James Spence
Analyst · Wei-Weng Chen of RBC Capital Markets
Good afternoon, and thank you, Ana. I'm pleased to be providing these results today as we work towards a return to trading on the ASX. But at the same time, I also want to acknowledge that this has been a very difficult time for CTM investors. So moving to Slide 15. This summarizes the 3 customer remediation issues that have now been identified, investigated and quantified as part of the review process. Starting on the left-hand side, these are the key U.K. client contracts that have been a focus of our work over the past 9 months. In simple terms, certain U.K. customers were charged amounts which were in excess of CTM's contractual entitlements. And this has been the subject of our detailed disclosures, particularly in April of this year. Following a detailed review, those matters were self-reported to impacted clients, and we've been working through a remediation process with them. This has been a significant exercise requiring us to review contracts and transactions going back more than 6 years. As a result, we have now quantified the accounting liability in relation to these matters at $234 million as at the 30th of June 2026. We have agreed approximately $167 million of refunds relating to those contracts with key impacted clients, of which $20 million has already been paid. A further $23 million of refunds have been agreed on active U.K. contracts entered into in FY '25, which remain on foot. The remaining balance largely relates to the number of impacting customers where discussions are ongoing with $21 million close to final settlement. Turning to the middle section of this chart. This relates to Europe air margins. This issue came into focus later in the audit process where we identified certain historical contracting and revenue practices. The issue relates to certain airline fares purchased under wholesale commercial arrangements where a margin was retained, but certain client contracts did not clearly contemplate this margin being retained by CTM. We've now completed the work required to understand the issue and quantify the liability, which is $29 million as at 30th of June 2026. Client engagement remediation is underway. And while there remains work to do, we now have a clear understanding of the exposure and pathway to resolution. Finally, on the right-hand side, this relates principally to rebates received from suppliers in ANZ, where CTM had contractual obligations to pass those amounts back to clients. The accounting liability has been quantified at $13 million as at the 30th of June 2026, which remains within our previously disclosed range of $10 million to $15 million. In addition, we recognized a further $6 million in other contract-related matters identified through the broader process review. Overall, the key message from this slide is that we've identified the issues, quantified the liabilities and have reached settlements for the majority of refund liabilities, 78%. While there is still work ahead to finalize all outstanding matters, we now have a clear understanding of our exposures and a defined pathway to resolution. Now on Slide 16, this highlights the strength and resilience of the underlying business, particularly the bounce back in revenue and underlying EBITDA from FY '25 to FY '26 forecast. Starting with TTV on the left-hand side, we delivered $9.6 billion in FY '25, up from $9.1 billion in FY '24, and we expect that to increase further to approximately $9.8 billion in FY '26. While revenue was stable from FY '24 to FY '25, we're forecasting an increase in FY '26. Similarly, in underlying EBITDA, an increased forecast for FY '26 following the reduction in FY '25, as you can see on the right-hand side. A significant element of the reduction from FY '24 to FY '25 in underlying EBITDA relates to the ANZ region and primarily reflects commissions that have been reversed and additional bad debt expense as part of the remediation process for historical matters. Outside of the ANZ and Europe regions, adjustments in FY '25, the underlying business remained resilient. North America continues to perform strongly with growth in both TTV and revenue, while Asia remained stable. Europe was lower year-on-year in FY '25, reflecting lower special project activity, which picked back up in FY '26. What this slide demonstrates is that CTM continues to operate a large-scale global travel platform with nearly $10 billion in TTV, more than $640 million in revenue and meaningful earnings generation. The key takeaway is that while remediation issues and associated accounting adjustments impacted reported profitability in FY '25, the strength of the underlying operating performance can be seen in the forecast financial metrics for FY '26. Slide 17 looks at transaction volumes, which is one of the clearest indicators of the underlying health of the business. The first point to note is that transaction activity has remained resilient throughout FY '26. Across the group, transactions increased from 16.2 million in FY '25 to 18.3 million in FY '26, reflecting continued client activity and underlying demand across our markets. The monthly run rate also remained relatively consistent through the year. While there are natural seasonal fluctuations, we've not seen any material deterioration in transaction volumes as a result of the issues we've been discussing today. One point to call out is the soft results in April 2025, which coincided with the period following the U.S. Liberation Day announcements, which created broader market uncertainty and resulted in reduction in travel activity, particularly in North America. Those impacts were relatively short-lived and transaction activity recovered in subsequent months. Another message from this slide is diversification. As shown on the right-hand side, our transaction base is spread across regions. ANZ accounts