Earnings Labs

ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOBP)

Q2 2020 Earnings Call· Sun, Aug 2, 2020

$24.74

-0.04%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.
Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day. And welcome to the ConnectOne Bancorp Inc. Second Quarter 2020 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] After today’s presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask a question. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Ms. Siya Vansia, with ConnectOne. Please go ahead.

Siya Vansia

Analyst

Good morning, and welcome to today's conference call to review ConnectOne's results for the second quarter of 2020 and to update you on recent developments. On today's conference call will be Frank Sorrentino, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Bill Burns, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. The results as well as notice of this conference call on a listen-only basis over the internet were distributed this morning in a press release that has been covered by the financial media. At this time, let me remind you that certain statements and assumptions in this conference call contain or are based upon forward-looking information and are being made pursuant to the Safe Harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements are subject to numerous assumptions uncertainties and known or unknown risks, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. These risk factors are more fully discussed in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The forward-looking statements included in this conference call are made as of the date of the call and the company is not obligated to publicly update or revise them. In addition, certain terms used in this call are non-GAAP financial measures, reconciliations of which are provided in the company's earnings release and accompanying tables or schedules, which have been filed today on Form 8-K with the SEC and may also be accessed through the company's website at ir.connectonebank.com. Each listener is encouraged to review those reconciliations provided in the earnings release together with all other information provided in the release. I will now turn the call over to Frank Sorrentino. Frank, please go ahead.

Frank Sorrentino

Analyst

Thank you, Siya, and good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us on our conference call today. I hope you and your families have all been safe and healthy. We here at ConnectOne had a good second quarter. And I'm proud of how ConnectOne has responded to the current challenges the industry is facing in this uncertain economy. Looking at some of the key quarterly metrics for ConnectOne. We continue to generate very strong earnings, delivering earnings of $0.30 per share, which included $15 million of reserves predominantly due to the uncertainty regarding the pandemic. The strength of our organization continues to be demonstrated by our strong pre-tax net operating revenue, which was in excess of 1.95% of total average assets, placing us among the strongest in the industry. We also delivered on an improved net interest margin this quarter resulting in sequential net interest income growth of 10% and over 30% on a year-over-year basis. While many other banks are experiencing margin contraction and in some cases significant compression we continue to demonstrate the ability to drive exceptionally strong organic earnings power. In regard to provisioning, we're essentially matching our reserves from the first quarter. We now have close to $28 million in reserves for issues related to the pandemic should they arise bring our total reserves for loans to approximately 1.08%. Bill will have a little bit more to say about the provision in the reserves a little later on in this presentation. Despite the large reserve build, we still managed to grow our tangible book value per share to $16.28. Overall, we continue to navigate through the pandemic in a solid forward-looking fashion, which is a testament to the resilience of our team and our relationship banking model. Operationally, we've adopted a comprehensive return-to-work strategy with…

Bill Burns

Analyst

Okay. Thank you, Frank. And good morning, everyone. So we had another great quarter on an operating basis. Our pre-provision net operating revenue was up significantly on a sequential basis. We reached $37.5 million this quarter versus $32.6 million in the first quarter. That's an increase of $5 million. As a percentage of assets, that amounts to 1.95% for the quarter, as that metric continues to be in the upper end of our peer group ranging from 1.75% to 2% consistently over the past five quarters. So the primary reason for the exceptionally strong performance this quarter was a $5 million increase in net interest income. Most of that about $4 million of the $5 million was driven by PPP loans on our balance sheet; and the remaining $1 million in positive variance being due to higher net interest margin. So the PPP fees are running through interest income over a nine-month period on average. And that creates a current yield on that portfolio on the low 5% range. Our core margin is directionally performing stronger than most. So I'll review with you again color on that. You may remember, we did anticipate a widening margin in our last earnings call three months ago. So first off, we have a relatively small percentage of loans that re-price immediately, about $1 billion of $6 billion loan portfolio. And of that $1 billion, virtually all have built-in floors. So although the average loan yields did decline, the decline was less than it was for most other banks resulting in far less NIM pressure on the asset side of the balance sheet. Next, even before the pandemic, we were anticipating a stable lower interest rate environment. And we had shifted our wholesale funding towards shorter-term structures. So with the fed actions in the…

