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Everest Re Group, Ltd. (EG)

Q1 2009 Earnings Call· Thu, Apr 30, 2009

$343.33

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Transcript

Everest Re Group, Ltd.

RE

Executives

Management

Elizabeth Farrell – VP, IR Joseph Taranto – Chairman and CEO Ralph Jones – President and COO Tom Gallagher – Vice Chairman and Chief Underwriting Officer Craig Eisenacher – EVP and CFO

Analysts

Management

Matthew Heimermann – JPMorgan Arthur Winston [ph] – Pilot Advisors

Operator

Operator

Good day everyone and welcome to the first quarter 2009 earnings release of Everest Re Group Limited. Just as a reminder, today's call is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to your host for today, Ms. Beth Farrell, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, ma'am.

Elizabeth Farrell

Management

Thank you, Sara. Good morning and welcome to Everest Re's first quarter 2009 earnings conference call. With me today are Joe Taranto, the company's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Tom Gallagher, Vice President and Chief Underwriting Officer; Ralph Jones, our President and Chief Operating Officer; and Craig Eisenacher, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I will preface our comments by noting that our SEC filings include extensive disclosures with respect to forward-looking statements. In that regard, I note that statements made during today's call, which are forward-looking in nature such as statements about projections, estimates, expectations and the like are subject to various risks. As you know, actual results could differ materially from current projections or expectations. Our SEC filings have a full listing of the risks that investors should consider in connection with such statements. Now, let me turn the call over to Joe.

Joseph Taranto

Management

Thanks, Beth. Good morning. The reinsurance and insurance marketplace continues to transform itself very much as we had expected. Reinsurance rates for catastrophe products have gone up and are continuing to rise. Consequently, retro rates are up, energy rates are up and cat excess of loss rates are up. The supply and demand curves dictate that this process will continue as buyers need to protect their capital with reinsurance and reinsurance providers will demand better and better prices to provide these protections. In the next couple of months, most part of business will renew and we anticipate meaningful rate increases over last year’s rates. As reported last quarter, insurers that write property business would have to raise rates or be faced with the losing proposition of reinsurance costs they cannot pass on. Our underwriters are reporting this change has finally started. In April, we have seen a serious change in property insurance terms and conditions, and our property facultative department and property insurance operation in Florida experienced the best month that they’ve had in the long time. Casualty reinsurance and insurance rates and terms are not changing as meaningfully as property with the exception of isolated pockets such as D&O for financial institutions. It’s unclear how this part of the market will respond as 2009 progresses. We stand ready to write more business if market improvements bring additional business up to our underwriting standards. Ralph and Tom will provide more color on this sector, including the California workers’ comp market. Meanwhile on a macro level, the flight to security was more intense than ever before. This has been true both at the reinsurance level and at the insurance level and has greatly benefitted Everest. It has allowed us to attract new business and increased shares on existing deals. On the reinsurance level, some of our bigger competitors suffered loss of business from concerns about their economic status or ownership. At the insurance level, our A+ Best rating and financial stability has buyers putting us on the top tier of their preferred list. All of these changes resulted in gross written premiums being up 14% in the first quarter with reinsurance premiums being up 19% despite foreign currency devaluations relative to the dollar. I expect top line production to remain robust for the remainder of the year. Our underwriting result was solid with a combined ratio of 89.7 which affirms the underlying quality of the portfolio. Our investment results were disappointing as losses on limited partnerships significantly reduced overall investment income. Craig will later provide more color on investments. Surplus grew $79 million in the quarter and their ROE was 8.3%. I would hope and expect to achieve a much higher ROE in succeeding quarters as I anticipate premiums to remain strong, underwriting results continuing to be solid and investment income beginning to normalize as the world economy stabilizes. Ralph?

