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Excelerate Energy, Inc. (EE)

Q2 2025 Earnings Call· Mon, Aug 11, 2025

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning all, and thank you for joining us on today's Excelerate Energy Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Drew, and I'll be the operator on today's call. [Operator Instructions] It's now my pleasure to hand over to Craig Hicks, Vice President of Investor Relations and Strategy. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Craig Hicks

Analyst

Good morning, and thank you for joining Excelerate Energy's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. Joining me today are Steven Kobos, CEO; Dana Armstrong, Chief Financial Officer; Oliver Simpson, Chief Commercial Officer; and David Liner, Chief Operating Officer. Our second quarter earnings press release and presentation were published this morning and are available on our website at ir.excelerateenergy.com. Before we begin, please note that today's discussion will include forward-looking statements, which involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially. We undertake no obligation to update these statements. We'll also reference certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measures can be found at the back of the presentation. With that, it is my pleasure to pass the call over to Steven Kobos.

Steven M. Kobos

Analyst

Thanks, Craig. Good morning, everyone. We appreciate you joining us today to discuss our second quarter 2025 results. At Excelerate, we are committed to operational excellence, disciplined growth and delivering long-term value for our shareholders. This quarter was no exception. We delivered strong financial and operational results. We advanced the strategic priorities that will define the next phase of our growth. On today's call, I'll speak to the Excelerate Energy value proposition and provide an update on our recent Jamaica acquisition. Then I will share recent highlights from Terminal Services before turning the call over to Dana, who will walk through our financial results. Let's turn to our value proposition. I want to spend a few minutes on the key elements that define how Excelerate delivers long-term value to shareholders and how we are positioning the company for continued success. First, we are a leading provider of critical energy infrastructure in the downstream part of the global LNG value chain. The recent Jamaica acquisition represents a pivotal step in our evolution. Our growth strategy has long included owning and operating downstream infrastructure assets. And today, our business model reflects that ambition. Second, our business is predominantly supported by long-term take-or-pay contracts. These allow us to generate predictable earnings and they are insulated from economic cycles. We told investors last quarter that our business model is essentially tariff proof. We aren't exposed to tariffs. That hasn't changed. It's one of the reasons Excelerate continues to stand out as a resilient investment, especially in today's geoeconomic environment. We are a safe haven. Third, as a result of the groundwork we have laid, we have a long runway for growth through both strategic opportunities and scalable assets. Fourth, and importantly, this growth strategy is bolstered by strong macro tailwinds. These include the growing…

Dana A. Armstrong

Analyst

Good morning, and thank you for joining us. Before we dive into the numbers, I want to highlight a few important updates to our financial statements that better reflect the structure of our business following the Jamaica acquisition. On our income statement, we've renamed the FSRU and Terminal Services revenue line the Terminal Services and the gas sales revenue line is now presented as LNG, Gas and Power. The associated cost line items have been updated accordingly. Now let's turn to the results for the quarter. Q2 was a great quarter for Excelerate with adjusted EBITDA of $107 million. Adjusted EBITDA increased roughly $7 million quarter-over-quarter, driven primarily by the addition of Jamaica EBITDA for a partial quarter starting on May 14 when we closed the acquisition. This increase from Jamaica was partially offset by the seasonal impact of the Atlantic Basin winter cargo margin, which occurred in the first quarter of this year, but not in the second quarter, and the timing of various vessel operating expenses, which were higher in the second quarter as compared to the first quarter. Year-over-year, adjusted EBITDA grew by $18 million, driven both by the addition of the Jamaica EBITDA and the strength of our legacy business. Now let's turn to our balance sheet. Our balance sheet remains strong and continues to provide the stability and flexibility needed to execute on our long-term strategy and navigate dynamic market conditions. As of June 30, our total debt, including finance leases, was $1.3 billion, and we had $426 million of cash and cash equivalents on hand. Additionally, all of the $500 million of undrawn capacity under our revolver was available for additional borrowings. Net debt was $867 million, and our trailing 12-month net leverage as of June 30 stood at 2.2x. Our financial strength is…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question today comes from Wade Suki from Capital One.

Wade Anthony Suki

Analyst

Just wondering if you might be able to maybe give us a better sense of your priorities for Jamaica projects timing-wise, the nature of the projects. If you could sort of help us sort of near segregating them for near to intermediate-term projects versus some of the [indiscernible] projects. And then I think you were talking about $80 million to $110 million in EBITDA by 2030. I mean I'll go ahead and expand on that question and see what do you think might be the contribution next year? And if you're willing to go out further to '27, I'm sure everyone would love to hear it.

