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Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO)

Q2 2022 Earnings Call· Thu, Oct 28, 2021

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings. Welcome to the Columbus McKinnon Corporation Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2022 Financial Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to your host, Deborah Pawlowski, Investor Relations for Columbus McKinnon. Thank you. You may begin.

Deborah Pawlowski

Analyst

Thanks, Alex, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us here today. I have with me David Wilson, our President and CEO; and Greg Rustowicz, our Chief Financial Officer. I hope you have a copy of the second quarter fiscal 2022 financial results, which we released this morning before the market. And if not, you can access the release as well as the slides that will accompany our conversation today at our website, columbusmckinnon.com. After David and Greg's formal discussion, we will then open the line for Q&A. I kindly ask that you ask 1 question with a follow-up question, and then get back in queue to allow for continuous flow and adequate time. If you turn to Slide 2 in the deck, I'll review the safe harbor statement briefly. As you know, we may make some forward-looking statements during the formal discussion as well as during the Q&A session. These statements apply to future events that are subject to risks and uncertainties as well as other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from what is stated today. These risk and uncertainties and other factors are provided in the earnings release as well as with other documents filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These documents can be found on our website or at sec.gov. During today's call, we will also discuss some non-GAAP financial measures. We believe these will be useful in evaluating our performance. You should not consider the presentation of this additional information in isolation or as a substitute for results prepared in accordance with GAAP. We have provided a reconciliation of non-GAAP measures with comparable GAAP measures in the tables in today's release and the slides for your information. So with that, if you will turn to Slide 3, I will turn it over to David to begin. David?

David Wilson

Analyst

Thank you, Deb, and good morning, everyone. We delivered strong results in the quarter even as we navigated the challenges the world is facing with global supply constraints. Despite leaving approximately $15 million of planned Q2 shipments behind due to shortages in the supply chain, we delivered sales growth of 42% year-over-year with strength in all geographic regions. I should point out as well that the growth was driven by robust demand across all of our targeted markets. Margins also expanded nicely. In fact, we achieved new records for both GAAP and adjusted gross margin of 36.3% and 36.7%, respectively. Improved margin in the quarter reflected the benefits of our 80/20 Process, operational restructuring, and an improved product portfolio including the addition of Dorner. The Columbus McKinnon Business System or CMBS provides the processes and tools to deliver improved profitability as we execute on our blueprint for Growth 2.0 strategy. We believe our results continue to demonstrate the evolution of Columbus McKinnon into a high-value intelligent motion enterprise. Through the core growth framework of our strategy, we are focused on strengthening, growing, and expanding our core as we establish combined offerings, innovate with new products, expand channels and deepen our presence in a more attractive set of targeted markets. One example of this is the combination of our legacy automation solutions with our conveying solutions, enhancing our value proposition for customers in attractive markets. This is a nice example of our strategy at work. Earlier this year, we reimagined Columbus McKinnon and acquired Dorner. Then, with precision conveying solutions as a new growth platform, we began to focus on growth that could be created through the combination of our competencies and increased product innovation. We are gaining early traction and the customers that are a part of this conveyor automation…

Gregory Rustowicz

Analyst

Thank you, David. Good morning, everyone. On Slide 6, net sales in the second quarter were $223.6 million, up 41.7% from the prior year period, which was heavily impacted by the pandemic. While we saw revenue improve almost 5% sequentially, like other industrial companies, we continue to experience supply chain challenges. As David mentioned earlier, we estimate that revenue in the quarter was impacted by approximately $15 million because of supply chain constraints, putting us slightly below the lower end of our guidance for the quarter. This was also the second quarter that the Dorner acquisition is included in our results. Dorner delivered almost $34 million of revenue in the quarter. Supply chain constraints had about a $3 million impact to Dorner sales this quarter. Looking at our sales bridge. Sales volume was a major driver of growth with volume up $26 million or 16.7%. We also realized positive pricing as we saw year-over-year pricing improve by 2.5%. In addition to our typical price increases implemented at the start of our fiscal year, we also raised prices at the end of June and again in August. Our pricing actions resulted in $4 million of year-over-year price, up from the $2 million of year-over-year price we reported last quarter. Foreign currency was a tailwind and contributed $1.9 million or 1.2% of sales. Let me provide a little color on sales by region. For the second quarter, we had significant strength in the U.S. with sales volumes up nearly 20%. We also improved pricing 2.4% up 150 basis points from the first quarter levels. Outside of the U.S., sales volume was up approximately 13% as volume strengthened in all regions, increasing 34% in Latin America, 23% in Canada, and 11% in both EMEA and APAC. We also improved pricing internationally by 2.7%.…

