Earnings Labs

Encore Capital Group, Inc. (ECPG)

Q2 2014 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 7, 2014

$83.87

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.

Same-Day

+1.25%

1 Week

+1.65%

1 Month

+5.31%

vs S&P

+0.97%

Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Encore Capital Group Second Quarter 2014 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would like to now introduce your host for today's conference, Bruce Thomas, Vice President of Investor Relations for Encore. Sir, you may begin your conference.

Bruce Thomas

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, and welcome to Encore Capital Group's Second Quarter 2014 Earnings Call. With me on the call today are Ken Vecchione, our President and Chief Executive Officer; and Paul Grinberg, our Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Ken and Paul will make prepared remarks and then we'll be happy take your questions. Before we begin, we have a few housekeeping items. Unless otherwise noted, all comparisons made on this conference call will be between the second quarter of 2014 and the second quarter of 2013. Today's discussion will include forward-looking statements subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially from these forward-looking statements. Please refer to our SEC filings and especially our most recent Form 10-K, for a detailed discussion of potential risks. During this call, we will use rounding and abbreviations for the sake of brevity. We will also be discussing non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are included in our earnings release, which was filed on Form 8-K earlier today. As a reminder, this conference call will also be made available for replay on the Investors section of our website, where we will also post our prepared remarks following the conclusion of this call. With that, let me turn the call over to Ken Vecchione, our President and Chief Executive Officer.

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

Thank you, Bruce. And good afternoon. I appreciate everyone joining us for a discussion of our second quarter results. Encore had a terrific quarter. With GAAP EPS rising to $0.86 per share compared to $0.44 per share on the second quarter of 2013. Excluding onetime expenses and convertible noncash interest, non-GAAP economic EPS was a record $1.10 per share compared to $0.85 per share, an increase of 29% from the second quarter of 2013. Cash collections increased 47% to a record $409 million. This substantial increase was driven primarily by our acquisitions of Cabot and Marlin. Adjusted EBITDA was $256 million, an increase of 48%. Our overall cost-to-collect this quarter was 37.9%, reflecting the favorable impact of Cabot in our results this year. Our estimated remaining collections, or ERC, at June 30 was approximately $4.9 billion, an increase of $2.2 billion from the same quarter a year ago. During the quarter, we deployed $328 million, $162 million of which was in our core business in the U.S. Q2 was a record quarter for Propel, which deployed $102 million. We also deployed a significant amount of capital in the U.K. in what is typically a slow quarter for purchases. We believe that our purchasing mix underlines the strength of our worldwide platform and confirms our thesis of geographic and asset class diversification. It also demonstrates that we're able to deploy capital profitably even as the U.S. market is challenged by historically low levels of charge-offs and the current absence from the market of a couple of large issuers. Outside of the U.S., we are deploying capital in accordance with our business plans. We now have multiple asset classes and geographies from which we can choose to deploy our capital. I'd like to take a few minutes now to provide our review…

Paul J. Grinberg

Analyst

Thank you, Ken. As Ken discussed, we had an extremely productive second quarter reflecting strong performance from our core business, and our recent acquisitions continue to deliver solid contributions to our bottom line. Before I go into our financial results in detail, I would just like to remind you that as required by U.S. GAAP, we are showing 100% of Cabot, Grove and Refinancia's results on our financial statements. Where indicated, we will adjust the numbers to account for our noncontrolling interests. We generated $409 million of collections in the second quarter, representing the highest single quarter of collections in our company's history. This performance reflects the steady execution of our collections operation and, in particular, the growth of our operations outside of the U.S. Nearly 1/4 of our total collections, $97 million, were generated from accounts in the U.K. For the quarter, our call centers contributed 47% of total collections or $192 million compared to $117 million in Q2 of 2013. Legal channel collections accounted for 41% of total collections and grew to $168 million in the second quarter compared to $134 million in 2013. Collection agencies accounted for 12% of total collections and grew to $49 million in the second quarter compared to $28 million in 2013. Keep in mind that for some of Cabot's purchases, we are contractually required to keep accounts with certain collection agencies for a period of time. When excluding the collections made by agencies on behalf of Cabot, only 5% of collections in the quarter came from third-party collection agencies. For the quarter, revenue was $269 million, an increase of 72% over the $156 million of revenue in the second quarter of 2013. With regard to our revenue from receivable portfolios as a percentage of collections and excluding the effects of allowance reversals,…

