Presentation
Management
Celestica Inc. (CLS)
Q2 2016 Earnings Call· Thu, Jul 21, 2016
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Presentation
Management
Operator
Operator
Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Celestica earnings call for the second quarter of 2016. At this time, all lines are in a listen-only mode. I would now like to turn the meeting over to one of your hosts for today's call, Lisa Headrick, Senior Director, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Lisa Headrick
Management
Good afternoon and thank you for joining us on Celestica’s second quarter of 2016 earnings conference call. On the call today are Rob Mionis, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Darren Myers, Chief Financial Officer. This call will last approximately 45 minutes. Darren and Rob will provide some brief comments on the quarter and then we will open the call for questions. During the Q&A session, please limit yourself to one question and a brief follow-up. We will be available after the conference call for additional follow-up. Please visit www.celestica.com to view the supporting slides accompanying this webcast. As a reminder, during this call, we will make forward-looking statements within the meanings of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and applicable Canadian securities laws related to our plans for future growth trends in our industry, our anticipated financial and operational results and performance and financial guidance. Such forward-looking statements are based on management's current expectations, forecasts, and assumptions, which are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual outcomes and results to differ materially from conclusions, forecasts or projections expressed in such statements. Please refer to our cautionary statements regarding forward-looking information in the company’s various public filings, including the cautionary note regarding forward-looking information in today's press release. We also refer you to the company’s various public filings which contain and identify material factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in our projections or forward-looking statements and which discuss material factors and assumptions on which such forward-looking statements are based. These filings include our most recent MD&A, annual report on Form 20-F filed with and subsequent reports on Form 6-K furnished to the US Securities and Exchange Commission and our annual information form filed with the Canadian securities administrators which can be accessed respectively at sec.gov and sedar.com. During this call, we will also refer to certain non-IFRS financial measures which include adjusted gross margin, adjusted SG&A, adjusted operating earnings or adjusted EBIAT, adjusted operating margins which is adjusted operating earnings as a percentage of revenue, adjusted net earnings, and adjusted EPS, return on invested capital or ROIC, inventory turns, cash cycle dates, free cash flow, adjusted tax rate, and adjusted tax expense. These non-IFRS measures do not have any standardized meaning under IFRS and may not be comparable with other non-US GAAP or non-IFRS financial measures presented by other public companies, including those presented by our major competitors. We refer you to today’s press release which is available at celestica.com for more information about these and certain other non-IFRS measures, including a reconciliation of the historical non-IFRS measures to the corresponding IFRS measures where comparable IFRS measure exist. I will now turn the call over to Darren Myers.
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
Thank you, Lisa. And good afternoon, everyone. Celestica delivered a strong second quarter with year-over-year growth in revenue, operating margin and return on invested capital. Second quarter revenue of $1.49 billion was at the high-end of our guidance range, led by program strength in our communications end market. Let me begin with a few highlights for the second quarter. Revenue in the quarter increased 5% compared to the second quarter of 2015, primarily due to new programs in our diversified markets and strong program demand for certain programs in our communications market. Revenue from our diversified markets grew 13% year-over-year and represented 30% of total revenue, up from 28% of total revenue in the second quarter of 2015. IFRS net earnings were $36 million, a 50% improvement from $24 million a year ago. Adjusted operating margin of 3.8% improved 40 basis points year-over-year and was 30 basis points above the midpoint of our guidance. Adjusted earnings of $0.29 per share was above the midpoint of our guidance, largely due to increased revenue and strong operating margin performance. Adjusted earnings per share was negatively impacted by $0.02 from higher taxes as a result of foreign-exchange movements. And we achieved a return on invested capital of 20.9%. Moving on to revenue from an end market perspective. Our diversified end market represented 30% of our total revenue for the quarter. Diversified revenue decreased 2% sequentially and increased 13% year-over-year, which was slightly below our expectations due to a push out of certain solar programs within our energy business. The year-over-year increase in our diversified revenue was primarily due to new program ramps in our energy business and, to a lesser extent, growth in our aerospace and defense end market. Our communications end market performed better than expected, represented 41% of total revenue and…
Rob Mionis
President
Thank you, Darren. And good evening to everyone on the call. And thank you for joining us today. As Darren highlighted, Celestica delivered solid operating results in the second quarter, led by year-over-year growth in revenue, operating margin, and return on invested capital. In the third quarter, we are targeting to deliver our fourth straight quarter of year-over-year revenue growth, driven largely by growth in our diversified end market and, more recently, program strength in our communications end market. Let me provide some additional perspective on the second quarter. I'm very pleased that Celestica delivered 5% year-to-year revenue growth with operating margins of 3.8%, a 40 basis point improvement relative to the same period last year. Relative to the second quarter of 2015, our growth was led by diversified markets, which was up 13%, driven by increased revenue in energy and aerospace markets. In addition, we grew 8% year-over-year in our communications end market, led by strong program demand and the timing of new program revenue. Our second quarter operating margin of 3.8% was above the midpoint of our guidance range, resulting from the leverage gained with the higher revenues, in addition to favorable program mix largely in our diversified and communications end market. Now, let me turn to our third quarter outlook and our overall end market. In our diversified markets business, we are expecting revenue to be up sequentially in the mid-single digits, largely driven by continued growth from our solar business, including revenue from the second quarter push-outs. Relative to the third quarter of 2015, we expect growth in the low double digits, primarily as a result of new programs in our energy end market as well as new programs in our aerospace and defense business. Let me provide some additional color on our solar business. I…
Operator
Operator
Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Matt Sheerin from Stifel. Your line is open.
