Kevin Olsen
Analyst · Stephens Inc
Well, it's why we gave some additional clarification, Jeff, to the margin outlook, which we haven't done historically. So when you think about -- you are correct, when we did pass through tariff pricing, it was dollar for dollar, and that will have an impact on margin percentages, but not margin dollars, as you point out. We've guided to an operating margin percent of 15% to 16% for full year 2026 with exiting at a higher rate than that, high teens. Just for some context, back in 2024, before tariffs were implemented, our operating margin was 16%. So we believe as we work through this higher tariff inventory in the first half, we have visibility to kind of the cost in our -- that has built up in our inventory. On top of that, when -- after Liberation Day, we obviously went right to work on negotiating better prices from our suppliers, further diversifying our supply chain, going from higher tariff regions to lower tariff regions, working on productivity initiatives. All those savings essentially are baked into the inventory and will come through in the back half of the year. Remember, any time we either have a cost increase to an input cost or cost decrease, it usually takes about 7 to 8 months to work its way through our inventory because of FIFO accounting. And that's what's causing a lot of the confusion with our numbers. I also point out that if you step back and kind of take out the timing issues of 2025 and 2026, our implied guidance for 2026, 2-year growth rate will be about 15% compared to 2024, the 2-year stack. EPS growth will be about 16.5% over 2024. So again, if you kind of step back and take out all the timing noise, those are really the levels that we have historically driven, and we continue to believe that we can continue to drive those levels of growth going forward.