David A. Roberts
Analyst · Robert W
Thank you, Tamara. Good morning, and welcome to Carlisle's First Quarter 2013 Conference Call. On the phone with me is our CFO, Steven Ford; our Chief Accounting Officer, Kevin Zdimal; and our Treasurer, Julia Chandler. On our website, you will find slides for today's call. These slides detail our performance in the first quarter. Before we begin our review of each business segment, let me set the stage for that conversation. We knew that comparison to 2012's first quarter record sales and earnings was going to be difficult, but that was before we encountered one of the wettest winters in history in the U.S. and Europe and before 2 of our Interconnect Technologies customers had technical issues with their products, delaying the ramp-up and rollout of the product we supplied to them. During the quarter, the wet weather kept roofers off roofs, which impacted the Construction Materials business sales. The weather also kept farmers out of their fields, which negatively impact demand for agricultural replacement tires and belts, which we manufacture in our Transportation Products segment. On top of the wet weather, we had technical issues facing 2 of our aerospace customers. I am sure you're aware of the highly publicized battery issue with the Boeing 787, which delayed the ramp-up of the aircraft build schedule, but we also had a delayed introduction of a new in-flight entertainment system at another one of our large customers. Both situations slowed the first quarter growth in Interconnect Technologies. Couple these issues with continued soft demand for our Brake & Friction products and slow restaurant traffic, we had the recipe for lower sales overall in the first quarter. The silver lining in the storm cloud that shrouded the first quarter growth is that we believe no market share was lost. Spring has finally arrived, except perhaps for small regions in the upper Midwest, and our roofing contractors have very healthy backlogs. They are now preparing to get on the roofs. As they do, demand for our roofing membrane and insulation products will be very strong. Also, the break in the weather, farmers are now in their fields, and we expect to see increased demand for replacement tires and belts. As a result of the FFA (sic) [FAA] approval of Boeing's fix for the lithium battery issue, we have been told to expect an increase in 787 build rate to 7 in September and 10 in December, and the delivery of our products usually precede the ramp-up of their production. While demand is expected to be flat in Transportation Products and FoodService, both are margin stories. We had not -- had we not reduced our overall cost structure over the past years in both businesses, our reported profit would have been significantly lower in the first quarter. Our EBIT was lower than we generated in the first quarter of 2012 due to lower volume and our focus on inventory reduction. The $70 million we earned this quarter was the second highest level of earnings we have generated in the first quarter in the company's history. We knew the sales shortfall was a short-term issue, and we could have softened the earnings hit by building inventory. We elected not to do that. Because of strong commitment to reduce working capital, we decided to reduce our inventories. Historically, our inventories grow in the first quarter. This year, we reduced our inventories by 4% or nearly $25 million. I remain optimistic about 2013. Other than Transportation Products, which may have a difficult time recovering from the outdoor power equipment sales that didn't materialize in the first quarter, and Brake & Friction, which will remain soft but has stabilized at its current level of sales, I think 2013 still has the earmarks to be a good year. Let's now turn to the presentation. I encourage everyone to read Slide 2, titled Forward Looking Statements. Slide 2 details the risks associated with making an investment in Carlisle. I also encourage anyone who is considering an investment in our company to also review our SEC filings. Let's now move on to the details of the quarter. Turning to Slide 3, you will see that overall company sales in the first quarter declined 4% to $857 million and EBIT declined 27% as we earned $70 million. Organically, our sales were down 7%, primarily due to the harsh weather not only in the U.S. but also in Europe. The weather had the greatest impact on Construction Materials and Transportation Products. Sales were down 28% in Brake & Friction, but it's important to point out that our first quarter last year was a record quarter, and we didn't start to see a decline in demand in Brake & Friction until midway through the second quarter. FoodService also saw a decline in sales. Many of our large customer -- restaurant customers have stated that they think the slowdown in restaurant traffic is a result of the increased payroll taxes that went into effect on January 1. Interconnect Technologies' growth slowed in the first quarter due to the battery issue with the 787 and the introduction of the new in-flight entertainment system, which had technical issues by one of our large IFE customers. Both issues are now resolved. The organic sales decline of 7% was partially offset by 3% of acquired growth coming from acquisitions of Thermax and Hertalan, which were acquired in 2012. EBIT was down 27%, driven primarily by volume shortfalls in our factories. We elected not to build inventory to absorb overhead during the quarter, reducing our overall inventory by $25 million, as I stated earlier. Our earnings did benefit from a tax election in a foreign jurisdiction. This election increased our EPS by $0.20. Slide 4 provides you with our sales bridge for the quarter. The bridge shows that price increased sales by 20 basis points, volume reduced sales 700 basis points, acquisitions contributed 330 basis points to our growth and foreign exchange negatively impacted sales by 10 basis points. Organically, Construction Materials sales were down 5%; Transportation Products was down 5%; Brake & Friction was down 28%; FoodService, down 2%; all while Interconnect Technologies grew 5%. On Slide 5, you'll find our EBIT margin bridge. It details the 27% margin decline that we had in the first quarter. Price to raw material and COS savings had a combined positive impact on earnings of 170 basis points. But on the negative side of the ledger, volume was down 160 basis