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VAALCO Energy, Inc. (EGY)

Q3 2022 Earnings Call· Wed, Nov 9, 2022

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning and welcome to the VAALCO Energy Third Quarter 2022 Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] After today’s presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. [Operator Instructions] During the question-and-answer session, we ask you to limit your questions to one and a follow-up. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Al Petrie, Investor Relations Coordinator. Please, go ahead.

Al Petrie

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to VAALCO Energy's third quarter 2022 conference call. After I cover the forward-looking statements, George Maxwell, our CEO, will review key highlights along with operational results. Ron Bain, our CFO, will then provide a more in-depth financial review. George will then return for some closing comments before we take your questions. Please keep in mind that George and Ron will only be speaking to VAALCO Energy's third quarter results and not TransGlobe’s, as the business combination did not close until Q4. During our question-and-answer session, we ask you to limit your questions to one and a follow-up. You can always reenter the queue with additional questions. I'd like to point out that we posted a third quarter 2022 supplemental investor deck on our website this morning that has additional financial analysis, comparisons and guidance that should be helpful. With that, let me proceed with our forward-looking statement comments. During the course of this conference call, the company will be making forward-looking statements. Investors are cautioned that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and those actual results or developments may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. VAALCO disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. These and other risks are described in yesterday's press release, the presentation posted on our website and in the reports we file with the SEC, including our Form 10-K and forms 10-Q. Please note that this conference call is being recorded. And let me now turn the call over to George.

George Maxwell

Analyst

Thank you, Al. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our third quarter 2022 earnings conference call. We continued our solid financial and operational results in the third quarter. We benefited from sustained high Brent pricing over $103 per barrel and solid sales of 731,000 barrels. This combination allowed us to continue to generate significant cash flow, execute on our accretive growth strategy and fully fund our capital commitments. We remain committed to paying out dividends to our shareholders. And with a debt-free balance sheet, we are clearly in a very strong financial position. We delivered adjusted EBITDAX of $42.4 million and have now generated $136.8 million of adjusted EBITDAX in the first nine months of 2022. To put this in perspective, we generated $85.8 million in all of 2021 and $26.6 million in 2020. We have used this to pay three quarterly dividends thus far in 2022 and the Board approved a fourth dividend payable in the fourth quarter of this year. Our strong balance sheet remains debt-free and our unrestricted cash balance grew to $69.3 million, which does not include $16.8 million in proceeds from our September lifting that were received in October. As you can see, we have grown our cash position even while we execute on our capital drilling program as well as the field reconfiguration and conversion to an FSO at Etame. In addition to our operational and financial results, we had several other major projects occurring these past few months. Operationally, in Gabon, we are very pleased to have successfully delivered a highly complex full-field reconfiguration maintenance turnaround and upgraded FSO installation in October. This project was completed despite a difficult global supply chain environment and is a testament to the dedication of our workforce and partners who help complete this project, underlying VAALCO's status…

Ron Bain

Analyst

Thank you George and good morning everyone. Let me begin by echoing George's comments about our ability to successfully execute on several complex operational and corporate projects simultaneously. I am pleased with our performance thus far in 2022 and we are better positioned today to execute on our strategy of accretive growth, while adding and returning value to our shareholders than we were at the start of the year. Turning to our quarterly financials. We generated adjusted EBITDAX of $42.4 million in the third quarter of 2022, compared with a record $60.8 million in the prior quarter, but nearly double the $23.3 million in the same period of 2021. The decrease in adjusted EBITDAX compared to the second quarter of 2022 was primarily due to lower sales volumes with three listings in Q3 compared to four listings in Q2. Year-to-date in 2022 we have clearly benefited from higher realized oil pricing and strong net sales volumes. This has allowed us to fund our strategic initiatives with cash flow and cash on hand including our 2021/2022 drilling campaign CapEx our FSO conversion our field reconfiguration costs and our quarterly dividends. We also reported net income of $6.9 million, or $0.11 per diluted share in the third quarter of 2022, which included a $24 million deferred tax expense and a $6.4 million in transaction costs associated with the TransGlobe combination, and $8.9 million of onetime FPSO demobilization and decommissioning costs, which were partially offset by $12.9 million non-cash unrealized derivative gain. After normalizing for the deferred tax charge, transaction costs, FPSO charges and the unrealized derivative gain, our adjusted net income for the third quarter of 2022 totaled $33.3 million or $0.56 per diluted share as compared to an adjusted net income of $30.7 million or $0.52 per diluted share for the…

