James Foster
Analyst · Bank of America
I mean the big impact from us was overall soft demand from our client base, both large and small companies, both new and old companies who are really working on the biotech companies were really concerned about access to capital and whether they had enough funding to work on a whole range of drugs. So it's quite clear to us that they paused some drugs before they got filed their IND. So we think they're going to get back to that. And big pharma is facing another patent cliff, which we saw this, I don't know, 12, 13, 14 years ago, they begin to pull back on their cost structure. By the way, one of the things we do is help them alleviate or reduce some of their internal costs because we can the work that we do in Safety Assessment is as fast, if not faster, lower price point and probably in most cases, better science. So we're being cautious. We said that. We're trying not to overcall it because it's not linear and one quarter doesn't necessarily portend the next. But what is beginning to change is the massive amount of funding that went into the biotech companies, $28 billion in the fourth quarter was quite significant. And so if that continues, January was a good month as well. But if that continues, that should generate incremental demand going forward. There's usually a lag time between cash coming in and then booking studies. So we're going to see that in the second quarter, but more pronounced in the back half of the year. The fact that book-to-bill was above 1x and much higher than that in December is obviously a very important point, and that's also going to benefit the second quarter and the second half of the year. So we're trying not to overcall it, but what we have been looking for and what we've been hearing from our clients just in terms of funding and access to continued funding is beginning to happen. And since the preponderance of our revenue, we have really big market shares in big pharma, but the preponderance of our revenue and the growth rate for the last decade has been principally from hundreds and hundreds and hundreds of biotech companies, none of whom have the internal capacity to do anything that we do for them. So they must outsource. They don't have to outsource to Charles River, but most of them do. So they must outsource. And so -- just given the number and diversity of new modalities to treat or cure diseases, these folks have to get back to work, and that should generate additional volume for us. And we're obviously comfortable with the guidance that we've just given today. And again, we're being, I think, cautiously optimistic is really a good way to put it.