for approximately 1/4 of transactions; North America around 34% to 36%; Asia approximately 15% and Europe around 25%. That diversification demonstrates the business is not reliant on any single geography, customer group or economic cycle. So overall, this slide reinforces 2 key points. Transaction volumes remain strong and the diversity of our global platform continues to be one of CTM's core strengths. Moving to Slide 18, which looks at EBITDA on a half-on-half basis over the last 2 years and provides a view of the run rate and underlying earnings profile of the business. The main takeaway is that the underlying run rate of CTM has remained relatively resilient throughout the period. Starting with FY '25 on the left-hand side, EBITDA reduced from $57 million in the first half to $26.7 million in the second half. When we adjust for prior year adjustment items of $12.7 million included in the underlying ANZ results, the adjusted underlying EBITDA is $39.4 million. These adjustment items relate to commission income previously on the balance sheet that had been recognized in prior years based on an expectation it would be recovered from hotel suppliers. As part of our review processes, we determined those amounts were no longer recoverable and therefore, reversed the revenue. Additionally, we recognized additional bad debt expense on items related to prior years. Turning to FY '26. First half EBITDA is forecast at $66.9 million compared with $46.7 million in the second half. The primary driver of that movement is Europe. During FY '26, Europe benefited from special project activities, particularly in the first half. Activity levels reduced in the second half due to lower underlying client activity. We continue to see opportunities in further project activity in the Europe region. As recently announced, we secured the U.K. Ministry of Defence contract. We expect that contract, together with other opportunities to contribute to activity levels and earnings generation into FY '27. Another point to note on this slide is the consistency of contribution across our regions. North America, Asia and ANZ have all continued to generate relatively stable earnings through the period, reflecting strong client retention. Slide 19 moves the discussion from accounting liabilities to actual customer settlements and cash outcomes in respect of U.K. matters. Starting with the top chart, this bridges the U.K. customer-related liabilities we announced to the market in April through to the position at 30th of June 2026. At a high level, we currently have approximately $234 million of customer-related liabilities on the balance sheet at 30th of June 2026. The starting point is the $260 million liability reflected on our June 2025 accounts on the left-hand side of this chart. The movements from June '25 to June '26 include, firstly, amounts refunded during the period in cash of $23 million to impacted clients. Around $21 million reflects foreign exchange movements associated with translating U.K. liabilities into Australian dollars between the balance sheet dates. There's then a further $18 million increase in liabilities in the period relating to active contracts. This is the term we use for specific large-scale U.K. contracts, which remain on foot. It reflects amounts received during FY '26 that have been incorporated into the liability balance. We have now reached an agreed position on these matters with the relevant clients. Once we move from liability assessment into direct negotiations with customers, a number of settlements are agreed at amounts lower than the accounting liability. As a result, settlement outcomes will reduce the liability by approximately $36 million. This reflects that there were contractual uncertainties and key customers, together with CTM, were motivated to reach settlements. What that means is that while we carry a liability of $234 million on the June 26 balance sheet, we have now agreed or close to final customer settlements totaling approximately $191 million with $7 million remaining to be remediated. The key point is that there is now a significantly greater certainty around both the amount and the timing of customer remediation. That leads to the bottom chart. This chart shows the payment profile of those agreed settlements. Of the $198 million of expected settlements, $191 million is already subject to formal payment plans with agreed customers or close to final. Those arrangements provide a high degree of certainty regarding the timing and quantum of future payments at a stage through to Q1 FY '28 rather than being payable immediately. There are no interest costs associated with the staged payment plan. This reduces near-term cash requirements and allows remediation to be managed in an orderly and sustainable manner. The next slide focuses on cash movements during FY '26. On the right-hand side, you can see we finished FY '26 with approximately $107 million of cash on hand despite a number of significant one-off cash flow -- cash outflows during the year. Starting on the left-hand side, the business generated $114 million of underlying EBITDA during FY '26, demonstrating the ongoing cash-generative nature of the underlying platform. Against that, as we move towards the right, you can see we've incurred nonrecurring costs of around $30 million associated with the forensic review, legal advisers, consultants and other activities required to investigate and address the issues identified through the review process. This has obviously been a significant expense for the business. In terms of working capital, in the middle of the chart during FY '26, CTM transitioned to a daily settlement cycle with IATA, which resulted in approximately 14 -- 4-0, $40 million working capital outflow. Following completion of these financial statements, we will reengage with IATA regarding these terms with a view to reverting to our