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

Thanks, Paul. The Encore team has delivered another solid performance in Q2, and we're looking forward to more business opportunities and other important developments during the balance of 2014. As you can see from our continued progress on the acquisition front and in our capital deployment, we continue to broaden our capabilities, keeping our understanding of our own and of new markets and are evolving into an increasingly diverse international specialty finance company. Through our operational execution, we are providing ourselves with the flexibility to enter new markets and geographies, and position ourselves to navigate the challenging market dynamics. Finally, I'd like to acknowledge the hard work and dedication of the people of Encore and recognize their efforts in the considerable reshaping of our company that we've accomplished together. Thank you, all, for taking the time to join us today. And operator, if you'd open up the line for some questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Sameer Gokhale.

Sameer Gokhale - Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, Research Division

Analyst

So I had a few questions. The first one was about Atlantic Credit & Finance. So it seems like part of the rationale for the acquisition was increasing your win rate as it relates to fresh paper. But is there any other benefit you can get from this acquisition in terms of data and the like or do you feel do you have that -- I'm trying to figure out, other than the portfolio itself and the relationships that might help you win a -- get a higher win rate, is there any other transfer of data or synergies that could made to be a little more accretive than otherwise would have been?

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

I think the benefits are: we gained ERC; we gained a higher win rate; we were able to buy fresh paper that we, heretofore, haven't been able to buy; we get a very talented collection group and center in Roanoke, Virginia, which will help us; and then there are also some expense synergies around the edges that we'll take advantage of.

Sameer Gokhale - Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And so in terms of -- if I just do some rough math, I mean, is it reasonable to think that this acquisition could be accretive to EPS annually by a run rate of around $0.40 or so per share? Is that like a reasonable rough estimate?

Paul J. Grinberg

Analyst

It is accretive to EPS. It's going to be a part of what we look to achieve for in 2015. And it was sort of embedded in our goals for 2014.

Sameer Gokhale - Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, Research Division

Analyst

Okay, all right. So then, the other question I had is -- and I might have missed it in your comments. But the -- when I look at your expenses, your operating expenses, and I strip out the onetimers, it looks like the OpEx was flat compared to Q1. So that was a bit surprising to me. I was just curious. I don't know if you went over it in your comments but if you could just clarify that again, that'd be helpful. Because you did acquired Grove as well, so I thought you have some additional expenses.

Paul J. Grinberg

Analyst

Yes, Grove is very small, Sameer. So Grove has a dozen or so employees, so it really doesn't add much to our overall expense base.

Sameer Gokhale - Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. But then if I look at your -- so your cash flow statement and I look at cash flow for acquisitions for the 6 months versus the year-to-date -- the 3 months, it looks like roughly seeing about -- you paid about $45 million or so for Grove, is that right? Or is there something else in that line item for Q2?

Paul J. Grinberg

Analyst

Included in the acquisitions is Grove, which is much, much smaller than that. And then also the nationwide tax lien business that we -- that Propel acquired. So that's included in that number.

Sameer Gokhale - Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. That's what I was missing. And then if you wouldn't mind, just my last question was, you, Ken, were talking about Cabot and something that depressed the results in Q2, it sounded like relative to Q1, and you've assumed a normal trajectory again back in Q3. Would you mind just discussing that again? Because I missed it.

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

Yes, so we bought Marlin at the very tail end of Q1. And in Q2, we're still working on our synergy strategies where we're able to apply the Marlin litigation scorecard to the Cabot back book. And we said this in our Investor Day, as well, that we think that there's over 100,000 accounts that we could apply that litigation scorecard to that will produce incremental ERC. And we started that operation at the very end of Q1; continued it through Q2. And in Q3, you'll begin to see it pay some dividends. And therefore, that's why we said that Q3's Cabot EPS will be back to the level of Q1 or, if not, greater.

Paul J. Grinberg

Analyst

So as we pay for those accounts -- those incremental accounts through the additional channel that we have, it will generate more ERC, which will, again, reflected in our results and, therefore, increase the IRR on those pool groups that, that ERC relates to. So the additional earnings will come from higher IRRs on the Cabot's pool groups.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from David Scharf.