Oliver L. Simpson

Analyst

Thanks, Wade. This is Oliver. I'll take this question. So I think we put out there the guidance through 2030 on our expectations for the Jamaica and Caribbean platform. Obviously, that encompasses a wide range of opportunities that we see out there. But I think what I can probably say here today, just to give you a sense of how we're looking at it is with the assets that we purchased in Jamaica, we've talked about the platform. It gives us a platform on which to grow. Those assets, some of them, there is opportunities to directly use those assets, optimize those assets and get near-term EBITDA and growth, which doesn't necessarily require significant additional CapEx. So that's getting new LNG or gas customers on the island or using those assets to reach other customers in the region. So some of those are probably a little bit more near term in nature, and we would like to think. And then there is the opportunities that will require more CapEx. And those -- there's sort of growth opportunities on the island. Certainly, new power generation is likely to be on the higher end of the CapEx as well as some other infrastructure opportunities we're looking there as well as in the broader region. So there's kind of -- there's that split there. I think we don't want to get into specific details exactly on the different opportunities. We've had these assets now for a few months. But we're extremely confident on the platform and the ability of the platform too to capture new demand and grow from there. As Steven mentioned, we've already had some additional sales since we've acquired the platform. There's a number of discussions, and we've had a really positive reaction both in Jamaica and in the broader region of this. So we're really excited about what's coming from these assets.

Wade Anthony Suki

Analyst

Great. Thanks, Oliver. Appreciate that. Maybe I'll push it a little bit more here. Maybe I can ask if you could maybe expand on some of these opportunities in the Caribbean, maybe speak to specific markets that are of interest or where you're seeing the best opportunities to the extent you feel comfortable doing that, that would be great.

Oliver L. Simpson

Analyst

Sure. I mean I think, obviously, you've seen a little bit from the Jamaica assets. You've seen what we've touched in Jamaica. And in many ways, as you look at some of the other islands in the Caribbean, there's similar fundamentals. So where Jamaica is today is perhaps where some of these markets want to be themselves in a few years. So on that, as you look at the Caribbean, a lot of these islands in the Caribbean are still burning liquid fuels, whether that's diesel, HFO in power generation. So the opportunity for fuel switching is there. And that's -- again, that's where we believe that with our assets, you have that launch pad in Jamaica to be a hub for the broader region. So I'd say a lot of it is coming from power generation in the broader region. But we're also looking -- we're looking at bunkering, and I think Steven mentioned that -- mentioned that, too. The growth of bunkering globally is, I think there's some very bullish estimates out there about global demand for and LNG for bunkering over the next 5-plus years. And we see Jamaica in a great position, both in terms of receiving supply from U.S. for LNG bunkering, but also in terms of proximity to some main shipping lines to which you could provide those services. So hopefully, that gives a little flavor on some of those different opportunities there.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Theresa Chen from Barclays.

Theresa Chen

Analyst

Oliver, I wanted to follow up on your comments about the opportunity for fuel switching in the Caribbean. Have you been able to quantify the addressable untapped market for gas here? What can you realistically target?

Oliver L. Simpson

Analyst

I mean I think there is -- again, in the Caribbean and the region, there is significant demand. I don't think we're -- I don't think I have a number to put out there today. But again, the majority of the islands in the Caribbean are currently burning liquid fuels for power generation. So -- and we see this as -- this is a market with healthy margins. And as you go down the value chain on the LNG, there's a few people who can truly offer these services. And I think our view is that with these assets in Jamaica, we're able to offer a service and at a cost that I think others will have a competitive advantage there. So we see it as a big market from which we can grow.

Theresa Chen

Analyst

And turning to a different component within your portfolio. 2025 has clearly been a banner year for U.S. LNG on multiple fronts. And I realize you will likely have more details about Hull 3407's commercialization progress as things become more concrete. But can you give us a sense of how discussions are going in general and your view of the supply and demand outlook for new builds like 3407, especially at that caliber?

Steven M. Kobos

Analyst

Yes. Theresa, it's Steven. I'll jump in. I said just a few minutes ago that, that asset is best-in-class Bcf and more importantly, likely the fact that it's got the lowest boil-off in the industry. So it -- the asset class is incredibly tight right now, will remain tight, and that's largely why you're hearing the confidence. I don't want to go into the discussions and negotiations that Oliver's team are having around the world, but they are active and there is demand. And we've talked -- all of us know that, as I said, what's good for U.S. LNG is good for Excelerate. That is in part because that means more FIDs. That means an expanding global supply of this commodity that is already in the money for fuel switching, but which will be kind of [indiscernible] in the money for these markets that are examining them. So you've got you have -- if you put it all together, you have an enormous TAM, you have a tight infrastructure market and you have a price point that will be ever-increasing demand for further access. So we think we're well positioned when you take all 3 of that together.

