Earnings Labs

Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL)

Q4 2017 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 8, 2018

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon. My name is Christy, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Carlisle Companies Incorporated Fourth Quarter Earnings Conference Call. I would now turn the conference over to President, Chris Koch. You may begin.

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Thank you, Christy. Good afternoon and welcome to the Carlisle Companies fourth quarter 2017 conference call. On the phone this afternoon with me are Bob Roche, our Chief Financial Officer; and Titus Ball, our Chief Accounting Officer. On today's call, I will discuss our full year and fourth quarter 2017 performance, our 2018 outlook, introduce our new strategic plan and discuss the food service divesture. Bob will review the impact of changes to the U.S., tax policy on the company, our segment performance, balance sheet and cash flow. Before we discuss our 2017 results, I want to update you about our friend and colleague, Steve Ford. As many of you are aware Steve underwent a scheduled surgery in November to address an earlier diagnose medical condition. Steve was expecting a quick recuperation and we were all anticipating his return to work in a matter of weeks. Unfortunately unexpected complications arose from the surgery which have extended Steve's recovery period. While Steve is making good progress, at this time we do not know when he will return to Carlisle. Steve remains our General Counsel. As was anticipated with Bob Roche's appointment to CFO in 2017, effective January 1, all investor relations activities began reporting to Bob. Carlisle's legal department continues to operate as before. Scott Selbach, Carlisle's former General Counsel along with our outside law firm partners are providing legal resources in Steve's absence. While we are receiving periodic updates on Steve's condition. In respect of his and his family's privacy, we are not going to comment further on his medical condition at this time. Please join us in keeping Steve and his family in your thoughts. Please now review slide 2 of our presentation entitled Forward-Looking Statements and the Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures. Reconciliations of U.S. GAAP to non-GAAP…

Robert M. Roche - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Thanks, Chris. Please turn to the sales bridge on slide 6 of the presentation. As Chris mentioned in his opening remarks, we are pleased with our record fourth quarter net sales. Price volume had a positive 7.6% impact driven by strength in U.S. commercial roofing for CCM, transportation and automotive refinish increases at CFT and recovering off-highway construction and mining equipment markets at CBF. Acquisitions contributed 11.7% sales growth in the quarter. Turning now to our margin bridge on slide 7. Operating margin decreased 310 basis points in the quarter to 9.7%. The net impact of volume and selling price had a positive 150 basis point impact. Mix had a negative 180 basis points impact. COS drove 180 basis points of margin improvement. Acquisitions had a negative 200 basis point impact. Finally, rising raw material costs driven largely by CCM and other operating costs across all segments had a negative 280 basis point impact. Turning to slide 8, I will now focus on the effect of the U.S. Tax Cuts and Jobs Act on Carlisle's performance. While we are still evaluating long-term impact of the changes to the U.S. tax policy, our 2017 effective tax rate was 22%. Our 2017 results include an approximately $53 million positive direct and indirect impact, due to a benefit from remeasured deferred taxes of approximately $90 million, a one-time toll charge on foreign earnings of approximately $32 million, and expense related to repatriating forward earnings of approximately $5 million. Now, let's turn to slide 9 to review fourth quarter performance by segments in more detail. At CCM, sales increased 26.7% in the quarter driven by high single-digit organic growth. The Accella, Arbo and Drexel Metals acquisitions contributed 16.7% to the year-over-year growth. Selling price of CCM was relatively stable and we are determined to…

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Thanks, Bob. Before we discuss our 2018 outlook, please turn to slide 17. In 2017, we developed a new vision and strategic plan that would usher Carlisle into the next century, Vision 2025. Our goal for Vision 2025 is to achieve $8 billion of sales, 15% ROIC and 20% operating margins. Vision 2025, its key components and aggressive goals have set the tone for our next 100 years. We created a vision based on detailed, tangible and executable plans that would energize employees, effectively utilize our capital resources and create sustained value for our shareholders. In Vision 2025, we seek to drive accelerated profitable organic growth, build scale in our core business by pursuing synergistic acquisitions, further leverage our COS culture to drive efficiencies and invest in attracting, retaining and developing exceptional talent. Vision 2025 aligns our business segment strategies and operating plans under a stronger more active central core, enhanced leadership role played by Carlisle's Corporate Center will include driving best practice sharing, ensuring consistent COS utilization, leveraging common resources, improving accountability and developing a deeper bench, all the while providing strong oversight within our proven de-centralized operating model. As Carlisle's successful history demonstrates, execution of our plans requires information and processes that provide insight, speed and agility to thrive in a rapidly changing global marketplace. Our accomplishments in 2017 demonstrate that Vision 2025 is well underway. We are realigning the portfolio to focus on segments with highly engineered manufactured products in strong growth markets evidenced by the divestiture of foodservice. We deployed a record nearly $1 billion into acquisitions and returned a record $360 million of cash to shareholders in the form of dividends and share repurchases, and we'll continue to deploy record amounts of capital under our plan. 2017 was also a record year of COS savings,…

