David Cherechinsky
Analyst · Stifel. Nathan, your line is open
Thank you, Mark. We have a strong balance sheet, zero debt and an enviable liquidity position to support organic growth and strategic M&A opportunities. We are maintaining a disciplined approach as we continue to vet opportunities that support our overall growth strategy, generate accretive EBITDA margins, enhance our competitive position and differentiation. We are in various stages of conversations or negotiations, and while we're hungry to do smart deals, expectations around valuations by sellers in this market require patients and finesse in making the right long-term investments for our shareholders. And now turning to our raised outlook. For the second quarter, we expect sequential revenues to increase in the low to mid single-digit percentage range, with EBITDA to revenue flow-throughs expected in the 10% to 15% range. Salary and wages to attract new hires and retain our top talent, and increases in health care costs are expected to impact warehousing, selling and administrative expense in 2Q. While drilling the completion activity in the U.S. continues to expand, we will see a simultaneous seasonally slower second quarter breakup period in Canada. We usually see a DNOW 2Q sequential revenue decline, but strength in the U.S. market should allow for overall growth despite both seasonal Canadian headwinds and winter storms in the north earlier in 2Q. We are raising total company guidance for the full year 2022 with revenue to now increase 20%, with EBITDA to revenue incrementals approximating 20% compared to full year 2021. This is a meaningful upgrade to the forecast with strong bottom line earnings implications. As Mark demonstrated and the numbers reflect, we are really pleased with the significantly improved flow-through profile. We believe full year 2022 gross margins could approximate 2021 gross margin percent levels or better. With our strong performance in the first quarter, we are raising our gross margin expectations for the full year to be in the 22.0% to 22.5% range. Overall, product mix, availability, project size and timing and product and wage inflation, all impacting where we land within our guide -- our guidance. And now I would like to provide recognition on an accomplishment, which makes us very proud, one that impacts all our employees, their families and our customers. We have been working on improving workplace safety and making it a key aspect of how we work. I’m proud to announce that DNOW globally has produced a lower than one total recordable incident rate, or TRIR, 2 years in a row, which have represented the lowest TRIR in DNOW's history. These results were made possible by the prioritization of our safety program at all levels of the organization due to a renewed focus and diligence by our employees. I'm proud of the work we have done in improving safety and the strides we are making in our safety culture that we have invested in and will continue to build upon here at DNOW. With that, let's open the call for questions.