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Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. (CPSS)

Q4 2022 Earnings Call· Wed, Mar 15, 2023

$8.96

+4.19%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, everyone, and welcome to the Consumer Portfolio Services 2022 Fourth Quarter Operating Results Conference Call. Today's call is being recorded. Before we begin, management has asked me to inform you that this conference call may contain forward-looking statements. Any statements made during this call that are not statements of historical facts may be deemed forward-looking statements. Statements regarding current or historical valuation of receivables because dependent on estimates of future events also are forward-looking statements. All such forward-looking statements are subject to risks that could cause actual results to differ materially from the -- from those projected. I refer you to the company's annual report filed March 15 for further clarification. The company assumes no obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, further events or otherwise. With us here is Mr. Charles Bradley, Chief Executive Officer; Mr. Danny Bharwani, Chief Financial Officer; and Mr. Mike Lavin, President and Chief Operating Officer of Consumer Portfolio Services. I will now turn the call over to Mr. Bradley.

Charles Bradley

Management

Thank you, and welcome, everyone, to our fourth quarter and year-end conference call. A little bit late this year to getting it out, but better late than never. I think -- and looking back, there's an awful lot of good things to think about and what happened in 2022. The fourth quarter probably looks a little bit down relative to the rest of the year. However, 2022 is truly a sort of a tale of 2 economies, not quite a tale of 2 cities, but the same idea. We started out 2022 in full growth mode with literally everything clicking perfectly, and then, of course, inflation showed up and the Fed started raising rates. So we went from an all-out growth mode, which we did very successfully using lots of technology, lots of leverage in what we were doing and just did everything right, perfect storm in the right way. And so we grew dramatically for the first 6 months and somewhere around 6 months, all of a sudden, the cost of funds grow, inflation was getting out of hand. And so we literally had to do one of the most abrupt pivots you could ever imagine in terms of slowing the growth down sort of making sure we are keeping our margins intact by raising rates as quickly and as aggressively as we could. And of course, that had the effect of slowing the business down. So it's kind of ironic, they wanted to get going really, really well in the best possible way. Almost immediately turning on a dime, we had to go the other way. The good news is we think we did that about as expertly as you possibly could within our industry. We were able to tighten credit very dramatically, very quickly. We were able…

Denesh Bharwani

Management

All right. Thank you, Brad. Going over the numbers in the financial statements, I'll start by going over the quarter-over-quarter comparisons. And then I'll circle back and we'll do the year-over-year comparisons. But revenues in the fourth quarter were $83 million compared to $69.4 million in the fourth quarter last year. That's a 20% increase. The main driver of that increase is the increase in the size of our fair value portfolio driven by the originations growth that Brad alluded to earlier. The fair value portfolio, as you might recall, we've discussed before, is yielding about 11% currently. And remembering that, that yield is net of losses. In terms of the fair value mark, which is also a part of revenues, we did not take any fair value mark in Q4 of this year, and that compares with a fair value markup of $8.2 million in the third quarter and no mark in the fourth quarter of last year. In terms of expenses, $64.7 million in the fourth quarter of this year compares to $45 million in the fourth quarter of last year, a 44% increase. Here, the one -- the couple of main drivers here is the reversal of the CECL reserves that we booked on our legacy portfolio. That portfolio continues to wind down and our estimate for the losses that we expected on that portfolio has -- the actual losses have been coming in lower. So we've been able to take reversals of those loss provisions, and it works as an addition to income and a reduction to expense for the year. For the quarter, we did take $4.7 million of such loss provision reversals cuts compared to $13 million in the fourth quarter of last year. All that sort of trickles down to pretax earnings where…

Michael Lavin

Management

Okay. Thanks, Danny. As alluded to, 2022 is a record-setting year for us. We originated $1.85 billion in 2022, that compares to originating $1.1 billion in 2021. So effectively, we grew our originations 69% year-over-year, which is a record growth rate for us in originations. Of note, which is interesting, we set the origination records while achieving an efficiency scale operationally that we haven't seen before in our history. So for example, we originated $1.1 billion in 2021 with 755 employees, yet we did $1.8 billion in 2022 was 777. So in effect, we grew our portfolio or our origination 69% with only increasing our employee base by 2.9% to originate and service that growth. Switching to the fourth quarter quickly. We originated $428 million in Q4 as compared to $468 million in our record-setting Q3, but still well above the $328 million we originated in Q4 2021. We did so -- we did everything set records considering that we tighten credit the second half of the year. The scale and growth has allowed us to reduce our operating expense quite a bit going forward. And certainly, our investment in new technologies featuring artificial intelligence and more specifically, machine learning have helped our efficiency among the other benefits. For example, our Generation 7 AI-based model was fully matured in 2022, which we believe allowed us to originate the best-performing subprime paper, but also do so in a more streamlined manner. It's also important to note that our record growth was achieved at the same time that we aggressively raised rates, increased fees and most importantly, tightened credit. For example, our average APR in February of 2022 was 15.99%, yet ended the year 2022 at nearly 21%. In addition, we increased our dealer fees throughout the year. And more importantly and…

Charles Bradley

Management

Thank you, Mike. And so that's kind of where we are today. 2022 seems almost a long time ago, given the ups and downs having that great first half of the year and then sort of a challenge in somewhat second half of the year. But I think the most important thing to see is that, and as Mike and Danny both pointed out, through 2022, we're able to adjust and move both our credit criteria, our pricing model almost seamlessly to kind of react to what was going on in the industry. We're not quite sure everyone else did quite that. But nonetheless, we're very happy with how we did it. I think in the future, that bodes very well for adjusting to the different sort of market levels. Certainly today, once again, things are moving around. But the fact that we're able to go through 2022, and on the one hand, grow so significantly and so successfully shows that they have to pull back some, shows that we can move with the rising and lowering ties just as easily. And I think that's very important going forward because we've been doing this a long time. And the one thing that you can always count on is things will change. And sometimes they change in a time. So I think, again, we're very pleased with how it worked. I think the industry overall. I think we sit very well off our 2022 performance. Certainly, all the performance behind that has been very excellent. And so we kind of look forward to how we think 2023 could go. Most importantly, on sort of the technology side, we've been able to use lots of technology, more and more coming every day that actually, we almost can shrink our people and what we need to continue to grow. And so the combination of those things really puts us in a spot where we can sort of look forward to what we're doing, see what the industry does, the ups and downs of the free money in 2021 and '22 or mostly '20 and '21, that's over with. Now we're getting back to what we might look at as sort of the normal course in our industry. And so again, we'll have to kind of ride with what the inflation numbers do and the banking issues and such. But overall, I think based on what we've done in 2022 and 2023, it looks like a new year, new things we can handle, and we're looking forward to the challenge. With that, thank you all for joining us, and we will speak to you rather soon in April.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's teleconference. A replay will be available beginning 2 hours from now for 12 months by the company's website at www.consumerportfolio.com. Please disconnect your lines at this time, and have a wonderful day.