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DigitalBridge Group, Inc. (DBRG)

Q3 2016 Earnings Call· Mon, Nov 7, 2016

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings and welcome to the Colony Capital third quarter 2016 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. And interactive question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I’d now like to turn the conference over to your host, Lasse Glassen, Addo Investor Relations. Thank you. You may begin.

Lasse Glassen

Analyst

Good morning, everyone. And welcome to Colony Capital, Inc.’s 2016 third quarter earnings conference call. With us today are the company's Chief Executive Officer, Richard Saltzman, and Chief Financial Officer, Darren Tangen. Kevin Traenkle, the company’s Chief Investment Officer, and Neale Redington, the company’s Chief Accounting Officer, are also on hand to answer questions. Before I hand the call over to them, please note that on this call certain information presented contains forward-looking statements. These statements are based on management's current expectations and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Potential risks and uncertainties that could cause the company's business and financial results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements are described in the company's periodic reports filed with the SEC from time to time. All information discussed on this call is as of today, November 7, 2016 and Colony Capital does not intend and undertakes no duty to update future events or circumstances. In addition, certain of the financial information presented in this call represents non-GAAP financial measures. The company's earnings release, which was released earlier this morning and is available on the company's website, presents reconciliations to the appropriate GAAP measure and an explanation of why the company believes such non-GAAP financial measures are useful to investors. And now, I’d like to turn the call over to Richard Saltzman, Chief Executive Officer of Colony Capital. Richard?

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

Thank you, Lasse. And welcome everyone to our third quarter 2016 earnings call. I’m pleased to report that Colony Capital had continuing excellent performance in the third quarter, generating core FFO of $0.52 per share. The strong quarter continues to demonstrate the efficacy of our strategic planning and ability to execute these past few years. Notably first, the acquisition of the Cobalt industrial portfolio two years ago, which has flourished into what is now the Colony Light Industrial Platform or CLIP. Second, the multiyear incubation development and management of Colony American homes, which successfully merged with Starwood Waypoint homes or SWAY earlier this year to become Colony Starwood Homes. Third, the sourcing and stewardship of opportunistic debt and equity investments, which had continued to deliver both high current returns and capital gains for the next several years. And fourth, the development of new Colony branded investment products, distributed through our investment management platform. Finally, and very importantly, we continue to make excellent progress towards the closing of the triparty merger with NorthStar Asset Management and NorthStar Realty Finance. Once complete, which is expected in January 2017, our vastly increased scale, broader distribution capabilities and diversity of assets will greatly enhance our overall capabilities. And I'll address this in more detail later on. Similar to last quarter, I’d like to provide a progress report on the top management priorities for 2016 that we established at the beginning of the year. Starting with Colony Starwood Homes, or SFR, management continues to outperform their 2016 business plan objectives, having achieved their targeted $50 million annualized cost synergies, well ahead of schedule, and having reported robust same-store revenue and net operating income growth year-to-date. This has led to a further increase in their full year 2016 core FFO guidance from a range of $1.60…

Darren Tangen

Analyst

Thank you, Richard. Before beginning my remarks on our third quarter results, I'd like to remind our listeners that we published a supplemental financial package concurrently with our earnings release earlier this morning and both of these documents are available on our website. Now, moving to a summary of our financial results for the third quarter. Colony Capital reported net income attributable to common stockholders of $22.9 million or $0.20 per share and core FFO of $70 million or $0.52 per share. Core FFO included $12 million or $0.09 per share of net gains from a variety of investments in the form of prepayment fees, gains on sale of certain real state, and disposition fees, which were slightly offset by provisions for loan losses and bad debt expense. Excluding net gains, our normalized third quarter core FFO was $0.43 per share, which more than fully covered our quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share. Turning to capital deployment, we have been very productive since the end of June deploying and committing just over $700 million of equity, of which the balance sheet contributed approximately $295 million and funds managed by the company contributed $420 million. The deployment from our balance sheet was spread across CLIP, other real estate equity, and real estate debt. About 70% of the balance sheet’s deployment was in equity investment with the 30% remainder in debt. Geographically, approximately 85% of the balance sheet deployment was in the United States and 15% was in Europe, primarily Germany and Ireland. Following this investment activity, our current investment portfolio’s exposure to Europe is 19%. Now, I’ll provide financial and asset management highlights for each of our five reportable segments. Operationally, CLIP continues to improve and perform at a high level with a third quarter 2016 core FFO contribution of $15.6…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Jessica Levi-Ribner from FBR. Please go ahead.

