Earnings Labs

Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK)

Q4 2019 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 27, 2020

$126.23

-0.97%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Chesapeake Utilities 2019 earnings conference call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Ms. Beth Cooper, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Thank you. Please go ahead.

Beth Cooper

Analyst · Maxim Group

Thank you, and good afternoon, everyone. We appreciate you joining us today to review our fourth quarter and annual results. We're conducting today's call outside of Orlando, Florida, where we just completed a series of board and leadership meetings. With me on the call today are Jeff Householder, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Jim Moriarty, Executive Vice President, General Counsel, Corporate Secretary and Chief Risk and Compliance Officer. We also have other members of our management team here with us today. Today's presentation can be accessed on our website under the Investors section and Events & Webcast subsection or via our IR Investor Relations app. Moving to Slide 2, let me remind you that matters discussed in this conference call may include forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking statements and projections could differ materially from our actual results. The safe harbor for forward-looking statements section of the company's 2019 annual report on Form 10-K, which we filed late yesterday, provides further information on the factors that could cause such statements to differ from our actual results. I will now hand the call over to Jeff to provide some opening remarks and then discuss our strategic accomplishments and exciting outlook going forward.

Jeffrey Householder

Analyst

Thank you, Beth, and hello, everyone. We appreciate you joining us today on the call. Before I discuss our performance and future outlook, I wanted to spend a few moments talking about our ESG strengths. We always get high grades on our social and governance actions, what's well-known is that we have made significant contributions to environmental sustainability. It's an issue that we take very seriously. As recently as this week, our Board and management team engaged in discussions of both our environmental commitments and the opportunities that are developing as the market evolves. Here are a few notable examples of our environmental stewardship. We have invested hundreds of millions of dollars expanding our transmission and distribution systems to convert customers that were using fuel, oil, coal, kerosene and wood chips. These conversions to clean-burning natural gas have contributed to significant CO2 emission reductions. We've replaced almost 400 miles of older cast iron and bare steel mains and service lines, reducing emissions, improving system safety and reducing our maintenance cost. We built Eight Flags CHP, one of the most efficient plants in the country, displacing wholesale coal generation purchases. We restructured our long-term electric wholesale purchase power agreements to displace significant coal-based generation through new PPAs with firepower and light, one of the country's largest renewable energy generators. We purchased Marlin Gas Services, a CNG transport business, providing temporary and emergency gas delivery service. And we've expanded Marlin's focus to include renewable natural gas transport. We're working with RNG project developers really across the country to ensure that green biogas makes it into the pipeline system. We're also engaged in conversations with several RNG developers in our service territories who are in the final phases of planning for a number of anaerobic digestion facilities. On the Delmarva Peninsula, we're already…

Beth Cooper

Analyst · Maxim Group

Thank you, Jeff. Turning to Slide 8. Our GAAP net income for 2019 was a record high of $65.2 million or $3.96 per share, representing almost 14.8% EPS growth. As we reported in our earnings release yesterday, we substantially completed the divestiture of our natural gas marketing business, PESCO, during the fourth quarter of 2019 and recorded a gain of $5.4 million after tax. Excluding PESCO, which has been classified as a discontinued operation, we reported net income of $61.1 million or $3.72 per share, an increase of $4.3 million or $0.25 per share compared to the prior year. As Jeff mentioned, 2019 was our 13th consecutive year of record earnings. Year-over-year 2019 earnings per share from continuing operations grew by 7.2%. Based on 2019 results from continuing operations, the compound annual rate of growth in earnings over the past 3, 5 and 10 years has exceeded 8.5%. Detailed discussions of our results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2019, are provided in our press release and annual report on Form 10-K, again, both of which were filed yesterday. The key variances in net income and earnings per share between 2019 and 2018 are highlighted on Slides 9 and 10, and I'm going to talk about a few of the key items and changes for just a few minutes. As previously noted, earnings from continuing operations for 2019 were $3.72 per share compared to 2018 earnings of $3.47 per share. In our annual report on Form 10-K, we have updated our previous quarterly results for this year as well as the prior year to break out our discontinued operations. In total, unusual items reduced 2019 earnings by $0.14 per share compared to 2018, as the impact of warmer weather during 2019 was partially offset by tax savings in…

