Bob Sasser
Analyst · Citi.
Yes. I wish I could tell you exactly, but it's early. So yes, we feel good about our guidance. We have it -- all that we know embedded into our guidance for the second quarter. We have a lot to -- still, we're just early on in the quarter, Mother's Day was good. This weekend is the Memorial Day holiday, and we're expecting big things from that. And of course, graduation, especially in our Dollar Tree business, is a big idea, then heading into Father's Day and beyond. At Family Dollar, it's all those things plus a bigger seasonal summer offering because at Family Dollar, we sell fans. So when it gets hot, we're going to sell lots more fans and beach supplies and coolers and charcoal grills and all the things for cooking out. This should be a big weekend for that as well as the apparel business at Family Dollar. As our weather warms, as we get bright, blue, sunny skies, we're seeing the apparel business take off. So there's a lot of bright spots. And just to step back a minute, I will tell you that the big issue once more in first quarter on sales at Family Dollar was the delay in the tax refund checks. You could -- they were late, and the business was -- in February was stubborn and difficult. But when the check's hit, you could see it day by day, and you could see improvement in the sales. And then we came into March, where we lost Easter, at pretty good marks, and it met our expectations. We had a good Easter, but we could not make up what we lost in February. And that's the story that you see. Our discretionary business is what suffered. Our consumer, the things that they needed, even with a bad -- with getting the checks late, they bought what they needed, so our consumable business was slightly up over the quarter, but our discretionary business is where all of the comp decrease was. So that really is the story of what happened at Family Dollar. It wasn't structural. It wasn't anything to do with our new assortments. It was more to do with just the way things fell on those tax checks, especially for that low-income customer, which we have a lot of at Family Dollar. These tax checks, to those lowest-income customers, they wait for them, they count on them, and that's when they buy things like clothing, and that's when they buy the things that they'd like to have but just can't afford to have other times of the year.