Earnings Labs

DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc. (DMAC)

Q3 2023 Earnings Call· Tue, Nov 14, 2023

$6.25

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the DiaMedica Therapeutics Third Quarter 2023 Conference Call. An audio recording of the webcast will be available shortly after the call today on DiaMedica's website at www.diamedica.com, in the Investor Relations section. Before the company proceeds with its remarks, please note that the company will be making forward-looking statements on today's call. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected in these statements. More information, including factors that could cause actual results to differ from projected results appears in the section entitled Cautionary Statement Note regarding forward-looking statements in the company's press release issued yesterday and under the heading Risk Factors in DiaMedica's most recent annual report on Form 10-K and current year quarterly reports on Form 10-Q. DiaMedica's SEC filings are available at www.sec.gov and on its website. Please also note that any comments made on today's call speak only as of today, November 14, 2023, and may no longer be accurate at the time of any replay or transcript reading. DiaMedica disclaims any duty to update its forward-looking statements. Following the prepared remarks, we will open the phone lines for questions. I would now like to introduce your host for today's call, Mr. Rick Pauls, DiaMedica's President and Chief Executive Officer. Mr. Pauls, you may begin, sir.

Rick Pauls

Management

Thank you, Paul. Hello, everyone, and welcome to our third quarter conference call. I am joined this morning by Scott Kellen, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin this morning, I want to take a moment to welcome Dr. Ambar Shah as our Chief Technology Officer. Dr. Shah has over 25 years of experience in advancing biopharmaceuticals from early stage to commercialization, where he has had key contributions to over 50 drugs in multiple successful drug approvals. He was previously the Vice President and Head of Global Vaccines Development at CSL Seqirus, where he was accountable for end-to-end chemistry, manufacturing and control in the development of vaccines. Prior to that position, he was Executive Director, Head of Drug Product Development at Bristol-Myers Squib formerly Celgene. His prior experience comprised increasingly impactful roles at AstraZeneca, formerly MedImmune, GlaxoSmithKline, formerly Human Genome Sciences, and Pfizer, formerly Wyeth. Ambarish consulted with us for five months before joining us in a permanent role. We are thrilled to have Ambarish as part of our team. Turning to our Phase 2 update. As we've discussed, our clinical operations have been working tirelessly to assemble the team, update procedures, and prepare the tools to properly support the physician investigators and the clinical study sites. During this time, we have also been speaking with study sites, key opinion leaders, industry experts, our Scientific Advisory Board and our new Interim Chief Medical Officer, Dr. Jordan Dubow, to ensure that the ReMEDy2 protocol is as clear and executable as possible by study sites, while generating the data required for the FDA and other regulatory bodies. More than that, we want to give DM199 the greatest possible probability of clinical success. We will focus today on discussing these protocol amendments in addition to issuing our quarterly earnings press release yesterday, we…

Scott Kellen

Management

Thanks, Rick, and good morning, everyone, and thanks for being part of today's call. Our total cash, cash equivalents and investments were $56.2 million at the end of Q3, up from $33.5 million as of December 31, 2022, this increase was due primarily to the $33.8 million of net proceeds from our June and April private placements conducted earlier this year, partially offset by cash used to fund operating activities during the nine months ended September 30, 2023. Net cash used in operating activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, was $14.9 million compared to $8.7 million in the prior year period. The increase in cash usage relates primarily to increased net loss in the current year period over the prior year period and increased amortization of discounts on marketable securities, partially offset by noncash share-based compensation and the effects of changes in operating assets and liabilities in the current year period. We believe that our current capital will support the clinical development of DM199 and our operations into 2026. Our research and development expenses increased to $3.3 million for the three months ended September 30, 2023, up from $1.6 million for the three months ended September 30, 2022. R&D expenses increased to $9.4 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, up from $5.6 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. The increase for the nine month comparison was driven primarily by costs incurred for the end-use studies performed to address the recently lifted clinical hold on the company's ReMEDy2 AIS trial, costs incurred for the Phase II study, determining the DM199 blood concentration levels achieved with the IV dose of DM199 using PVC IV bags and increased manufacturing and process development costs. Also contributing to the increase were higher personnel costs associated with…

Rick Pauls

Management

Thanks, Scott. With that, we would like to open the call for questions. Operator, if you could please open the lines for questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from Thomas Flaten of Lake Street Capital. Your line is open.

Thomas Flaten

Analyst

Good morning. Just a couple of quick questions, Rick. If you think about the total patients as a funnel, so you're excluding mechanical thrombectomy, tPA, so conservatively called that 20% of patients, then you're removing about 20% of patients for the posterior circulation. Can you just walk us through how that -- how you see that all working, especially if you include the NIHSS score as well?

