Earnings Labs

Emerald Holding, Inc. (EEX)

Q2 2020 Earnings Call· Mon, Aug 3, 2020

$5.05

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Emerald Holding Second Quarter 2020 Earnings Conference Call. During today's call, all parties will be in a listen-only mode. Following the prepared remarks, the conference will be opened for questions and instructions to follow at that time. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. David Doft, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead, sir.

David Doft

Management

Thank you, operator, and good afternoon, everyone. We appreciate your participation today in our second quarter 2020 earnings call. I'm very pleased to have Brian Field, Emerald's Interim President and Chief Executive Officer with me here today. As a reminder, a replay of this call will be available on the Investors section of the Company's website through 11:59 P.M. Eastern time on August 17, 2020. Before we begin, let me remind everyone that this call may contain certain statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These include remarks about future expectations, beliefs, estimates, plans and prospects. Such statements are subject to a variety of risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated or implied by such statements. Such risks and other factors are set forth in the Company's most recently filed periodic reports on Form 10-K and Form 10-Q and subsequent filings. We do not undertake any duty to update such forward-looking statements. Additionally, during today's call, we will discuss non-GAAP measures, which we believe can be useful in evaluating our performance. The presentation of this additional information should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for results prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP measure can be found in our earnings release. Now, I'll turn the call over to Brian.

Brian Field

Management

Thank you, David. This afternoon, I will provide an update on the current state of our business, as well as the significant progress that we have achieved implementing our strategic initiatives, despite the significant challenges that we continue to face, due to the ongoing impact of COVID-19. David will review our second quarter results, and we will then open the call to your questions. On today's call, there are six main points, I hope you take away. First, we remain confident in the quality and importance of our industry leading events, and have received consistent feedback from our customers through the pandemic, as they wish to return to our live events as soon as they are able, given the importance of our marketplaces to their businesses. Second, we have made significant progress implementing our strategic initiatives, which we believe will drive improved execution and accountability across the company. Third, we are well underway in the process of building a centralized customer data hub, which will allow us to have a deeper understanding of our customers' interests and behaviors across the landscape of our products and services. This will open the door to both cross selling, as well as new product development led by customer insights and data. Fourth, we continue to reduce our expense structure through the second quarter, which positions Emerald to conserve capital over the near-term, and is expected to improve our profitability over the longer-term as the environment begins to normalize. Fifth, we have adapted to the current environment by delivering successful webinars and virtual trade shows, which open new revenue streams for Emerald, as well as the ability to engage with our customers year-round. And lastly, we raised $400 million through the issuance of convertible preferred stock, the final portion of which is scheduled to close…

David Doft

Management

Thank you, Brian, and good afternoon. For the second quarter, we reported revenues of $7 million, which compares to $103 million in the year ago quarter. The decrease was primarily due to the cancellation of 20 events due to COVID-19, most notably all our summer market, HD Expo, RetailX and the Couture Collection Show, and the postponement of eight events to the second-half of the year. Our adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter was $33.2 million, as compared to $36.5 million in the same period last year, adjusted for shows scheduling differences, including the event postponements due to COVID-19. The decrease in adjusted EBITDA of $3.3 million was mainly due to the COVID-19-related event cancellations, representing prior year second quarter adjusted EBITDA of $56.3 million. This was partially offset by the recognition of $48.2 million in other income related to event cancellation insurance claim proceeds. Second quarter 2020 adjusted EBITDA also reflected the combined effect of lower organic revenues, offset by the continued cost savings measures that we are implementing, and which I will discuss further in a moment. One item to note is the accounting treatment of our convertible preferred offering on net income. The 7% coupon will accrete quarterly and there will be net income appropriated to preferred holders. You can see a very minor amount in our financial results for the second quarter, as there were two days of accretion from the first tranche of the offering that Onex participated in. This will become more pronounced in the third quarter. Pro forma for the offering Onex’s ownership is 85.3% of the company on an as converted basis. Free cash flow for the second quarter was a use of $32 million, which includes $27 million of customer refunds for canceled events. The underlying business trends reflected approximately $27…

Brian Field

Management

Thank you, David. While the environment remained extremely challenging for the exhibition industry globally through the second quarter, I'm pleased with the progress that we have achieved positioning Emerald for the future, highlighted by our capital raise which will provide important financial flexibility to make the right decisions for our business and our portfolio of industry leading shows. This flexibility will allow our team to continue to implement our strategic initiatives, designed to improve all aspects of the customer experience at our events, while also investing in new digital offerings. These digital offerings will allow us to engage with our customers to be round, by opening new high return revenue streams that have not existed before. Lastly, we have reduced our cost structure by more than $15 million year-to-date, and we see opportunities to reduce costs further. When events begin to stage once again, we expect Emerald will be a more profitable company with a foundation to drive organic growth. To conclude, I would like to thank all of our employees for their tireless work and dedication during such a challenging time. We remain committed to the health and safety of our staff and customers. Thank you again for your time today. Operator, please open the call for questions.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first questions come from the line of Jeff Meuler of Baird. Please proceed with your questions.

