Earnings Labs

Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. (ELS)

Q1 2015 Earnings Call· Tue, Apr 21, 2015

$62.36

-0.65%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.

Same-Day

+2.33%

1 Week

+2.70%

1 Month

+0.83%

vs S&P

-1.04%

Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day everyone and thank you all for joining us to discuss Equity LifeStyle Properties’ First Quarter 2015 results. Our featured speakers today are Marguerite Nader, our President and CEO; Paul Seavey, our Executive Vice President and CFO; and Patrick Waite, our Executive Vice President and COO. In advance of today's call, management released earnings. Today's call will consist of opening remarks and a question-and-answer session with management relating to the Company's earnings release. As a reminder, this call is being recorded. Certain matters discussed during this conference call may contain forward-looking statements in the meanings of the federal securities laws. Our forward-looking statements are subject to certain economic risk and uncertainty. The Company assumes no obligation to update or supplement any statements that become untrue because of subsequent events. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Marguerite Nader, our President and CEO.

Marguerite Nader

Management

Good morning and thank you for joining us today. Our first quarter results showed strong growth with core NOI up 6%. I want to take a few minutes to discuss the key factors in our strong NOI growth. First and foremost, we own quality real estate locations. Our properties have attractive natural amenities and are located near popular tourist attraction. We market our locations and encourage our customers to take advantage of the local culture. With respect to our customers, our Sunbelt locations appeal to the baby boomer who wants to get out of the cold weather. This year, the country set records that our customer base will not soon forget including consecutive days and weeks of temperatures below freezing and triple the average snowfall. In our age-restricted MH communities, our customer is a younger retiree buying a home with an average sale price of $70,000 and a FICO of 750. In Florida, our customer base can be divided between East and West coast. The properties on the East Coast draw from Massachusetts, New York, Pennsylvania and Canada, and the properties on the West Coast generally draw from the Midwest. In Arizona, we see the majority of our customers coming from the Midwest and Canada. We see an increased willingness of these customers to begin to make long distance decisions to commit to us. Of the 23 new homes that were sold in Florida in this quarter, about half of the buyers were making their first move from the north and committed to an ELS community. The remaining homes sold for customers who had moved to Florida over the last couple of years and were searching for the right location to fit their lifestyle. Our marketing efforts are targeted to capture both types of customers. Our operating group is focused…

Paul Seavey

Management

Thank you, Marguerite, and good morning everyone. I will discuss our first quarter results, detailed guidance for the second quarter, and updated guidance for the remainder of 2015. I will also provide an overview of our balance sheet including an update on our refinancing activity. For the first quarter, we reported $0.83 of normalized FFO per share, $0.02 ahead of guidance. Overall, core income from property operations was better than expected as a result of increased rental revenues and lower than anticipated utility expenses across our MH and RV platform. Core MH rent came in better than we have projected and was 3% higher than last year. The base rental income increase includes 2.7% in rate growth and approximately 30 basis points related to occupancy gains. We had core occupancy gains of 96 MH sites in the quarter. Our occupancy increase includes an increase of 169 homeowners in the quarter and a 73 site reduction in home renters. We sold 86 new homes including 39 through our Eco joint-venture and during the first quarter, 22 Eco homes became occupied rentals. Our RV business generated core resort base rental income growth of 8.8%. Our annual growth rate was 5.7% resulting from rate in Florida as well as occupancy increases in the Thousand Trails portfolio. Growth in seasonal revenues of 10.5% and growth of 16.6% in transient income was driven by rate and occupancy primarily in Florida. Demand for our Florida Keys properties contributed to the transient income growth. We also continue to see strong demand for our cabin rental program across the portfolio. First quarter membership dues revenue was in line with our guidance. During the quarter, we sold and activated approximately 4,200 memberships. The $300,000 net contribution from membership upgrade sales activity was less than expected as a result of…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Please standby for your first question, which comes from the line of Nick Joseph at Citigroup. Go ahead please.