Frank Sorrentino

Analyst

Great. Thank you, Bill. So while we've all seen the improvement in reports on businesses reopening, the nation and the banking industry still face considerable uncertainty about how long this pandemic will persist. The longer it persists, the more pressure there is on borrowers and the higher the expectations may become for loans to become impaired. Nonetheless, we remain disciplined and steadfast in our belief that our experienced management team, strong balance sheet and risk controls will help us successfully navigate this operating environment. We're confident that, together, we'll all get through this. And when we come out on the other side, ConnectOne will get back to executing on prudent growth trends and producing strong metrics, as we've always focused on in the past. And so with that, we're happy to take your questions. Operator?

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] The first question today comes from Matthew Breese of Piper Jaffray. Please go ahead.

Matthew Breese

Analyst

Good morning.

Frank Sorrentino

Analyst

Good morning, Matt.

Bill Burns

Analyst

Good morning.

Matthew Breese

Analyst

Hey, Bill, there's a lot of pluses and minuses to the NIM outlook. If we were to just say longer term, a year out, or 18 months out, once we put behind us the deployment of liquidity, PPP, the sub-debt raise, lower deposit costs, where do you think the settling point in this environment for the core NIM is?

Bill Burns

Analyst

Well, like I said before, it's flat to up through this year. And then going into next year, it's going to depend on whether the economy is back, what the shape of the yield curve, how steep it is; where spreads are. And so, it's really hard for me to predict. But I think we'll be starting off at a good place.

Matthew Breese

Analyst

Okay. And then, you had some very encouraging data points and deferrals coming due in the cure rate. In the case of those loans that aren't curing and therefore need an additional 90 days or whatever you're providing could, you just talk about with that book, what is it comprised of most typically and some of the underwriting characteristics in terms of LTVs or debt service coverage? Just want to get a sense for the stuff that needs additional help, what your protection against lost content looks like.

Bill Burns

Analyst

Yes. Well, the majority of it is collateralized loans that were underwritten with good LTVs. And so, we feel we have a lot of cushion in those. And so, look, if there is a loss in those, I don't think it can be much. There's a small portion in C&I. We've stayed away from high-risk industries. There are strong borrower guarantees. And at the end of the day, there's just probably a small portion in that bucket.

Matthew Breese

Analyst

Okay. Okay. And then, my last one is just obviously very strong fees from BoeFly that was matched with an expense. Does that acquisition adjustment -- does that persist for a while, or at some point does that trail off? And if BoeFly continues to perform well, they can drop more to the bottom line? How does that dynamic work?

Bill Burns

Analyst

Yes, yes, yes. They drop more to the bottom line. There could be a little bit more adjustment, but it's very small. And so, the success will not be hurt materially by any adjustments to the acquisition price.

Matthew Breese

Analyst

Okay. And just following the fee income discussion, so this quarter I view as more it was one time because of PPP. Should we expect fee income to trend back to that $2.5 million, $2.7 million kind of core run rate in the coming quarters?

Bill Burns

Analyst

Well, it could be a little bit lower -- yes, from BoeFly, it could be a little bit lower because of the cuts to the economy and less activity going on. But we do feel confident in the long run that BoeFly, through the PPP program, has increased the distribution channels. And so, on net, this is a good thing. The fees the generated from the PPP and the outlook for the future and that's offset slightly by lower fees for their regular business through the duration of the crisis.

Matthew Breese

Analyst

Okay. Just last one really quick. Tax rate is coming in at about 14.5% the first two quarters of the year. Where do you expect that to be for the back half of the year and then in 2021?

Bill Burns

Analyst

Well, it depends on the level of pre-tax income. So it gets impacted by what the level of provisioning is. Should the level of provisioning go lower, we're going to get back up to the 20% range. If it stays at this level, it'll sort of be consistent with, what it was this quarter.

Matthew Breese

Analyst

Understood, okay. Thanks. That's all I had.

Bill Burns

Analyst

Okay. Thanks, Matthew.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Chris O'Connell of KBW. Please go ahead.

Chris O'Connell

Analyst

Hi. Good morning. This is Chris, filling in for Collyn.

Bill Burns

Analyst

Hi, Chris.