David M. Scharf - JMP Securities LLC, Research Division

Analyst

A few questions here. First, Ken, you're -- well, you're not the first recovery company this week to comment that there seem to be signs of stabilization in pricing and maybe some early signs that supply may be improving here in the U.S. Can you talk about what you're seeing in terms of just over all collectibility? And I mean, are you noticing any changes relative to the first half of the year in consumer health liquidations?

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

No, I would say they're roughly the same; not much of a change there at all.

David M. Scharf - JMP Securities LLC, Research Division

Analyst

Okay, fair enough. And then, switching to the acquisition. Historically -- I mean, you've always had some exposure to fresh receivables. But I'm just curious, when you think about where your internal scoring and credit analytics are, did this acquisition give you, in your mind, the tools that you need to compete and call it a new world order? Particularly if regulators and banks ultimately put most of the resale market to bed for the future.

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

Well, I mean, one of the reasons for the -- I think Atlantic sold was because of some of the resale procedures that a lot of the banks are putting into place, i.e. you can't resell. So their strategy was originally to -- they were very, very good in the front end. They were be able to the consumer. They were able to get their payments rather quickly. And for those accounts that they weren't able to gain any traction to, they sold. So what we've done here is taken the best of both worlds. We let them handle the high, fresh, balanced paper, get what they can. And then internally transfer, if you will, to the traditional Encore call centers to continue with the collection process. And by putting both of those things together, we wind up having higher IRRs on the portfolios that will buy going forward.

David M. Scharf - JMP Securities LLC, Research Division

Analyst

Got it, okay. And I just wanted to clarify your comments. The acquisition of Atlantic, the portfolio that you acquired, that's included in the Investor Day $500 million to $600 million of U.S. capital deployment? That was already contemplated?

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

Yes, it was.

David M. Scharf - JMP Securities LLC, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And I know we have the ERC, the $275 million. Is there an NFR balance?

Paul J. Grinberg

Analyst

We're in the process of doing our purchase price allocation, so we haven't finalized that yet. But it's likely to be somewhere in the $130 million to $140 million range. We'll finalize it. Since the accounts are largely fresh accounts, the multiples tend to be lower than older accounts and the cost-to-collect tends to be lower than older accounts.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Mark Hughes with SunTrust.

Mark D. Hughes - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc., Research Division

Analyst · SunTrust.

The internal legal collection seems to be moderating the last few quarters. Will that pick back up?

Paul J. Grinberg

Analyst · SunTrust.

So we're -- we continue to put more through that channel. A lot of our focus in internal legal over the last 2 or 3 quarters has been in integrating what Asset Acceptance had and what Encore had. So our focus has been there. Now that we've largely completed the integration, the focus will be on expanding and growing the channel. So it's not going to -- we're going to continue to use both internal, as well as external legal as part of our strategy. Internal legal will grow, but it's certainly not going to grow at the same rate as it did early on.

Mark D. Hughes - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc., Research Division

Analyst · SunTrust.

Okay. Can you talk about the organic growth at Propel? You did a large transaction in the period. How about the underlying business? How did it do?

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst · SunTrust.

The underlying business did fine. There are 2 parts of the business: there's the TLT business, which is in Texas; and the TLC business, which are purchases in other states. The second quarter, there was one large state that usually goes to market in the second quarter. And that state did, and we got our fair representation of that market share of what that state sold. In Texas, there's still good organic growth. And we would expect to win our fair share of the organic growth going forward. But much like the NPL business, we also see some opportunities for consolidation. So I would think going forward, you'll still see the same combination of both organic growth and, potentially, some acquisitions going forward over the next year.

Mark D. Hughes - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc., Research Division

Analyst · SunTrust.

In the U.K., there have been some industry forecast for double-digit growth in supply in 2014 and still a healthy growth in '15. Overall, would -- how would you compare what you see now with those earlier forecasts?

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst · SunTrust.

Yes, on Investor Day, we said primarily, the organic growth was going to be about 9% per year, and we saw that going out for a couple of years. And right now, we have no reason to change that. We also said that we thought that we'd be able to take advantage of some consolidation there, as well. There are a number of companies that are in the process or rumored to be coming to market, and we hope to have our fair amount of wins when it comes to those companies to be acquired. So again, much like the U.S., we plan to -- we hope to do well organically, and we hope to have our fair share of wins when it comes to the acquisitions.

Paul J. Grinberg

Analyst · SunTrust.