Nick Joseph

Analyst

Great thanks. Wondering what was the cap rate on the acquisition this quarter and can you talk about the pipeline today?

Marguerite Nader

Management

Sure. The assets that we closed, we closed two assets in North Carolina. I think the press release mentioned and I mentioned that one with MH and one with RV, the pricing was about $29,000 per site at about 6.5 cap rate and then just with respect to the broader acquisition pipeline it’s kind of the same as we’ve always said, we are working with interested buyers, but it is difficult to judge timing as to when closings would happen.

Nick Joseph

Analyst

Thanks and then I guess just big picture, given where the stock is trading relative to consensus NAV in the debt environment that Paul just spoke about, how do you balance this attractive cost to capital and the ability to make accretive acquisitions versus diluting the quality of your existing portfolio?

Marguerite Nader

Management

Yeah, I mean, I think that we’re always looking for new acquisition and new opportunities, but I think as we’ve often said that getting bigger just to get bigger doesn’t make sense for us. We are concentrating our efforts on both external growth and internal growth as we look at few expansion sites and expanding our customer reach. Some of the returns that we’ve seen inside those some of the expansions that we’ve done specifically, the one that we’ve done in Mesa, Arizona is very attractive to us where we’ve got $6000 rents and cost of $17,000 to fill the site, or to build the site. So, that’s very interesting for us, I think as it relates to looking at the opportunity to use our OP units and use our equity I think you would see more of those transactions as we get into the rest of the year.

Nick Joseph

Analyst

And how large is that expansion opportunity across the portfolio?

Marguerite Nader

Management

Right now we have - right now we are working on view point as we discussed and also there is a few other properties that we’re working on, it’s one in Houston, Lake Conroe then another one in Mesa, so right now we have three or four that are going. In total we have 5000 expansion, we have 5000 vacant acres adjacent to our properties.

Nick Joseph

Analyst

Great and do you have the breakdown for that 5000 acres between the RV and the MH.

Marguerite Nader

Management

I don’t have it. It’s in our K, I don’t have it ready at the hand here, but we can send it along to you.

Nick Joseph

Analyst

Great. Thanks so much.

Marguerite Nader

Management

Thanks Nick.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Jana Galan at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Go ahead please.

Jana Galan

Analyst

Thank you good morning.

Marguerite Nader

Management

Good morning Jana.

Jana Galan

Analyst

I was wondering if you can update us on the RV dealer program and whether you think this creator RV demand is coming from outside the horrible weather, whether it’s the online marketing efforts or a combination of that with the RV dealer program?

Marguerite Nader

Management

Sure. On the RV dealer program, we’ve increased our dealer program so that now we cover a 100 different dealer locations at 65 different unique dealers and those dealers sell about 2000 RVs each year, right now our membership base includes about 10,000 members who have come to us through this RV dealer program. We really liked the program because it exposed us to new customer base, I think around 40% of this RV sales are to first time buyers. So that’s a great opportunity for us to get exposure into our properties from these new buyers. So, I think we are seeing new people come to us from certainly the RV dealer programs. On the marketing side, we are seeing some, we’re looking at travel websites, trying to book additional revenue through new sources online, new online partnerships and it’s really just bringing new customers to us and then securing them for next year on a repeat business.

Jana Galan

Analyst

Thank you. And then just on the conversion of renters to owners, you’ve been very successful thus far this year to kind of your outlook there if you expect that to continue through the kind of spring summer falling season?

Patrick Waite

Analyst

Yes. It is Patrick. I will answer that question for you. We do expect that trend in renter conversions to continue as we focus on taking existing customers and giving them the opportunity to buy homes. They trend over the last couple of years showed improvement from about 5% of home sales being renter conversions in 2013, the 10% in 2014 and that trend really continued through the first quarter of 9%. And just to clarify that 9% to 10% is the current renter buying the home that they are in. We’ve started to really focus on all renters and making sure that we are giving them the opportunity to buy homes across the platform. If we include existing renters that buy any ELS home whether or not that’s a new or a used home, that conversion goes up to 12% new and used home sales for the first quarter. So we are focused on and we would expect that trend to continue.