Chris O'Connell

Analyst

Just wanted to start off -- morning -- just wanted to start off on the expenses, appreciate the guidance and the efficiency. Is the four additional branches is that outside of the original cost save plans, for the acquisition?

Bill Burns

Analyst

Yes. That is separate from the acquisition. So it's additional savings.

Chris O'Connell

Analyst

And do you have an idea of the timing of that or the plans for the timing in the back half of the year?

Bill Burns

Analyst

By the end of the year.

Chris O'Connell

Analyst

Okay. Any idea if it's going to be more weighted for the savings coming in the third quarter or the fourth quarter?

Bill Burns

Analyst

No. The accounting has changed over the years. But it's more -- you're right, there'll be more in the third quarter will accrue ….

Chris O'Connell

Analyst

Okay.

Bill Burns

Analyst

…to the bottom line.

Chris O'Connell

Analyst

Got it. Okay, great. And then, as for the -- you mentioned that, you're already starting to work down the excess liquidity levels?

Bill Burns

Analyst

Right.

Chris O'Connell

Analyst

To our understanding is that -- the non-interest-bearing deposits are coming down as well as customers utilize the PPP funds?

Bill Burns

Analyst

No. It's not the non-interest-bearing balances. Those have remained pretty constant. And that's really good news, because they went up with the PPP program. And even as the PPP funds are being used our non-interest-bearing demand balances are staying higher. So that's good news for profitability and the margin. In terms of the liquidity coming off, we have the PPP borrowings. We'll save 35, 40 basis points on the liability side. If you're trying to calculate this, we're getting nine basis points and we're paying 35 basis points on it. So there's a …

Chris O'Connell

Analyst

Yeah. Okay. And then just…

Bill Burns

Analyst

…negative spread. Okay. That helps.

Chris O'Connell

Analyst

Do you see the cash over the next two to three quarters coming back down to kind of that $135 million?

Bill Burns

Analyst

I was going to say $150 million, but $135 million is fine too.

Chris O'Connell

Analyst

Okay, great. And how are you guys assuming the trajectory for the PPP loan forgiveness?

Bill Burns

Analyst

Well. We are estimating on average a nine-month timeframe. We reassess on October one for the fourth quarter. But right now, we're amortizing it over a nine-month life which results in a yield on the portfolio in the low fives.

Chris O'Connell

Analyst

Okay, great. And just last question. I know it hasn't an issue in a while, but as for the remaining taxi portfolio …

Bill Burns

Analyst

Right.

Chris O'Connell

Analyst

…has anything changed with the pandemic? And how you guys are looking at that portfolio?

Bill Burns

Analyst

Well, quantitatively, we have it valued at 150,000 a medallion. We understand there's some pressure on it now. We just don't know for sure -- the valuation is based on the long-term outlook and not necessarily the short term of the pandemic. So that's where we are right now and not much else to say there, any qualitative thoughts Frank, on …

Frank Sorrentino

Analyst

Yeah.

Bill Burns

Analyst

… the prospect of the industry?

Frank Sorrentino

Analyst

Yeah. I mean, it's just hard to determine what's ultimately going to happen there. The city is really operating at 20% or 30% of its ultimate capacity, in all forms of business there. So it's really hard. All forms of transportation in the city are negatively impacted right now. The transportation network companies are down 70% or so. Guys are afraid to drive. The unemployment benefits are impacting, people not going to drive. They'd rather stay home and collect their $600. So until this pandemic sort of makes its way through, it's going to be really hard to determine what's happening. One of the encouraging things that we have seen in the last two weeks though, is the number of taxicabs that are getting onto the road are beginning to increase, at a fairly steady pace. So we're certainly going to keep our eyes on that. And keep well positioned to follow the trends there. But I think it's a little too early to make any determinations.

Chris O'Connell

Analyst

Got it. Understood. I appreciate the color. Thanks.

Frank Sorrentino

Analyst

Okay. Thank you. Chris.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to management, for any closing remarks.

Frank Sorrentino

Analyst

Yes. So thank you. Thanks for the questions. We really appreciate everyone taking the time in joining us on our second quarter conference call. And we certainly look forward to speaking with you again, at our next call. So thank you everyone. And enjoy the rest of the summer.

Operator

Operator

Conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending, today's presentation. You may now disconnect.