Operator

Operator

Okay. Okay, our first question comes from the line of Neil Frohnapple from Buckingham Research.

Neil Frohnapple - The Buckingham Research Group, Inc.

Analyst · Buckingham Research

Hi, good afternoon, guys.

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Hey, Neil.

Robert M. Roche - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Hi, Neil.

Neil Frohnapple - The Buckingham Research Group, Inc.

Analyst · Buckingham Research

I guess starting out, the 2018 sales outlook was very helpful, but can you elaborate a little bit more on EBIT margin expectations for the year by the four different segments? On the positive side, you guys will have significantly lower restructuring costs. You should experience, I guess, leverage from the higher sales volumes and then corporate expenses will be roughly flat. But just want to make sure we account for any notable headwinds as well like mix and raw material costs?

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Yeah. Neil, as you know, we don't normally give margin guidance. It's not our practice. So, I guess when we go into, we can ask specific questions around what we're seeing from different raw materials and things like that. We look at freight is definitely going to be a bit of a headwind in throughout next year and we are seeing some headwinds at CCM in our raw materials as you know MDI goes up and so does oil-based costs.

Neil Frohnapple - The Buckingham Research Group, Inc.

Analyst · Buckingham Research

Okay. And Bob, I guess on that within CCM, I mean could you provide an outlook for 2018 as it relates to the net raw material price impact, the EBIT that you would expect? I think you guys talked about a $50 million headwind for 2017, so if you can provide what you're projecting for this year, I think that would be helpful.

Robert M. Roche - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Yeah. Neil, as we came into this year and we talked about on the last call, we are expecting about $10 million. Things were really stable, and of that $10 million, we expect that most of it to be in the first quarter and this was as of, we're entering November-December. Since then, the oil markets have gone a little haywire on us and you have two force majeures out there for MDI. And as we sit here, I'm going to say as of three days ago and up to today, we're expecting somewhere in the $40 million range for the year and offsetting that, we have announced a 6% price increase on TPO and polyiso, and some of the other industry participants have as well as the distribution has announced price increases to offset some of that as well.

Neil Frohnapple - The Buckingham Research Group, Inc.

Analyst · Buckingham Research

Okay, but that $40 million, that's just raw material. They're not anticipating any sort of price realization. Is that correct?

Robert M. Roche - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Well, we were expecting price realization, at this point. We just announced that it's not effective until March 1. We don't have a great estimate of what's going to stick. I mean I guess, in a perfect world and what we would want to happen is we'd be back down to the $10 million of net price cost, but we don't have any data beyond that right at this point.

Neil Frohnapple - The Buckingham Research Group, Inc.

Analyst · Buckingham Research

Okay. And then one final one on CCM, the mid teens sales growth outlook. I mean just doing the math on what Accella is going to contribute for the year, I mean that alone should contribute like mid-teens growth, so but I think the press release said you guys would expect mid-single digit organic sales growth. So I mean can you can help out, am I missing something there?

Robert M. Roche - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

No, I think Accella is going to be right on track with where we thought. I mean, it could be mid- to high-teens when you put in the organic and then what we talked about for Accella.

Neil Frohnapple - The Buckingham Research Group, Inc.

Analyst · Buckingham Research

Okay. Great. Thanks very much.

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Okay.

Operator

Operator

Next question comes from the line of Jim Giannakouros from Oppenheimer. Jim Giannakouros - Oppenheimer & Co., Inc.: Hi. Good afternoon, guys.