David Wilson

Analyst

Thanks, Greg. Slide 14 shows the continued strength of demand as our markets recover, the success of our efforts to grow our market share, and the impact of the Dorner acquisition. Excluding the benefit of FX and the Dorner acquisition, orders for our short-cycle business were up 19% over last year, and project business orders were up nearly 14%. Our book-to-bill ratio was again nicely greater than 1 and helped to drive our record backlog. Both short-cycle and project backlog has grown. We have $145 million in backlog that is scheduled to ship in the third quarter. Through the first 3 weeks of October, our order rates are up 3% versus Q2's rates, and up 9% sequentially versus September's rates. The pipeline of opportunities we are pursuing remains quite robust. Please turn to Slide 15, and I will provide an update on our near-term expectations. We expect revenue to be approximately $215 million for our third fiscal quarter ending December 31. This level of activity takes into account our typical seasonality, which includes 3 fewer production and shipping days than our second quarter and the impact of the year-end holidays. We also assume that supply chain constraints continue at levels similar to Q2. Regarding the supply chain, it has been a daily drill of triage, expediting, and adjustments at all of our operational sites. We remain in constant communication with our key suppliers and our remaining agile while working to stay ahead of demand where possible. There has been no shortage of surprises, however, as our suppliers are dealing with disruption as well. On a positive note, we are improving sales, inventory, and operations planning, or SIOP processes, and have improved both demand visibility and secured capacity within the supply chain. We are actively working with all suppliers to prioritize…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Matt Summerville with D.A. Davidson.

Will Jellison

Analyst

This is Will on for Matt. I had a question for you about pricing on that gross profit bridge. Was it your expectation going into the quarter that pricing would exceed cost inflation by that amount, or did that come ahead of your expectation?

Gregory Rustowicz

Analyst

No. Will, this is Greg Rustowicz. So we have -- we did anticipate that, that would happen. We have been pretty consistent. In my 10 years, that's always been the case. We have a lot of pricing power in the business. And as we monitor inflation, we try to stay out in front of it. So our margins -- we're able to maintain margins and perhaps even grow margins.

Will Jellison

Analyst

Understood. And then sticking to the bridge, I noticed that the benefits you received from productivity were more or less doubled than what they were in your fiscal first quarter. I was wondering if you had any color as to what drove that increase and whether or not that kind of movement is sustainable in the coming quarters?

Gregory Rustowicz

Analyst

Yes. So a large driver of the productivity is related to the incremental volumes that we're producing. We're comparing it to the second quarter a year ago, which was a COVID quarter. It wasn't the worst COVID quarter, that was the June quarter. But for sure -- but hats off to our operations team for all the good work they're doing despite all of the constant changes that are going on with supply chain challenges that David talked about. So it's our operational excellence programs, it's -- we're benefiting from the plant consolidations that we've done over the last several years. And we anticipate that going forward, when volumes do return to pre-COVID levels in our legacy business, we should continue to see a ramp in gross margins.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Jon Tanwanteng with CJS Securities.

Peter Lukas

Analyst · CJS Securities.

It's actually Pete Lukas for Jon this morning. I just had a question. Is the $53 million RSG&A run rate something that we should normalize going into 2022? Or is that including some one-time items that should step back down?

Gregory Rustowicz

Analyst · CJS Securities.

Yes. There are some one-time items in there that should step down, but it's going to be in that ZIP code, in that $52 million, $51 million, $52 million neighborhood. There can be variability based on -- like for instance, this quarter our stock compensation costs get -- increased because of the rising stock price in Q2 relative to where we were at June 30. So we hope to drive that further, which will result in incremental expense for the company. But having said that, that's probably the right ZIP code, the $52 million, $53 million level. And the way to think about it is legacy Columbus McKinnon was typically a $45 million per quarter run rate. Dorner is about a $7 million run rate. We have made improvements in our RSG&A costs, but we're also investing more in the business for new product development and some other growth initiatives. A lot of our digital initiatives as well would be in that category.

Peter Lukas

Analyst · CJS Securities.

Great. Helpful. And then in terms of how orders are trending through October, I just want to make sure I heard you, was that -- did you say up 3% versus Q2?

Gregory Rustowicz

Analyst · CJS Securities.

