Earnings Labs

Lionheart Holdings (CUB)

Q3 2018 Earnings Call· Wed, Aug 8, 2018

$10.77

-0.28%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to the Cubic Corporation Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2018 Earnings Results Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It’s now my pleasure to turn the call over to Kirsten Nielsen, Vice President of Investor Relations for Cubic. Please go ahead, Kirsten.

Kirsten Nielsen

Analyst

Thank you. I’d like to welcome everyone to our third quarter fiscal 2018 earnings conference call. I’m joined today by Brad Feldmann, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Anshooman Aga, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. I’ll remind everyone that statements made on today’s call that are not historical fact are considered forward-looking statements and are made pursuant to the Safe Harbor provisions of federal securities law. You can find factors that could cause the company’s actual results to differ materially from our expectations listed in today’s press release and most recent SEC filing. In addition, we have included some non-GAAP financial measures in our discussion. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in today’s press release and in the appendix to today’s presentation. With that, I’ll turn the call over to Brad.

Brad Feldmann

Analyst

Thank you, Kirsten. Thank you, everyone, for joining us today. On today’s call, I will start by discussing our third quarter and year-to-date results for fiscal year 2018 followed by a strategy update. Then I’ll hand the call over to our CFO, Anshooman Aga, who will cover the financial results in more detail. Starting with Slide 3. You will find an overview of our financial results from continuing operations as we closed on the sale of our non-original equipment Manufacturer Training Services business in May. Sales for the third quarter were $296 million, an 11% increase compared to the third quarter last year. Sales for the first nine months were $823 million, a 9% increase over prior year. Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 was $28.2 million, a 123% increase compared to the third quarter of last year and $55.5 million for the nine months, an increase of 32% compared to last year. Our backlog continues to grow and is now at $3.7 billion, another record in Cubic’s history. Following the sale of the Defense Services business, we have revised our Goal 2020 revenue target to $1.55 billion to $2 billion in revenue, including 10% annualized organic growth, with 11% to 12.5% adjusted EBITDA margins. Turning to Slide 4. We are pleased to have successfully achieved five of the six growth catalysts that we had strategically targeted several quarters ago, including win in New York, Boston and Brisbane, achieving the T2C2 full rate production decision and completing our ERP implementation. With strong confidence of our perspective win in the Bay Area, all six of the catalysts will be achieved. Looking forward, our upcoming growth catalysts in transportation include AFC upgrades with existing customers as well as competitive opportunities in cities such as San Diego, Paris, Toronto and Montreal and the expansion of…

Anshooman Aga

Analyst

Thank you, Brad. Please turn to Slide 9 to cover a few of the highlights for the quarter. We had strong financial performance in all three segments with execution on crack across our major projects. Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations was $28.2 million, more than double the third quarter of last year and slightly ahead of our expectations, driven by the accelerated timing of some shipments. Free cash flow was negative $42 million and impacted by inventory buildup in support of Q4 shipments and burn-down of customer advances. Also, as a reminder, the milestone payments from the special purpose entity related to the Boston project, which I’ll discuss in a moment, are not reflected as operating cash flow. If we were to adjust for that, free cash flow would have been negative $26.1 million in the third quarter. On May 31, we completed the previously announced sale of the non-OEM services business. Lastly, we are maintaining our full year guidance. Turning to Slide 10. I’ll take a moment to go over the Boston contract. As we’ve discussed on previous calls, this was structured as a public-private partnership. Cubic formed a joint venture with John Laing, where we have a special purpose entity in which Cubic has a 10% equity stake. The special purpose entity raises non-recourse debt and subcontract the design board and operations and maintenance to Cubic. Cubic receives progress payments from the special purpose entity during the design-build portion of the contract. The cost of special purpose entity meets the definition of a variable interest entity under U.S. GAAP that Cubic being deemed the primary beneficiary, Cubic must consolidate the special purpose entity. As a result, you won’t see progress payments from special purpose entity reflected in free cash flow. We will be providing an adjusted free cash…

Brad Feldmann

Analyst

Thank you, Anshooman. Turning to Slide 15. In summary, we are very pleased with our year-on-year sales and adjusted EBITDA growth as well as growing record backlog. We have achieved five of our six near-term growth catalysts and expect to complete the sixth one, an award in the Bay Area in FY2019. We have made great progress executing our strategy, demonstrated by the recent wins, historical high backlog, reshaped portfolio with recent divestiture and the absolute focus on technology. The Shield acquisition is a great opportunity for us to enter a new growing market with a differentiated solution. Our absolute focus on Winning the Customer, delivering best-of-breed technology solutions, will continue to drive organic growth. Finally, with our ERP back-office system in place, we have a solid scalable foundation for first-class processes and efficiency to support the company’s expected growth while expanding margins. On the next earnings call, I will provide some perspective beyond Goal 2020. In closing, I’d like to thank my Cubic teammates for their strong performance and commitment to driving long-term value for our customers and shareholders. Now let’s proceed to the Q&A session.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Now we’ll be conducting a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question today is coming from Louie Dipalma from William Blair. Your line is now live.

Louie Dipalma

Analyst

Good morning, Brad, Anshooman and Kirsten. How are you, guys?

Brad Feldmann

Analyst

Hey, Louie. How are you doing?

Louie Dipalma

Analyst

Not bad. I was wondering how your recently announced Delerrok partnership will help your strategy as you pursue small and mid-sized transportation customers.

