Jay Grinney
Analyst · Adam Feinstein from Barclays Capital
I think that what we have said for the last maybe 1, 1.5 years is emerging as the operating environment that we're in, and that is from a rehabilitation competitive landscape. The hospital units are increasingly under pressure because their acute care sponsor, the acute care hospitals that they're in, they are under pressure from a reimbursement standpoint. They're getting less dollars from managed care. They're having to deal with the Obamacare pay for. They are looking at sequestration next year. There is the various cuts that occurred as a result of the DOCSIS, there could be more. And so what we're seeing is that the acute care hospitals and systems that are more forward-thinking, they're not just looking at today, they're looking down the road, are asking themselves, "Can we really afford to be all things to everybody the way we have in the past?" And increasingly, the answer is no. So what we're seeing, and it's slowly emerging, is an interest on some of the more progressive health care systems to say, "Okay, in the past, we had to own and operate everything. Tomorrow, we're not going to be able to afford to do that, especially if there are continued CapEx needs in our core acute care business." Okay, so with that in mind, what are we going to do? Either we monetize the noncore assets or we consider partnering with someone who can come in, we can offload some of the risk on the post-acute space and monetize a portion of those services but still have control. And that is probably the biggest difference, Adam, between February of 2012 and February of 2011. In 2011, we said that's what we think was going to happen. In 2012, that's what we're seeing beginning to happen. In terms of the SNF, there's really not a big difference there. The fact that they are not getting as much for the therapy services probably is going to put a little more pressure on them to try to make it up with more patients. But they are under some pressure. And so they have a very difficult situation to deal with while trying to meet this demand. At the same time, you see companies out there, nursing home companies talking about having to take out costs. Well, the costs are going to be taken out primarily through labor costs. And with the labor cost reductions, ultimately, you're going to put some pressure on being able to maintain any semblance of quality. So we don't see the SNF environment changing that dramatically. However, we do think that it will be more challenging for them to maintain any semblance of quality in those higher acuity patients that we treat and that could conceivably be admitted to a nursing home if there is no IRFs available or if the admitting physician may have a medical directorship arrangement or some other factor. Does that help?