Jana Galan

Analyst

Great. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Thanks. The next question comes from the line of Paul Adornato, BMO Capital Markets. Go ahead, please.

Paul Adornato

Analyst

Yes, thanks. I was wondering if you could comment on the systems, the back-end systems, specifically the booking, the telephone, and the internet marketing efforts. I know it’s been a focus in the past and so was wondering if you could just tell us where you stand on those items?

Marguerite Nader

Management

Sure. Just from a – really from a marketing perspective, we have our online initiatives, we work with industry websites, we have micro sites that we developed for properties that we feel need some additional marketing and are able to call it out by its name rather than under Equity LifeStyle or RVontheGO. So we work with that to improve our booking. I think this year we have – or this quarter we had a 40% increase in revenue from online bookings. What we are seeing is people are able to look at our website, look at the pictures in our website and are able to commit to us and book that reservation. We also have a very active call center and I think roughly between the call center and the online about 40% of our transient business is booked through those two different sources. And that’s just a matter of having the call center trained, so that they are able to speak about the different properties, able to speak about which property makes the most sense for a different – for our customer and able to show them – kind of talk to them on the phone and also look at the website as they are talking.

Paul Adornato

Analyst

Great. Thanks for that. And I was wondering if you could help us think through the increased interest in Freddie and Fannie in the sector. In terms of the transaction market, does there increased interest helped the legacy owners kind of hang on to their properties or does it help buyers pay more, what are some of the implications?

Patrick Waite

Analyst

I guess the way that we look at it is overall of course it’s beneficial to have another lending source to the industry, especially lending source that provide capital for RV park model communities. Just in our history those assets have been some of the more challenging to finance in difficult times, and the teams at both Fannie and Freddie are certainly knowledgeable in RV and MH assets, which I think makes the underwriting process a quality one because they understand the type of properties that they are looking at. I think that the kind of trickled down effect so to speak that you are referring to, definitely their entrants provides an opportunity and a source of capital to those owners today. They are financing at competitive levels and certainly that can have an impact on acquisition transactions.

Paul Adornato

Analyst

Okay, great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Phil Diblasi at Wells Fargo Securities. Go ahead please.

Phil Diblasi

Analyst

Thank you. Have you thought about the potential impact of lower gas prices when coming off with the projections for transient users this forthcoming busy season?

Marguerite Nader

Management

Yes. For us I think the summer is really a percentage travelling 60 to 90 miles to get to us, so the price of gas really isn’t an issue whether or not they are going to come and visit us. It certainly helps for them to fill up their tank and it used to cost $200 to $400 and now it cost $100 to $200, that’s certainly helpful for us. But really when we look at – we have three really big transient weekends in the summer, it’s difficult for us to get a lot of visibility into them until we get a little bit closer to those timeframes and a lot of that is a function of how is the weather and whether or not the 4th of July falls on the right day, which I believe it does this year, it falls on a Friday. So you are really able to get a 3 day weekend out of that. So those are things that we kind of concentrate on and don’t really see gas as a factor, other than that it is definitely a plus for us.

Phil Diblasi

Analyst

Okay that’s helpful. And then you mentioned that 55% transient revenues is currently booked as of now, do you happen to have what percentage would have been booked at this time period last year.

Patrick Waite

Analyst

I think that’s for the second quarter specifically and I think last year it was around 50%.

Phil Diblasi

Analyst

Okay great. Thank you guys.

Patrick Waite

Analyst

Sure.

Operator

Operator

Thanks. Next question comes from the line of Drew Babin at Robert W. Baird. Please go ahead.

Drew Babin

Analyst

Good morning. Just wanted to ask kind of looking at the guidance for the second quarter on the Resort base rental income number, as well as the actual results from the first quarter and the full year guidance, it would be seem to me like the third and fourth quarter numbers would look to be flat or down year-over-year based on that guidance. So, I was just hoping you could kind of marry that with what you are seeing on the ground and what – given that the comps from last year on the year-over-year growth are pretty clean, I am just wondering what the story is for the second half of the year.