points; mix, a negative 50 basis points; and other, which is primarily unabsorbed overhead, was down 220 basis points. Our EBIT margins for the quarter were 8.2%, a 260 basis points lower than the first quarter in 2012. I want to again say that the $70 million we earned in the first quarter this year was our second highest first quarter EBIT earnings in the history of the company. On Slide 6, we begin our review of the individual business segments, starting with Construction Materials. Sales declined 4% in the quarter, and as I've mentioned earlier, the sales decline was related to wet weather we experienced during the first quarter. This was a dramatic change from the warm and dry weather we enjoyed in 2012. The good news is, the slowdown in sales was not the result of a demand drop. To the contrary, our contractors are experiencing higher backlog comprised of both new construction and reroofing projects. Reroofing demand should increase as demand still exists in the Northeast to repair damage from the Superstorm Sandy. Our normal replacement work, which grows every year and could grow even faster this year due to the wet weather in the first quarter. As we enter the second and third quarter, we expect to see strong demand for our roofing materials. As you review the slide, you'll see that sales of our insulating materials and waterproofing materials increased in the first quarter. These materials are used primarily in new construction, so I think it speaks volumes to the number of new noncommercial construction projects underway. Commercial is up 19% over last year, as the big-box buildings, which are warehouses, distribution centers and retail space, are actually being built. In a recent in-house survey, 85% of our roofing contractors are predicting a strong 2013. That's up from 60% predicting the same thing last year. The hurdle in acquisition added 1% to our growth in the quarter, but we did see the wet weather cause the same reduction in demand in Europe, which was very similar to what we saw in the U.S. EBIT was lower by 15%, as we earned $36 million in Construction Materials. Margin was lower by 140 basis points. What's interesting about the 10.5% margin performance is that this is our second highest quarter margin in the past 5 years, with our highest being 11.9% coming in 2012. Our new polyiso insulation plant in Seattle is producing a shipping product, and our Montgomery New York plant should be in full production early in the third quarter. There will be approximately $5 million in start-up costs associated with these facilities that would be spread evenly over the 4 quarters of the year. Turning to Slide 7. It details the performance in the Transportation Products segment, where sales were down 5%, with volume down 4% and price down 1%. While high-speed trailer sales were up 9%, our other product lines were either flat or down compared to 2012. Outdoor power equipment was down because the retail channel for this equipment is still full as a result of the drought we had last year, while ag and construction sales were down due to the wet weather in the first quarter. We are seeing growth in our power sports business starting to level out. Our customers have told us that consumer demand seems to have been impacted by the payroll tax increase that we all enjoyed at the start of the year. Transportation Products. EBIT was down 31%, where we earned $14.5 million compared to $21 million last year. We did realize $1.2 million in savings as a result of our plant consolidation activities last year. In the past, our profit would have been less with the volume declines we saw in the first quarter. But with our tire plants being more cost effective following our restructuring efforts over the last few years, we generated the $14.5 million of profit in the first quarter. Slide 8 details the performance of our braking business. We are suffering from lower sales as our customers worldwide struggle to -- from a lack of demand for heavy construction equipment and mining equipment. Our sales were down 28% compared to Q1 2012, and our EBIT was down 54%. The comps were difficult in the first quarter as we came off of a record sales in early 2012. The comps become easier as the year progresses and our demand curve is stabilized at this volume level. The management team has done a very good job in generating 12% EBIT margins in a quarter where their sales declined 28%. I actually do not see a recovery in sales for the remainder of 2013 in the Brake & Friction business. Interconnect Technologies grew 28% in the first quarter, with 23% of that growth coming from the acquisition of Thermax and the remaining 5% coming from organic growth. We plan for higher organic growth in the quarter as the 787 was to step up production to 7 aircraft late in the quarter. That ramp-up was delayed as Boeing worked to resolve the lithium battery issue. Similar to 2012, our aerospace markets continue to grow, while test & measurement was down 16% and military was down 7%. The scope of our business today is heavily skewed to commercial aerospace, so while test & measurement and the military sales are down, it doesn't have a big impact on our overall sales. EBIT for the quarter was 18.4%, up 10% -- or $18.4 million, up 10%. The Thermax acquisition contributed $2.3 million of our profitability, including an inventory step-up of $1.1 million as a result of the acquisition of Thermax. As you turn to Slide 10, you'll see that FoodService's revenue declined 2% in the quarter. Volume was down 7% as traffic in our customer stores was down. As I said earlier, many of our customers have commented that they think the driver of the decline is the result of the payroll tax that went into effect in January 1. We had a 2% price increase and reduced our rebate and allowances 3% in the quarter. We did see a step-up in volume in healthcare facilities, which has been a long time coming. EBIT was down 7% as we had $1 million worth of plant consolidation costs flow through the income statement in the quarter. These costs are now behind us, and we saw an increase in our margin to low double digits in March. We think we're on track to see low- to mid-teen margins by the end of 2013 in FoodService business. This concludes my remarks on the business segments. I want to turn the meeting over to Steve Ford, who will take us through our balance sheet, cash flow statement and working capital slides. Steve?