Rick Pauls

Management

Yes. Thanks, Thomas. So as we see this, that -- I mean, bigger picture here is, what's most important for us is getting to the -- we think the greatest clinical effect was this drug. And so we think commercially, the larger delta we see, so improvement of DM199 versus placebo, we think the greater commercial value. And so as we're initially going to be targeting here, so we anticipate the initial label will be in the moderate to severity stroke patients, which would be in kind of like 35% to 40% of all strokes. And then commercially, though, as we talk to neurologists and commercial people, we think that if a patient has a mild or a moderate to severe or severe stroke that they'll most likely be getting our treatment.

Thomas Flaten

Analyst

Got it. And then to get to the 144 patient enrollment by year-end, how many sites do you need to have actively enrolling at your pacing to get to that number?

Rick Pauls

Management

Yes. So right now, we're looking at -- and we're talking about up to 100 sites, really focusing on those first 75. So what we're looking at right now is about 40 in the U.S., potentially 10 in Australia, 10 in Canada, and then the remaining in Europe and other parts of the world. So as we -- looking at the enrollment rate, that's the first assumption. And then the second assumption is the patient enrollment by site by month. So right now, what we're using is an enrollment rate target of 0.25. So having one patient per site every four months. And so, this is based upon some of the analysis of some historical stroke trials. We've recently gone back and did an analysis of the last 20 or so stroke trials for acute ischemic stroke. Many of those were mechanical thrombectomy that had a smaller treatment window and targeting a smaller patient population. And on average, there was an enrollment rate of 0.5, so about twice in terms of the rate that we're targeting. But there's still a lot of variables here that we just don't know. So even with these changes that we've made, we're still using the assumption of the 0.25 enrollment rate. And getting into the new year, as we start to get some traction here, and we start getting the first sites up, we'll have better clarity of where that actual enrollment rate comes in at.

Thomas Flaten

Analyst

Got it. And then one final one, if I might. Any reason that we shouldn't see the interim analysis readout in the second quarter of 2025, if everything goes to plan?

Rick Pauls

Management

Right now, that's the plan. And again, there's lots of variables, but I'm hoping here -- I'm hoping that this enrollment rate is conservative. In the past, we had some challenges with COVID. Also part of these protocol changes, there are some aspects in there that were -- that weren't quite clear. So with our new Interim Chief Medical Officer, in particular, helping us with just revising and just making the trial protocol more clear. And I think that's going to help with recruitment.

Thomas Flaten

Analyst

Excellent. Appreciate taking the questions. Thank you.

Rick Pauls

Management

Thanks, Thomas.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Alex Nowak from Craig-Hallum. Your line is open.

Alexander Nowak

Analyst

All right. Great. Good morning, everyone. So the prior protocol made DM199 available only when mechanical thrombectomy wasn't given. Now it's based more on the anterior circulation. But is the goal still the same to reduce the mechanical thrombectomy patients. Is that correct?

Rick Pauls

Management

So the plan still is to be excluding patients that were previously treated with mechanical thrombectomy and to exclude those patients that have a large vessel occlusion. And we believe that's about 20% of the strokes today that have a large vessel occlusion.

Alexander Nowak

Analyst

And then the anterior circulation is being added on top of that?

Scott Kellen

Management

Yes. Alex, this is Scott. The -- as we were laying out in the remarks, the NIHS score doesn't evaluate the posterior circulation strokes very well. And so, the potential for getting misscored patients into the trial, scored low or high, creates variability that we just don't want to introduce. And keep in mind that, of those 20% that are PCS strokes, 70% generally present within an NIHSS score of four or less. So the effect on the addressable patient population for ReMEDy2 is very minimal.

Alexander Nowak

Analyst

Okay. Got it. And then the assessment of the anterior versus posterior circulation, how quickly can that be performed in the centers? Is that just a real-time assessment? And then how many in ReMEDy2 were anterior?

Rick Pauls

Management

Yes, it's something that's -- it's a quick review by neurologists. We don't have the data in front of us from a ReMEDy1, but we can double check on that.

Alexander Nowak

Analyst

Okay. Understood. And then I just want to confirm, so what will be reported now during the interim analysis? I understand you don't want to get hit with the penalty. But I just want to be clear on what we're going to see when that interim analysis hits.

Rick Pauls

Management

Sure. So with interim analysis if we're seeing a lack of efficacy, the study will be terminated for lack of efficacy. Otherwise, there'll be a resampling size between 240 and 728 patients. So the only thing that's changed here is that we remove the option for stopping for overwhelming efficacy. And...

Alexander Nowak

Analyst

Got it. So there won't be any unblinding of the data, we won't necessarily see excellent outcomes in the interim piece. We'll just either know it's either going to be stopped for lack of efficacy or study size needs to be modified.

Rick Pauls

Management

Yes. That's right. And basically, what drove this change here as we went through our forecasting and realizing that even if we achieve overwhelming efficacy at the interim analysis, during that five month period from when patient 144 is dosed and the interim analysis is conducted, we should be pretty close to that 240 patient anyways, in particular with now expanding with our trial side of the U.S., so we felt that there's no sense of taking that statistical penalty if effectively we're going to be there anyways at that point in time.