James Moriarty

Analyst

Thank you, Beth. As stated earlier by Jeff, we are very proud to be part of the natural gas industry that provides a viable and reliable energy choice for Americans as we enter a new decade. The comfort and affordability that natural gas provides is important to all of us. Natural gas is contributing every day to reducing greenhouse gas emissions, while helping to ensure that our economy continues to thrive. Turning to Slide 16. The environmental and economic advantages of natural gas and propane provide opportunities for their expanded use in our service territories and across the United States. Natural gas is an abundant, clean, efficient and affordable fuel. The significant reserves we have in the United States provide security of supply, reliability and price. As shown on Slide 16, which is an EIA slide, you can see that natural gas has been the primary driver of the significant reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from electric production in the U.S. Over the past 10 years, natural gas has eliminated 2.6 billion metric tons of CO2 emissions or 60% of total reductions over this period. It is important to note that these emission reductions have been accomplished while reducing the cost of electric production, sparing customers from the financial burden and the rate spikes that have complicated efforts in European countries, which have attempted to achieve emission reduction without natural gas. The environmental and price advantages of natural gas have created significant growth opportunities for us in the past and will continue to create future opportunities, given its critical role in balancing the use and integration of renewable energy sources. Recently, I heard a few statistics on CNBC's Squawk Box. And while I am not promoting that venue, there were a couple of interesting and extremely relevant facts presented that…

Jeffrey Householder

Analyst

Thank you, Jim, and thank you for your support and interest in our company. We see numerous opportunities for continued growth in the businesses that we operate today. We also see new opportunities in areas like renewable and natural gas, LNG and other energy delivery services. 2019 was an exceptional year for Chesapeake. We are committed to continuing our long-term track record of superior performance and delivering value to our shareholders. These are exciting times in our company, and we look forward to providing regular updates on our progress. We'd now be happy to take any questions you may have.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Tate Sullivan of Maxim Group.

Tate Sullivan

Analyst · Maxim Group

The first -- to get to bridge to 2022, and I apologize if I missed it, the guidance for $470 million to $490 million, would you indicate a higher -- I mean -- and looking -- referring to your gross margin table, too. I mean, does that imply a higher rate of growth in the early years? Or will it be spread out between '20 and '21 and '22? Or how can we look at that -- the progress getting to the '22 bridge?

Beth Cooper

Analyst · Maxim Group

I think, Tate, what you can do is you can look at, certainly, as you indicated, the projects that are included in the table. And then also, we've talked a lot about other areas of growth within our earnings release. And so looking at the growth that's been achieved in the organic growth area, the growth has been achieved through other ways, such as some of the rate mechanisms that have been in place. And I think if you look at all of those and kind of extrapolate that out, there may be some new projects that come on over time and continue to add that, but that's really the best page from which to look at it over the next 3 years.

Tate Sullivan

Analyst · Maxim Group

Okay, okay. And I'll review the gross margin table, too. And then the organic customer growth, the incremental net margin in '19, I think you said in your remarks and in your press release was $4.7 million. Now should that incremental gross margin grow at the rate of your customer growth? Or will it -- could it accelerate based on existing projects? Or is $4.7 million plus of 3% growth, the best way to look at that?

Beth Cooper

Analyst · Maxim Group

Well, that is a record level of growth. If you look back over time, the last several years, it's been at a very high level. It's not quite been that high, but that really depends on the amount of growth that's happening in the areas where we operate for the amount of growth that's coming into the state of Florida and to the extent that we're adding and building out new developments. And similarly, on the shore to the extent that we're building out our existing systems at the beach area and the growth areas in the northern portion of our territory. So I think, as you look back and look at other years, I mean, I think that level of growth that we're experiencing, we feel comfortable about that level of growth being sustained, as we're looking out into the future at this time.

Tate Sullivan

Analyst · Maxim Group

Okay. Great. And just on the propane results, and it's helpful in the 10-K, you break out the revenue and the volume and the -- and -- I can get to and the customer growth, of course, too. But in the -- getting to the 2022 EPS guidance range, I mean, are there any propane assumptions besides normal customer growth that you would point to? Or...

Beth Cooper

Analyst · Maxim Group

We typically will -- because you -- when we come in, we are typically with an acquisition adding to our CapEx guidance. Similarly, there might be an adjustment to the earnings guidance. But when we build our range in terms of the forecasted guidance that we put out there, we are not layering in perspective opportunities that we don't see today. We are looking at projects that we see on a horizon that have a high probability of occurring.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Brian Russo from Sidoti & Company.