Ralph Jones

President

Thank you, Joe. As you can see from the first quarter results, we had a very strong January 1 renewal season with premiums up nearly 14% in the quarter. Much of the growth emanated from our overseas business that now makes up nearly half of our reinsurance premiums. We benefitted from opportunities in just about every region in which we participate. Our Latin American business was up substantial, partly due to the new Office in Brazil, which we expect will write over $60 million in premium this year. Much of our strength overseas comes in the first party lines where catastrophe exposed property treaties show the most demand. We also benefitted from the uncertain future of several large competitors. Overall, rates for the overseas business were up between 5% and 10% during the first quarter. Our Bermuda and UK book was up 14% coming from good opportunities presented in London and Brussels. Some of the growth came from quota share contracts written for two Lloyd syndicates that are looking for capital support partly due to the weakness of the pound versus the dollar. We see a distinct trend in clients focusing more on reinsurance for capital support. Our US reinsurance business was up 13% coming partly from several new crop hail quota share treaties which will amount to about $80 million on a full year basis. This is a relatively new segment for us where we see good margins available. For the US, reinsurance terms and conditions are tightening for casualty treaties. The trend we see is a switch to some degree from excess of loss to more quota share deals which we believe is often driven by the capital concerns of our ceding company customers where they are now looking for broader reinsurance support. The US insurance business was…

Tom Gallagher

President

Thanks, Ralph. As Joe noted in his opening comments, the transformation of the reinsurance market continues. The upward trend noted in January is showing signs of building momentum, which we also noted in April renewals and getting more pronounced as we head into midyear activity. Though the pace of change varies by line, industry, territory, and loss history, the theme is the same. It is an improved reinsurance environment. The strongest changes noted is in the US property and commercial and cat business, international, retro, and the energy area where there remains an increased demand for stable, high quality security in a turbulent market. Also as Ralph noted, we have experienced growth from emerging markets such as Brazil, new lines such as crop, plus positive rate movement in many areas, a change in some buying habits from excess to proportional and obviously the flight to quality. For casualty, it is much more of a mixed bag. With some improvements in rate terms and conditions, the general theme continues to be relatively flat. Overall, we are beginning to see their rates decline slow or stall, but it is a slow process. The only area which Joe noted where prices have moved greatly is in the financial area for D&O and E&O were cautious growth is the watchword. We would project that the casualty markets to remain challenging throughout 2009. Though, there are some signs of positive change, as new submission activity has increased. And we see that most of them are not easily filled. We would expect this trend to continue also through the remainder of the year. All participants in the markets are gaining a greater appreciation for the need to improve churns. Presently, it is evident that reinsurance market is firming much quicker. But that will filter through the…

Craig Eisenacher

Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Tom. As stated in our earnings release operating income for the quarter was $106 million, $1.73 per diluted share. Net income, including the gain on our debt repurchase and realized capital losses, was $109 million or $1.77 per diluted share. Our pretax underwriting gain was strong. Our combined ratio was just under 90%, about equivalent to last year’s first quarter. However our investment results were disappointing largely driven by our limited partnership investments. And I will talk a little bit more about that in a moment. As well, we reported a $20 million loss on the equity index put options we wrote in 2001 and 2005. We had realized capital losses of $65 million before tax and $48 million after tax. Most of this loss emanates from sales of Banc of America and Wells Fargo fixed maturity securities. As a result of their acquisitions of Merrill and Wachovia, our aggregated debt holdings exceed our risk thresholds and we reduced our holdings accordingly. As well, we recorded other than temporary impairments of $8.3 million before tax and $7.6 million after tax. As you know, we repurchased via tender offer $161 million of our outstanding subordinated debt for $83 million, including the transaction costs. This produced a pretax gain of $78 million and an after tax gain of $51 million. We like the outcome, the tender offer was at its core an opportunistic play. We have the liquidity, capital and earnings power to easily handle this transaction. So we repurchased 40% of the issue and in so doing reduced our leverage a bit, although it’s already very conservative, book to gain, and reduced our interest expense going forward. From a cash perspective, the opportunity return is roundly 13%, so well in excess of investment market opportunities, even very long opportunities. Tom…

Operator

Operator

(Operator instructions) We'll go first to Matthew Heimermann of JPMorgan. Matthew Heimermann – JPMorgan: Hi, good morning everybody. You talked, Joe, about expecting growth to remain pretty healthy over the balance of the year. With respect to some of the growth you saw in the international sector, there wasn't any – was there any front end loading with respect to business you are writing this year. I know you had the S&P review going on. But I just wanted to make sure there wasn’t anything unusual on any of those numbers.

Joseph Taranto

Management

No. There wasn't anything unusual about the numbers. Matthew Heimermann – JPMorgan: Okay. Easy enough. And then could you just revisit either you or Tom the comments with respect to buyer changes? On one hand, I thought you mentioned people shifting to excess of loss versus proportional which I've heard in other places but in another comment, I thought I heard that there were some shifts from excess to proportional. So if you could just flesh that out a little bit.