Jessica Levi-Ribner

Analyst

Hi. Thanks so much for taking my questions. So, just to quickly reference the $700 million of near-term liquidity, what are your priorities for deployment? Would that go to CLIP or do you remain kind of opportunistic?

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

Well, this is Richard. Hi, Jessica.

Jessica Levi-Ribner

Analyst

Hi, Richard.

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

I think we remain flexible, is how I would describe it, just in terms of where we’re going to deploy capital. And I think, for sure, depending on where our stock is trading, a buyback might be in our future as we had reported and referenced previously. Further deleveraging, of course, is also on our radar screen. Allocating additional capital as we think is judicious to the various segments that are keepers and that we want to continue to grow, like a CLIP, may also be in the offing. So, I think it's a mix of these different things and it really just depends on the timing and the pricing at which all of these different options may be available. And I would hesitate to kind of commit to any one thing right now, but I think it's all in the mix. Darren, you may want to add some color.

Darren Tangen

Analyst

No. Certainly, until the merger closing, we’re probably – outside of the co-investments that we've been doing ordinary course alongside of our private equity funds, I suspect we’re going to keep our dry powder in reserve to get the merger closed and then really new deployment going forward will be under the Colony NorthStar entity and focusing on the things that Richard just highlighted.

Jessica Levi-Ribner

Analyst

Okay. Fair enough. And then, just a quick question on the CLIP platform, what’s driving the same-store revenue and operating income growth? Is that more leasing, better price per square foot, and how do we think about that on a go-forward? Would you expect the same type of growth? Or should that moderate over time?

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

Well, I think there’s, for sure, been more leasing, absorption of space. Our occupancy has actually grown from about 87% at the time that we originally closed on the Cobalt acquisition, which is just coming up on its two-year anniversary, to today, we’re operating just around 95%. So, certainly, you’ve seen that improvement over the last almost 24 months. But also, the rents that we're getting per foot have been way in excess of our underwriting and our budget. And that’s a trend that we believe will continue just based on how robust the whole supply/demand scenario seems to be for industrial and light industrial, in particular, where we benefit from being closer to the TBDs, infill locations where anybody who's kind of either indirectly or connected to the e-commerce chain, if they’re focused on convenience and same day or next day or 48-hour type deliveries, our kind of space is very attractive. So, as far as we can tell, that seems to be a secular change that will be in place for quite some time. So maybe in terms of improving occupancy, above 95%, that may moderate, if you will, but I think the – all of these other trends are going to continue.

Jessica Levi-Ribner

Analyst

Okay, great. Thanks so much.

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

You’re welcome. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Jade Rahmani from KBW. Please go ahead.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst

I was wondering if you could characterize the investment environment. Where are you deploying capital? Where are the opportunities attractive? And where would you say you're cautious?

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

Well, hi, Jade. I think the environment is a tricky one, right? Asset prices, generally speaking, are high, and particularly against the backdrop of perhaps higher interest rates here over time. On the other hand, fundamentals in most of the asset classes that certainly we’re focused on were really good. So – I’m mainly focusing my comments and remarks on the US for the moment. Europe, I think, is a separate matter. And so, we want to focus in those areas where we believe that the supply/demand fundamentals are going to continue to be very strong. And perhaps, to the extent that there is any friction as a function of higher interest rates, higher cap rates, it’s going to be more than adequate to compensate for that. And then, we’re also focused here in the US through our credit funds, as an example, on those kind of crevices in the market, niches where traditional capital, like from the banks and the insurance companies, is having a difficult time filling those crevices or niches. And so, that's an area where we continue to deploy our capital, mainly through our funds, but, of course, the balance sheet is participating alongside that. And then, there's Europe. As I mentioned, Europe continues to be interesting from more of a financial stabilization distress standpoint in terms of whether it's buying pieces of paper attractively or alternatively making rescue capital type loans or doing recapitalizations of that sort. So, I think it's limited to those places. To just enter a new space and make a very significant bet today, let’s say, more consistent with our longer-term strategy is not necessarily something that we think is that interesting or compelling at the moment just given the entire dynamic.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst

On the industrial side, can you say what cap rates, for example, you’re targeting on acquisitions?

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

Well, I think, generally, in our space, we’re benefiting from, in the light industrial area, generally higher cap rates that are available versus, let’s say, what you might find in bulk industrial space. So, typically, we may be buying at kind of 6 plus or minus type cap rates. Whereas, some of the bulk industrial, built-to-suit new product that gets built out I much more remote locations, not as close to the CBDs is where our real state is located, that real estate may trade in the 4% or 4.5% cap rate vicinity. So, we continue to believe there is a nice arbitrage between what we’re focused on with our light industrial emphasis versus where the market has moved to in terms of bulk industrial.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst

And just on the verticals you identified, was there a reason you didn’t highlight industrial as a – determined as being a long-term holding?

