Jane Norman
Analyst · RBC Capital Markets
Thank you. Good morning, and thank you for joining us for Amplitude Energy's FY '26 Full Year Results. This is Jane Norman, and I'm joined today by Chief Financial Officer, Ian Bucknell; and Chief Operating Officer, Chad Wilson. Today's presentation and announcement were released to the ASX this morning and are available on the Amplitude Energy website. The webcast is being recorded and will be available on our website later today. Please note the disclaimer on Slide 2 before moving to Slide 3. I'll start today by reflecting on our accomplishments through FY '26 before moving to an in-depth review of the financial year in the next section. FY '26 was another strong year of delivery for Amplitude Energy. We achieved record production and record financial results. Performance was supported by continued improvement at Orbost, resilient pricing from our contracted sales portfolio and active gas marketing and trading activities. Importantly, we also made substantial progress advancing the East Coast supply project, which remains a key driver of future growth. The acquisition of a 50% interest in Artisan alongside our existing Annie discovery has further strengthened the resource base underpinning the project. At the same time, we acknowledge that our first exploration well drilled earlier in FY '26 did not deliver the commercial outcomes we had hoped for. Geological success can never be guaranteed and investment decisions are always made with the best information available at the time. Importantly, the exploration program was executed safely, on budget and in accordance with industry best practice. Looking ahead, ECSP economics are underpinned by the Annie and Artisan discoveries. A comprehensive review of exploration results to date has reaffirmed the decision to drill Juliet for additional upside. We expect a final investment decision on the development phase of the project in the near term with the project foundation strengthened and development planning well progressed. We remain on track for first gas in 2028. Turning now to Slide 4. The highlights on this page demonstrate the strength of our operations. Group production increased to a new record of 27.6 petajoules equivalent or 75.5 terajoules equivalent per day. This was towards the upper end of our production guidance range, which itself was upgraded earlier this calendar year. Sales revenue reached a new record of $285.8 million. Despite increased market uncertainty, our average realized gas price increased to $10.36 per gigajoule, while group unit production costs fell to a new record low of just above $2 per gigajoule. This resulted in underlying EBITDAX increasing to approximately $191.8 million with an underlying EBITDAX margin of around 67%. Cash conversion was excellent with adjusted cash from operations reaching $191 million. These outcomes reflect the operating leverage in the business, higher production, higher realized prices and lower unit costs flowing through to stronger earnings and cash generation. With the base business humming, the focus in the immediate term turns to executing the next round of the ECSP drilling safely and on budget and schedule. In the last few days, we have received back the Transocean Equinox to commence the Juliet well, and we expect results by mid- to late September. Success at Juliet will provide a further boost to already attractive project economics and resource life at our Otway assets. The next section of the presentation will speak to the operational and strategic highlights of FY '26 first before Ian covers the financial results and Chad provides more detail on the growth projects and the FY '27 outlook. I'll start with operational details beginning on Slide 6. Safety remains fundamental to how we operate. In FY '26, when more than 0.5 million hours were worked across our activities, we recorded 0 lost time injuries and 0 medical treatment injuries. We have now gone more than 2.5 years without a single LTI, while our total recordable injury frequency rate improved to 1.97, well below the industry benchmark. We also recorded no reportable environmental incidents during this period. This is a strong outcome given the scale of activity undertaken during the year, including the ECSP drilling campaign, offshore maintenance work and a planned shutdown at the Athena gas plant. We continue to progress our environmental commitments through operational flaring reduction initiatives, the Athena Solar PV project and the voluntary offsetting of Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions. Moving across to Slide 7. Orbost continued to be the main driver of the company's production growth. Average production from Orbost increased to 66.5 terajoules per day in FY '26, and the plant is now operating above its previous nameplate capacity of 68 terajoules per day. The plant's performance reflects the success of the operational improvement program with the sulfur removal system no longer acting as a regular production constraint than it once was. Absorber cleans reduced materially from 21 in FY '25 to just 4 in FY '26 and production downtime also continued to decline. With the plant holding daily production records around 74 terajoules per day over the last 6 weeks, the focus now turns to further reliability improvements and sustaining higher throughput. Importantly, the Sole reservoir continues to perform strongly to support these higher production rates. Please now move to Slide 8. We completed important development work at both our Otway and Cooper Basin assets in the second half of FY '26, which should provide production benefits into FY '27. In the Otway and offshore maintenance campaign, we established communication of the Casino-4 well, bringing it back into production and improving overall cycling of the Casino, Henry and Netherby fields. Since the Athena Gas Plant's planned maintenance in April, our 50% share of production has averaged 8.5 terajoules per day. The plant also recorded excellent uptime over FY '26 with reliability loss of just 0.7% of asset capacity. In the Cooper Basin, production was impacted by natural field decline and first half flooding, but improved in the second half as 3 new Callawonga wells came online. These assets remain small contributors, but they provide valuable free cash flow and portfolio diversity. Now on to Slide 9. At the 30th of June 2026, 2P reserves were 26.7 million barrels of oil equivalent or about 163 petajoules equivalent. The year-on-year movement is largely explained by FY '26 production with no material reserves revisions. Contingent resources increased to 50.8 million barrels of oil