Earnings Labs

Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd (ENLT)

Q3 2023 Earnings Call· Thu, Nov 23, 2023

$87.78

-1.13%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.
Transcript

Yosef Lefkovitz

Management

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining our third quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call for Enlight Renewable Energy. Before beginning this call, I would like to draw participants’ attention to the following. Certain statements made on the call today, including, but not limited to, statements regarding business strategy and plans, our project portfolio, market opportunity and potential growth. Discussions with commercial counterparties and financing sources, progress of company projects, including anticipated timing of related approvals and anticipated production delays, expected impact from various regulatory developments, completion of development, the potential impact of the current conflict in Israel on our operations and financial condition and Company actions designed to mitigate such impacts and the Company’s future financial and operational results and guidance, including revenue and adjusted EBITDA are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the U.S. federal securities laws, which reflect management’s best judgment based on current available information. We reference certain project metrics in this earnings call and additional information about such metrics can be found in our earnings release. These statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from our expectations. Please refer to our annual report filed with the SEC on March 30, 2023, and other filings for more information on the specific factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from our forward-looking information. Although we believe these expectations are reasonable, we undertake no obligation to revise any statements to reflect changes that occur after this call. Additionally, non-IFRS financial measures may be discussed on the call. These non-IFRS measures should be considered in addition to and not as a substitute for or in isolation from our results prepared in accordance with IFRS. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable IFRS financial measures are available in the earnings release and the earnings presentation for today’s call, which are posted on our Investor Relations website. With me this morning are Gilad Yavetz, CEO and Co-Founder of Enlight; Nir Yehuda, CFO of Enlight; and Jason Ellsworth, CEO and Co-Founder of Clenera. Gilad will provide some opening remarks and will then turn the call over to Jason for a review of our U.S. activity and then to Nir for a review of our financials. Our executive team will then be available to answer your questions.

Gilad Yavetz

CEO

Thank you, Yosef, and thank you all for joining us today. Before talking about the business and our quarterly performance, I would like to address the current situation in Israel. Over a month ago, Israel was brutally attacked by a terrorist organization and now find itself in a state of war with the aim to defend its civil population as well as the values of freedom and democracy. Given all the extreme events taking place in our country, we are quite proud that Enlight has succeeded in maintaining its normal operations and in parallel, engaging in support for our society with extensive community outreach and act of goodwill during this difficult period. It’s a tribute to our employees and our company’s values that we are able to maintain our commercial growth and success while at the same time, looking after families and small businesses that have been affected by the war. In terms of our operational project in Israel, all are producing power hardly without interruption. Moreover, our geographically diversified portfolio is a source of strength for our company. In the first 9 months of 2023, 74% of our revenues were generated in European and in the U.S. with the remaining 26% in Israel. Moving on to a discussion of our business, Enlight results for the third quarter and 9 months were solid. Third quarter revenue grew 3% year-over-year to $58 million, whereas net income grew 35% to $26 million, and adjusted EBITDA grew 32% to $47 million in the quarter. Revenue for the first 9 months of 2023 grew 39% year-over-year to $182 million, 9-month net income grew 201% to $82 million and adjusted EBITDA grew 64% to $142 million for the 9-month period. We also saw significant growth in our operating cash flow, which reached $31 million during…

Jason Ellsworth

CEO

Thank you, Gilad. In the U.S. project, fundamentals remain strong. PPA prices are increasing and equipment pricing is falling. At the same time, we are making steady progress in growing and advancing our project portfolio. Against that positive backdrop, it is likely that our flagship CO Bar project will be delayed approximately one year due to an interconnection queue reform by Arizona Public Services. Construction on the solar portion of Atrisco in New Mexico, comprising 364 megawatts remains on schedule. All major equipment is on site. Our project racking is 99% complete and 96% of modules are installed. We plan to achieve COD at the beginning of the third quarter of 2024. And as Gilad mentioned, we’ve materially finalized the definitive documents required for project finance on the solar portion of Atrisco, including term debt and tax equity and closing is expected imminently. However, the storage portion of Atrisco, comprising 1.2 gigawatt hours is now delayed due to supplier issues. COD is expected during the fourth quarter of 2024. We are evaluating the possibility of a change of storage supplier to meet project time lines and bank financing requirements. In parallel, we are expanding the potential of our Atrisco complex under our land-and-expand strategy. We are pleased to announce that in October 2023, we signed a PPA with PNM, the current offtaker of Atrisco for an expansion of Atrisco. The new project called Quail Ranch is sized at 120 megawatts of solar and 400-megawatt hours of storage. The project will benefit from Atrisco’s completed development status and therefore, has been added to our mature project portfolio this quarter. Moreover, like Atrisco, Quail Ranch will benefit from an energy community tax credit adder. Under our land-and-expand strategy, we can reduce risk and compress development time lines while increasing returns. We plan…