Matt Sheerin
Analyst · Stifel. Your line is open
Yes, thanks. And good afternoon, everyone. So just a question regarding the growth you’re seeing in the communications segments. You talk about program strength and the new program wins. Just to get a sense, is this new business from customers that are just consolidating their own supply base or is there any outsourcing sort of left in that business which is fairly mature from a contract manufacturing standpoint? I’m just trying to get a sense. And maybe – perhaps industry consolidation has also been beneficial to you? And then, how much of that is also being driven by the JDM programs that you’re doing and what percentage of your relationships there do include some of that JDM at some of the things that you’re doing on that side of the business?
Rob Mionis
President
Thanks, Matt. The communications market continues to be dynamic, but we are, to your point, on some very good programs. We are benefiting from the Metro 40G build out and that really plays to our strength with respect to optical systems, optical components and the data interconnect. And we are basically experiencing a program ramp. We also do have our JDM offering within communications, it being relatively small relative to the whole, but it’s very fast growing and we’re excited about the possibilities and the growth profile of that JDM profile moving forward.
Matt Sheerin
Analyst · Stifel. Your line is open
And then in terms of the guidance, sort of backing into margin and gross margin, it looks like gross margin will be flat to down despite the revenue up. Does that make sense? Or is gross margin up, but SG&A is up commensurately with that?
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
Hi, Matt. Darren here. All in all, if you look at the second quarter, it certainly was a strong quarter. So we talked about it in our prepared remarks. But a lot of good things happened. The team did a phenomenal job, driving the execution, cost, recoveries as well, and we had favorable mix. So the margin was higher than we certain forecasted and is higher than where we’ve been. So that’s one of the phenomena going into the third quarter that’s impacting us. We are also investing in the business, so a little bit in the SG&A. But, again, we had a $2 million FX hit in the second quarter on SG&A. And the third item which Rob alluded to or commented on in his prepared remarks is we had a program – an aftermarket program in our consumer business that is disengaging with us and as a result of that there is some profit headwinds and that's all factored in the guidance for third quarter.
Matt Sheerin
Analyst · Stifel. Your line is open
Okay. So it looks like – maybe it’s 10 to 20 basis headwind, which will only last a quarter or so. Is that fair?
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
It’s just that the profit of that business goes away, so that is a headwind, and then we’re continuing to invest in the business. We’ve talked before – there’s a couple of points. So we’ve talked before about what level are we at the 3.5%. And I think based on today’s mix and what we see right now, I would use $1.5 billion, which is reflective of our guidance right now. And with that, we’re still bumping around in that breakeven zone in solar and semiconductor. So there’s still a 30 basis point opportunity on those businesses, getting them to the target margins of the company. Hopefully, that answers your question there, Matt.
Matt Sheerin
Analyst · Stifel. Your line is open
Got it. Yeah, that was helpful. Okay, great. All right. Thanks a lot.
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
Okay. Thanks, Matt.
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from the line Amit Daryanani from RBC. Your line is open.
Unidentified Analyst
Analyst · RBC. Your line is open
This is Jay [ph]. I’m calling in for Amit. And can you please touch upon your expectations for long-term growth within the non-tech segments?
Rob Mionis
President
What segment?
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
In the diversified. You mean in the diversified?
Unidentified Analyst
Analyst · RBC. Your line is open
Yes.
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah.