Yes, up 3% versus Q2 and up 9% sequentially versus September. And if I were to look at that short-cycle project and Dorner, short-cycle business is up 2% sequentially versus September, project business is up 10% versus September, and our Dorner business is up 33% versus September. Yes. And obviously, projects and the Dorner business has a level of lumpiness in there.

Peter Lukas

Analyst · CJS Securities.

And do you think that's more a function of lead times increasing, or are you continuing to see strong organic demand?

Gregory Rustowicz

Analyst · CJS Securities.

No. I would say it's the latter. We're continuing to see strong organic demand.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Michael McGinn with Wells Fargo.

Michael McGinn

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

My question was on gross margin. I think you mentioned Dorner contributed $13 million and change to the gross profit. If I'm doing some back of the envelope math, that puts them almost close to a 40% gross margin rate, which is higher than historically what that business is run. Is this a function of them having more inelasticity and then your pricing for your legacy businesses kind of rolls into the back half of this year? Any color on the cadence of gross margin, maybe Dorner versus legacy?

Gregory Rustowicz

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

Yes. So -- Mike, it's Greg. So Dorner is historically 40% to 45% gross margins. It's going to depend on the mix of engineered-to-order versus build-to-order business. Margins on the build-to-order tend to be higher. And in general, I would say that they're probably 500 basis points north of legacy Columbus McKinnon today. But clearly, we're continuing to be on the legacy side impacted by lower volumes. And we do expect to drive our gross margins over time to closer to that 40% level.

David Wilson

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

Absolutely. And I would just add, Mike, that Dorner also, like the rest of our business, had phasing challenges as it relates to inflationary pressures and price increases. And so on -- in the aggregate, we outpaced our pricing to inflation ratio, if you will. But if you think about this on a line-by-line basis, Dorner was more negatively impacted in the period by the timing of inflation versus pricing impacts. And so that had an impact on their results in this period, and we expect to catch up on those as we go.

Gregory Rustowicz

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

And one other point to make, Mike, is that we don't reprice our backlog. And so to the extent we've got backlog from pre-price increase periods, we're not benefiting from price. So incrementally, there should be more pricing coming through in the December quarter just given the fact that our backlog is at record levels and doesn't reflect all of the latest prices -- price increases in there.

Michael McGinn

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

Got it. And then just trying to square my model here, 3 less selling days, RSG&A trending towards 53%. Is the 3 less selling days sequentially or year-over-year because I'm presuming you have the same amount of payroll days and that would have some sort of SG&A leverage effect? So any comment on the payroll days and how that's impacting your SG&A?

Gregory Rustowicz

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

Yes. So we do -- on Page 8 of our release, we give you the shipping days per quarter in the U.S., and in Q3, it was 61% -- or it's going to be 61%, and Q2 was 64%. So that's about a 5% decline. And last year, it was the same number, 61% versus 61%. Now granted with outside of the U.S., we do run into -- for instance in Europe, which is our next biggest market, we do have longer holiday periods. That results in less production days. And while we will maintain warehouse personnel to ship product I mean, there's just less cost absorption that's going on in the quarter. So one important point to note is that if you look over the last 3 years at our gross margins, they typically drop about 100 basis points sequentially because of the impact of the shipping days.

Michael McGinn

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

Got it. And I want to sneak one more in here. With rent at $85 and Alcoa kind of making some draconian statements about China magnesium supply and the impacts of aluminum, have you seen any kind of uptick in some of your legacy less sexy businesses that give you confidence heading into calendar 2023 here?

David Wilson

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

We have. In fact in our energy markets more broadly, oil and gas as well, we've seen increases in project demand globally. And we've secured a few nice orders in the second quarter but we're seeing our frontlog develop further. And obviously, the metals markets are also responding in the same way. So we're seeing a nice demand increase across the markets that we serve, and we believe that, that is having an impact.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Chris Howe with Barrington Research.

Christopher Howe

Analyst · Barrington Research.

David, Greg about Slide 4 and looking at how Columbus McKinnon has evolved over time and now with this conveying solutions platform if we look kind of from a top-down basis, how do you anticipate this evolving with the growth trends that you see in each section of the pie? Perhaps what I'm getting at is, how do you see a steady state mix of the business from a general perspective looking further out?

David Wilson

Analyst · Barrington Research.