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

No. We did identify industrial for sure. I think we said that’s kind of prototype and definitely something that is a keeper and we plan to continue to invest both third-party capital and perhaps may even increase our own balance sheet exposure to that space.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst

As you look at the verticals identified in the real property segment, what percentage do you think has triple net lease like characteristics in the leasing? Inclusive of healthcare, industrial and your other real estate equity.

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

Well, I think very little in terms of what we're doing in the industrial. In the healthcare, a fair amount. I don't think we've actually quantified the precise percentages, but it's an interesting question. Maybe something we should take a closer look at. But I would say more so in the healthcare, for sure, given that those can be operating businesses and you need a triple net lease type structure in order to appropriately protect yourself and structure vis-à-vis our being a REIT and much less so in the industrial.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst

Can you also give an update on your UK exposure? I think you have $150 million of UK and France office, which is 62% leased. I assume that was an opportunistic investment. And then around $430 million of UK mixed use, which is 90% leased.

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

So, Jade, I think you heard me there and here. You heard me in my comments say that on an overall basis, 19% of the portfolio is exposed in Europe and I think it’s is a little less than half of that that’s in the UK. And if your underlying question is relates to foreign exchange exposure, we did take a look at this at the end of the third quarter just to look at where we were on a spot rate basis for both our euro-denominated as well as our pound Sterling related investments. And this is on sort of an unrealized basis, if you look at where those spot rates are and then you look at where our hedges are that we put in place for those non-US denominated investments, we are – right now, we’re sitting on approximately a $5 million loss unrealized. Again, that’s net of the derivatives or hedges that we have in place. So, that’s about $0.04 a share. Again, it’s 19% in Europe and I think it’s a little less than half of that that’s in the UK.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst

And what about operating trends in those portfolios? Rents, occupancies, traffic, any sort of pressure from Brexit?

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

Not that we've seen yet because the majority of the assets that we've invested in the UK are outside of central London. And I think probably the most effect that’s been witnessed so far as a result of Brexit, and it’s early days, as we all know, has been more in Central London. I think, in the regional areas of England and the UK, we've not yet seen any material impact and those investments continue to perform to underwriting.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst

Okay. Just on the debt portfolio, can you comment on credit trends, if they’ve been stable quarter-over-quarter. The loss provision, I assume, was on the real estate acquisition – on the debt acquisition side. But just how did credit perform? And also, are you seeing a pickup in loan prepayments – loan repayments?

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

I don't know if we’ve seen a pickup in loan prepayments. That’s sort of been relatively steady for us. And on the credit metrics side, again, I'd say that the third quarter was stable relative to what we saw in the quarter prior. So, no meaningful change either positively or negatively from prior quarter.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst

On the fundraising side, do you anticipate a closing by year-end on CDCF IV and can you just maybe give some color on how that's going. Do you feel like the product is gaining traction in the market or having difficulty?

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

Well, I made some comments before, Jade, about how the fundraising is going generally for us. And, look, I think if you look at the stats for fundraising generally in real estate private equity, you see that the numbers are off somewhat. And I think, to some degree, some concern about where are we exactly in the cycle vis-à-vis your earlier question about just – what's the market opportunity today and just nervousness about have values gotten to the point where the fundamentals don’t support it, et cetera. But we continue to find that in the strategies that we’re pursuing. There are excellent opportunities. And with enough time to be able to explain that to people who have been nervous and on the fence, just given the environment, given Brexit, given other things, we do get traction, albeit it's a little bit of delayed gratification. So, I think we made the comment that we’re still cautiously optimistic that we’re going to achieve our targets, albeit it’s just going to take us a little bit longer.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst

And just, finally, on the liquidity side, how much of the available liquidity will be necessary to close the NorthStar merger, of Colony’s liquidity?

Darren Tangen

Analyst

Well, we’re really not relying on any of Colony’s liquidity to close the merger. There is about $1 billion that's required to close the transaction, which is mostly the repayment of about $900 million of term loans that existed, NSAM and NRF, and then there’ll be some transaction expenses above and beyond that. But it's expected that that liquidity is going to be available within the North – largely within the NorthStar entities. There may be a little bit of liquidity that we use from the revolver on the Colony side to close the deal, but most liquidity is from the NorthStar entities.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst

Great. Thanks very much for taking my questions.