Patrick Waite

Analyst

Sure. Our guidance model overall projects RV revenue based on our visibility in the future quarters as Marguerite just said, annual revenue growth isn’t subject to as much seasonal volatility and it’s generally locked in by the end of the first quarter. More than 50% of the seasonal revenue is recognized during the first quarter. So, our second quarter guidance is set after we take a look at our reservation pace, which we talked about a moment ago. Visibility in the third and fourth quarter reservation activity is limited. So, we don’t make an assumption regarding revenue growth in those periods. Our approach to transient has been for 2015 to have a modest increase assumption in quarters three and quarters four.

Drew Babin

Analyst

Okay that’s helpful. And then secondly just looking at leasing for next year, your headline CPI is obviously a little weaker lately and in the case to that that persist throughout the rest of the year, what other factors kind of go into lease negotiations with tenant organizations and different customers with regards to leasing, you know obviously there is other factors, other forms of inflation like apartment rents and local housing costs, but what are those discussions like and what sort of describe your pitch back to the clients on why, call it a 4%, 3% rent increases is reasonable.

Patrick Waite

Analyst

Yes. So, this is Patrick. Our discussions with homeowners – they really encourage throughout the year, you are referencing that the rent increase negotiations that usually for later in the year and then blind share effective earlier in the first part of the upcoming year. We look at alternative cost of housing in particular markets, we look at multi-family, we look at communities and resorts that we compete against, certainly we have discussion around CPI that’s a conversation they will have with our owner base, clearly they are focused on the overall operation of the community, but also the place that they’ve chosen to call it home and sent up their routes for retirement. So, we also had a lot of conversations around improvements to the properties, what priorities will be with respect to things like landscaping upgrades for the property etcetera.

Marguerite Nader

Management

And Drew as it relates to just the CPI component of our leases, it’s really about a third of our leases have a – are tied to a form of CPI and roughly half of those have a four CPI floor generally at 3% number. So that’s when you see some of the differences between how we track on a rate basis versus CPI, you will see some of that come through.

Drew Babin

Analyst

Great. Thank you for the color, I appreciate it.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Gaurav Mehta at Cantor Fitzgerald. Please go ahead.

Gaurav Mehta

Analyst

Thank you. Yes, couple of questions on your rental program. So, if I looked at your rental inventory it seems like you are burning off the used inventory at a faster rate and then the new home inventory, can you expand upon that and is that something you expect to continue?

Marguerite Nader

Management

What we are seeing is, we were able to sell some of those used homes. I think in the year-over-year we were down about 300 used homes. We are seeing a decrease in the new and down about 50 year-over-year, but it’s really a function of price points and the ability for that existing renter who is interested and says, this just makes sense, I’ll just buy this rather than continuing to rent it. The new home conversion or the new home change from a renter to an owner takes a little bit more time and also you have to deal with just the getting the right customer who can afford to pay for that higher priced home.

Gaurav Mehta

Analyst

Okay that’s helpful. And I think in the prepared remarks you mentioned that you are seeing strong demand for cabin rental program, can you expand on that? What’s driving it?

Marguerite Nader

Management

Sure. I think the cabin rental program for us is really a way to bring a new customer in that doesn’t have an RV, maybe not understanding the lifestyle, doesn’t want to a tent, but that’s pretty interesting to be able to go in and stay in a cabin. So we are able to - our marketing department has gone in and listed our cabins on travel websites just like you would do to find a hotel type of thing. So that added new customer base which we will be tracking as we see how we can get that person to engage with us for a longer time period rather than just a 7 day stay in a cabin.

Gaurav Mehta

Analyst

Okay. And lastly as you think about the long-term future of your rental program and you haven’t running off your rental inventory, would you always have some component of rental program or the plan is to get rid of the whole thing?