George Maxwell

Analyst

Thanks, Ron. As you heard this morning, 2022 has been a very successful and transformative year for VAALCO. I've been CEO of VAALCO for the past 18 months. And in Q1 2021, we were producing about 5,000 barrels per day with a 2P CPR reserve estimate of 10.4 million barrels from a single producing asset. We had no debt with about $20 million in cash and the stock was trading around $2.50 per share. My main objectives were to accretively grow production and value through organic drilling acquisitions and unlocking the inherent value in our asset base. We are long-term stewards of VAALCO and are building a sustainable business that will maximize value. We are in a risk-based business with a lot of variability, but with significant upside. We believe we have managed these risks very well, while delivering record results. We continued drilling at Etame and also entered into a consortium to explore a prospective area offshore Gabon, South of Etame that has significant potential for the future. We successfully completed one of the most comprehensive and complex operational projects in nearly 20 years at Etame with the FSO conversion and full field reconfiguration. It is quite remarkable, that a project of that scope and scale was successfully managed and executed by a company the size of VAALCO. We developed and received approval for a POD from the Equat EG government for the Venus discovery of Block P. And we are negotiating final documents for approval by the Ministry of Mines and Hydrocarbons. That concession was acquired in 2012 and had no significant activity for nearly nine years, until our team developed a unique development plan that is highly economic at prices much below today's prices. We have implemented the first ever dividend program for VAALCO that began in…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session [Operator Instructions] And our first question will come from John White with ROTH Capital. Please go ahead.

John White

Analyst

Good morning all. Congratulations on all of your accomplishments this year there in many and very positive work in my opinion. On the Venus Development Block P George I appreciated all your detail on the time line there. I was going to ask that you provided it anyway. And Ron spoke of 2023 guidance. And just to confirm I believe with your final comments, you mentioned that will be released in the first quarter 2023. Is that correct?

George Maxwell

Analyst

Yeah, the full year guidance I think you're referring to John. We will do full year guidance and we'll get that out to you guys in the first quarter of 2023.

John White

Analyst

Okay. I don't have any further questions, so I'll pass it back to the operator.

George Maxwell

Analyst

Thank you John.

Operator

Operator

Our next question will come from Stephane Foucaud with Auctus Advisors. Please go ahead.

Stephane Foucaud

Analyst

Hi team. Thanks for taking my question. So, I've got two. So I'll start by the first one. That's a bit building up on the previous question about 2023 production. So I appreciate you don't give any guidance, but how should we look at it? So you gave the end of the year, the exit production, or the Q4 production for the asset. As we look at 2023, is that a reasonable number? Should we start from there and putting some decline? Do you more or less expect that you will be able to grow on that? What's the general thinking without being specific appreciate there is no precise guidance given yet?

George Maxwell

Analyst

Thank you Stephane. No we can't be specific, but I can give you in general terms. So as I previously mentioned, we're coming to the end of the drilling campaign in Gabon and we're utilizing the rig for these last two workovers. And as I mentioned one was a safety workover, which was had to be completed. And the other one was the restoring of between up to 1500 barrels that went down due to an electrical failure. We called it an ESP failure. So it wasn't a failure of the pump. It was an electrical failure on the cabling. And just to make it further clear, the reason we utilize the rig is because we couldn't utilize our cut unit, because we didn't have either space on the platform to deploy the cut unit, or the available personnel to operate it. So the rig was the definite choice to restore that production in the near-term. So we come to the end of the Etame drilling, but we're just rigging up right now to commence drilling in Egypt this week. So the drilling program starts with two exploration wells in Egypt and we also commenced a drilling program at the beginning of January in Canada. So I can't be specific, but we will be continuing to add production from the drill pit from our other assets.

Stephane Foucaud

Analyst

So basically Gabon declining a bit and maybe some production increase in Egypt and Canada. Is that…?

George Maxwell

Analyst

That's exactly, yes.

Stephane Foucaud

Analyst

Okay. Wonderful. Thanks. That's my first question. My second question is part for Ron is about -- and it's about modeling and looking forward to things and starting given you provided some production number and CapEx number for Q4. So we're starting to be some financial. And, of course, the big question is the starting point with regard to the cash coming from TransGlobe. So looking at I think in June, TransGlobe had something like $60 million in cash. You had about $80 million if you include all the working capital. Is that -- they generated each quarter I think that if you look at the first half of the year, they have generated a lot. So as a starting point on closing is $80 million, a good number to start with for working capital? Is it higher? Is it below what's your sense?