Jeff Meuler

Analyst

Good afternoon, Brian and David. Thanks for taking the question. Can you just help me understand direct cost, it looks like they were kind of a negative or a net benefit in the quarter? So, I don't know if there was some refund. Or just can you just help me understand what drove that? And then looking out over the next few quarters if you're not in the scenario that you may not be staging any shows, would you continue to expect direct costs to run around zero?

David Doft

Management

Thanks, Jeff. Good afternoon. So, direct costs in the quarter, you're right. It's a small credit. And we had a lot of success aggressively, avoiding costs that were tied to the events in the quarter. We also were very successful because of the conditions around COVID, to get out of contracts and cancellation fees that we might otherwise be subject to, if it were not for, say the force majeure or of the COVID situation, where venues were forced to be shut by local governments. And so, that helped us have the direct cost line be almost entirely variable versus having a little bit of fixed. When we talk about the 70% variable, we're generally looking at the other 30% of around contracts that are a little harder to get out of, but with enough time or under certain circumstances we can. And 2Q is a great example of that. The credit comes down to some negotiations around certain contracts where we were able to benefit from some things that we booked as expenses in 1Q, but ultimately, we're able to get out of the contracts through negotiation, and so we reversed some of those expenses for the credit in 2Q.

Jeff Meuler

Analyst

Okay. And then hate to make you go through the accounting. But I guess, what is the pro forma interest expense now between the term loan and the convertible preferred, once that all closes? And if you could maybe just give us a little bit more detail on what you hit on in the prepared remarks about the 7% coupon accreting quarterly? And how that will flow through the P&L?

David Doft

Management

Of course. So, to be clear, the convertible preferred is a piece of equity, not debt. So, nothing from that security flows through interest expense. So interest expense will entirely be tied to our term loan or any potential borrowings under the revolver. But as I said on the prepared remarks, we don't expect any anytime soon. We have floating rate on the term loan that is LIBOR plus 275. So right now we're paying about 3%, give or take as an annual rate on our borrowings. The coupon related to the convertible preferred stock, which essentially is a dividend is actually booked below net income, and so that net income would then have an additional expense after it, before it gets down to net income available to common shareholders. And so what you would do is take the quarterly accretion for the coupon, and it would be an expense below net income. You would also take the portion of net income allocated on an as converted basis to the assumed number of shares tied to the preferred shares, issued number of common shares tied to preferred shares, and you would allocate that percent of net income to the preferred shares would also be expense before net income to common shares.

Jeff Meuler

Analyst

Okay. And then maybe just one on kind of like show planning. Just as you kind of obviously mentioned, the COVID spread and there's more geographies and there's more I guess travel restrictions, including in some states where you typically host shows. So, I guess just what's the update on how you're thinking about planning out the calendar, how far in advance you're canceling, or where you have shows on the calendar? Just, I guess, how you're assessing the probability of those actually occurring or planning business operations around that. Thanks.

Brian Field

Management

Yes, thanks. Jeff, Brian here. So it really, as you pointed out, the way that states are approaching this is on a very state by state, sometimes even city by city basis. And so in some cases, there are cases, for example, in Chicago, for example, that have very stringent types of expectations around when they might be available and open for business. In some cases, it's very kind of flexible and changes almost from day to day. And so what we're doing is looking at the show schedule and trying to take a reasoned and balanced approach at this, A, because our customers, by and large are kind of urgently hoping to be able to do business as soon as possible. And while we have to take that into account on one hand, we also have to take into account the safety and the health of those customers, as well as our staff that might be brought to bear to actually stage the shows. So, we're looking out really over the next few months to see where there's still a viable show that can take place safely. And working with the local venue management as to how we might be able to design that. We actually created a preparedness, prevention and response plan that takes into account many of these things, everything from communication to local restrictions to the PPE that might be necessary in any given show. And so, we're overlaying that upon every single show still on the schedule from here to end of the year and even beyond. And we have to make a call as we get closer and closer. One thing that David mentioned is that there are certain levers in the cost base that are kind of big milestones. And when we see that there is a significant cost that's about to come due that becomes a real focal point for us as to whether or not we can meaningfully stage that show with those other conditions, also being accounted for. So, we're trying to take a very holistic and balanced approach to this. And as I'm sure you can appreciate, the landscape is continuously shifting too.