Darren Tangen

Analyst

Thanks, Jade.

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

Thank you, Jade.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Jason Arnold from RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Jason Arnold

Analyst

Hi, guys. Good morning. I was just curious if we could talk about the open-end structure in a bit more detail and kind of how you envision utilizing that prospectively in the business.

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

Sure. So, the open-end fun format is one that has been around now for a fair number of years in the private real estate world, going back 20-plus years ago, even closer to 30. There were open-end funds that were originally sponsored by some insurance companies to buy more core-like assets, typically in a diversified mode. And I forget exactly the number of those funds that are out there today, but they are commonly referred to as legacy funds and they’re highly popular. And, in fact, generally speaking, there have been some substantial cues to get into those funds. The basic way an open-end fund works is that you – on a quarterly basis you update your NAVs through outside third-party appraisals and then investors have the ability to either come into the fund based on those NAVs on a quarterly basis or redeem their interests in the same fashion. Now, more recently, sector funds have started to flourish, and so notably you see a couple of industrial funds that have been out there, couple of multi-family funds that have been out there, even a couple of debt origination funds in the open-end format that have been promulgated. So, there's a very favorable supply/demand dynamic in terms of capital that wants to get into these funds for the right products. And certainly, industrial was at the top of the list, and so it was perfectly suited for morphing or evolving how we had organize CLIP previously into an open-end fund and we’re very optimistic. Frankly, just back on the capital raising question that just came up, we got to this open-end fund and with a good initial close fairly quickly as it relates to kind of institutional capital raising, generally speaking, and so we’re feeling quite good and confident about the future.

Jason Arnold

Analyst

Great. Thanks for the color there. And then, I guess, just second question is, kind of maybe you can comment on where you're seeing the most appealing investment opportunities regionally. Just a little extra color there would be great.

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

Well, look, I think, certainly, we continue to find Europe interesting, just from the standpoint of some of the distress and continued uncertainty in some of those markets, whether it’s Brexit, whether it’s just being maybe four to five years behind where the US is in terms of its recovery in and just the willingness and what's transpired to date in terms of kind of dealing with re-equitizing financial institution balance sheets and dealing with legacy issues. So, that continues to be an area that we think will produce fertile new investment opportunities. And then, here in the US, I think you need to be much more selective in the way that I was mentioning earlier, but those markets where the job growth is most robust are the ones that you want to be in. And whether that's where technology is sprouting up, and not just necessarily in Northern California being the most obvious place, but in those other places, other markets that are benefiting from technology. We continue to focus in those places where you really have solid economic growth, solid employment gains and where hopefully you don't really see any [indiscernible] in terms of new development. So, I think the good news this cycle has been new supply in real estate, generally, has been reasonably constrained, but there are some exceptions to that as you look around the country in terms of where you’ve seen some building, Houston being an example right at the wrong time in terms of when energy was speaking. But there are also being other examples of where there may be too much supply vis-à-vis the underlying demand.

Jason Arnold

Analyst

Makes sense. Super. Thanks very much for the color.

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

Yeah. Thank you, Jason.

Darren Tangen

Analyst

And if I could just make a clarifying comment going back to one of Jade’s questions about investment portfolio exposure to the UK, I mentioned that our European exposure is 19%. We’re actually 4% in the UK and approximately 15% elsewhere in Europe. Operator, is there anybody else with questions?

Operator

Operator

We do have another questions from Mitch Germain from JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

Mitch Germain

Analyst

Good morning, guys. Just back to the open-end fund, I was just kind of curious, a couple questions. A, what was raised versus your goal? B, how should we consider your approach to leverage when you're levering up with that equity or within that fund? And then, B – or C, any other sectors do you think this vehicle potentially works with within Colony NorthStar?

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

Sure. Hi, Mitch. I think we're very pleased with where we are to date vis-à-vis our expectations at this time. The open-end fund format is perpetual life in nature. So, this is a long game. And we’re in the earliest of innings, if you will. And so, we hope to be raising capital here incrementally. It maybe not necessarily every quarter, but it’s perpetual, it’s evergreen and it's perfectly suited to what's happening in terms of underlying supply/demand fundamentals in the industrial space. As I mentioned, there are also sector funds that exist in the open-end fund real estate private equity world in both multifamily and debt – mortgage origination. So, those are certainly areas where it's kind of a proven mouse trap for capital formation, to the extent that that's where we want to go. I think we’re going to pro forma for the NorthStar merger. We have the benefit of lots of options, including retail options. So, I don't want to commit to anyone construct in particular. But, for sure, the open-end fund private, institutional, real estate, equity world continues to grow and evolve where there are more types of offering and certainly multifamily debt origination are possibilities. But if there are other strong sectors that emerge from a fundamental supply/demand standpoint, then those might be appropriate too.