Operator

Operator

Our next question today comes from Chris Robertson from Deutsche Bank.

Christopher Warren Robertson

Analyst

Just on the FSRU conversion project, Steven, can you remind us, I guess, the timeline around that, when you expect to initiate the conversion? And then if you were to compare like on an apples-to-apples basis, a similarly sized new building project, what are the cost savings associated with the conversion asset versus a new build asset?

Steven M. Kobos

Analyst

Chris, I'm going to hand it over to David because his team is in the weeds on the engineering for it. And then I'll let him compare apples and oranges for you.

David A. Liner

Analyst

Chris, David here. Yes. So we've got actually multiple conversion -- we've got multiple conversion projects underway right now, both the ones I'll speak to are in the engineering phase. Earlier this year, I spoke about one opportunity that we're pursuing, one specific vessel that we're working with a prospective partner on. That engineering, the original or initial engineering has already wrapped up, and we're continuing to work with that partner to move that project forward. So we're already well on our way with that one. Now that we have Excelerate Shenandoah in our ownership, we are starting the conversion engineering for her. So before we've said it's roughly 2 years to bring an asset like that to market. That's about right, but we would like to think that we can compress that. We have quite a bit of equipment already in storage that we can use for that conversion that we hope is going to compress the timeline. So those 2 projects are well on their way. In terms of cost savings that you asked about versus a new build, it's -- they're different animals very much. A new build is going to be generally a higher capacity, more flexible asset. When you get into a conversion, it's usually not as high capacity, so you aren't putting as much equipment and as much engineering into the conversion as you do for a new build. So there are some savings there. Usually, it's more bespoke for a specific project, and it doesn't have that flexibility of a new build. So there's some savings there, too. So I hope that gives you a sense for some of the savings.

Christopher Warren Robertson

Analyst

Sure. Yes, I appreciate that. Just going back to the Jamaica assets for a minute. I wanted to ask around your expectations on incremental CapEx related to building the smaller receiving terminals in the kind of the hub-and-spoke model that you've talked about. So just kind of comparing it to the Montego Bay receiving terminal, for example, what would the cost expectations be around smaller receiving terminals for the shuttle tankers?

Oliver L. Simpson

Analyst

Chris, Oliver here. I'll take that one. I mean I think we -- again, we put out a range. I mean, I think the range covered a number of assets that we saw. It had obviously some power generation. It did have some smaller terminals in there. I don't think we'll be giving an exact range on those terminals. It's early days. We're assessing some of these projects. But I think it's also -- there's many different markets, many different sizes. So there's also many different solutions that we can look at. So obviously, Montego Bay, as you look at it, is something that can be scaled up or scaled down as you look at that asset as how it could work somewhere else. It's also something that we could use also as a platform for the further Caribbean. So I think we'll be looking to have some, obviously, commonality across assets, but also be flexible to ensure that we deliver the customer what they're looking for.

Christopher Warren Robertson

Analyst

Got it. Okay. And last question from my end, if I might get a third one in here. Just looking at the balance sheet, this might be a question for Dana. It looks like as part of the transaction, we have some intangible assets here on the balance sheet. Just wondering if you could walk through some of the aspects on that from the transaction.

Dana A. Armstrong

Analyst

Yes. And Chris, that's detailed in our Q, which I think has been filed as of this morning, but it's customer contracts, and that's really the bulk of what's in that intangibles.

Operator

Operator

Our next question today comes from Jeremy Tonet from JPMorgan.

Elias Max Jossen

Analyst

This is Eli on for Jeremy. I appreciate there's been a lot of color shared today on the Jamaica platform and the work that's ongoing there. But maybe if we just think about specific milestones that we should keep an eye out for both operationally and financially, whether we can expect updates on those this year? And if you can just share color on, again, the kind of the first key milestones you guys expect to hit and what that would do for EE both operationally and financially?

Steven M. Kobos

Analyst

Eli, this is Steven. Just touch on it in general. I mean we're going to continue to be as transparent as I believe we've been today. So I assure you we will continue to give as much color as we can. Just as today, we told you, hey, we're already making incremental sales of LNG and nat gas through the platform right off the bat. We will continue to update you on those incremental paths. We've already -- in terms of optimizing, we've already ordered ISOs. We're buying trucks. We're buying other vaporizers. And then we've already hit the ground running and doing some of these smaller investments that will allow for immediate optimization, and that will continue. And then obviously, when we hit a suitable contractual milestone on something where we're going to deploy a little more capital than that, I assure you you'll be the first to know. Yes, all of you will be the first to know.