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Hey, Jim. Good afternoon. Jim Giannakouros - Oppenheimer & Co., Inc.: Balance sheet, obviously strong. I had a much lower net interest expense number for 2018. Correct me if I'm wrong, do your plans change on paying down some debt post Accella or am I missing something there?

Robert M. Roche - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Yeah. We never had plans to pay down any other debt. Going into Accella, I mean we always talked about using our capital for our organic acquisitions, repurchases, and dividends, and then as we see fit, we'll pay down debt, if we don't have any organic and/or M&A things in the pipeline. But we continue to be active and look for M&A. Jim Giannakouros - Oppenheimer & Co., Inc.: Got it. Okay. And I know you just reiterated your confidence in the Accella's top line. Is that $0.09 or $0.10 accretion number that you put out there still good for 2018?

Robert M. Roche - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Yeah. Everything we talked about on the Accella when we announced it is still on track. Jim Giannakouros - Oppenheimer & Co., Inc.: Okay. And I am sorry, this is some housekeeping stuff. COS expected benefits in 2018? You had a stellar year in 2017. Should we be expecting similar magnitude in 2018?

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Yeah. I think we have to – yeah, this is Chris. Jim, we want to see continued improvement with the COS through the business enterprise. So the margin, the expectation is to continue forward with further gains. Jim Giannakouros - Oppenheimer & Co., Inc.: Okay. And then in CFT, you had a little bit more growth than I had anticipated, but you didn't have the related leverage there. I wonder if you could speak to kind of puts and takes there. I know that you've been in restructuring mode, but at the same time, you are investing in new products, focused areas of growth. Can you kind of give us some finer points on how much of a margin headwind those growth investments are and where exactly you're putting money to work? Thanks.

Robert M. Roche - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Yeah, Jim, we did invest in a lot of areas. We're doing vertical integration investment, we have leadership upgrades, a lot of other things going on. We invested in the restructuring in the back half, which we gave you those numbers. And then also in the fourth quarter, we have some mix going on. A lot of our sales are in the transportation market in Asia, which those margins while they're good, they were a little lower than the overall margins. We like the business, but there are a little lower margin. So that's what we saw in the first quarter and we see that carrying a little bit into the first quarter with the same mix in first quarter of 2018. Jim Giannakouros - Oppenheimer & Co., Inc.: That's helpful. Thanks, Bob. I'll get back in queue.

Robert M. Roche - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Thanks, Jim.

Operator

Operator

Next question comes from the line of Charles Brady of SunTrust.

Charles Brady - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Analyst · Charles Brady of SunTrust

Afternoon, guys.

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Hey, Charles. How you're doing?

Charles Brady - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Analyst · Charles Brady of SunTrust

Hey, good, thanks. So just on Sat-com and CIT, you talked about kind of what your expectation is going forward. I wondered if you can kind of speak to that what's embedded in the assumption on Sat-com specifically in 2018.

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Yeah. Charlie, we see things continuing as we expected. I think just to reiterate, the projections we made in that second quarter conference call, we were pleased in the third quarter CIT delivered and then again in the fourth quarter on what we were seeing in the outlook. We've got a good backlog and I think we'll be in that $80 million to $90 million sales range for 2018. And as we've said before, we expect these margins to be pretty healthy.

Charles Brady - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Analyst · Charles Brady of SunTrust

Okay. Thanks. And then just on the interest expense line, the delta between the $65 million to $70 million, is that a function of you obviously not changing the debt level? Is it just a rate change over the year, or what's the $5 million delta?

Robert M. Roche - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Well, some of that, I'm going to say, the down to $60 million could be if we end up with excess cash throughout the year as we sell FoodService, and depending on timing of future acquisitions, we can end up with some interest income that will drive it down a little bit.

Charles Brady - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Analyst · Charles Brady of SunTrust

Got it. Okay. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Next question comes from the line of Tim Wojs from Baird Equity Research. Timothy Ronald Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co.: Hey, guys, good afternoon.

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Hey, Tim.

Robert M. Roche - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Hi, Tim. Timothy Ronald Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co.: So maybe just looking at capital deployment. Could you just kind of walk through how you guys are thinking about redeploying the proceeds from FoodService? I think if you buy stock back with the proceeds, you probably get pretty close to offsetting the dilution. And you guys have plenty of capacity just based on your revolver and your free cash flow. So maybe why not be more aggressive on the buyback near term to offset that dilution?