Ron Bain

Analyst

Well, I think first of all Stephane, I would point you to the fact that TransGlobe released their Q3 results. There was a 6-K filing. You can refer to that. That is a cash balance as at the 30th of September. Yes, we didn't take over that business until October the 13th. So in that time period there will be transactional costs in relation to the deal. So if you take into consideration their cash balance at the end of September and there's going to be transactional costs that will come out of there. Again I'll guide you to the proxy, the information memorandum in Canada, both of which will identify costs that will occur on the combination. And I think that will be the guide I would give you for your opening position.

Stephane Foucaud

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question will come from Charlie Sharp with Canaccord. Please go ahead.

Charlie Sharp

Analyst

Thank you very much gentlemen and thank you for very comprehensive update. Just one question, I think it's slide 5 in your presentation you gave an indication of the rebuild if you like in production from Etame through the FSO through October and into November. We're now halfway through that that would suggest that you're back up to that 15,000, 16,000, 17,000 level. Is that correct, or has there been any further sort of small delays that might impinge on Q4 numbers?

George Maxwell

Analyst

No. I mean, if we look at -- the reason we included that particular tar was to clearly identify that the Q4 issues that relate to the lower production levels for Etame are behind us. So we are up at the levels you've indicated without me giving you exact numbers and the float that you see in that chart is basically in relation to the ST sort of the SEENT well cleanup. And I'll just put a little bit of color into that well right now just for all listeners. The well was available to turn over to production on the 23rd of October within the time line that we had previously indicated to market. We were unable to flow the well and turn it to production for two reasons. One, we had to move the rig on SEENT and making the rig move to do the safety workover our oil production has to remain shortened for safety purposes. And secondly, it was delayed due to the field reconfiguration as we start up the Etame field first confirm the integrity of the lines and the integrity of the vessel receiving crude as we started a phased -- as we did a phased start-up and SEENT came on after Etame and those processing capabilities were confirmed. So we then look at in detail with the well, please keep in mind this is the deepest well that VAALCO have ever drilled at 16,000 feet. And we fracked into two zones. So we have considerable completion fluid in there and quite a distance of fluid to extract. But so we've allowed quite a long cleanup period. We do have good Bohol pressure being indicated that under 3000 psi. So our confidence levels remain very high and that's why we've got that indicative in that production chart, but it will take some time to clean up.

Charlie Sharp

Analyst

Okay. Thank you. And one short follow-up if I may. The excellent theme that you've assembled and they've shown how excellent they are to carry out the conversion on a Etame. Are you going to be able to retain all of the key elements of that team and transfer them to Equatorial Guinea, or do you see that team perhaps having other duties to perform?

George Maxwell

Analyst

Well, obviously, we have given a plan of development which is really CapEx intensive, when it looks at what we're planning to do in Block P. Obviously, with the -- when we've got a team of such experience and having completed such a monumental task within that time frame, we are certainly looking to redeploy that team almost immediately into optimizing the Block P development. And when I say optimizing, it's a combination of optimizing the efficiency of construction and design and also the efficiency of the economics. So can we deploy that particular engineering skill set to become -- make Block P even more efficient and reduce that initial CapEx spend. That's certainly the target Charlie.

Charlie Sharp

Analyst

Okay. That’s great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question will come from Bill Dezellem with Tieton Capital. Please go ahead.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst

Thank you. First of all the kind of been in Gabon and seeing the assets and what you accomplished over there is truly remarkable. So congratulations. And with that, really solid execution, I guess that leads to the question of what you think you can do say over the course of the next 12 months, if I realize it's a super short period of time. But in Egypt with the TransGlobe assets and just taking your execution and applying that over there?

