Dom Blosil
Analyst · Piper Sandler. Your line is now open.
Yes, good questions. I'd say, on the first one, I don't have kind of orders of magnitude in front of me, the kind of the dollar amount that ultimately put pressure on our business. I think, we've referenced numbers in the past that we can certainly share offline, if need be. But it's been fairly substantial, right? And I guess, if I were to recall back to Q4, when this really kicked in, I mean I think we alluded to like 800 or 900 basis points of impact, right? So, it's been fairly -- it's been a fairly meaningful, if not the biggest driver of gross margin erosion, over the last 18 months as you mentioned. I'd say that, going forward, what we're seeing is, again kind of this tale of two halves around gross margin where we're still locked in and/or have higher inbound transportation costs capitalized in our inventory. And so, we're still carrying a higher basis from that standpoint in our inventory. But as we work through those heavier levels and that bleeds off, we'll begin to capture these fairly I would say, favorable spot rates that have emerged. And in certain cases we're seeing spot trend back to kind of pre-pandemic levels. A slightly more complicated picture, because we did lock in some fixed component of our allocation of containers. And that was in an effort to hedge risk against the unknown of, can we even access or procure containers. There's a small percentage, but we do factor that into the kind of run rate over the course of 2023. But based on that mix, we don't expect to be necessarily paying at spot markets at least based on what we're seeing today, but they'll be dramatically better than what we've experienced over the last 18 months or so. And on the gross margin front, I mean we're not going to share specific numbers especially around the quarters. But if you look at our guidance range of 36% to 37%, you can bet that a large majority -- a majority of the gross margin expansion year-over-year, is tied to inbound transportation improving.