Right. Right. Good question, Chris, and it's obviously a heavy focus of ours as we are strategically working to transition the business into a higher value enterprise. And we do see growth across all of the segments of our business and anticipate we'll grow our core lifting platform as we head out over our 5-year strategic window. And we think we can grow it frankly, materially. But we think in the total, from a percentage perspective, lifting as a percentage of the total business reduces. And as we grow the business beyond this year into next and through our 2027 strategic planning process, we see the business evolving to one that has a majority contribution from those elements of the business that are serving higher growth, higher value areas. And so we think we become less cyclical and more secularly oriented, and we have a more attractive mix of business in the portfolio as we go forward. And clearly, that has an impact on our ability to grow margins and expand beyond the EBITDA targets that we've established for the business.

Christopher Howe

Analyst · Barrington Research.

Okay. And my next question, it's a conversation on every call with the supply chain and logistical challenges that continue to persist in this environment, can you comment on how you place this challenge into context? Some companies have reported that perhaps by the summer of calendar 2022, we see some improvements while others have placed a more conservative outlook on the supply chain challenges. How do you anticipate the duration?

David Wilson

Analyst · Barrington Research.

Right. Yes, I would say that we anticipate that this is a problem that will continue into fiscal '22 -- calendar 22, I should say. And we certainly have anticipated that it continues through this Q3 period. And we anticipate that it's not something that's going away as we exit Q3 and will continue into calendar '22. And I don't have a crystal ball on how that will play out, but clearly, we're focusing on advancing our business, advancing our strategy and controlling what we can control. So we're executing our playbook, we're improving the business, we're improving our sales inventory operations, planning processes, we're getting increased secured capacity with our key vendors, improving the connectivity there, and identifying appropriate alternatives where possible. And we think we're positioning the business well despite what will likely be a persisting set of challenges in that environment.

Christopher Howe

Analyst · Barrington Research.

Okay. Great. And my last question is on the growing M&A pipeline, if I could ask this quickly. Can you comment on the evolution of this pipeline? What size of businesses are you seeing? What type of ownership structure? Are some of these family-owned businesses? I would assume that capital allocation will continue to be prudent and strategically placed. How should we think about these different opportunities in the pipeline?

David Wilson

Analyst · Barrington Research.

Right. I would say, first, that you're absolutely right. Capital allocation will be responsible and prudent and disciplined, and we'll continue to execute thoughtfully there. The pipeline has expanded as we pursued the expansion of our business into more attractive micro-segments as we define them in previous conversations, including specialty conveyance, and we're successful at acquiring the Dorner business. That increased our aperture for opportunities. And clearly, that business, as we've talked about previously, plays in a fragmented landscape and that fragmented landscape is very attractive. They have about $1.5 billion worth of served addressable market and about a $4 billion total TAM globally. And we see a nice pipeline of opportunities to continue to [indiscernible] in addition to our linear motion products and automation products in the portfolio. And so that provides us with a pretty broad runway and a lot of opportunity that ranges, if you will, in terms of ownership structure from privately held, independent companies that you can build relationships with over time and have a more exclusive negotiation in terms of a potential transaction to companies that are more mature and have more of a private equity or public company ownership structure that might be more transactional processes that would run through a bank or more of a formal process. And so, we have good relationships that we're establishing with the participants in those markets. We're continuing to stay close to those relationships and to the market to learn more. And I would say that, from a sizing standpoint, we're looking at companies that would be in that say, $50 million to $200 million or so in total revenue value. And we would be certainly open to transactions that might be slightly smaller than that or slightly larger than that depending on what they would bring and how well they fit with our strategy.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Dave (sic) [ Steve ] Ferazani with Sidoti.

Steve Ferazani

Analyst

It's Steve Ferazani. Usually get the last name wrong but close enough. I did want to follow-up on the supply chain issues. Did I hear -- David, did you quantify the impact on timing of deliveries in the quarter in terms of supply chain issues?

David Wilson

Analyst

Yes. $15 million worth of impact in the quarter for us, Steve. That was product that we had been committed to receive materials that we had included in what we would shift and it was ready to go had we received the materials that we were anticipating. That's right.

Steve Ferazani

Analyst

Okay. And so when I think about how you provide guidance for sales, how do you incorporate those supply chain challenges into that number, which I imagine is very difficult?

David Wilson

Analyst

Yes. We've anticipated that the challenges persist throughout Q3 at a level that's similar to the level we've seen in Q2. And so we're working very hard, obviously, to improve on that, but we're anticipating that the challenges will persist at levels similar to what we saw in Q2.