Robert M. Roche - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Yeah. Tim, our thought now is we have some things going on in the pipeline we're hoping to close on the M&A front. We want to grow the business, add EBITDA to the business. So as we sit today, we're going to continue with our repurchases. As we talked about, we got further authorization. But we are thinking about using a lot of that FoodService to remix the portfolio and do further M&A throughout the rest of the year. Timothy Ronald Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co.: Okay. Is there any expiration on the – any kind of modeling in terms of how we should think about what you guys might buy back in 2018?

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

I don't think 2018 – Tim, this is Chris. If we got to the presentation, I think we said over the planning horizon we wanted to target $1 billion, approximately $1 billion in buybacks. I can't give you the timing on that, but that's the general view over that horizon, and obviously Bob has put in place plans and prescribes buying that will occur through the year. So, we'll just stick to the $1 billion target over that planning horizon. Timothy Ronald Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co.: Okay. Okay. And then I guess when we think about the portfolio in general, I mean, in the 2025 vision, I mean there is a little less discussion on Brake & Friction. Is that a business that you guys still view as core, or is that something that potentially could be not part of the portfolio over time?

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Yeah. We look at that, we've talked about Brake & Friction, we've talked about the high variability in sales over the long term. These are cyclical markets we serve. We also really talk about the ability to grow these platforms, under the 2008 vision of 5/15, 15/30/15 vision, we looked at $500 million platforms, and we had a few more. I think as we go forward, you can see by the direction we're looking at fewer and larger, and it really comes down to scalability: can we take that business to $1 billion plus. And I think as we sit here today, we're pleased with the recovery in the markets, but we'll look at Brake & Friction very closely over the coming year to see if it still fits with the vision we have and the portfolio that we've got. Timothy Ronald Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co.: Okay. And then the last one for me, just you had the – I think it was $54 million or something like that in terms of restructuring for 2017. What's the right way to think about the payback on that in terms of the savings you would see through the P&L on those restructurings?

Robert M. Roche - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Yeah I mean we've got... Timothy Ronald Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co.: ... in 2018?

Robert M. Roche - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Yeah. If you look at 2018, I mean we – let me break it down by business because we normally look for a two-year to three-year payback. A couple things going on with 2017 with some of the longer-term projects. The China move for CIT is a little longer payback, not quite as robust with all the costs involved there and then the savings and the high wage inflation. So we think that's going to be a little longer period. And the Tulsa, the Medina really isn't going to kick in until late 2018 until we get that stuff move. So that's another one that takes a little while. On the other hand, the CFT stuff should be kicking in, in the second quarter. As we stabilized through the first quarter, we're going to see that going in the second quarter. So we would see of the $50 million, while we think it would be a three-year payback normally, we're looking at probably four to five on average for that because of the things I talked about. Timothy Ronald Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co.: Okay. But it's fair to think that could be a $10 million to $15 million tailwind over the next few years?

Robert M. Roche - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Yeah. And I think 2018 is going to be a little lighter on the end of that. But I think 2019 is going to be even higher because like I said a lot of savings are going to come out of that China facility and out of Brake & Friction and that's really going to kick in in 2019. Timothy Ronald Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co.: Okay. Great. Thanks, guys.

Operator

Operator

Next question comes from the line of Liam Burke from FBR Capital Markets.

Liam Burke - B. Riley FBR, Inc.

Analyst · Liam Burke from FBR Capital Markets

Yeah. Thank you. Good evening, Bob. Good evening, Chris.

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Hey. Good evening, Liam.

Robert M. Roche - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Hi, Liam.

Liam Burke - B. Riley FBR, Inc.

Analyst · Liam Burke from FBR Capital Markets

On the fluid technology business, in general how has pricing been out in the market?

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Pricing has been pretty good. That was one of the things we talked about when we were looking at this business. I think for the full year, Liam, I'm going to say it was somewhere between 1.4% and 1.6% in 2017, and we have pricing actions that were being taken to repeat similar levels in 2018. So, pricing has been pretty good. Bob referenced the lower margins in Asia. We introduced our smart pump in the automotive industry with great success, and we've had some challenges there with competition, but overall the pricing for the business has been good.

