Norm Chambers
Chief Executive Officer
Well, so my confidence that backlog will be improving is fundamentally in relationship to bookings. As I think you know, the way that bookings work with backlog, is that we start with our backlog at the beginning of the period, we subtract what we have shipped, we track what we have canceled and that's usually older jobs that are in our backlog that we try to take out and then we add what we have booked, and that gives us the relationship between bookings and backlog. Our view is that that with the increase in the last the last seven months and we have had, with all the necessary adjustments, adjusting meaning the smoothing, that we would see as a result of periods that were slower. I mean, we still ended up with a 9.3% improvement in bookings, in the seven-month period, in value and about a 7.4% improvement in volume, so my point is that we continue to see improvement in spread, we continue to see improvement in backlog. Now I will tell you, as I said before I think that we are still at a modest level of recovery. Anything in the 4s, 5s and 6s is a modest annual growth. If we see bookings materially increase and backlog increase, something on the order of the 7%, 8% or 9% or 10%, would, for me, be a robust recovery and we are not there yet, so we think that the modest recovery will be the case, but as you can imagine, we are probably a tad more conservative than McGraw-Hill. If McGraw-Hill, and view which is about 12%, you know, that would be a beneficial deal for us in the second half.