George Maxwell

Analyst

Oh. That's the top one, Bill. We have -- and I'm sure as most of the listeners are aware, we have a specific methodology of operating and we go to the lowest common denominator both to understand the operations and to make them efficient and as efficient as they can be. Now I'm not saying that that hasn't already been done in TransGlobe, but we need to accomplish that both in the field and with our partners in Egypt, so that we can maximize both the production and maximize the efficiency and making that the position in Egypt as prolific as it can possibly be. And certainly, we will be setting some challenging targets that we will be looking at, with regards to production and cost efficiency. We'll be setting targets with regard to our export barrels and how we plan to maximize the value of those and how we have a better understanding of the pricing of that particular crude with the discount to Brent. So, we are very hands on, when it comes to executive management on the assets. And so, that's where we'll be in Egypt. And in fact it'll be in Egypt the week after next. And we will do exactly the same with the operation in Canada, how quickly can we accelerate the planned production increases and bring that as far forward into 2023, as possible, obviously, doing it safely and efficiently. So, as Gabon goes into a study phase in 2023 for the subsurface which effectively it is with the exploration assets and the development in Etame, we will have more than enough time to focus our operational positions into Canada and Egypt.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst

Thank you. And then second question is relative to the new FSO given the significantly larger capacity. How do you anticipate the cadence of offloads will take place relative to the cadence that you've had with the FPSO?

George Maxwell

Analyst

Yes. We're kind of hopeful as -- for those who are not aware with the lower parcel sizes from the Nitipa, we always were in a coal load position. So in looking at the opportunities for vessels in West Africa nine times out of 10, we would be co-loading with a vessel that's either preloaded or going about to take a second load into Nigeria. So what this does allow us is to have a specific 100% loading coming from the tele going into a single tanker. Now that allows -- we can't quantify us yet, but it's certainly the large or the loading the reduced cost for vessels and towns et cetera that we have for that. And the larger loading the better opportunity to market that as a single parcel going on to one of the refineries. So, we are planning to see benefit from that cost savings and price enhancements, but we haven't factored those in at this time.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst

Okay. Thank you and congratulations again on the fabulous execution in Gabon.

George Maxwell

Analyst

Thanks Bill.

Operator

Operator

Our next question will come from Jamie Wilen with Wilen Management. Please go ahead.

Jamie Wilen

Analyst

Hi fellows. You always seem to get a bit of a premium to Brent. Could you kind of quantify, what pricing we were able to achieve and how we're able to do that?

George Maxwell

Analyst

Okay. What we've recently done Jamie is we switched away from a term contract with Exxon. This is for Gabon. Let me clarify. So we've switched away from a term contract with Exxon to a market-based marketing contract with Glencore. So, in the term-based contract we were dated Brent minus. So it was a fixed position on Brent minus whatever the position was in the contract and it went from $0.50 to $1. So we would Brent minus $1 in most of our liftings. Moving to marketing contract. We paid $0.25 per barrel on the marketing fee. And the trader effectively goes and sources the best price possible in the marketplace for each parcel that we scheduled to deliver. On the last parcel, we were trading at a $5 premium to Brent on that particular parcel. And what we try to do is maximize the volume. Now we've got a couple of smaller lifts coming up in Q4. One of them I think is marketed a slight discount to Brent. So it's all about being able to capture the market at the right time. with the right volume. But we are into a marketing contract now. So it gives us a much larger control of spectrum of the crude. For the other jurisdictions in Egypt, there's a mixture of a marketing contract with Mercuria for offtakes and they historically do one or two offtakes a year, plus an option to price and sell to EGPC for domestic use, which is linked to a dollar based -- it's a dollar sale linked to about an $8 discount to Brent for that crude quality. Again, something we're just getting into to see how we can improve that crude quality through processing in the field. In Canada, it's a little bit different. They've got a mixture of oil, NGLs and gas. So theirs is a combination price that basically everything is sold at the wellhead.

James Wilen

Analyst

On the North Tchibala well that has been paused, can you give us a little bit more clarity on the timing of how long it will take to clean up the well and kind of looking at the tea leaves for, say, what the workover wells will be, versus what this will come online? It looks like we're looking at 1,000 to 1,500 NRI is what you're forecasting there?

George Maxwell

Analyst

Yes, that we're keeping it at 1,500. And we've got no reason, given from the subsurface side or the geological side for us to, at this point, change that estimate. Like I said, we've got to keep in mind that it's a 16,000-foot well, 4,950 meters in depth. It's quite -- it's going to take quite some time to clean up. And if you look at that chart we've allowed about 10 days -- 10 to 12 days to clean and to get stabilized flow. And that's where we expect. And as soon as we have that and it's cleaned up, we'll straight back market with the stabilized rates.