Liam Burke - B. Riley FBR, Inc.

Analyst · Liam Burke from FBR Capital Markets

Great. And I know it's a much smaller part of the business on CCM, but how has Europe been developing? I know you mentioned that it was up 50% in the release, but is it developing on plan? Do you see more growth there?

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Yeah, Europe has been a good story for us. The sales haven't been as high traditionally as some of the other parts of the world. We're seeking to drive that though. I mean, our expectations in Europe are that the EPDM and product line will take off. We've got a unique type of EPDM over there that our teams were using. We're investing in our Waltershausen facility as you know to support that growth. So, I think the growth right now is a little bit less than we've wanted, but as we look forward, I'd say we see some good trends on the horizon.

Liam Burke - B. Riley FBR, Inc.

Analyst · Liam Burke from FBR Capital Markets

Great. Thank you.

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Thank you Liam.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Joel Tiss from BMO Capital Markets.

Joel G. Tiss - BMO Capital Markets

Analyst · Joel Tiss from BMO Capital Markets

Hey, how is it going?

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Good evening, Joel.

Robert M. Roche - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Hey, Joel.

Joel G. Tiss - BMO Capital Markets

Analyst · Joel Tiss from BMO Capital Markets

I just wondered, inside of CBF, which end markets have the lower margins? Like where is the weaker mix coming from there?

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

The weaker mix in CBF really would be around our industrial specialty. I'll call it that, our performance business. We have the Hawk Performance business there and maybe some on-highway. The aircraft, I think as we've discussed over the years has traditionally been a very profitable business. Mining has been very profitable. When we see the levels return to the 2011, 2012 type of volume, mining is profitable. And then construction and agriculture tend to be pretty consistent in that middle range.

Joel G. Tiss - BMO Capital Markets

Analyst · Joel Tiss from BMO Capital Markets

Have you shared at all net proceeds? Like how should we be thinking about the net proceeds from the food business?

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Well, Bob just touched on it. There was a question earlier on whether it was all going to go to share buybacks or not. I think Bob pretty well stated that our original plans for capital are probably the same with the FoodService proceeds, Joel. So, we're thinking invest in the business, make sure we continue our nice trend of 41 consecutive years of raising the dividend. Share repurchases will be part of it of course, but also that mergers and acquisitions activity that we talked about within CCM, CIT and really in Fluid Technologies is going to be a big focus too. So, I would see the redeployment leaning more towards acquisitions.

Joel G. Tiss - BMO Capital Markets

Analyst · Joel Tiss from BMO Capital Markets

I was referring more to the after-tax proceeds. How much do you expect to get after tax?

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Oh, I'm sorry, Joel. About $640 million. I apologize.

Joel G. Tiss - BMO Capital Markets

Analyst · Joel Tiss from BMO Capital Markets

Okay. That's perfect. Thank you so much.

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Yeah, you bet.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Kevin Hocevar from Northcoast Research.

Kevin Hocevar - Northcoast Research Partners LLC

Analyst · Kevin Hocevar from Northcoast Research

Hey. Good evening, everybody.

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Hey, Kevin.

Robert M. Roche - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Hi, Kevin.

Kevin Hocevar - Northcoast Research Partners LLC

Analyst · Kevin Hocevar from Northcoast Research

I just wanted to follow up on Neil's question earlier to make sure that I was understanding this right. So on the CCM segment you're guiding to mid teens sales growth and I think you said mid single-digit kind of organic growth. And I think the Accella acquisition is supposed to add mid to high teens to 2018, which would suggest that the organic growth would be kind of flattish. Am I misinterpreting something here? I just want to make sure that I'm understanding that correctly.

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

No, I think you want to look at CCM forecasted growth, the organic in that mid single-digit range, okay, somewhere between I'd say 4% to 6%. And then when you look at Accella, I think when you think high teens, that's a good place to start. And then if you think about the mix of CCM business of what Accella will be, and that I think last year's sales were around $430 million, being added to CCM's $2 billion. We should be right in that I would say low to mid-teens sales growth.