Rob Mionis
President
Okay. It’s Rob. Overall, our strategy is to defend our very strong position within C&E and also to accelerate our growth within diversified. We’re very pleased with, frankly, the growth that we have seen out of diversified year-to-date [indiscernible] I think we just posted 13% year-to-year. We’re also planning on accelerating the growth of our diversified business of supplementing our organic activities – inorganic activities, i.e. M&A accelerators within the diversified business.
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
It’ hard to give you one number. We don’t have a stated target of our annual goal. But if you did read different reports, you’ll see rates in the high-single digits in the diversified market, of course, depending on which market you look at. So that's very general comment. We’re looking to go north of that certainly organically and, as Rob says, to augment that with corporate development and M&A activity.
Unidentified Analyst
Analyst · RBC. Your line is open
Okay, that’s helpful. And, I guess, in terms of the long-term margins, I guess, the margins will be higher versus corporate average in the long-term, but how should we think about the current margin profile versus your corporate average?
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
We’re not disclosing the individual segments, the margin performance of them. One of our goals is to improve diversified. So by nature of that, it’s to say that it has been below the company average and we’re working to improve that. We’re seeing year-over-year improvements and have made good strides in that. There’s more work to be done there in terms of potential margin improvements that we can make and that we’re continuing to focus on.
Unidentified Analyst
Analyst · RBC. Your line is open
And the last one for me is, when you guys do M&A, what size company do you typically target?
Rob Mionis
President
Good question. It really depends, Jay, on the sector that we’re looking in and also what’s available. General view, and I’ll kind of be somewhat opaque, is bigger is better, but not too big to the point where it’s an integration mess. So it's kind of very difficult question to answer. I would say – Darren, what do you think in terms of overall size?
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
Ideally, they’re bringing in $200 million, $250 million of revenue. But, again, as Rob says, it depends. There’s capability adds. There’s a number of different factors that we would look at.
Rob Mionis
President
Another way of saying it is, we’re not actively fishing for huge deals, if you will. At this stage of the game, it’s sizable tuck-ins that will really give us incremental capability and accelerated growth.
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
Thanks, Jay. Next question please.
Operator
Operator
Thank you. Your next question comes from the line Thanos Moschopoulos from BMO Capital Markets. Your line is open.
Thanos Moschopoulos
Analyst · BMO Capital Markets. Your line is open
Hi, guys.
Rob Mionis
President
Hi, Thanos.
Thanos Moschopoulos
Analyst · BMO Capital Markets. Your line is open
Hi, good afternoon. You mentioned that solar and semi are still running at close to breakeven. What really needs to change? Is that a function of volumes getting up or are there certain programs that just need to hit their stride from a yield perspective?
Rob Mionis
President
Hey, Thanos. In semi – semi cap, just to break down our business, is comprised of high-level assembly and we also have a machining operation. High-level assembly is actually doing very well. We’re seeing some signs of improved demand and it’s ramping quite nicely. On the machining side, we do have some excess capacity right now which we’re planning to take out over the coming quarters. And we’re also planning on making some investment in the semi cap businesses to drive improved productivity moving forward. So for it to have sustained growth in the long-term, we really need machining, the volume to return and also we need to reduce some excess capacity at the same time. Within our solar business, which really impeding our target level of profitability, is two things. One is, as Darren and I alluded to in our call, we do have somewhat of a choppy and dynamic demand environment and we do think that will stabilize over a period of time. We also have some high-cost capacity that we’ve had with us this half of the year and we plan on taking that out during the second half of the year and that should give us some improved profitability moving forward.
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
And, Thanos, for those of those, I would think about it for you guys, because of the actions in the – those investments in order to drive some of these actions are cost around these actions, it’s really probably into next year before we start seeing some of the improvements there.
Thanos Moschopoulos
Analyst · BMO Capital Markets. Your line is open
Okay, that’s helpful. And then finally, aerospace and defense, can you provide us an update there? Imagine that the Honeywell assets are probably ramping and that’s contributed to growth. Any other dynamics in that segment?
Rob Mionis
President
I’ll start. Maybe Darren can finish. But broadly speaking, our strategy within aerospace and defense has been to take our wonderful proof points that we have to a large audience. I'm very much encouraged that our sales pipeline is building very nicely and we’re engaged in very nice discussions with a broader set of audiences on building that portfolio moving forward. As I’ve mentioned on previous calls, we are very capable in this area. We do circuit cards. We do line replaceable units. We also have – we do MRO as well in this space. And then very excited about the future in terms of the growth and the forecast. I’ll turn it over to Darren.