Mitch Germain

Analyst

Great.

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

Did I miss any part of your question there? There might have been a third point there.

Mitch Germain

Analyst

Just how – approach to leverage.

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

Yeah. And on the leverage front, I think this is very consistent with how we managed our balance sheet generally. But we want to be kind of comfortably somewhere between 40% to 50% debt to total capitalization.

Mitch Germain

Analyst

Excellent. And then, I know you went through, Richard, the five kind of key sectors that you guys are going to own. Over time, is it possible that we could see you guys add a six where you’re kind of carving out, say, Europe or something else into something that you want to grow a little more meaningfully?

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

Well, look, I think to go back to what we articulated in the call, these are the five segments we’re going to start with. Right? I think we identified that may be only two of the five are kind of core strategic verticals that we definitely are committed to staying with for the moment. Investment management, we kind of don’t view as a strategic vertical in and of itself. It’s kind of more a business that supports the core strategic verticals, as well as has its own purpose in terms of sponsoring more balance sheet light products in funds. So, three of the five, if you will, are kind of going to stay intact. And then with respect to the other two, opportunistic debt and equity, we said is going to roll of over time. And to the extent that we stay in that business, and I think we will, it’s going to be more through the investment management side, balance sheet light, but not a core strategic vertical. Hospitality may or may not stay there. But, look, I don't think we want to have more than five strategic verticals combined with investment management at any point. So, I think we’re saying that’s a ceiling. And if anything, we’re comfortable just managing only two or three, if that's what the opportunity is at any given point in the cycle.

Mitch Germain

Analyst

Excellent. Thanks so much, guys.

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

Thank you, Mitch.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our next question comes from Wayne Cooperman from Cobalt Capital. Please go ahead.

Wayne Cooperman

Analyst

Hey, Richard. Congratulations on letting a guy who owns shares ask the question finally. Just wanted an update on the merger. When you guys made change to the terms, one of the large holders that had come out against it came out for it, though I haven't heard from some of the other guys who have kind of vocally been opposed. Do you have any comments on those guys at all?

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

Well, not specifically, Wayne. But I do think, since that announcement was made, there clearly seems to be a very positive sentiment in the trading of all of the three companies, seemingly indicating that the market likes it and there's a lot more confidence now that this is – we’re going to get all of the shareholder votes. Once we get the final proxy out there and establish the dates, it’s a pretty clear path to, hopefully, getting those votes and then being able to close in January as we originally planned for. So, nobody is grousing right now that we’re aware of. We’re not getting any negative feedback, including from any of the groups that you're referencing.

Wayne Cooperman

Analyst

I guess, one of the guys that had opposed it has said to you that they’re still opposed to it or that they’re not opposed to it anymore?

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

Correct.

Wayne Cooperman

Analyst

Thanks. Good luck.

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

Yeah. No, thank you, Wayne.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Jade Rahmani from KBW. Please go-ahead.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst

Thanks. Just on the open-end fund, can you say what a reasonable expectation would be for the fund’s eventual size? And also, if you anticipate potentially launching additional, like, funds on other industry verticals?

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

So, Jade, we have to be careful just about certain things that we can or cannot say. But I think what we have said in the past is that ideally we would like to get to a ratio of outside capital to our own capital in all of these situations of somewhere around – certainly two to one, but maybe even as much as three to one or four to one. And as we said, we currently have $600 million of capital invested in CLIP today. And if anything, we might grow that. I’m not committing to the fact that we would grow it, but we might. So, I think maybe that's the best way for me to answer that question right now in terms of quantifying what might happen exactly in the industrial area. And then with respect to other verticals, as we said, open-end funds are common now for multifamily, for debt. So, those are certainly possibilities, but it’s too soon to really be more specific than that.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst

Thanks very much you.

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

I’d like to turn the floor back over to management for any closing comments.

Richard Saltzman

Analyst

Okay. Thanks, everyone, for your support here. And it was another great quarter for us and we appreciate the support we’ve had from you over the last seven years and hopefully soon in this next call. With a little bit of luck, we will be reporting as Colony NorthStar and merged. So, thanks everyone again and have a great rest of the year.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today’s teleconference. Thank you for your participation. You may disconnect your lines at this time.