Kevin Hocevar - Northcoast Research Partners LLC

Analyst · Kevin Hocevar from Northcoast Research

Okay. And then, could you give a little color on how some of the product lines are doing? So you grew volumes real strong in the fourth quarter in the U.S. and CCM up 11%. And I believe that's well in excess of the market, which you've done a really good job of growing above the market this year. So, I wondering if you can comment a bit on the product line, I think EPDM, you've particularly been gaining share, so kind of wondering if you can give us a little color on how the product lines are doing in there?

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Yeah, I'll be happy to do that. Generally across the big product lines, we're seeing that low to mid-teens growth in those. In EPDM, it's been interesting, you're aware of those issues that have been going on in the marketplace with competitors. And we did in the fourth quarter see that I would say EPDM rates were significantly higher into the double-digits growth rates in the fourth quarter, much higher than they traditionally have been and I think we've characterized that market in the past as a very low growth market. So obviously that's coming from share gains. TPO continues to be right on track with what we've seen in the past. PVC is making nice strides forward too as we entered that market with our own production a few years ago and we're seeing great traction there. Our polyiso business, good consistent growth and then when you look through waterproofing, Europe, okay growth and meeting our expectations. But in terms of the big four, EPDM, TPO, PVC and polyiso, very good growth.

Kevin Hocevar - Northcoast Research Partners LLC

Analyst · Kevin Hocevar from Northcoast Research

Got you. And then on Brake & Friction, you had $84 million in sales this quarter and $1 million loss, there were some restructuring in there, and I think excluding that it would have been a little positive, like $1 million or something. If I look back to the last time you were in kind of around the similar sales level in the first half of 2018, you're getting about $8 million of EBIT per quarter. So, I'm wondering if you could help me bridge a little bit, what the difference is and I think with the mix, maybe that's the answer with aerospace being down, but wondering if you can help me bridge a little bit of that, the difference in earnings based on that similar sales level?

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Yeah, I would pick it up first exactly what you did, I think it's great understanding of what we've been doing. The aircraft business has been significantly impacted and that was our highest margin business over the years. And so that's I would say the main driver to it. I think also the mining business has not recovered as quickly as say construction and mining also at the right volume levels starts to pick up speed on the EBIT as we get that volume back as we've talked about it. So, I think you're right on the mix there and I would point to those two.

Kevin Hocevar - Northcoast Research Partners LLC

Analyst · Kevin Hocevar from Northcoast Research

Got you. Okay. Thanks very much.

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Yes.

Operator

Operator

Next question comes from the line of Jim Giannakouros. Jim Giannakouros - Oppenheimer & Co., Inc.: Hey, guys. A quick follow up here.

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Hey, Jim. Jim Giannakouros - Oppenheimer & Co., Inc.: To the extent that you can comment, I mean how things started off this year, particularly in CCM appreciating that you're in a seasonally soft period, but the last two years have been blowout just because of the mild winters that we've had specifically in the U.S. So tough comps from a volume and from a margin perspective, any color to help us kind of off the bat type of model you guys would be helpful. Thanks.

D. Christian Koch - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Sure, I'll just give a couple of comments and Bob could jump in too. We see the trends that were into the fourth quarter, continuing into the first quarter. The trends you mentioned year-over-year in the first quarter have continued. We have continued to have higher percentage growth rates year-over-year in the first quarters. And I think, my guess is that a lot of that has to do with the project backlog and tight labor markets and our contractors wanted to get on the roof as quickly as possible in the season to drive those projects that are either in backlog or to get a jump on the season. So we're looking at, I think from the ABI, pretty good results there, the regional averages, I think South 56%, West 53%, Midwest 52%. Northeast was around 50%. Those were good. We see good demand out in the marketplace, as you can tell by our fourth quarter pricing has remained relatively stable. So, I think the first quarter outlook is favorable. Bob, you want to add to that?

Robert M. Roche - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Yeah. I mean, we're seeing continuing strength as we expect for the full year, we don't expect a lot different in the first quarter now, even with the strong growth, it still is our seasonally lowest quarter. So we have some absorption headwinds there and we talked about the raw materials but from a revenue perspective, we're feeling pretty good with growth. Jim Giannakouros - Oppenheimer & Co., Inc.: Helpful. Thanks guys.

Robert M. Roche - Carlisle Cos., Inc.

Management

Yeah.

Operator

Operator

There are no audio questions at this time.