equivalent, reflecting additional contingent resource potential at Sole and a modest uplift associated with Patricia Baleen, partly offset by Otway permit relinquishments. These reserves and resource numbers do not include Artisan as completion of that acquisition is yet to occur. If we could go to Slide 10. Here, we show the latest picture of our existing gas contract stack alongside the uncontracted or spot gas exposure for our equity share of total production on a calendar year basis. As you can clearly see, our revenue base is made up of mainly fixed price CPI-linked gas sales contracts. Around 80% of gas sales this year are expected to be contracted under existing GSAs, providing a resilient revenue base while retaining exposure to higher-value spot and recontracting opportunities. The weighted average contract price stepped up by around 20% from January 2026, reflecting annual indexation and the commencement of higher-priced contracts. We will continue to reshape existing arrangements where it makes good economic sense and retain some exposure to spot gas markets. As a reminder, this slide speaks to contracts over our existing production position and excludes volumes from the East Coast supply project. Let's move to Slide 11. The continuous improvement program remains central to how we run the business. In FY '26, around 70 initiatives were completed or in delivery with approximately 1/3 realizing value during the year. In aggregate, the program delivered around $13.4 million in annualized cash flow improvement in FY '26, taking cumulative annualized benefits from our improvement program since FY '24 to more than $50 million. Most of the FY '26 value came from operational improvements at Orbost, including sulfur treatment and capacity improvements, reduced contractor and consumable costs and optimization of operations. The program has also reinforced a leaner operating culture across the business with the team continuing to identify value from production efficiency, waste disposal, maintenance planning, insurance and corporate cost discipline. Our commercial team continues to pursue sources of value through spot gas trading and marketing initiatives. Over the financial year, the team generated more than $1.5 million in net revenue over and above the Victorian daily spot gas price by modifying the profile of sales to preference high gas prices, prioritizing sales into markets with the highest price and realizing various other new trading initiatives. The focus in FY '27 is on sustaining these gains while finding new wins on cost, production efficiency and realized margin. In FY '27, there will be a particular focus on streamlining systems with the replacement of our internal ERP system, which we expect will catalyze G&A savings in subsequent years. Turning now to Slide 12, covering the growth potential across our portfolio. Our growth strategy remains centered on backfilling existing infrastructure. At Athena, the ECSP is designed to bring supply from new onshore Otway gas field through the plant, extending its life and improving utilization and installed processing capacity. In the Gippsland, we are continuing to increase Orbost production through debottlenecking and reliability improvements while progressing the Patricia Baleen restart project. The chart on this slide illustrates that when these growth opportunities are brought together by FY '29, the company has the potential to roughly double the earnings we produced in FY '26. We consider this to be very achievable given it assumes ECSP production from only Annie and Artisan and the other internal mid-case assumptions without factoring in further upside from exploration success at Juliet and potentially Nestor. This helps illustrate why the ECSP is so transformational for the company, and Chad will talk in more detail about these opportunities in the growth section. Part of the reason we're so focused on the growth is the gas demand story, which I'll describe on Page 13. On the demand side, the role of gas is becoming more important as electricity generation systems change and demand grows. Electrification is occurring in many forms from the uptake of electric vehicles to higher household electricity use to the rollout of new technologies. Globally, data center electricity demand is expected to grow significantly as AI adoption increases with large-scale data centers requiring reliable around-the-clock power. That is already influencing investment in conventional dispatchable sources of electricity internationally. In Australia, data centers are expected to contribute to renewed electricity demand growth at the same time as coal-fired generation retires. Renewables and batteries will be important contributors to supply that gas remains the only currently available and scalable source of long-duration dispatchable electricity in Australia. Batteries can help manage minutes and hours, but gas is needed to carry the system through longer periods when renewable output is low. Domestic gas supply close to market where it's consumed is best capable of providing this critical source of system firming. Amplitude Energy is well positioned to respond to these market dynamics. Southern Australia needs new local production to replace declining supply and reduce reliance on higher cost gas from further north or potential LNG imports. Our portfolio is focused entirely on the domestic market, located close to the demand centers in Victoria and South Australia and connected to existing infrastructure. The ECSP is, therefore, more than just a growth project for Altitude Energy. It has the potential to contribute meaningfully to energy security, reliability and affordability in Southeastern Australia. To get to this point on the ECSP, we have invested years and tens of millions of dollars in the project, navigating a complex and changing policy and approvals environment while doing so. There is clear scope for policy to be more supportive of domestic gas supply to deliver the lower-cost gas that consumers want. We continue to engage closely with the federal government on the proposed domestic gas reservation policy. Reform presents an opportunity to improve investment certainty for domestic gas projects through faster and more streamlined approvals, removal of duplicative regulation and a more workable consultation framework for offshore exploration and development. These changes do not require government to subsidize projects. All that is required is for the regulatory settings to facilitate timely investment in supply that the market clearly needs. I will now hand over to Ian to cover the FY '26 financial highlights, starting on Page 15.