Jeff Meuler

Analyst

Yes. Okay, thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next questions come from the line of Ryan Leonard of Barclays. Please proceed with your question.

Ryan Leonard

Analyst

Yes. Hi, guys. Thanks for the time. So, looking at the calendar on your website, I guess it looks like almost most if not all shows have been canceled for 3Q. So I just want to confirm that. And I guess if that is the case, is the $7 million revenue number kind of the right number based on publications and maybe some of the virtual events you are talking about in an event where everything gets canceled?

David Doft

Management

Sure. So, it's correct most events through the end of September have been canceled, but not all. And we even had some that have been canceled beyond September, at this point based on our understanding of round availability of venues, related different circumstances in different municipalities. The $7 million is in the quarter our media business plus a little bit of revenue from webinars. The business as you see in the organic growth line, the media business is down about 30%. It is certainly taking a hit from the COVID environment, especially the publications that specifically the issues that surround an event that tend to have their peak of revenue surrounding an event. So, if the event is not happening, a lot of that sponsorship dollars, aren't there. We're not guiding any aspect of 2020, so I'm not going tell you whether that's what the next quarter and next quarter will look like. But given the percent change year-over-year within that, you could look at our historical numbers and make an assumption off of that.

Ryan Leonard

Analyst

Got it. And then one nitpicky modeling one. So, I guess what is the right share count to think about with everything fully converted? I think I come out around $185 million, but I'm not sure if it'll take till fourth quarter to really flow through the numbers?

David Doft

Management

So, $185.1 [ph] million is the as converted share count, if all of the preferred shares convert on day one of the offering. You're right in terms of the weighted average shares outstanding in our share count will not fall even out. But keep in mind, the preferred shares don't show up in the weighted average shares outstanding, if they're not converted to the common, only the common shares are there. So, you're not going to see much of an impact. Where you will see the impact is in the accretion line, as I indicated below net income and before net income to common shareholders. The other thing to keep in mind is that the amount of shares that the convertible preferred stock converts into the amount of common shares does go up by the amount of the accretion, right. So, you have to run an interior model around the 7% coupon to see the changing nature of what the as converted number of shares would be at any point in time.

Ryan Leonard

Analyst

Okay, got it. And then I guess a bigger picture one if I could. As exhibitors or attendees potentially go, assuming this coronavirus impact last, if they skip two consecutive events. I guess based on either your experience or data that you track or clients that you talk to, what are the odds they come back? I'm just trying to think if there's really -- if a lot of this lasts into 2021, how exhibitors and attendees will think about events if they haven't gone and two versions of it, or two years?

Brian Field

Management

That's a good question. Actually, this is very much one of the reasons why we're looking at the virtual event and the virtual offerings, the digital offerings as real companions to the shows, because there are going to be those customers, both exhibitors and attendees, who, for whatever reason, can't make that next addition to the show, or maybe even the additions following that. And that could be reasons, for example, for our corporate travel restrictions, or maybe they're just scared, right, and they don't want to get on a plane, they don't want to go to a large gathering. And so one of the things that we've done to help satisfy those customers, who perhaps wants to but are afraid, is to look at our virtual offerings as those companion elements to the show. So, now they're not going to be as robust certainly, as a live event. They're not going to have the wide variety of discovery and that sort of serendipitous encountering new colleagues and new products that they might see on a typical live event show floor. But they'll still have the ability to interact, browse new products online, schedule appointments, find some learning as well, some of those key elements of a live show that isn't necessarily the full live show itself. So, of course, no one knows having never gone through this before, if they're going to come back the third, fourth, fifth nth time, but this is certainly one of the pieces of the plan that we have in place to ensure that there's as much continuity, customer continuity as possible, while we're going through this time.

Ryan Leonard

Analyst

Got it. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next questions come from the line of Seth Weber of RBC Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.

Seth Weber

Analyst

Hey, guys, good afternoon. I hope you're doing well. I wanted to just stick on that, the emerging hybrid model point for a second. I think you said something like $5 million to $10 of revenue near-term. Do you have a bench, an idea what you think that could represent over, say the next three to five years as a percentage of your revenue? So, I assume it's a pretty attractive margin. Thanks.