Brad Feldmann

Analyst

Sure. Delerrok has been serving small-market customers for a number of years and have built up a subscription-based model, where the fare rules are very easily changeable from city to city. And we think by combining that platform, if you will, with our NextBus 2.0 enhanced real-time passenger information system, and in the future some CAD/AVL capability, we’ll be able to provide subscription-based offering to midsized – small and midsized cities, if you will, allowing them to exchange CapEx for OpEx. And so we would get, if you will, a piece of the fare. And so we’re very excited about this opportunity. And as you know, traditionally, we’ve served larger cities, and this is a great opportunity to increase our addressable market.

Louie Dipalma

Analyst

Okay. And on that subject of larger cities, you’ve won a lot of them recently with your mobile wins in L.A. and D.C., along with your…

Brad Feldmann

Analyst

Mostly all, Louie.

Louie Dipalma

Analyst

Yes. I was just wondering if there’s been any change in competitive behavior just because I’m under the impression that there are a lot of economies of scale in this industry. And as you win more cities, it helps your margins and your competitors have less scale. So I was wondering if you’ve witnessed competitors being any less aggressive in the – than they have been in the past for these contracts and whether you get any sense that competitors may want to retrench from the industry.

Brad Feldmann

Analyst

We have to compete on each and every one of them. I’m not sure I would note overall trends. I think, as you pointed out, as the snowball continues, we have an advantage in terms of getting the nonrecurring done and, if you will, getting that done earlier and reducing risk and allowing us, thus, to have better solutions for our customers.

Louie Dipalma

Analyst

Okay. And that makes sense. And last question. At the Analyst Day, you referenced the Joint Aerial Layer Network as an organic growth driver. And I was just wondering if you could go over the time line for the commercialization of that product and potential customers that may be interested.

Brad Feldmann

Analyst

Yes. So we have a contract today with AFRL, and we’re maturing that solution and have a demo next year, where we’ll be able to demonstrate, if you will, a high-capacity backbone amongst various participants in the air. We hope and expect that, that will lead to excitement, and there has been a concept of the Joint Aerial Layer Network out there for some time. We believe that the upcoming PALM, the FY2020 PALM, where the department will allocate resources aligned with the new national security policy, I think that will be telling think that will be telling.

Louie Dipalma

Analyst

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next question is coming from Brian Ruttenbur from Drexel Hamilton. Your line is live.

Brian Ruttenbur

Analyst

Yes, thank you very much. Sorry for the background noise. I’m in an airport. Can you talk a little bit about the growth going forward?

Brad Feldmann

Analyst

Hey, Brian. How are you doing?

Brian Ruttenbur

Analyst

Pretty, good. Can you hear me?

Brad Feldmann

Analyst

We can. Thanks for calling.

Brian Ruttenbur

Analyst

Okay. So I apologize for any background nose. So I wanted to understand your long-term growth plans for transportation. It appears that the next three to five years, you’re going to be on extremely rapid rate. You’re winning everything. You’re going to have a ramp period. Can you talk a little bit about what you see down the road? What is kind of a steady-state model after all of these projects ramp? Or they’re just add on, add on, add on, on to the transportation?

Brad Feldmann

Analyst

Well, I’ll comment broadly, and I’ll let Anshooman talk about economics. So broadly, as you know, we’re very interested in this vision that Matt Cole has laid out called NextCity at the analyst conference. As you know, he talked about NextCity 3.0. So NextCity is the – if you will, the transformation of a payment business across many of the modes, and we’re trying to transform that to a payment and information technology business that is across all of the modes in the city such that we’re helping cities reduce congestion by providing them real-time information about what’s going on in the transportation network. And by having that information, patrons will – commuters will be able to make choices about what mode to take. In addition to that, operators perhaps will be able to have congestion pricing ideas to move people off of peak demands. And so we think there’s lots of growth in implementing the strategy. And we’ve been very fortunate, as you’ve noted, at the early, early days of that.

Anshooman Aga

Analyst

So Brian, adding on, as we mentioned in the past, we are very deliberate to spend our innovation R&D dollars in short-term and long-term opportunities. And we – so as the design-build contract that we want move into services, obviously, there are additional cities that we mentioned like Paris, Toronto, Montreal that we compete with but then also the adjacent markets for tolling and congestion charging. With the One Account strategy, we can expand into those markets in a cost-effective way for our customers and provide a great solution. We’re looking at intelligent traffic management systems. And then with the Delerrok investment and partnership that we announced today, we are looking at entering into the small and mid-market. So we have a good market share in the large fare collection systems, but we’re also ripe to expand into these other markets based on the technology that we’ve been building. So we expect that we should continue to see growth long term in our transportation business.

Brian Ruttenbur

Analyst

Okay, thank you very much. So it sounds like you’ve got near-term rapid growth, and longer term, you think that you can maintain a very high rate of growth off this new technology. My next question about is capital deployment. You’re hitting all your goals, and the priority in the near term on capital deployment, can you rank order it for me? And how has it changed? Is it M&A first? Is it buybacks? Is it – just rank order it, and tell me if it’s changed at all.

Anshooman Aga

Analyst

It really hasn’t changed from what we talked about during the Investor Day. We’re continuously evaluating all options. We look at organic growth via investment in innovation short term, long term, dividing it between incremental and game changer. We also look at accretive M&A transactions. So again, as long as it fits in our strategy of being market-leading, technology-driven and being accretive second year cash, EPS accretive second year, we look to make additions to our portfolio, and we continuously are monitoring that and evaluating those.

Brian Ruttenbur

Analyst

Okay, thank you very much.

Brad Feldmann

Analyst

Brian, thank you.

Operator

Operator

We’ve reached the end of our question-and-answer session. I’d like to turn the floor back over to Brad for any further closing comments.

Brad Feldmann

Analyst

Thank you for joining us today. Cubic had a solid quarter, and we remain very optimistic about the future. We look forward to you joining us on the next call.