Joseph Taranto

Management

Sure. Let me give you a more broad answer to that, Matt. First of all, I think there's just a lot of positive things going on in the marketplace that have benefited us and that we’re capitalizing on. Part of that is a flight to security. Part of it is some of our competitors having some difficulty and even some of our customers having some difficulty when it comes to protecting their surplus. I think what we probably were referring to on some of the shift to quota share was at least in some cases where clients wanted essentially more surplus relief. Ease their balance sheet a little bit, and that's something that we could provide since we have a strong balance sheet. You are right at any particular point in time, different lines, different countries. There's an ebb and flow, as clients move between excessive loss and pro rata. But we did see, at least with regard to surplus strain some clients moving more to the pro rata side. But between pockets that are hardening very nicely, where we have some very unique opportunities, and the flight to security and some of the troubles that others have had, we have just had had a lot to operate with in the first quarter and I see most of those drivers being opportunities that we have to capitalize on for the remainder of the year. Matthew Heimermann – JPMorgan: Okay. That's helpful. The other question, just with respect to some of the surplus relief you are providing customers, as well as the quota share to some of the Lloyd’s entities. How is that affecting the PML? Or your risk tolerance, your ability to take more risk has to move into the midyear renewals if at all.

Tom Gallagher

President

This is Tom. As with respects to accumulations, let me go back for a moment on the question of proportional versus excess loss. Most of the activity we’ve seen on the proportional side has been related to the casualty more so than property. So accumulation is not necessarily affected. Now with respect to accumulation, since the beginning of the year we’ve taken a pretty conservative stance on our accumulations, both in the US as well as internationally. And at this point in time, from 1/1, we have in the US shrunk our accumulation by zone in almost every one of the individual zones. In the international market, we have seen declines as well in our overall. We will have some limited growth in PMLs? Well, all within our willing to risk capabilities. Matthew Heimermann – JPMorgan: Perfect. All right, thanks very much.

Operator

Operator

We'll go next to Arthur Winston [ph] of Pilot Advisors. Arthur Winston – Pilot Advisors: In terms of the investment portfolio, it seems like there's a barbell approach. You take these very risky investments on one hand and then buy very conservative securities and I wonder two things, if you can estimate the future – how the future risk compared to the past risk on these partnerships, derivatives, S&P puts. And, two, are you going to continue to be conservative on the investment portfolio after being so aggressive and risk taking on these partnership situations?

Tom Gallagher

President

It sounds to me like there are three questions here. The S&P puts, the partnerships and the portfolio structure, correct? Arthur Winston – Pilot Advisors: Yes.

Tom Gallagher

President

: : : On the other hand, we do invest in equities looking over time to get a better return in the equity markets, recognizing that they are more volatile than the bond markets. We have backed off our equity exposure, particularly our public equity exposure over the last six months, and really our remaining equity exposures in public and private equities are in the limited partnerships, which represent a very small portion of our investment. So, net-net, I would say that we’ve lowered the risk in our portfolio. Does that answer your question? : On the other hand, we do invest in equities looking over time to get a better return in the equity markets, recognizing that they are more volatile than the bond markets. We have backed off our equity exposure, particularly our public equity exposure over the last six months, and really our remaining equity exposures in public and private equities are in the limited partnerships, which represent a very small portion of our investment. So, net-net, I would say that we’ve lowered the risk in our portfolio. Does that answer your question? : On the other hand, we do invest in equities looking over time to get a better return in the equity markets, recognizing that they are more volatile than the bond markets. We have backed off our equity exposure, particularly our public equity exposure over the last six months, and really our remaining equity exposures in public and private equities are in the limited partnerships, which represent a very small portion of our investment. So, net-net, I would say that we’ve lowered the risk in our portfolio. Does that answer your question? Arthur Winston – Pilot Advisors: Yes.

Tom Gallagher

President

For the near term, that's our strategy. Arthur Winston – Pilot Advisors: Fine.

Operator

Operator

And it appears we have no further questions at this time. I will turn the conference back over to our speakers for closing remarks.

Elizabeth Farrell

Management

I would like to thank everybody for participating and certainly if you have any questions, please feel free to call myself or Craig Eisenacher. Again thank you.

Operator

Operator

And that concludes today’s conference. Again, thank you all for joining us.