Elias Max Jossen

Analyst

Got you. And then maybe if we just touch on the LNG supply side to support some of this targeted growth across your asset portfolio. I know the Venture Global agreement provides key supply in the Caribbean, but how much kind of incremental supply do you guys need to execute on this targeted growth? And how should we think about kind of agreements going forward to support that?

Oliver L. Simpson

Analyst

Eli, this is Oliver. I'll take this one. So obviously, we've mentioned that the VG volume works well. The 20-year VG offtake works well with our profile in Jamaica. There's a little -- the VG volume themselves, it's a little larger offtake than we have the current demand. So obviously, there's room for some growth there. But as the platform grows in Jamaica and the Caribbean, we'll be looking for incremental supply to match that. But we feel with Jamaica and the Caribbean, obviously, the proximity to the U.S., the U.S. LNG that's coming on starting this year going forward, I think that's a really good mixture and sets us up really well to be able to access that incremental LNG as we -- as that demand comes from the customers. So I think it's something we can work pretty much hand-in-hand as that comes on.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Michael Scialla from Stephens Inc.

Michael Stephen Scialla

Analyst

I want to see, given the incremental growth you're expecting from Jamaica, the EBITDA growth, if there's been any change in thinking on how you might finance the 3407. I think in the past, you've been leaning towards some external financing. I want to see if there's been any change in thinking there.

Dana A. Armstrong

Analyst

Mike, it's Dana. We're still evaluating that. As you know, we raised $800 million of debt from the bond market a couple of months ago. And so we are continuing to evaluate that. But as you can see from our balance sheet, we still have a very healthy balance sheet. We have over $400 million of cash on hand and restricted cash. We have $500 million of borrowing capacity on our revolver. So we're in a very good position to finance that roughly $200 million, which is going to be due in a little under a year in 2026. So again, it could be revolver borrowing. It could be some of our cash or a combination of cash and debt. It could be -- we're still working on potential ECA financing or it could be some sort of bond upside. But we haven't decided yet. I'll just say that there's no issue there. And if we wanted to use cash and revolver capacity, we could do that.

Michael Stephen Scialla

Analyst

Okay. Good. And looking at the purchase of the LNG carrier, the Shenandoah, it looks like you were kind of on the low end or maybe even a little bit below the low end of what you had previously talked about for a purchase price. Just wondering, could you speak to -- did you have to sacrifice anything in terms of the quality or size of the vessel that you were looking for there?

David A. Liner

Analyst

Michael, this is David. I can take that one. Yes, we were really happy with the Excelerate Shenandoah. We took her immediately after her dry docking. So for folks unfamiliar, at a dry docking, which happens roughly every 5 years, you're renewing or rebuilding all the major equipment. So when we took her -- when we took ownership, she's in great condition, got a great price on her. We're really happy about it, and she's already on her way over into the Atlantic. So we didn't have to compromise anything, not at all. We're happy. She's a great candidate for conversion, and she's going to serve those Atlantic Basin volumes very well until we need to pull her over for whatever conversion we have.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Zach Van Everen from TPH.

Zackery Lee Van Everen

Analyst

Maybe going back to the new LNG carrier. I know you mentioned this is going to help with the midterm Atlantic Basin supply deal. I believe that deal was already in motion. So will there be any cost savings using your own vessel or any upside to that contract that we can look for?

Dana A. Armstrong

Analyst

Zach, it's Dana. Yes, we -- I mean, obviously, buying this vessel, there's an upside to our returns. It's cheaper to own a vessel than a charter vessel for this contract. So you will see enhanced returns. We don't release what those returns are. But we are delivering a new cargo -- our summer cargo in the third quarter of this year, and we do expect to have more accretive returns on that project than in the past because of that ownership of that vessel.

Zackery Lee Van Everen

Analyst

Got it. That makes sense. And then maybe one more on Jamaica. The $80 million to $110 million EBITDA, I know you're still in the works of kind of planning all that out and how that will look. But can you break out maybe at a high level, what portion of that is synergies on the existing assets versus new build or CapEx going into other Caribbean islands? Just kind of an idea of how much of that is original deal synergies versus new EBITDA from other opportunities?

