Richard Mack
Analyst · KBW. Jade, your line is now open.
Yes, so I would tell you that, just to answer very concisely, construction lending is probably the best risk adjusted return we see out there. As a general statement, the lending business is feels a little bit better to me, because you don't have to make a lot of assumptions. So, if you take the world as it is, debt returns make a lot more sense. If you believe that things are getting better from a fundamentals perspective as we see that they are, but that they're going to get dramatically better because the economy is going to stay strong and you're willing to forecast out cap rate compression as well. Then the returns can be quite healthy in the equity business. But you've got to make a lot of assumptions to do that in previous markets where when we go back to the great recession, now that was a time when you wanted to buy assets. You could -- you were talking about getting 8% to let's call it 7% to 10%, that's a wide thing, cash on cash return to buy multifamily. Today, you are actually getting negative, slightly negative to maybe slightly positive leverage to buy. And so, one of the ways to think about it is you have to, if you want to do equity deals, you're paying to wait as opposed to getting paid to wait, which is what we saw in the great recession. And so, therefore, the debt market, as a general statement, looks a lot better. Now naturally, there are always unique opportunities in the equity business. And so, there are always going to be a kind of a unique distressed opportunity or a unique development opportunity that you can't really categorize as a trend. Certainly, I would say that as it relates to what we are doing around Taiwan Semiconductor on the equity side of our business. But that's really an investment that has its kind of its own unique dynamics, almost on an isolated basis.