Brian Russo

Analyst · Brian Russo from Sidoti & Company

When we look at the 2020 CapEx range, the midpoint is relatively consistent with your 2019 actual. But it looks like the Reg Energy CapEx is meaningfully higher, whereas the Unreg CapEx is down. I was just wondering if you could just add a little color as to what are the big drivers there in terms of specific Regulated utility versus some Unregulated Energy projects or whatever?

Beth Cooper

Analyst · Brian Russo from Sidoti & Company

Sure. So included, the big drivers, when you look at what's included in the Regulated part of the business and that CapEx guidance range are going to be the two large projects that really are already underway. You've got the Callahan Pipeline project, and you've got the Del-Mar Energy pathway. So those are both significant projects. The Unregulated Energy side, the reason why those dollars are down is largely because of the Boulden acquisition that we completed in 2019. And what we won't do, certainly, Brian, coming out of the gate in terms of our capital guidance, we're not factoring in potential acquisitions. When an acquisition gets done to the extent that it's done, if there's one that's done on the Unregulated side, we would update our capital guidance for those prospective type of opportunities. And so that's the biggest difference that you see when you look at 2019 versus our estimates for 2020.

Brian Russo

Analyst · Brian Russo from Sidoti & Company

Okay. Understood. And then correct me, if I'm wrong, the comments earlier on the -- to reach the $1 billion -- or $750 million to $1 billion range over the next 2 years. Are you guys targeting the lower end of that, which would imply a drop in CapEx on average in 2021 and 2022?

Beth Cooper

Analyst · Brian Russo from Sidoti & Company

Not in any way. What we were trying to point out is that with already 2 years into the 5-year period, we are sitting just under $500 million. We're around $468 million, my recollection is. And then with the guidance out that we have in regards to -- $482 million, I apologize. But when you look at that coupled with the guidance that we have out there for 2020, our comment was really that we could be -- based on our historical run rate, we could be approaching the low end of that in 2021. That's all we were saying, not in any way that we're looking for our CapEx to ramp down, but rather, we could be hitting the low end of that range as early as next year.

Brian Russo

Analyst · Brian Russo from Sidoti & Company

Okay, got it. So at the low end of the CapEx range, you guys are -- that still triangulates with your updated and increased 2020 EPS guidance range?

Beth Cooper

Analyst · Brian Russo from Sidoti & Company

That's correct.

Brian Russo

Analyst · Brian Russo from Sidoti & Company

Okay. Great. And then not to doubt your ability to hit your targets because you've got an incredible track record of doing so, but when we look at the growth from, say, 2019 actuals and layer in the incremental project contributions in 2021, and we look at the '22 guidance range, how much of that is considered organic growth or expansion of existing businesses or in this CapEx or CapEx over the next 2 years versus incremental strategic acquisitions?

Beth Cooper

Analyst · Brian Russo from Sidoti & Company

Well, when we try to lay out the guidance, we look at what we feel are 80% probable projects or higher. And so those are typically going to be those things that we feel are -- that we feel comfort that they're going to happen. So factoring in a prospective acquisition, again, is not something that's included in the capital, nor is it included in the earnings guidance. So those things are going to be, Brian, if we were to add those are likely -- they're going to be incremental to what we've put out in regards to our estimates. So we build this based upon what we think organic growth is where we see our expansion projects coming in when we look at the regulatory proceedings that we have out there and the contributions from those, there are things that, again, we feel with a high probability. But we do not -- we don't speculate on things that have not reached an 80% probability.

Brian Russo

Analyst · Brian Russo from Sidoti & Company

Okay. Great. That's helpful. And just on the project margin contributions, especially with Boulden Brothers and I know Elkton is excluded from that because you're still awaiting Maryland PUC approval. But I would imagine there's upside to the 2021 or maybe beyond 2021 gross margin in some of these projects just on synergies?

Beth Cooper

Analyst · Brian Russo from Sidoti & Company

Well, and that's correct. I mean, right now, with the Elkton acquisition, for example, we're in the middle of the regulatory proceeding. And if that acquisition is approved, it will be approved in the third -- most likely the third quarter of this year. So you're going to end up with anywhere from 4 to 6 months. Only one quarter which will have some -- any weather impact. And then -- so really, you're going to see the impact, first off, from an Elkton -- I mean Elkton acquisition really benefiting 2021 and just adding it in. And then you're right to the extent we can gain synergies by combining it with how we're operating in an adjacent territory today that will provide upside in 2021 that has not been reflected here. But again, because we're in the middle of that proceeding, we're not done, we didn't want to come out with any estimates in regards to the latter part of this year and/or what our expectations are for 2021. Those will be forthcoming. And then similarly, we have the Hurricane Michael proceeding, which had -- certainly had a regulatory lag impact when you want to think about 2019 and the amount of investment that we made and the amount of earnings that we had. And so once again, we will add those dollars to our table once we have a final approval and agreement on that proceeding.