And Mark, the -- our capital deployment in the first half of the year, Cabot of about $200 million just shows that, that market is strong and there's lots of opportunity.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Fin O'Shea with Raymond James.

Finian O'Shea

Analyst

On the opening comments, did you say the eventual return of 2 larger players?

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

We hope one day they'll return. We don't see either one returning in 2014 but probably somewhere in 2015, we hope. And we're just trying to give you some overview that, hopefully, when they return with less competitors out there, more supply, that the pricing dynamics will shift back into the favor of the debt purchasers.

Finian O'Shea

Analyst

Yes. So I take it that implies that one of them is out of the picture for good?

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

No, I didn't say that at all. I just said when they return.

Finian O'Shea

Analyst

Okay. And regarding the OCC rules published earlier this week, what's your understanding of banks in general, their level of compliance with these guidelines?

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

The banks got on top of this rather early with the debt sales, best practices that was issued in July of 2013. And I think we said in our Q1 call, we probably had somewhere between 11 and 13 issuer audits in the fourth quarter of 2013 with all those issuers really adhering to sort of the debt sales best practices. So I would think that's there's going to be very little change to those banks as they continue to go forward with their sales activity and as they continue to come in and do their annual issuer reviews of us.

Finian O'Shea

Analyst

Okay. And just one more. I have -- on the P&L, it looks like compensation and G&A have ticked up a little bit relatively. Is there anything you can add there? Any color on that?

Paul J. Grinberg

Analyst

Compensation and G&A have definitely ticked up relative to -- because of the transactions we've been doing and the new businesses that we've been acquiring, so we have additional headcount associated with that. We continue to make investments in things like compliance. But we are absorbed, as we mentioned, when we talked about our overall cost-to-collect, we're able to absorb those costs through efficiencies in our operations. So while we continue to make investments on our people, we cover those costs through improvements in operations and efficiencies.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Bob Napoli. Robert P. Napoli - William Blair & Company L.L.C., Research Division: And I'm sorry, I missed some of the opening comments. But -- so just a question on the Atlantic capital acquisition. Within that press release, you say the transitional was served to satisfy a large portion of Encore's capital deployment for 2014. Does that mean you're not going to buy as much in the back half of the year, and that was part of their purchases? Or that there's just not as much in the market? What were you -- what was that statement meant to?

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

It was meant to give you some color against the target that we set out, which was $500 million to $600 million for the year. It was to indicate that we are well on track to make that $600 million goal. And we see decent flow coming at us. But this also gives us the opportunity to pick and choose on the deals we like. And we make sure we get the right returns, and we don't have to stretch on price. So it provides us with some optionality as well. But we wanted to make sure that we gave you some guidance a couple of months ago -- I guess, June 5 thereabout, and want to let you know that we're on track to that guidance.

Paul J. Grinberg

Analyst

And we saw plenty of capital still within the market for deals with the right returns. Robert P. Napoli - William Blair & Company L.L.C., Research Division: Okay. And you did say that you've seen one large institution come back into the market?

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

No, I didn't say that.

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

You said that, not me. Nice try. Robert P. Napoli - William Blair & Company L.L.C., Research Division: But 2 are out. And you said 2 large ones are still out. And I guess the...

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

[indiscernible] the other large ones, never, Bob.

Paul J. Grinberg

Analyst

We're not commenting on it.

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

We particularly sure. Robert P. Napoli - William Blair & Company L.L.C., Research Division: Okay, play. Let's see. The Grove acquisition, what types of originations -- and I think you had laid out something in your Investor Day, but any additional thoughts on the growth business on the size of that market, and what was Grove originating? Or what would you expect them to originate?

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

Yes, so Kevin Fuller, who's the CEO of Grove, mentioned on Investor Day, he thought the size of that market was about $150 million, $160 million a year. He also said it was back-weighted, which is what we're seeing. We already have 4 deals inked for the third quarter. And we kind of gave guidance of around $50 million for the full year of growth. And so we would expect, obviously, most of that to come between now and the end of the year. Robert P. Napoli - William Blair & Company L.L.C., Research Division: Okay. And then average deal sizes in that business are -- I mean, how fragmented are the purchases?

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

You know what? There -- we did one that was very small, and we've got some very large ones we're looking at. And so there's no average size on that. They're all over the map. Robert P. Napoli - William Blair & Company L.L.C., Research Division: And then, did you give any comments on India on your partnership and your outlook for partnership there?

