to last year and the first quarter of this year, our personnel cost grew slower than our net revenues grew due to reductions in the growth rates of our variable programs. We've discussed these in detail on the past, so I'm not going to go into the specifics but they include cash growth pools as well as equity vesting calculations driven by our growth in earnings. We continued to think our variable incentive programs, do a good job of sharing success levels both within our various teams and between the employees and shareholders. Our headcount for the quarter increased by 11% over the previous year. Our staffing needs tend to correlate most to volume growth. It is a challenge for us in this type of environment to continue to build the team, service our customers and carriers, by control of total personnel growth in the variable cost model. Our culture is that we're going to be aggressive and continued to try to grow the business, but we think that we have good disciplines and metrics to help balance the right mix of growth and profitability. The last topic or theme that I just want to touch on is sort of a general impact of the weak economy on our overall financials. Chad's going to address some of the specific items in a moment, but I think it's important from a high level to think about our business model and how several of these topics link together. The financial strength that we bring to the logistics equation is a big part of our contribution to both the shippers and the carriers in a variety of way. In a challenging environment like this some other things that you see in our results, include our account receivable ageing extending a little, our shippers feel strain, and sometimes delay payments. Increases in carrier cash advances and quick pay programs that we execute with carriers to help with their cash flow. Increases to our bad debt provision to address potential write-offs of weaker companies, reduced interest earnings on our cash reserves from lower interest rates and increased working capital needs to finance transaction increases there were extenuated by fuel price increases. We use our balance sheet and capital to help bring value and stability to the relationship and this gets more valuable in challenging economic times. We get challenged at times for having a conservative balance sheet, but it is an important part and important enabler for us to grow in tougher economic times and you see that at work in the second quarter in 2008. Those are the handful of broader topics that I wanted to touch on, the press release shares some specific comments, for each mode of service but I just wanted to comment on or highlight a few of them for the quarter. Within our international or global forwarding group, we continue to experience good organic growth as we build that business. While, we do plan to continue to invest in and grow our forwarding network, it's more important for the long-term that we develop a culture of selling and organic growth capabilities, and growing our relationships. We feel like we made good progress on that this quarter. Our transportation management business continues to add new accounts and grow nicely. We have more ways to help a customer today than ever, and that team within Robinson, is doing some very solid things to help grow our business. Produce Sourcing; the environment for the Sourcing business is challenging. The cantaloupe and tomato categories that we source in, have had significantly reduced activity driven by food safety issues. Fuel has added a lot of challenges to the food industry beyond transportation. Our sourcing teams been to able to continue to grow its relationships in the market, by expanding to more food service and more retailer relationships, as well as diversifying our services in things like private label programs, organics and other branded programs that we are bringing to the market. T-Check also had a good growth quarter. They were able to gain transactions in the core services that they offered, as well as to continue to expand their menu of offerings to their customers. And lastly, Robinson's European truck division made good progress in the quarter, as their net revenues and earnings grew in excess of 15%. While Europe truck represents only 4% of the truck load net revenues, we continue to think that that they represent a very significant long-term growth opportunity for us. Last, before I turn it over to Chad, I just want to share a couple of other thoughts or observations about the market, and the environment. As most of you know, we talk constantly about our long-term growth goal of 15%, and try to stay focused on the long-term part of it. I think, it's important to emphasize that we're not seeing anything that changes our confidence in our long-term growth goals, and how we're approaching the market. I do think it's helpful to think about as we reflect on our business and our model, what kind of feels like more of the same, and what might be unique or different about the environment. We talked over the last couple of years about price increases in '04, '05 or '06 being unique to the history of the last couple of decades. The... when we look at the current environment, one area that I think, it's important to understand is that while we do see capacity leaving the market, and when we look at current market conditions, in a lot of respects, that feels like a very normal part of a cycle for us. It's been very common that the freight demand has moved from tighter to softer conditions and a lot of the change in the market condition feels relatively normal to us. There are certain things that have been going on this year that are a little bit unusual, when you look back over the last couple of decades. At the top of that list would obviously be the fuel prices escalation. Those types of fuel price increases really, we haven't seen those before and so, there is probably some impacts, sort of extenuating pain on the carrier side, or the churn of capacity in the market. The change in the U.S. dollar and import-export relationship is probably having a unique impact. A weak credit market, making financing tough for both shippers and carriers, while weak economic conditions and weaker credit markets have certainly existed before, these might be unique to new levels that could impact how and when capacity and financing for it returns, when the market does turn next time. And lastly there are a lot of new environmental issues, challenging a lot of current practices, everything from packaging in the food industry to how things are routed on the freight side. With regards to trying to eliminate the use of fuel for a lot of environmental reasons as well as cost. So, there are some new things but, while these new things are driving some short-term costs and stress, the message we wanted to emphasize is that, none of these really seem to change the longer term supply and demand fluctuations that drive our business model, and are what makes us successful. We shared in the press release, that we don't see any signs of the market condition changing at this point in July. Our gross margins in July are starting out similar to the second quarter of this year. Increasing rates to shipper's remains challenging, in a large part, due to the pressure generated by fuel increases. So, while normally shippers would see some overall price relief in this part of the cycle, they're actually continuing to pay more, because of those fuel costs that are being passed along. While these short-term challenges in the current market conditions lead to a little bit of stress. At the same time, when we look at it, other observations that we would have about the current environment and the long-term causes of them, are things like supply chains logistics and transportation will likely be as relevant as ever going forward. Markets and costs could be more volatile going forward. Change looks like it's going to continue to accelerate, good technology and good people should have a greater impact and return on investment, all those sorts of facts that we think will continue to make us more relevant to the market, going forward. So I would sum up the thoughts, we want to share with you as acknowledging that we're not immune from the short-term pressures of the marketplace, fuel and weak economy, but we also feel confident that our business model and long-term value proposition is as good as ever. With that I'll turn it over to Chad.