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Culp, Inc. (CULP)

Q3 2016 Earnings Call· Wed, Mar 2, 2016

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day and welcome to the Culp, Inc. Fiscal 2016 Third Quarter Conference Call. Today's call is being recorded. At this time, for opening remarks and introductions, I would like to turn the call over to Ms. [Dru Anderson] [ph]. Please go ahead.

Dru Anderson

Management

Thank you. Good morning and welcome to the Culp conference call to review the Company's results for the third quarter of fiscal 2016. As we start, let me express that some statements made in this call will be forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements that include projections, expectations or beliefs about future events or results or otherwise are not statements of historical facts. Actual performance of the Company may differ from that projected in such statements. Investors should refer to statements filed by the Company with the SEC, including the Form 8-K filed yesterday, for a discussion of those factors that could affect Culp's operations and the forward-looking statements made in this call. The information being provided today is of this date only and Culp expressly disclaims any obligation to release publicly any updates or revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in expectations. In addition, during this call, the Company will be discussing non-GAAP financial measurements. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measurements to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measurements is included as a schedule to the Company's 8-K filed yesterday. This information is also available on the Investor Relations section of the Company's Web-site at culp.com. A slide presentation with supporting summary financial information and additional quarterly performance charts are also available on the Company's Web-site as part of the Webcast of today's call. I will now turn the call over to Frank Saxon, President and Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead, sir.

Franklin N. Saxon

Management

Good morning and thank you for joining us today. I would like to welcome you to the Culp quarterly conference call with analysts and investors. With me on the call today is Ken Bowling, our Chief Financial Officer. I'll begin the call with some brief comments and then Ken will review the financial results for the quarter. I will then update you on the strategic actions in each of our businesses. After that, Ken will review the fourth quarter business outlook, and then we'll be happy to take your questions. We continued to drive improvement in our operating performance in the third quarter. While we have achieved higher overall year-over-year sales through the first nine months of this year, we did experience a slight drop in the third quarter compared with the prior year period, which was an exceptionally strong sales performance for both businesses. We have remained focused on our top strategic priorities, to drive product innovation and creativity throughout our Company and to provide a product mix that meets the demands of our customers. I am very pleased with the progress we continue to make in these areas. Our efficient and flexible manufacturing platform supports this strategy and we continue to make the right investments to improve operating efficiencies and increase overall capacity. Overall, we have seen significant improvement in our profitability and margins this fiscal year with pre-tax income up 21% on a year-to-date basis and we are expecting another record year in earnings and return on capital. Importantly, we also have the financial strength to support our growth strategy as well as provide added value to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. I'll now turn the call over to Ken who'll review the financial results for the quarter.

Kenneth R. Bowling

Management

Thank you, Frank. As mentioned earlier on the call, we have posted slide presentations to our Investor Relations Web-site that cover key quarterly and annual performance measures. We have also posted our capital allocation strategy. Total sales for this quarter were $78.5 million, down 3.4% from the third quarter of last year. On a pre-tax basis, for the quarter we reported income of $7.2 million or 9% of sales, compared with $5.9 million or 7% of sales, reflecting a 21% year-over-year increase. Adjusted net income for the quarter, a non-GAAP measure, was $5.9 million or $0.47 per share, up 18% from the prior year period. Overall, annualized return on capital was 32%, compared with 27% last fiscal year. The Company's overall adjusted effective income tax rate through the third quarter of this fiscal year was 17.8%, compared with 15.3% for the same period last year. This adjusted effective income tax rate or ongoing estimated cash tax rate represents income tax expense for Culp's non-U.S. entities divided by consolidated income before taxes. This information is important because the Company currently does not pay cash taxes in the U.S. nor do we expect to for a few more years due to approximately $33 million in loss carry-forwards or NOLs as of the end of last fiscal year. Importantly, our NOL balance has been reduced by around $28 million over the last three fiscal years at an average of just over $9 million per year. Here are the results for our two businesses. For mattress fabrics, we reported $44.3 million in sales, down 3% compared with the third quarter of last year, while year-to-date sales were up 4.5%. Operating income for this segment was $5.8 million for the quarter, up 11% from the same period last year. Operating income margin was 13.1% of…