Brian Russo

Analyst · Brian Russo from Sidoti & Company

Okay. And correct me, if I'm wrong, was it $60 million -- how much was spent on the hurricanes that you're experiencing -- or on hurricane recovery that you're experiencing lag on?

Beth Cooper

Analyst · Brian Russo from Sidoti & Company

It's just above $65 million.

Brian Russo

Analyst · Brian Russo from Sidoti & Company

Right. Okay. Got it. And just on Marlin, clearly, it looks like it's #3 on the project list in terms of gross margin. What's -- I just want to get a sense of what's driving the growth? Is it just expanding markets? Or is there any inclusion for RNG or anything else? Or is that longer-term upside?

Beth Cooper

Analyst · Brian Russo from Sidoti & Company

It would include expansion of the existing business today into new -- certainly into new areas. And we would like to say, it touches on maybe entering into those markets that you mentioned on a preliminary basis. Part of what we're doing right now is looking at the strategy of that business and where we can take it. And it's really exciting with all the different opportunities we can see, not only within our existing service territories, but as we look at markets even beyond. And so I think you'll continue to see us have an evolving strategy that goes beyond certainly what we're doing in CNG, but to LNG and RNG.

Brian Russo

Analyst · Brian Russo from Sidoti & Company

Okay. And one more question, if I can, just on the pro forma capitalization chart you have in the presentation. It looks like $200 million of short-term debt would remain under that pro forma scenario, which still leaves your equity to total cap below your target. Are you pressured by rating agencies or on the regulatory side to improve that? Or are you comfortable maintaining that $202 million level of debt in the near or intermediate term, while your shareholder equity grows through retained earnings?

Beth Cooper

Analyst · Brian Russo from Sidoti & Company

Well, just a couple of comments. So in that pro forma, what you're seeing is after the long-term debt financings that have been planned for later this year, you do see short-term debt at the top of about $200 million. It's the short-term debt piece of that. And so what we've stated, though, is that we do seek to align our capital structure closer to our target. And so what we've worked through over the last year -- 2 years is the fact that we have the 2017 system expansion that didn't finish until the end of 2019. And then we also have the hurricane expenditures. And so what we started to do first with the debt placements that we've lined up is to align some of the long-term permanent debt financing. But again, over time, we will seek to move that closer to our target structure.

Brian Russo

Analyst · Brian Russo from Sidoti & Company

Okay. Great. That's helpful. And one last question, and then I'll jump out. Just weather year-to-date appears to be mild in the Northeast. I'm just wondering how it affects your regulated businesses in the Del-Mar region and then as well as your propane businesses?

Beth Cooper

Analyst · Brian Russo from Sidoti & Company

Sure. So I would -- a couple of things there. So as you look at our distribution businesses on Delmarva, one of the things that's great is the fact that in our Maryland operation, we have weather or revenue normalization. So when you think about the weather impact, it really -- it's really the Delaware impact and certainly, weather has been warmer than normal. But there's a lot going on, as we've talked about in terms of growth and expansion. And then on the propane side, what happened over the last 10 years is, we've migrated from being a propane company that was really dependent upon the weather to a propane company that has other levers of growth that helped to offset the weather impact. So if you look at the auto gas, if you look at the community gas systems, you look at what we've done in the wholesale side, and frankly, you look at how we've added new start-ups in more weather areas like Pennsylvania where we have start-ups that are expanding, and there's more weather in those areas. A lot of those levers have helped to offset and desensitize us from the weather impact. It's still there. I'm not saying it's not, but those factors have lessened the impact. And so we actually have some natural weather hedges with our portfolio of businesses today.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Presenters, we don't have any questions on queue. Please continue.

Jeffrey Householder

Analyst

Thank you very much for joining our call today and for your interest in Chesapeake Utilities. We are very proud of what our team has accomplished for our shareholders, and we remain committed to working hard to deliver superior shareholder returns in the future. I wish you a very good day. Goodbye.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect. Presenters, please stay on the line for the post conference.