Todd E. Cunfer
Analyst · Wells Fargo Securities. Please go ahead. Your line is open
Yes. Look, the cost pressures remain kind of where they are sitting right now, we could obviously we could actually be looking at 5% to 6% inflation. So the different components of RGM will have to be will have to be utilized There is a big opportunity in just you know, the trade investment ROIs. there is a number of our investments quite frankly, just are not returning terrific benefits for our company, and we are we are adjusting those as we speak. If that is if that is not enough, if we need to do some surgical pricing in different parts of the portfolio, to maintain our margins. We will we will clearly take a look at that. But more to come, obviously, the environment externally here globally is very volatile. It changes day to day. We are going to take the appropriate actions as necessary. Okay. Perfect. Regarding the, the margins in snacking, during the quarter, You know, there was a there was an improvement relative to last quarter, which is encouraging. Obviously, you remain below where you had wanted the business to be over time. Give us a sense of how that fiscal Q3 margin came in relative to your own expectations? Was there any timing dynamic with lower marketing, or are you starting to get your hands wrapped around the margin structure And perhaps we could expect some stabilization at a minimum from here. Yes. Look, the good news is, you know, we went from EBIT margin last quarter a little over 7% to about 10% this quarter. So we said we would have sequential improvement from Q2 to Q3. We did. It was largely in line with our expectations. that is the good news. The bad news is both quarters were still down around 400 basis points year over year, which is obviously not acceptable. The higher margin in Q3 was really driven both sequentially and year over year by lower trade spend. So, again, some of those RGM capabilities are starting to kick in, which is great. And then we had a little bit less marketing. We had more marketing spending year over year in Q2 than we did in Q3. So that really helped the margin structure a lot. And we talked about the bakery performance. The good news is it is getting to be stabilized. We are improving on shelf availability, and to get that improvement in on shelf availability, we basically canceled all promotions in Q3. So that hurt volume in the top line, probably helped margins a little bit because we pulled out the vast majority of the trade. So kind of a mixed story here again. We feel good that we got it up to 10%, but it is not nearly where it needs to be. We will probably see a similar type of profile But as we talked about, look. In Q4. We have significant things we have to go do. The key to improving those margins over the next couple of years is, number 1, gotta grow goldfish. We have stabilized the business, but it is still kind of down 1% to 2%. We gotta get that to growth. that is the biggest and most profitable piece of the Snacks portfolio. Mick has mentioned, simple simplifying the portfolio, which we are in the process of doing, which will improve mix. It reduces the amount of waste we have out there and, quite frankly, makes the plants more efficient. And then we are just gonna have to continue to look at the cost structure of the snacks business, both from a network and from an overhead perspective, and those pro those projects are well underway. Okay.