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
Yes. Thanos, the growth we’ve had from the Honeywell part, that’s pretty much lapped because we did that in Q1 2015, so we’ve seen the full year of that. As I mentioned, we had some growth from our airspace and defense. Most of it was in the energy business year-over-year, some from aerospace and defense and it was from new program wins, a little bit smaller, similar in the size of the Honeywell transaction that we did. We’re making good improvements – good activity in the funnel and some active engagements. Certainly, some new relationships have opened up for us. So from a longer-term perspective, things look quite good in that market.
Thanos Moschopoulos
Analyst · BMO Capital Markets. Your line is open
Great. Thanks, guys. Nice quarter. And I’ll pass the line.
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
Thanks, Thanos.
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of George Papageorgiou with Macquarie. Your line is open.
Gus Papageorgiou
Analyst · George Papageorgiou with Macquarie. Your line is open
Thanks. It’s actually Gus Papageorgiou. Just a quick question on – thanks for the color on your communications business. But could you also just touch on storage and servers. You’re looking for kind of up or flat year-over-year growth in those industries. And a lot of your end customers are seeing kind of negative growth. So could you just touch a little bit on the dynamics there? And then also, just as a follow-on, is there any reason to believe that we wouldn’t see traditional seasonality this year with Q4 being your strongest quarter? Thanks.
Rob Mionis
President
Yeah. On storage, generally speaking, external storage is quite cold and tempered these days and internal storage is running quite hot. The increase that we've seen seasonally is really, again, driven by seasonal demand. We are guiding flat revenue as we go into quarter three. But the growth and the successes we have are generally driven by program mix. Some are going up and some are going down.
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
I’d say, in both of them, Gus, it’s the new wins because, you’re right, the markets generally are going down and we’re certainly seeing that. But there’s been – team’s done a good job with wins last year that we’re – and those programs happen to be doing well for us. On your other question on seasonality, I think our seasonality has changed as a company with communications being a larger part. If you look back in the last number of years, communications tends to be higher in Q3. So that I think will change our dynamic. We’re not giving guidance for the fourth quarter. But I do want to highlight that to you because it does change what you'd expect for fourth quarter for us. The other item I would note is we talked about a push-out of a program, probably at about a $20 million push-out in solar into the third quarter and we’re going to catch-up for that in the third quarter. So that’s helping the third quarter forecast as well.
Gus Papageorgiou
Analyst · George Papageorgiou with Macquarie. Your line is open
Okay, great. Thank you very much.
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
Thanks, Gus.
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Paul Steep with Scotia Capital. Please go ahead.
Paul Steep
Analyst · Paul Steep with Scotia Capital. Please go ahead
Thanks. Rob, can you maybe talk a little bit about the automation efforts that you’d highlighted last quarter in terms of how we should think about what type of margin lift we should benefit from and when that would impact? Is that likely to be a 2017 event? And then secondly, maybe Darren could talk a little bit about inventory build. It’s been impacting your free cash the last couple of quarters. Is this just related to new wins or is there another dynamic at play? Thanks.
Rob Mionis
President
So on new automation, Paul, thanks for bringing it up. We really have some fantastic capability. We not only have some good point solutions, but we have some great automation integration capability. And we’re moving down the maturity path of going from automation to the connected factory again, which has been able to connect what we call the physical and the digital world. We are accelerating our paths this year in terms of deployments and tripling the amount of investment that we’re making in automation and connected factory. But the way I look at this is it’s somewhat of a journey as we’re building out our roadmaps. And I think we’re well along the journey, but it's probably hard to project what kind of margin impact we’re going to get off of that. And I’ll turn it over to Darren for the second question.
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
Paul, on inventory, we’ve been impacted the last two quarters, I would say, on churn. We're seeing ups and downs. We’re pleased with the upside and the team, throughout the operations, did a great job delivering it. But within that, there’s still a lot of ups and downs. So that has certainly been impacting us. And then, of course, a big driver has been the growth, has been impacting the turns. The solar push-out, that $20 million I talked about as well, hit us on inventory. So from a free cash flow point of view, first half of the year has been under pressure based on the growth and on the churn. We expect that to improve in the third quarter, generate positive free cash flow. But there’s a number of variables happening in the markets. I think this year, although we’re always pushing for our goal of 100, it is a lot of work to be done to get there this year.
Paul Steep
Analyst · Paul Steep with Scotia Capital. Please go ahead
Great, thank you.
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
Growth in that first half. Thanks, Paul.
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Robert Young with Canaccord Genuity.
Robert Young
Analyst · Robert Young with Canaccord Genuity
Hi, good evening. I was hoping that you could talk about the semiconductor and smart energy components. I think last quarter you said that there was a potential for a 40 basis points improvement to overall margins. Now, this quarter you’re saying 30. And so, has something changed in the potential improvement or have you pushed that business forward? I think you said it's still close to breakeven.