Brian Field

Management

Sure. Thanks, Seth. So, you're right, it is a fairly attractive margin to execute those shows, even at smaller sizes when they're online. And we do think it's something that could actually scale quite meaningfully. Right now, is very much in the kind of innovation/experimentation phase, and not just for us or other event providers, frankly, for our customers. And a lot of them are willing to take a chance and try it out. And a lot of them want to wait and see how the first one goes for others, before they try it out. But at the same time, we get to work out the kinks going forward. What I'd say is so far so good. We've had some successful events and events that generally people were pleased with, had strong reviews. We know we have some things to work on and we can make them better. And so, while $5 million to $10 million is what we believe we'll be able to generate this year as we move forward, there's no reason why over the next couple of years we can double or triple that. And could this be 10% of our revenue two to three years from now, I think it could be as part of a hybrid model.

Seth Weber

Analyst

Okay, that's interesting. Thanks. And I was pretty interested in your comments around the customer data hub that you're developing. Can you just talk a little bit more about that? What type of investment are you making in this? And it sounds like kind of first kick off is like first quarter of 2021. But I assume that's pretty early stages. Or can you just talk about how much runway you feel like you have with the product? How much you expect to invest in it, and just some of the benefits that you think you get out of it? Thanks.

Brian Field

Management

Sure, absolutely. So this isn't a kind of a flip the light switch and suddenly it's on and on the way, this is something that we're actually beginning to roll out this month. And it'll be, at least, this version of it, will be fully in place by the end of the first quarter of next year. This is really a consolidation of all of these different sets. We had dozens and dozens of pockets of data around Emerald. And one of the things that we saw when we first saw -- certainly when I first came in a little over a year ago now, is that there's tremendous opportunity to bring all of this data together, because individual show teams, we're just looking at what customers told us. You tell us your wedding photographer and you're a wedding photographer, and that's just exactly how we're going to treat you. We're going to send you, wedding photographer newsletters, whether or not you open them. And so when we begin to bring together not just the explicitly told to us information from customers as part of a bank registration or signing up for a newsletter, for example, but actually bring in some of the information about the behavioral footprint of a particular customer, what they're doing online, what they're doing at our shows, what tracks they're going, what conference tracks they're going. Suddenly, a wedding photographer is not just a wedding photographer anymore, because we see this wedding photographer is actually going to conference tracks about starting up her own business for example, selling CRM solutions. We’ve realized that she's reading increasing amounts of content about drones and photography through the downloads of whitepapers that she's been doing. And suddenly, what used to be just a wedding photographer now is someone, a customer who might be very well primed for our drone show, for example. And so, if we begin to understand those types of dynamics of what customers are doing, a very kind of our historically myopic view suddenly becomes much more expansive, and allows us to market and sell a whole new set of different opportunities. So, it's a very exciting opportunity, because it gives us so much more depth around what our customers are doing, and the interactions they're having with our content and things, all of our products basically, and how they interact with each other too.

Seth Weber

Analyst

Okay, that's pretty interesting. And then, if I could just. Clarification on the $15 million costs save year-to-date. Is that -- are those all permanent cost cuts? Or do you think some of that will come back as the shows come back on? And should we think of that number going higher here in the second-half, assuming the shows to be canceled or postponed? Thanks.

David Doft

Management

Sure. So, $15 million is about the run rate on an ongoing basis we've taken out. There is some incremental temporary costs we've taken out as well, that will continue to flex depending on how the event landscape looks related to COVID. So, we have a bunch of levers at our disposal, both around temporary and permanent cost, depending on how things play out. But the $15 million is a pretty good run rate proxy of what we're down. If you're part of the dynamic of, makes a little bit to talk about publicly because we never gave guidance this year. I can't really talk to what an original budget was, et cetera. But needless to say, we've made very significant progress off the runway cost structure that we had coming into the year.

Seth Weber

Analyst

Okay. And just -- but you're kind of characterizing those as permanent cuts. So even if shows come back, those costs won't come back?

David Doft

Management

There's about $15 million that we expect will not come back, because the underlying cost. What we're not doing is promising, we may not invest in some other things as we look to next year as part of our planning. But there is a hard $15 million that's out of the cost structure on an ongoing basis.

Seth Weber

Analyst

Okay. I appreciate the help guys. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the call back over to management for any closing remarks.

Brian Field

Management

Thank you. I would like to thank you all for joining us today. And we look forward to our next opportunity to share our further growth and continued progress with you. Thank you very much, everyone.

Operator

Operator

This does conclude today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation and have a great day.