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

No, we didn't say anything. We're still in the process. We're working through it. And I would say that we kind of picked the time frame of end of Q1 2015 to be ready. But I think, I was pretty clear on Investor Day, and I said this to Manu Rikhye, who's running the show there, that I'd rather be 6 months late and be absolutely perfect than to be a couple of months early and not get it right. So if we get it ready and we get going at the end of the first quarter, great. If it takes a little while longer, then I'm fine with that as well. Again, they have $35 billion in charge-off receivables sitting on their books and another $35 billion in restructured debt on all the bank books. Being late a little bit will not hurt us at all. Robert P. Napoli - William Blair & Company L.L.C., Research Division: So it's not like a question of if-if, it's when?

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

We're working out the deal arrangements with our partners, and it's a different structure there. We can only own 50%. We have to bring in other partners, and we have to negotiate with each partner. So it takes a little longer than we would like, but we'll get through it. Robert P. Napoli - William Blair & Company L.L.C., Research Division: And then Latin America, any -- did you purchase much in the second quarter?

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

We purchased $4 million. Again, we said our goal was $40 million for the full year. We did one the other day we just got awarded. And so I think we're pretty much running very close to the $40 million right now. Robert P. Napoli - William Blair & Company L.L.C., Research Division: And are you seeing returns consistent with our expectations there?

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

Yes, yes. The returns in all our markets are the highest in Colombia and Peru. Robert P. Napoli - William Blair & Company L.L.C., Research Division: Okay. And then the -- I guess, pan-European or looking outside of the U.K. or do you have interest or other opportunities on the M&A side outside of the U.K. that you're looking at? Is that a high priority at this point or not?

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

Well, I'll give you 2 parts of that answer. First, we feel very strong about the U.S. and the U.K. market, and to grow our market share there as rapidly as we can and to also be a consolidator of other companies there. And right now, that's panning out exactly as we anticipated. As it relates to other M&A activity, Bob, we have -- we probably have no less than 4 deals, 5 deals going on at any time in various stages. And one will drop off for a variety of reasons and one will pop back on. So we're active-looking at Europe, we're active-looking other places, as well. And we sit down in investment committee, and what Paul and I try to do best is make sure the allocation of capital is correct. And we'll go where the highest returns are. Robert P. Napoli - William Blair & Company L.L.C., Research Division: And then, that OCC, that report that came out this week, it didn't have say anything about international collections? And I think the last one did. Is that have -- and I know there were a couple of banks that were requiring domestic collections. Has that changed with that OCC paper?

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

No, I was silent on that. And I think we told you, for us, that's really old news. But I think it was around the second quarter 2013 or the third quarter, we told you that we'd be ready to handle any bank that wanted to have us collect onshore versus offshore. And we're positioned to do just that. But we -- that activity or that conversation has really died down and we haven't heard any chatter about that since the middle of last year.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Mike Grondahl with Piper Jaffray.

Michael J. Grondahl - Piper Jaffray Companies, Research Division

Analyst · Piper Jaffray.

What type of competition do you see when you're looking at, or purchasing, a deal like Atlantic? And then secondly, could you just talk about your return hurdle for acquisitions and how you think about that versus sort of purchasing charge-off paper in your core market?

Paul J. Grinberg

Analyst · Piper Jaffray.

Yes. The Atlantic deal came to us just through our relationship with Atlantic, which we've known a long time. It started at a dinner pre-Thanksgiving with me and their CEO. And it was never a bidding process. It was always a very friendly negotiation, where they wanted to sell to us, and we wanted to buy them. And those are the best deals that we have. And we get a lot of those deals, and we really excel at those deals. So that was the Atlantic deal. Regarding general returns. Yes, we would say that we would like the returns on acquisitions to be higher than those of just portfolios. They are bigger in size. They sometimes include a platform, and they may or may not include us going into a different country that we want to get compensated for. So once again, back to what we do in the investment committee, we look for the appropriate returns and appropriate risk-reward structure. And we would look for acquisitions that have higher IRRs than portfolio purchases.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from David Scharf with JMP Securities.

David M. Scharf - JMP Securities LLC, Research Division

Analyst · JMP Securities.