previous terms over time. This impact was partially offset by approximately $18 million of working capital inflow related to active contracts, which we've now agreed with the relevant customers to refund. Note also that $23 million of customer refunds that were already processed -- that were already paid to customers during FY '26 as part of the remediation process. And finally, as you can see, we invested $29 million in capital projects, reflecting our continued commitment to invest in proprietary technology, which we see as a key part of our competitive advantage and customer service offering. Turning to Slide 21 and taking a look at the funding and balance sheet position of the group, which reflects our recent announcement on new funding arrangements. Starting on the left-hand side, the chart sets out the expected sources and uses of cash through calendar 2027. In terms of sources, starting from the bottom, we have cash on hand of $107 million at June 30. At the top of the chart, you can see we have committed facility of $175 million as recently announced, which I'll describe in more detail on the next slide. Additional sources include the business as usual cash flows, which we forecast to be $36 million. And as we previously referred to, we now estimate tax refunds of $62 million being a combination of VAT and refunds of U.K. income tax paid between FY '23 and FY '25. On the right-hand side of this chart, you can see the use of funds, including total customer refunds of $246 million previously referred to, which leaves cash, working capital and funding buffers of $134 million. This shows the balance sheet has been substantially strengthened with buffers as we manage through this period of refunds. On the right-hand side, we're including a profile of our expected drawn debt and cash on hand through to the end of calendar '27. We announced at the time of the new funding announcement this week that we forecast annualized interest cost for the group of around $20 million through FY '27 and FY '28. Slide 22 provides more detail on the debt facilities we put in place to support the business as we work through the remediation process. Following discussions with our existing syndicate and new lenders, we announced this week new financing arrangements. These facilities are provided by a high-quality institutional lender, PEP Credit. The outcome is a $175 million committed debt package comprising a combination of term debt and revolver facilities, providing us with additional flexibility and financial capacity. The terms of these facilities are set out in the ASX announcement we made earlier in the week. These facilities will sit alongside the facilities provided by our existing syndicate of lenders, which have been restructured to meet our business requirements. Drawdowns will occur progressively from now and broadly will be in line with customer repayment obligations. Slide 23 covers the goodwill impairment recognized as part of the FY '25 accounts. Most of this has already been disclosed to the market, particularly in relation to the European segment. As part of the finalization of the financial statements, we reassessed the carrying value of goodwill across each of our reporting units and updated assumptions around earnings, cash flow forecasts, discount rates and the current cost of capital. The most significant outcome was a full impairment of the European goodwill balance of $192.1 million. Given the issues we've discussed throughout today's presentation and the updated outlook for the region, we consider this to be the appropriate accounting treatment. We also recognized partial impairments in ANZ of $89.1 million and North America of $76.5 million. These were driven by changes in valuation assumptions, including a more conservative forecast on growth rates, increased cost of capital and investment in governance. These are noncash accounting adjustments and do not impact the group's liquidity or cash position. Before moving to my final slide, I'll make some comments on the audit opinion. There are qualifications in the audit opinion, and I'd suggest that analysts refer to the detail of that opinion. I would note the following: the qualifications relate to the European region and mostly relate to historic restatement matters where insufficient audit evidence was available. There are no qualifications where errors have been identified. And finally, the audit opinion in relation to going concern is unqualified. So the final slide in this section is Slide 24, which provides an update on trading in the first month of FY '27. The business continues to perform broadly in line with our expectations. Transaction volumes have remained resilient, increasing from 1.5 million to 1.6 million compared with the prior corresponding period. That gives us confidence that underlying customer activity levels remain healthy across the group. TTV is stable at approximately $830 million compared with $840 million in the PCP. Revenue is modestly lower, reflecting a combination of mix effects and the timing of activity across regions. It's also worth noting that some of the geopolitical uncertainty, which impacted business travel earlier this year, particularly around the start of the Middle East conflict has moderated. While we continue to monitor the environment closely, business travel activity has remained relatively resilient. We're also continuing to win special project work across the group, including work associated with the recently announced U.K. Ministry of Defence contract. In relation to capital management, dividends remain suspended at this stage. Our priority is to complete the remediation process, continue to strengthen the balance sheet and return the business to a position where dividends can be resumed over time. Further guidance will be provided at the Annual General Meeting in November. And with that, I'll hand back to Ana.