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
It’s bumping around. The math gets you sometimes to 30, sometimes to 40, so it’s still in that 30 to 40 basis point range, Rob. There was improvements and we’re expecting some improvements as we go forward. But it's in that range.
Robert Young
Analyst · Robert Young with Canaccord Genuity
Okay. So no real change from last quarter?
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
Not significant, no.
Robert Young
Analyst · Robert Young with Canaccord Genuity
Okay. And then you’ve talked now a couple times about the increasing investment in the sales, corp dev, front-end. And so, is that something that drove improvement in the top line this quarter, in the current quarter now, or is that something that you’re expecting to drive benefits in 2017 or later? Like, how should we be thinking of the benefit from that investment?
Rob Mionis
President
So these investments will have a longer-term impact on our growth and profitability. But, basically, our strategy is – just to recap it is where we think we have a leading market position or we know we have a leading market position and where we have strong value proposition, we are investing in sales resources, business development resources in order to capitalize on that growth. I’m encouraged by the early signs of our pipelines building, but it has to work its way through the sales process into the bookings process and then converting that into revenue. And that, especially in the diversified business, does take a period of time.
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
Rob, sorry. Of course, on the corporate development side, you can get a faster benefit, but certainly don't expect one in the short term, though, in an acquisition side or any material ones.
Robert Young
Analyst · Robert Young with Canaccord Genuity
Okay. And I think you mentioned that there was a benefit in the pipe in the aerospace component. Is that an area where you're waiting the investment?
Rob Mionis
President
No. On that, I was referring to is the investments that we made in sales resources and business development resources. They’re providing solutions and responding to quotes. And as a result of that, we think about our sales pipeline as a funnel. So the size of the funnel, if you will, is growing with opportunities and we’re encouraged by that progress. Obviously, we have to turn those opportunities into hard bookings, and that's what we’re working on doing. And, again, that will take a little bit of time. But encouraged, again, by the fact that the investments are starting to have some early indications of success.
Robert Young
Analyst · Robert Young with Canaccord Genuity
Okay, great. Thanks a lot.
Operator
Operator
Your question comes from the line of Jim Suva with Citi. Your line is open.
Unidentified Analyst
Analyst · Citi. Your line is open
Hi. This is Athiya [ph] here on behalf of Jim. Just quickly, like any color you can provide on impact – macro impact from Brexit on your end customer, if that resulted in any kind of demand pause towards the end of the quarter? Thank you.
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
Hi. It’s Darren here. We haven't – from a Brexit point of view, first of all, our exposure, direct exposure, in the UK is incredibly nominal, less than a percent. And for us, the only impact, I would say, is the currency impacts and some of the volatility in currency. We haven't seen anything from customers from a demand point of view of changes to their order patterns or anything directly related to Brexit.
Unidentified Analyst
Analyst · Citi. Your line is open
Okay, thank you.
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
Maybe one more question, operator, if there is anymore.
Operator
Operator
We do have another question from the line of Daniel Chan of TD Securities. Please go ahead.
Daniel Chan
Analyst · Daniel Chan of TD Securities. Please go ahead
Hi, Darren.
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
Hi, Daniel.
Daniel Chan
Analyst · Daniel Chan of TD Securities. Please go ahead
Just a quick question in terms of capital use. How are you prioritizing your options? Is it debt reduction or share buybacks? Did you fund another PSR this quarter?
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
Pardon me. Daniel, you’re cutting out a little bit there. Do you mind repeating that question?
Daniel Chan
Analyst · Daniel Chan of TD Securities. Please go ahead
Hello. Can you guys hear me now?
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah. Now, we can, Dan. Thanks.
Daniel Chan
Analyst · Daniel Chan of TD Securities. Please go ahead
Okay. Just in terms of capital use, how would you prioritize your options? Is it going to be for debt repayment or are you guys – did you guys mention that you’ve funded another PSR this quarter?
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
No, that was the PSR we funded previously, just those shares were canceled. Right now, our real focus is investing in the business and keeping as much powder as we can for investing in the business. We’ll still do some buybacks, but really, right now, we want to focus on making investments in the business.
Daniel Chan
Analyst · Daniel Chan of TD Securities. Please go ahead
Okay, thank you.
Darren Myers
Chief Financial Officer
Okay, thank you.
Rob Mionis
President
Thank you all for dialing in. Thank you for your support and we look forward to updating you next quarter. Good evening.
Operator
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.