Just had a few more quick ones. I guess, we couldn't wait for the Q to come out. But Paul, do you have the monthly yield for Q2?

Paul J. Grinberg

Analyst · JMP Securities.

The multiple?

David M. Scharf - JMP Securities LLC, Research Division

Analyst · JMP Securities.

The yield? I believe it was 4.1% last quarter on a monthly basis for revenue recognition.

Paul J. Grinberg

Analyst · JMP Securities.

Well, I will pull it up right now as we are talking. So why don't...

David M. Scharf - JMP Securities LLC, Research Division

Analyst · JMP Securities.

And while you're looking, is there any update coming out of New York state from all that chatter a quarter or so ago with the Chief Judge and efforts to kind of implement different processes for filing suits? Does anything ever get resolved or moved forward on that front?

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst · JMP Securities.

Nothing came out yet. Many folks had an opportunity to put in their comments. And we would anticipate this is our guess, that something towards the end of the summer but we don't know. So far, it's been quiet since the judge made those comments.

David M. Scharf - JMP Securities LLC, Research Division

Analyst · JMP Securities.

Okay, got it. And back to Atlantic, can you give us a sense for -- I think you said it was about $130 million, $140 million NFR. But how active have they been the last couple of years?

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst · JMP Securities.

They're pretty active. But they had certain liquidity constraints. So they would come in, they would buy up to their liquidity constraints, they worked their portfolios, then they would resell them. And then, again, create liquidity, and then go back into the market. So they always were at a -- they were a steady purchaser and they were in or out depending on the amount of liquidity they had at that time and how they were performing with the portfolios that they just recently purchased.

David M. Scharf - JMP Securities LLC, Research Division

Analyst · JMP Securities.

Got it, got it. Okay. So since they were an active reseller, I'm just -- I mean, did they -- you may have mentioned, I mean, but do they have substantial in-house collection facilities now? Is it something you would immediately absorb into excess capacity you have here domestically?

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst · JMP Securities.

Yes, We're probably getting somewhere in the neighborhood of about 120-odd account managers, and they will all stay in Roanoke. And they provide us with additional capacity. We also expect to be able to increase our win rate, as I said earlier, on the fresh balance portfolios as well. So we should keep them pretty well occupied.

David M. Scharf - JMP Securities LLC, Research Division

Analyst · JMP Securities.

Got it, got it. And then lastly -- and just to be clear, I guess on the purchase side, I mean, will you be active in the third quarter? I mean, when we think about modeling the balance of the year, it sounds like this $130 million, $140 million, was embedded in your guidance from a month ago. So that'll hit Q3. Will there be substantially more activity in Q3 or are you going to kind of just wait until the end of the year?

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst · JMP Securities.

No, we're going to be active for the rest -- from now through the end of the year. But we're also going to be prudent. So we're not going to chase deals but I must've looked at 3 or 4 deals just today alone. So we're busy. If there's market out there to get, market share to get and we can win it and when there's that reasonable IRR, we will be in that market. And we will be going at it.

David M. Scharf - JMP Securities LLC, Research Division

Analyst · JMP Securities.

Okay. And then lastly, just making the resale point, I mean, the OCC, obviously -- going back to their guidelines last summer and their rules pretty much this week just rubber stamps the guidelines from a year ago. I mean, they didn't forbid resales. It looks like they just kind of raised the bar in terms of how diligent the paper trail has to be every time paper is sold from one entity to another. Just in conversations with the banks, I mean, are you getting any sense that they may reconsider in the future? Just trying to understand that this core competency of yours whether -- as we look out 12, 24 months from now, whether we may be back to the way things used to be.

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst · JMP Securities.

I'm going to guess here, but I don't think they're going to reconsider. I just think they moved to these sets of rules recently. I do think they're going to reverse themselves. And I think it takes risk away from them by preventing reselling. And I think, my guess is, if I was on their side of the ledger. I would stick with it and not make any changes.

Paul J. Grinberg

Analyst · JMP Securities.

David, the numbers you're looking for: monthly IRRs for the U.S. is 5%, this is as of June 30; for the U.K., it's 2.3%; and blended, it's 3.6%.

Operator

Operator

Okay, sir, I'm showing no...

Kenneth A. Vecchione

Analyst

Well, we thank you, all, very much for joining us. We look forward to talking to you at the end of our third quarter, and have a nice day, everyone. Thank you.