Melanie Dressel
Analyst · RBC Capital Markets, your line is now open
Thanks Andy. We agree with most economists who are still predicting slow growth here in the Pacific Northwest. We’ve recently seen some very encouraging signs of improvement in our diversified region. Of course, major concerns remain. Unemployment rates, while declining, are still high, the housing sector’s challenging, and the state and local governments continue to cut expenses and employment as revenues fall.
On the positive side the outlook for Boeing, our region’s largest private employer, is very good, they have a seven-year back log of commercial orders to fill and are continuing to hire in their contract with Machinist Union ensures that the 737 Max will be built in in Renton, Washington.
In fact, manufacturing has propelled Washington’s job growth. The state’s manufacturing sector added almost 15,000 jobs over the last 12 months ending in March, leading all other sectors. Boeing and other aerospace firms account for about half of those new jobs, the rest are in other types of manufacturing such as fabricated metal, machines, food products, electronics, and industrial equipment. And these tend to be high-paying jobs that have a stronger economic impact.
We’re also happy to have Costco, Microsoft, Amazon, and REI headquartered here. They were all ranked by Consumer Reports among the top ten companies with the best consumer policies in customer service.
Just this morning our local media announced that Joint Base Lewis McChord is expected to form a new division headquarters, which would mean more soldiers and officers at the base. The base has doubled in size in the last decade and it’s one of the largest Army bases in the U.S. without a division headquarters.
The Pacific Northwest is also the top area in the country for international exports and imports. Last month the Grand Alliance Shipping Lines announced they selected Tacoma as it’s Northwest port of call, which could boost the port’s container volume by 25 to 30% and add additional high-paying jobs in our area.
The agricultural sector in our region is doing very well, for example, Oregon farmers posted a new record for agricultural sales in 2011 with farmers, ranchers, and the fishing industry accounting for over $5 billion in sales last year.
Local economists believe the housing market is stabilizing, even the home prices have continued to fall. We’ve seen a significant number of sales of distressed properties through foreclosures and short sales, which has lowered the average home price.
In Washington State, unemployment rates are coming down gradually. The jobless rate was 8.3% in March, the same as the national rate, basically unchanged from February but down from 9.2% a year ago. The areas that saw the most growth were manufacturing, education and health services, aerospace and the transportation, warehousing, and utilities sector. Sectors with job losses included professional and business services, retail trade, hospitality and leisure, construction, and government.
Oregon’s economy has been growing more slowly and it’s total number of jobs has remained relatively flat for almost of the year. However, the jobless rate is improving and was 8.6% in March, down from 8.9% in December and 10% a year ago.
Interestingly the Tacoma-Seattle-Bellevue region has seen the largest salary growth in the country since this time last year with a 3.2% overall salary growth compared to 1.4% nationwide. It’s also interesting to note that despite our relatively high unemployment rate the past couple of years, the Northwest continues to be a draw for people moving here from other parts of the country, bringing new money and job skills.
In the past three years, while the region’s population growth has slowed, it has still remained positive. In fact, the census Bureau reports more than half of everyone living in Washington and Oregon were born somewhere else.
While the slowness of the economic recovery has been challenging, we’re continuing to make strides in our organic loan growth. During the first quarter, new loan production was almost $130 million in the non-covered portfolio. This however, was offset by declines in overall consumer and commercial line utilization. Our new business pipeline continued to grow at the end of the first quarter, an indication of the strength of our marketing efforts across business lines and throughout our footprint.
Obviously, we were disappointed in the charge offs related to OREO and OPPO this quarter. We don’t, however, want to send a signal that credit quality is deteriorating. We would characterize the loan portfolio to be modestly improving quarter over quarter.
As Andy mentioned, we continued our methodical progress in resolving problem assets in both covered and non-covered loan portfolios. As progress is made, we will be able to decrease our overall credit expenses. In turn, this should result in a lower efficiency rate. Now that the last of the five conversions over the last two years related to our FDIC acquisitions have been successfully completed we will turn our attention to ensuring that our cost of operations is find tuned.
Additionally, we will continue our efforts to ensure that all of our products and services are introduced to our new areas in our footprint. We are already seeing success in this area, particularly in merchant processing, Visa cards and cash management products.
You can see from dividend payout that we do not see the need to accumulate capital at this time. We have seen a little bit of an uptake in M&A activity and we’re continually considering acquisition opportunities and other ways to effectively manage our capital.
With that, this concludes our prepared comments this afternoon. As a reminder, Gary Schminkey our Chief Financial Officer, Andy McDonald, our Chief Credit Officer, and Mark Nelson our Chief Operating Officer are with me to answer your questions.
And now Rob, would you open the call for questions?