Hratch Panossian
Management
Gabe, it's Hratch. Happy to take that. Let me backtrack for one second. Our approach to investing in our bank, investing in our strategy and the financial targets we're striving for it. It remains consistent. It's done that for the last couple of years. We have a well-thought-out strategic plan we outlined in our Investor Day. We're executing against that plan, and we're getting the results as you see. So financially, we've guided that, that will translate to accelerated revenue growth, share gains, 7% to 10% pre-provision earnings growth, positive operating leverage over the medium term. And we've been delivering on all of that. You mentioned some of the results on the expense side. But I would look at all of it, right? I'll have over the 12-month period, if you look at the last four quarters trailing, we've delivered revenues and that's been 10%. And we've been delivering expenses 11% on a 12-month basis, 10% this quarter, right? In terms of this quarter, happy to give you a little bit of color. Our increased expenses are a large part, as we highlighted in the presentation, still impacted by the investments as well as the inflation piece. In the quarter, 5% of it was the investments. About half of that, as we've highlighted, was Costco and the U.S. And so the number Laura gave 3.5%, Costco, call it, 3.5% of the PBB expenses on a total bank basis, it's about 1% and change and combined U.S. and Costcos at 2.5% we show. Both of those are plateauing. So I would look at those. We have a full quarter of expenses related to Costco this quarter. There's some variability going forward, but largely stable. And our U.S. investments are plateauing. And so we expect starting in Q4, the sequential expenses in the U.S. to also plateau. And so those will contribute to the stabilization. We are proactively managing the remaining part of the portfolio in order to solve for our operating target -- operating leverage targets. And the inflation elements as well we see over the next few quarters, that's probably about 1/3 to 1/2 of the remaining expenses we've highlighted there on the slide, and we see that moderating over time. So where do we go? We're focused on delivering what we've committed to. We've guided to high single-digit PPPT this year and neutral-ish operating leverage. We feel very good about delivering the pretax pre-provision and we continue to work on the operating leverage. This quarter, we delivered near neutral operating leverage despite some pressures on revenue from the markets that were unanticipated and we're focused on continuing on that positive operating leverage actually next quarter and going forward, and getting to that mid-single-digit expense growth over time that we've talked about at Investor Day as we get into next year.