Steve Ferazani

Analyst

And then the other question, which hasn't come up a lot on this call, which is on the labor front. Given the growth at Dorner, and I think you noted the huge growth you saw even in October, how you're keeping up on the labor and capacity front, particularly in the case of Dorner?

David Wilson

Analyst

Yes. We've made progress, Steve, throughout Q2 in our recruiting efforts. Our team has done a really nice job of getting creative and creating opportunities for people to join the firm that have added value. We have unfortunately had turnover as well as I think most companies have seen as people have been moving. And the net effect to us is that at the end of the quarter, we've had 79 open positions in the occupational environment. And so, we're obviously continuing our work to fill those and obviously, flexing and working overtime to compensate. But that's the current status.

Gregory Rustowicz

Analyst

And I would say, Steve, that that's probably a lesser issue than the supply chain right now.

Steve Ferazani

Analyst

And do you think it is holding you back on the revenue side or not, it's purely the supply chain that maybe is causing some?

David Wilson

Analyst

Yes. I mean, I guess it'd be naive to say that it's not holding us back because there is a potential impact there. But I think you can flex there a lot more capably given that we're not working at full capacity in all of our factories with 3 shifts running perpetually. And so we're able to work some overtime and work in creative ways to compensate for those shortages. But I think that when we get to a point where the supply chain is flowing better, that needs to be resolved because then that will become a gating item for us.

Gregory Rustowicz

Analyst

And one other piece of color on the labor shortage, it's really a U.S. issue for us. It's not an international issue by and large.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Greg Palm with Craig-Hallum Capital Group.

Greg Palm

Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group.

I guess just kind of circling back a little bit on pricing and I want to tie that into maybe the competitive environment a little bit but are you seeing similar actions from most of your competitors? And just kind of curious how you view your competitive positioning overall from sort of a supply chain procurement standpoint? Anything to note there?

David Wilson

Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group.

I think our competitors have remained disciplined. We've been focused on what we need to do, and we've been moving rapidly to do that. I think we've been leaders as it relates to that and pricing -- price increases. But I think we have, as Greg indicated earlier, level of pricing power. And we haven't seen a lack of discipline in the channel as it relates to our competitive landscape.

Greg Palm

Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group.

Got it. Makes sense. And then just one quick follow-up on the December quarter guidance. And my assumption is with orders trending up nicely sequentially and I'm not sure if that's your sense that, that will continue for the entirety of the quarter, is the lower sequential guide just a byproduct of just the continuation in supply chain and then the lower shipping days? Anything else we should be aware of there?

David Wilson

Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group.

No. That's really it in a nutshell. We have strong demand. We have a record level of backlog. We're executing as well as we possibly can in this environment, and using self-help methods to improve further, but we're in a position where simply that capacity constraint and the limiting effect of the supply chain is the gating item.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is a follow-up from Matt Summerville with D.A. Davidson.

Will Jellison

Analyst

This is Will, again. David, forgive me if I missed it in your prepared remarks talking about the end market mix, but I was wondering what you're seeing in your entertainment markets because I know last quarter it was pretty definitively the laggard. And I was just wondering how that was progressing.

David Wilson

Analyst

Yes. It's been relatively stable. It's obviously impacted by the Delta variant increasing in its infection rates throughout the second quarter. And so what we saw is an increasing rate of demand that got us to maybe 50% of pre-COVID demand in the -- as we entered the second quarter and then kind of stabilize there given the fact that there became more questions around venue -- indoor venue availability for entertainment activity. And so, still a very bullish outlook in terms of activity and good discussions that are underway relative to that market. But just in terms of absolute realized demand, I'd say that it was relatively stable at a rate that's pretty diminished compared to pre-pandemic levels. And just to emphasize, that's a business that at its peak was about 3% of our total sales level. So although an exciting and nice opportunity for us, it's not a material piece of the overall business, and something that we think will come back as the markets are recovering even further.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, we have reached the end of the question-and-answer session. I will now turn the call over to David Wilson for closing remarks.

David Wilson

Analyst

Great. Thank you, Alex. I want to thank all of our global associates for the great work that they're doing to execute well in this dynamic environment. We're seeing strong demand across our markets and are focused on improving our business and controlling what we can control. We're executing our playbook while actively addressing inflation and supply chain challenges. We're advancing our 2.0 strategy and enterprise transformation initiatives to create a high-value, intelligent motion, industrial technology company. Thanks to everybody for their attention, and hope you all have a great day.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's conference and you may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation and have a wonderful day.