Timothy P. Boyle
Analyst · Joan Payson with Barclays
Thanks, Ron. Welcome, everyone, and thanks for joining us this afternoon. As our press release and CFO commentary explained in greater detail, third quarter results came in well ahead of the guidance we provided in July. I'm very pleased with how our team managed the business to achieve higher gross margins and expense leverage, which resulted in increased operating income and expanded operating margin to 16.1% compared to 15.3% in last year's third quarter. Earnings per share of $1.88 came close to matching the $1.98 we generated in the last year's third quarter with the difference primarily attributable to a higher effective tax rate in the current quarter. As expected, we saw a 4% decline in net sales with half of that decline attributable to currency and the remainder due primarily to weakness in our Europe direct markets, along with timing differences and shipments to our distributors. The decline in our Europe direct markets came against an increase of more than 70% in last year's third quarter, which included a tripling of Sorel sales. Last year's warm winter and persistent macroeconomic weakness across the region have weighed on both the Sorel and the Columbia brands this year, creating headwinds against our ongoing efforts to revitalize the Columbia brand in those markets. Sorel Footwear was the hardest hit and accounted for a majority of the third quarter sales decline in our Europe direct markets while at the same time, we posted mid-teen growth in Sorel sales in the U.S. In addition, as we discussed last quarter, it's important to note that approximately 45% of the decline in the EMEA region was attributable to timing differences in shipments of fall orders to our EMEA distributors, which were heavily concentrated in the Columbia brand. Adjusting for those timing differences, year-to-date fall 2012 shipments to EMEA distributors were actually up 7% compared with fall 2011 shipments in the comparable period. Our stronger-than-expected third quarter performance allowed us to raise our earnings outlook for the full year. We remain cautious based on macroeconomic conditions in Europe, as well as recent deceleration in Asian markets that have been solid growth engines for us for the past several years. We feel our revised full year outlook strikes a prudent balance between our year-to-date performance and how economic and weather uncertainties may affect the remainder of the year. I'll share initial thoughts about the first half of 2013 in a moment. But first, I want to look further ahead to 2014 to make sure analysts and investors understand and appreciate the strategic and financial significance of our recently announced China joint venture with Swire Resources. As we noted in our August announcement, Swire Resources is a subsidiary of Swire Pacific Limited, one of Hong Kong's leading listed companies, with over 140 years of history operating in the greater China region. Swire Resources have serviced our exclusive distributor in China since 2004 and has done an excellent job establishing the Columbia brand. They currently sell directly to consumers through over 70 Columbia-branded storefronts in 7 cities and through a network of wholesale dealers, who own and operate more than 530 Columbia locations and 45 Mountain Hardwear locations in 135 cities. Through our combined efforts, Columbia currently ranks as the #1 outdoor brand in China. In 2011, Swire generated revenues of $123 million from Columbia brands in China and achieved a low double-digit EBITDA margin. The most important fact we want to communicate is the financial impact of the joint venture. Beginning in 2014, Columbia's 60% share of the joint venture's net income will be included in and incremental to the profit we currently recognize under the existing independent distributor model. We're looking forward to working closely with our Swire colleagues to build on our leadership position in a market that represents a substantial long-term growth opportunity. Now I'd like to turn your attention to the global business for 2013. Based in part on global spring 2013 advance wholesale orders and the anticipated impact of our expanded direct-to-consumer platform, we currently expect low single-digit net sales growth through at least the first half of 2013. Our pinnacle innovation for 2013 spring is Columbia's Omni-Freeze ZERO and Mountain Hardwear's Cool.Q ZERO cooling technology. Spring 2013 wholesale advanced orders for these exclusive technologies came in as expected, representing a mid-single-digit percentage of bookings. Some of our most important brand-enhancing retail partners around the world have committed to help us launch this revolutionary technology. One other product group I want to highlight is Columbia's Performance Fishing Gear, or PFG, line, which, as a product group, was the largest single contributor to growth in spring 2013 wholesale orders in the U.S. and Latin America. Together, we believe Columbia's Omni-Freeze ZERO, Mountain Hardwear's Cool.Q ZERO and PFG represent important pieces of our long-term strategy to build our global spring business into a larger contributor to our annual financial results. Shifting to fall 2012. Columbia's marketing campaign is centered around our patented Omni-Heat Reflective platform through a comprehensive, integrated TV, print, online and in-store campaign. We believe Omni-Heat remains the best, visible warmth technology in the market and provides a critical point of differentiation against competitors. With Sorel, we're driving demand with our new Get Your Boots Dirty advertising and social media campaign, celebrating women who are living out their passions and making a mark on the world. Despite the effect of last year's warm winter, which stalled demand for cold weather boots, Sorel's brand position is solid, and we believe it holds substantial growth potential. Mountain Hardwear's fall '12 brand campaign is led by the Ghost Whisperer down jacket, the lightest full-featured down jacket on the planet that's best described as wearing warm air. Mountain Hardwear is also the proud sponsor of Matchsticks Productions 2012 ski film tour, which will be featured in 120 cities around the world this fall and winter. I want to close by reiterating our strategic direction here at Columbia. As you're aware, Mick McCormick, who was a great champion of our brands over the last 6 years, departed in August. While we do not plan to replace that specific role, we are continuing to shape our organization around the strategic tenets that have been the keystones of Columbia's heritage: creating innovative solutions that keep people warm, cool, dry and protected to enjoy the outdoors longer; focusing on product design; utilizing our innovations to differentiate our brands from competitors; ensuring that our products are sold through brand-enhancing distribution partners around the world; increasing the impact of consumer communications to drive demand for our brands and products; making sure our products are merchandised and displayed with excellence in every retail environment; and continuing to build a world-class direct-to-consumer business. We have built a strong go-to-market team and approach, and I've been actively working with that team to make sure that we continue to drive this agenda, which is fundamentally about delivering compelling products to consumers and driving consumer demand for those products every season. At the same time, we'll focus on improving our operational performance and efficiencies that enable us to improve our profitability. Our commitment to operational excellent is -- excellence is evident in the substantial multiyear investment of time and money that we're making in our new ERP system and in modernizing our global business processes. As you know, we launched an initial SAP implementation in Canada in April. Over the past 6 months, our team has been applying key learnings as they develop the plan for our U.S. implementation currently scheduled for late 2013. We believe this investment is critical to position Columbia Sportswear for growth and improved profitability. As I said earlier, our team has done an excellent job of handling the difficult task of managing costs and improving operating margin in a slow-growth environment. We're confident that our brand portfolio holds substantial growth potential, and we're working together to reach our long-term goal and profitability objectives. That concludes my remarks. I'd now like to open the call to questions. Operator, can you help us with that?