Franklin N. Saxon

Management

Thank you, Ken. I will now provide you an update on both of our operating segments and let's start with mattress fabrics. While our sales were slightly lower than last year for the third quarter, we have continued to deliver a consistent and strong operating performance this year. Our sales for the third quarter were affected by several factors, including a weather event at the end of the quarter which affected our production and shipping schedules. Additionally, we experienced a timing difference related to customer rollouts of new product lines that typically occur in our third quarter, as they did in the previous year. We expect to recognize that business in the fourth quarter, following the Presidents Day holiday promotional events. In spite of these factors, we continued to outpace the overall mattress industry growth, and we are pleased with our ability to respond to changing customer demand trends. Our mirrored manufacturing platform, technical expertise and expanded reactive capacity support our ability to meet this demand with exceptional service and delivery performance. We are encouraged by the execution of our strategy as we continue to realize the benefits of our recent capital investments with increased capacity via newer, more efficient equipment, enhanced finishing capabilities and better overall throughput. During the quarter, we also benefited from lower raw material cost and lower operating expenses due to the more favorable exchange rates in Canada, offset somewhat by customer pricing pressures. As planned, we completed the initial phase of our expansion project in our Canadian operation and we plan to install additional new equipment and make other technological improvements throughout our manufacturing platform during the fourth quarter. These investments demonstrate our commitment to our customers and we look forward to the opportunities to drive further operational improvement. Design and innovation remain our top…

Kenneth R. Bowling

Management

At this time, we expect overall sales to be comparable with the fourth quarter of last fiscal year, which was a strong quarter. For the year, we expect overall sales to be slightly higher than last year's annual sales. We expect fourth quarter sales in our mattress fabrics business to be comparable with the same period a year ago. Operating income and margin are expected to be flat to slightly lower than the same period last year. For the full fiscal year, we expect mattress fabric sales to be 2% to 4% higher than last fiscal year, and operating income and margins are expected to be significantly higher than last fiscal year. In our upholstery fabrics business, we expect fourth quarter sales to be comparable with the previous year's fourth quarter results. We believe operating income and margin will be moderately higher compared with the same quarter of last year. For the full fiscal year, we expect upholstery fabric sales to be comparable with last fiscal year. Operating income and margins are expected to be substantially higher than last fiscal year. Considering these factors, we expect to report pre-tax income for the fourth quarter in the range of $6.7 million to $7.2 million. Pre-tax income for last year's fourth quarter was $6.7 million. For fiscal 2016 as a whole, we expect pre-tax income in the range of $27.5 million to $28 million, compared with $23 million last fiscal year, which was the highest level achieved in the Company's history. Looking at the full fiscal year, capital expenditures are expected to be approximately $12 million, mostly related to expansion and efficiency improvement projects for mattress fabrics. Depreciation and amortization together with stock-based compensation is expected to be approximately $9 million. Additionally, the Company expects another good year of free cash flow, even with the anticipated high level of capital expenditures and modest growth in working capital. Looking ahead to next fiscal year, our preliminary estimate for capital expenditures is in the range of $11 million to $12 million as we continue to invest heavily in our mattress fabrics business. Now back to Frank.

Franklin N. Saxon

Management

We are pleased with our ability to consistently execute our strategy in fiscal 2016 with improved profitability in both businesses. We have maintained a strong competitive position with our creative designs, innovative product offerings, and a flexible and scalable global manufacturing platform that supports our ability to deliver these products. At the same time, we have continued to invest for the future to further enhance our operations and provide outstanding service to our customer base. We look forward to the opportunities ahead for Culp. Above all, we are committed to providing excellent value for our customers as a financially stable and trusted source for innovative fabrics. With that, we will now take your questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We'll first go to Budd Bugatch from Raymond James.

Bobby Griffin

Analyst

This is Bobby actually filling in for Budd. I appreciate you guys taking my questions and congrats on another good operational quarter. Frank, I was hoping that maybe you could provide a little bit of color on what you're hearing from your customers today versus maybe three, four, five months ago and help us understand a little bit of how much the slowdown as a result of prior year comparisons which are very difficult versus kind of the current economic environment that we're in here in the U.S.?