Oliver L. Simpson

Analyst

Yes. Zach, this is Oliver. I mean, I think all of these opportunities the platform that Jamaica gives us access to all these new opportunities. I mean I think that's part of the reason why we were comfortable giving some of this guidance today because these -- there are opportunities that without Jamaica on these other islands, we didn't think we could be competitive or have a sort of right to win on those. So some, as I mentioned earlier, and it's not -- I'd say it's not an insignificant portion are things that optimizing the assets we have and growing from there with minimal CapEx. Others, while they will likely use the assets we have in Jamaica, they will require further CapEx for that project. So there's a split there. It's -- yes, I wouldn't want to get pinned to, to specific numbers on that, but that's a little bit how we are looking at it.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Bobby Brooks from Northland Capital.

Robert Brooks

Analyst

The Caribbean growth plan, very intriguing, but I just wanted to make sure I'm thinking about it right with the hub-and-spoke model. Would you be buying a vessel that would then move the LNG from the Jamaican hub to other islands? Or would it be countries you make agreements with make their own arrangements to move the LNG or maybe something of a combination of both? Just curious on that.

Oliver L. Simpson

Analyst

Bobby, it’s Oliver again. Yes. So I think – I mean it’s today we have a small scale vessel that we used to just shuttle from within Jamaica from our Old Harbour terminal up to the Montego Bay terminal. As we look at other opportunities on other islands in the Caribbean, it's early stages, it's discussions with the customers. So it's understanding what they want, what we can give to them. But I'd say as a general statement, they want the delivered LNG, the delivered gas solution. So we are looking to expand the asset base that we have to bring those solutions to the customers. So that would mean new vessels, new onshore assets on other islands to deliver those solutions. So it could be quite a wide range, but yes, we're pretty excited about that growth there.

Robert Brooks

Analyst

Super helpful. And then I just think more broadly, a lot of focus today, obviously, on the Eastern Hemisphere of the business. But I know your vision for growth goes far obviously expands globally. So I was just curious to hear any updates -- general updates on developments within Europe or Asia, maybe specifically Vietnam, as I know we've talked about that more specifically before.

Steven M. Kobos

Analyst

Bobby, it's Steven. I'll take that one because you've probably seen photos of me around the world, and that is because we are a global company. We want to spend some time today on the Caribbean and this area near to the United States just because it was a significant investment. We're excited about that. We're excited about this platform. We think it's going to give us the ability to shop some predictable wood in the neighborhood, a lot of thirst for U.S. LNG in the neighborhood, and we're excited about that. But our confidence comes from the fact that we are a global energy company. And we do care about those markets. We do care about all of that TAM. I'll touch on a couple of points. I am excited. I mentioned it in passing as a proof point, but I think the EU and U.S. deals, anything that's going to have more U.S. LNG flowing into Europe is good. I'm pleased that Excelsior is regularly delivering at max send out into Germany. We are an important part of the mix. So Europe is an important market. I think we've talked in the past about Germany and Germany adding gas-fired power and the resilience that they have and need. I think it's a cornerstone. We expect to be in Europe for a long time. Let me pivot to the other side of the world, Vietnam, since you mentioned it. How can you not be interested in a market that is -- that people widely expect to be 20 gigawatts of gas to power generation. I mean, how can you not be excited about Vietnam? I'm excited about Vietnam. I was over and met with the Prime Minister of Vietnam in late May or June, and we continue to engage with Vietnam. What I would say there is, I think what I told folks on this call back in May. We have 2 MOUs with PetroVietnam or with subsidiaries of PetroVietnam. We continue to engage with PetroVietnam. We are willing to make significant investments in Vietnam. We want to be part of the solution for Vietnam. We want to aid with the prosperity of that country. And the best way to do that is to continue to build and prove oneself with significant actors and national champions like PetroVietnam, and we continue to do that. So basically, I would say we're wanting to give everyone on this call some detail about the Caribbean and what we -- what our intentions are there. But we are a global company. We're bringing that global expertise to this platform just as we do to everywhere else. We are a critical part of the LNG value chain. And I expect for folks to sit up and take notice that we are the important part downstream that are going to help make all of this happen.

Operator

Operator

With that, we have no further questions in the queue at this time. So that concludes the Q&A portion of today's call. I'll hand back over to Steven Kobos, CEO, for some closing comments.

Steven M. Kobos

Analyst

Thank you all for joining us today. Look, we appreciate your continued support and engagement as we execute on our strategy and deliver long-term value. We're going to look forward to updating all of you on our progress and seeing many of you on the road in the months ahead. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

That concludes today's call. You may now disconnect your lines.