Scott M. Brinker
Analyst · Bank of America.
Farrell, let me give one additional perspective on this topic because the overall ABR from the company, including the CCRCs, I mean you're talking about $1.6 billion, $1.7 billion. The vast majority of that is credit tenants. When you really look at the portion of the portfolio that would be more at risk, you have to monitor its small-cap biotech in certain of our private tenants. It's 10% of the portfolio to look at the top 20 in our supplemental, the vast majority of those are credit tenants, whether they're health systems or global biopharmaceutical companies. So it's a very well-diversified portfolio. This smaller biotech companies are clearly part of our business. There's a huge list of success stories there that start out at 10,000 feet, 20,000 feet Series A type companies that now have 200,000, 300,000, 400,000 feet in the portfolio. But they're cyclical. They're very dependent on capital raising and obviously, scientific outcomes. It's been a tough capital market for the last 6 months, and that's had an impact. We get the benefit of that when the capital markets are strong. And I think you saw that in 2024, the first 6 months of this year, we're the opposite. And obviously, that's flowing through. But keep in mind, the diversified portfolio, and we just maintained our earnings guidance. So I think we just want to keep in mind the broader perspective. This is a point in time. That same portfolio base of small and private biotech tenants could become very valuable to us once the capital markets turn in our favor, and that obviously will inevitably happen. The last 30 days have been a lot more positive. We just reported second quarter results, which is April 1 to June 30. The month of July has been a lot more favorable, whether it's the reconciliation bill, the XBI has traded more favorably. The commentary out of the FDA has been more favorable, a couple of very, very large M&A deals. It allows capital to be recycled into the sector, those are all really positive leading indicators. That doesn't translate into second quarter results, obviously, but we feel a lot better about some of the building blocks that we're seeing in the business today than we did 3 months ago.