Alexander Nowak

Analyst

Yes, makes total sense. And then all these recommendations to the study change, did they come internal? Did they come by KOLs out in the field? Or were they from the CRO?

Rick Pauls

Management

So really good question. It came really a combination. I mean, first off, Dave Wambeke, our Chief Business Officer was in China for a week in August. And speaking to the company that's currently marketing the KAILIKANG, the urine form of KLK1, speaking to several other pharmaceutical firms and related. And based upon that, he got some pretty clear feedback on some of these changes we've made, like this posterior strokes, we'd be better targeting the moderates patients. So really leveraging the feedback really in China in terms of what patients that we believe will be better responders, and then also having Jordan Dubow, our Interim Chief Medical Officer joining, taking another close looking at the protocol, getting some additional feedback here from the initial sites that we reached out to. So after coming up of clinical hold, we reached out to numerous sites, and there was a number of feedback to the protocol that we could be done just to simplify it and reducing some of the steps that were perceived as complicated. And the point here right now, it's very important here that we make this protocol as simple as possible for the sites so that they don't looking at this protocol and feel that it was over complicated. So although this is taking a small delay here, I'd call it, but really very minor in terms of the big picture. So we see this as -- if we can increase the efficacy of the interim analysis by a few percentage than the previous protocol, that could really make the difference in not having to go to a larger total sample size. So ultimately, we feel this should reduce the total number of patients and time and the cost for the trial.

Alexander Nowak

Analyst

All right. That makes sense. Appreciate the update. Thank you.

Rick Pauls

Management

Thanks, Alex.

Operator

Operator

We have a question from Francois Brisebois of Oppenheimer. Your line is open.

Francois Brisebois

Analyst

Hi. Thanks for taking the questions. So just a couple here. In terms of the moderate severity, can you help us understand -- I guess, you talked about the prevalence, but mechanistically is there a rationale for this to make more sense here? And how do we get to feel comfortable that this won't -- having patients that are only moderately severe, is it easy to gauge who's moderate? And how do we feel comfortable that, that won't make enrollment quite a bit higher -- harder? Thank you.

Rick Pauls

Management

Yes. So thanks, Frank. So the premise here is if you take a stroke patient that's come in and -- so first off, it's very clear. So the severity is scored by the NIHSS. So if the score is five to 15, that is a clear moderate severity stroke patients. And so when we take a step back and we look at this, if the patient has a moderate to severe, so above 15, the likelihood of that patient getting to a full recovery and excellent outcome is not very high. And so as we take a step back and we look at this, and as I mentioned on the prepared remarks from our Phase 2 trial, we didn't have a single patient on DM199 who came in with a baseline above 15 that got to an excellent outcome. So I think what this does is just biases the opportunity here for higher effect. And as we're looking at our Phase 2 data further, it's really in those patients that are -- frankly, that were in the six to the 10, that we saw the greatest impact in getting to a full recovery compared to placebo. So we think these changes will ultimately show a greater effect. And then furthermore, when we take a looking at the clinical use of the KAILIKANG in China, most of those trials are targeting a less severe, so targeting more of a moderate severity strokes scale.

Francois Brisebois

Analyst

Okay. Thanks. And then lastly, can you help us understand the potential outcomes of this lawsuit that's coming up here? Thank you.

Scott Kellen

Management

Sure, Frank. Hopefully, the outcome is that we get access to our data. We get access to the study site. We're able to finally audit that study and confirm what the actual results were. I mean, first and foremost, we really, really would like to get a final study report that's accurate and fileable. Beyond that, we're going to ask -- we're asking for damages, that last proof-of-concept study that we believe was messed up, would cost $6 million or $7 million to reperform today. So we're asking for that. We're asking for the -- some damages related to a license that an opportunity that DiaMedica had at the time that was basically undermined by the error reporting from PRA. And we're taking a chance on lost value of the company as well. So all in, we're asking for as much as $75 million in damages and we'll see how much we can get through the court's process, again, provided that they reaffirmed their judgment from April that the DiaMedica is the owner and that PRA has reached the agreement. Does that answer your question, Frank?

Francois Brisebois

Analyst

Yes, all set. Thank you.

Rick Pauls

Management

Thanks, Frank.

Operator

Operator

And I'm seeing no further questions. I'll turn the call back over to our host.

Rick Pauls

Management

All right. Thanks, Paul. So the requirements that we discussed today in the inclusion criteria and are intended to enhance ReMEDy2's probability of success on the primary endpoint, which also has the potential to reduce the total number of participants required to be enrolled in ReMEDy2 trial without significantly impacting the estimate -- estimated enrollment rates. We'd like to thank everyone for joining us this morning and for your continued support. We are thrilled to be reengaged with clinical study sites and hope to be enrolling participants soon. This concludes our call.

Operator

Operator

The meeting has now concluded. Thank you for joining, and have a pleasant day.