Franklin N. Saxon

Management

I think in our take, Bobby, it's both of those. How much is each, it's a little slower, business is still good but just a little slower than it had been. And of course we did have significantly tough comparisons for last year.

Bobby Griffin

Analyst

Okay. And then maybe lastly for me, could you touch a little bit on the health of some of your key suppliers and partners in China, given some of the recent economic data that we've heard from that market?

Franklin N. Saxon

Management

Yes. Culp historically has partnered with a few important mills in China. We call them our partner mills. We've always focused on a few and we believe the ones we currently deal with are all in good shape and have no concerns with any of them.

Bobby Griffin

Analyst

I appreciate you guys answering my questions and best of luck moving forward.

Operator

Operator

We'll now go to Marco Rodriguez from Stonegate Capital Markets.

Marco Rodriguez

Analyst

I was wondering if one of you guys can maybe talk a little bit more about the timing impact you guys saw from that specific customer rollout in the mattress segment. I'm assuming that took you guys by surprise. Can you maybe talk a little bit about the conversations you had with the client and then is it possible for you to kind of quantify the impact and have you recouped that revenue yet?

Kenneth R. Bowling

Management

This is Ken. Last year we had – I guess the Vegas market rollout kind of goes in cycles where you have the premium mattresses versus the more volume related types of mattresses, and last year it was one of those where there were a lot of different programs and so various customers wanted to rollout their programs faster. So that put pressure or increased the demand level for the third quarter as opposed to this year where it was more premium based, so there wasn't as much demand as compared to last year. So that did have an impact on last year's third quarter. I mean that was a tough comparison. They had, the mattress fabrics business, I think they were 90% above the previous year. So that was a tough comp to compare to. But that part of it, it was an acceleration of customer rollouts that we had last year as compared to this year.

Marco Rodriguez

Analyst

Got you. And can you quantify or talk about has that revenue flown through yet?

Kenneth R. Bowling

Management

No, I mean we don't really quantify it. I think as we said in the press release, some of that will be made up in the fourth quarter with this particular rollout period, but last year was kind of unique in that particular setup, but there will be some movement in the fourth quarter but we would not be able to quantify that.

Marco Rodriguez

Analyst

Got you, perfect. And kind of sticking on the mattress side, you guys were talking about adding new equipment and making some new technological improvements again on the mattress side in Q4. Can you maybe talk a little bit more about that in more specifics as far as what is being done, any expected costs and benefits?

Franklin N. Saxon

Management

What we've been doing, Marco, with both our key product lines, in the knitted product line and the woven product line and the finishing related to each, it was just more of the same in each of those major product lines. And the goal is to continue to increase the efficiency of those operations and we would expect to see benefits starting next year. These are all projects that can pay off very quickly.

Kenneth R. Bowling

Management

And Marco, I'll add to that that we have been focused in that business over the years to make sure we constantly replace aged out equipments to maintain that high efficiency rate. So that's always a part of our CapEx plan to look at equipment, replace it and maintain that efficiency at a high level.

Marco Rodriguez

Analyst

Got you.

Franklin N. Saxon

Management

And I think also when you look at our financial performance, what's encouraging to us also is we can have these couple of years here of higher than historical CapEx and still generate a really nice free cash flow.

Marco Rodriguez

Analyst

Got you. And last quick question here, if I might. On the inventory levels, I know you guys called out the clients are expecting you guys to hold a little bit more inventory for [them] [ph]. That's why it's kind of been ticking up here sequentially. But how should we be thinking about where that level sort of troughs, if you will, or should we be expecting it to continue to I guess increase or accelerate in the next few quarters?

Franklin N. Saxon

Management

We are expecting that to be in the flatfish range in the next quarter end. We believe we've seen the bulk of the inventory increase because the customer demands happened over the last year. And I think future increases, if we do have them, will be small and relative to sales growth. But we've seen the bulk of it.

Marco Rodriguez

Analyst

Got you. Perfect. Appreciate it, guys. I'll jump back in queue.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] It appears there are no further questions. I'll turn the conference back over to our presenters for any additional or closing remarks.

Franklin N. Saxon

Management

Thank you, operator, and thank you everyone for your participation and your interest in Culp. We look forward to updating you on our progress next quarter. Have a great day.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's presentation. Thank you for your participation.