James Wilen

Analyst

As you look at the results of the drilling program of what we've accomplished in the Gabon and the Dentale does that affect how you look down the road at what we're going to do? The Gabon seems to have been so productive; the Dentale has been a little bit more elusive. How do you look at the drilling program for 2023 and beyond in those two areas?

George Maxwell

Analyst

Yes. That's a great question. And the reason I think it's a great question, Jamie, is because, it allows me to provide the opportunity of exactly what we're trying to do right now. What we're trying to do right now is, about -- it was over 18 months ago that we identified this program. In fact, it was the end of 2020, the beginning of 2021. And we identified this program with four pre-designated wells and we did that ahead of our full seismic interpretation. And as you're aware through this program, we've had to substitute wells as our seismic interpretation and knowledge grew. And then, in substituting these wells, we tend to -- in any drilling campaign you do your firmer wells first in your riskier wells at the end on a percentage chance of success basis. And -- well -- and that's exactly how this program has panned out. For 2023, we have a year where we're going to do a really deep dive into that seismic interpretation a really deep dive into the step-out and productive drilling opportunities within both the Gabon and the Dentale and then have that portfolio risked, so we can again identify clear targets within four to six high-grade drilling targets that we'll come to announce towards Q3 of 2023. With that, we'll also be looking at what is the longevity of Etame, how far we've got an opportunity to take this to 2038. How do we do that from a subsurface perspective how do we do that from a full utilization of the facilities perspective. And what I'm planning to try and do is, get that analysis in a Capital Markets Day towards middle of Q2. And that's what we're trying to achieve. Now, don't hold me to that Q2 date, it will be ready when we've completed the interpretation. But we will come out to market and give them a full overview of not just initially the Etame asset, because that's the one we're focused on right now and then, an opportunity to expand that with both our Canadian and Egyptian assets later in the year.

Operator

Operator

We have time for one last question. Our last question will come from Stephane Foucaud with Auctus Advisors. Please, go ahead.

Stephane Foucaud

Analyst

If I can, gents, two boring question for Ron. The first one on the balance sheet on the non-current liabilities, I think, I saw for the first time a non-current tax of about $41 million. And I was wondering what that corresponding to -- was corresponding to? And the other one related, are there any residual CapEx from the FPSO in 2023? Because I think only part of the overall, budget was paying to 2022. So I guess, that should -- the balance according to Q1 2023, if you could confirm that would be great. Thank you.

Ron Bain

Analyst

Okay. So on the first part, you've got both the deferred tax asset and a deferred tax liability. You can net these off for accounting purposes, Stefan. So the liability is really the deferred tax liability in foreign taxes for, Gabon. So essentially, that is our projections out there that will – obviously, we're utilizing the cost pool the 80%. So we're getting the deductions upfront, but we have the liability for the profit oil barrels, as we look into the future. At the same point in time, because our tax rate in Gabon is higher than our US tax rate, you've effectively got the asset appearing in the US side deferred tax assets. So one virtually offsets the other at this point in time, but that's why you develop it to. I mean previously, we would have had deferred tax assets in Gabon, but we had valuation allowances against them when COVID hit and when prices were low. Those valuation allowances were basically, reversed as we go in through 2021 and the final reversal happened in the beginning of 2022. So there is quite a bit of noise, as those deferred taxes roll themselves out over the year. But we finished -- we're looking at the year-to-date position now with an effective tax rate of around 65%. So it's kind of coming back in line with what we expected, in that 60% to 65% level. Second point, I'll go to is, on the FSO, no I think we'll largely see all of those costs rolling through in Q4. So there shouldn't be any carry forward into Q1, not in material anyway.

Stephane Foucaud

Analyst

Great. Thank you.

Ron Bain

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to George Maxwell, for any closing remarks.

George Maxwell

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Well I think this has been an excellent call. As you can tell from the length of the call, and the detail of the questions that we've been performing considerable activities through this year. And we put an awful lot of information out to the market and that is reflective like I say, with the quality of the questioning that we've received. I think we look forward to Q4, and starting to harvest some of the benefits both of the combination and of the drilling campaign and the infield upgrades and FSO installation that are now completed. I would like to say to my staff, it's time you take a well-earned pause, but I think after Thanksgiving, I'll be asking them to get back on the hobby horse and let's keep driving again. So, on that, thank you very much for the call. And obviously, we as an executive team, are available to take calls from investors on a one-to-one as and when required. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.