Marguerite Nader

Management

Even four or five years ago before we started increasing the rental program, we had roughly 2% to 3% of our occupancy within the rental program. And I see the rental program continuing inside of the OS. I like the direction that we are headed in the last few quarters where we are able to take some of those units offline and sell them. But I also like this conversion rate that we’ve been seeing lately and being able to increase that. So you are bringing your customer in who isn’t, who doesn’t know whether or not they are ready to commit right now, able to get them into a rental and then convert them to an owner, so I really like the way we are increasing that conversion ratio.

Gaurav Mehta

Analyst

Okay. That’s all I have. Thank you.

Marguerite Nader

Management

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from the line of Ryan Burke at Green Street Advisors. Please go ahead.

Ryan Burke

Analyst

Thanks and good morning.

Marguerite Nader

Management

Good morning.

Ryan Burke

Analyst

Core portfolio occupancy sits at 2% which is the highest it’s been in over a decade. I think the previous high watermark was about 95% occupancy setback in the early 2000s. Do you see the portfolio reaching that mark again and if so what is the take?

Patrick Waite

Analyst

Sure. It’s Patrick, I’ll take that. Yeah I think the 95% high watermark is within reach. In order to get there, the market is going to have to hold up. Clearly we’ve seen a firming up in the economy and increasing consumer confidence, and we’ve got more of our marginal customers are coming in the door and deciding to purchase a home and set up residency for their retirement or communities. Homeowners at our properties stay with us for 10 years or more, so it’s a very stable revenue stream for us and it is very stable occupancy. The key for us is going to be to continue to get new home inventory into our communities and then offer it to that customer who is coming down to set up retirements in the Sunbelt locations that we offer.

Ryan Burke

Analyst

Okay, so sound like it’s fair to say that, that retirement or potential retiree cohort is starting to feel much more comfortable with the decision to a) retire, and b) financially sound, and c) be able to sell out of their existing condo or single family home to make the move.

Patrick Waite

Analyst

I think, yeah, I mean all of those points – I would also just touch on 10,000 baby boomers are turning 65 every day for about the next 15 years and the baby boomers make up a little bit more than 20% of the U.S. population. So we’ve got a huge cohort of the U.S. population coming forward just for the next couple of decades.

Ryan Burke

Analyst

Great. Separate question regards to demand from Canada, what percentage of your MH and RV demand does come from Canada? And are you seeing any signs that indicate that the stronger U.S. dollar is affecting demand?

Marguerite Nader

Management

The largest portion of our Canadian business is really in Florida on the RV side and I think that we are not seeing any change in the dollar. I think that you more likely might see something in our Bar Harbor properties, but that’s a very small piece of a business where maybe they wouldn’t be as growing kind of come across the border to go to Bar Harbor, again a very small piece. But there is no – you can’t replicate Florida in January in Canada. So I think they are protected there.

Ryan Burke

Analyst

Gotcha. And the last question, just I would be curious to hear your view on cap rates moving forward. We have Freddie entering the space which obviously has positive indications from the lending side. Do you continue to see new entrants to the space trying to get involved on the transaction side whether it be private equity or otherwise and whether that generally tell you about the trajectory of cap rates moving forward?

Marguerite Nader

Management

Yeah, I mean we definitely see some of the new entrants showing up that some of the auctions or some of the bidding processes that we are in. And I think that there is – those cap rate compression as a result of an owner who used to just talk to us or maybe a couple of other people have seen four or five people show up is starting to think that they are pretty attractive. So I think that’s definitely having an effect and then the fact that financing is becoming easier is also going to have an effect on cap rates.

Ryan Burke

Analyst

Great. Thank you very much.

Marguerite Nader

Management

Thanks, Ryan.

Operator

Operator

Since we have no more questions on the line, at this time, I would like to turn it back over to Marguerite Nader for closing comments.

Marguerite Nader

Management

Thank you very much. Paul will be around for any follow-up questions.