Nir Yehuda

CFO

Thank you, Jason. In the third quarter of 2023, the company’s revenue increased to $58 million, up from $56 million last year, a growth rate of 3% year-over-year. Growth was mainly driven by the revenue contribution of new operational projects and inflation indexation embedded in PPS for already operational projects. This was largely offset by a decline in revenues at Gecama year-over-year driven by lower electricity price relative to the price observed in the same quarter last year. Since the third quarter of last year, 544-megawatt and 81-megawatt hour of projects started selling electricity, including Björnberget in Sweden, Apex Solar in the U.S., ACDC in Hungary and several small solar and storage projects in Israel. This project collectively contributed $8 million revenue during the third quarter of ‘23. The biggest contributor was Björnberget $5 million, which is now operating at full production. Gecama revenues fell year-over-year by 38%, $8 million year-over-year driven by lower power price relative to last year’s peak electricity pricing. Finally, the company also benefited from inflation indexation embedded in its PPA which contributed an additional $3 million of revenue during the quarter. This reflected on average indexation of 7.2% across 592 megawatts of PPAs for projects that have been operational for a full year. Net FX impact was immaterial to results for the quarter. Net income increased to $26 million, a growth rate of 35% year-over-year. There was a noncash benefit of $8 million this quarter attributed to the mark-to-market of interest rate hedge the company entered into ahead of financial close process at Aristo. The residual change in net income was driven by a reduction in the expectation for earn-out payment linked to the acquisition of Clenera of $12 million. compared to $18 million reduction during the same period in ‘22 and again recognized on…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your question comes from the line of Mark Strouse from JPMorgan.

Mark Strouse

Analyst · JPMorgan

Jason, I wanted to go back to the interconnection reform with the CO Bar project. Thanks for the color there. Can you -- when you look at your other projects that are pending over the next few years, let’s say, are there other utilities, other states kind of any level that are looking at similar reforms? And how do you think about the risk on some of the other projects?

Jason Ellsworth

CEO

Yes. That’s a great question, Mark. We’re watching that carefully across all of the utilities. The fortunate thing is we have such an advanced status across all of our portfolio, including approximately 10 gigawatts of solar. And that has put us in a position to be well out ahead of changes. The impact on CO Bar is procedural. And as we work through that, certainly, that has a delay, but it is not impacting the remainder of our projects in Arizona. So it’s very specific to CO Bar and we don’t currently see a risk to our other projects in terms of interconnection, Q reform and changes there. Of course, there are overall delays in the market in terms of queue and projects that are sitting in the back of those queues are seeing delays. And many of those are seeing significant delays if they are to be successful at all, projects that are at the head of the queues as much of our portfolio are advancing and continuing to move forward. We’re also continuing to -- as we’ve said in the past, engineering and procurement agreements with utilities in order to accelerate the process that allows the utility to advance the work on their side in advance of having the facility studies complete or in advance of an LGIA in such a way that project time lines are benefited.

Mark Strouse

Analyst · JPMorgan

And then a follow-up probably for Gilad. You obviously want to be sensitive to the -- what’s happening in Israel right now, but I do want to ask if there have been any employees that have been called out for service, kind of how we should think about what roles might be impacted there and kind of your ability to kind of backfill for that?

Gilad Yavetz

CEO

It’s a great question. So I will start with the answer by saying that what we see in Israel right now is that we continue -- we are able to continue the operations of all our sites in close to 100% despite all the events. In terms of the employees, so first, as a matter of figures, so about 45% of the total employees of the group are located in Israel, 120, more or less out of close to 300. About, I would say, 1/4 of them are either in reserve service or spouses of people that are in reserve service, but the remainder of the employees are supporting all the operations. So we are very confident, but also very proud in our employees in the way they are handling the situation and also in parallel supporting the civil society in many, many actions that we are doing to support other businesses and also civil populations. We feel that this is part of the values of the company and we are doing it without affecting the business side.

Operator

Operator

We will now go to our next question. And the next question comes from the line of Julien Dumoulin-Smith from Bank of America.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Julien Dumoulin-Smith from Bank of America

It’s [Alex Gravel] on for Julien today. I wanted to press a little bit more just on the sort of financing environment that you guys are operating in. Obviously, at Atrisco, good to see that sort of fully termed out and ready to close at this point. We believe that it’s still a little bit delayed from your expectations and beyond just the sort of back and forth between investors and counterparties across the space on returns, there’s also been a lot of debate around ability to get tax equity, the transfer market and the evolution there. I’m just curious if you can kind of give us what you guys are seeing the latest. Do you expect to use PTC or ITC transfer deals here forward? And if you can add, I mean, how would that impact the return profile that you guys sort of elegantly laid out at the beginning of the call relative to sort of your underwriting assumptions?

Gilad Yavetz

CEO

Yes. So first, I’m very happy to update that we did close already the tax equity transaction for the solar portion of Atrisco with Bank of America. It’s a major transaction and an important milestone for the project. And I hope that in the coming days or weeks, we’re going to close also the debt side of the project and the solar side of it. And then we’ll go for the next milestone of closing tax equity and debt for the battery storage project. So first, in terms of Atrisco, we are very confident in executing the project finance and tax equity for the project, the suppliers out there of the equity and the debt and it’s more about the operation of the facility agreements in the current environment in the U.S. We are working very closely to optimize also the financial terms of the deal in order to make sure that we keep executing on profitability also. And I think this is also shown in our quarterly numbers where profitability has increased. And this is what we are doing in Atrisco. So I agree that they were around one project -- one quarter delay, but I think we are very confident. And as you see, the project is advancing both in terms of its construction and also in terms of financing.

Yosef Lefkovitz

Management

Yosef, here. just to touch on the strategy kind of in terms of underwriting for the longer term, when we model our projects, particularly for the strategic lens, we’re looking to use tax equity in the places which are strategic for us, for the large scale, very material projects in our portfolio. When we look towards some of our projects, which may be smaller, we may look to transferability for both ease of execution and liquidity of that market. So we believe we have access to the tax equity market, but we also want to be selective and use that tax equity for the projects which are most important and meaningful for us.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Julien Dumoulin-Smith from Bank of America

Got it. Yes, makes a ton of sense given the backdrop and the amount of demand out there. On the other side, I mean, congrats again, I guess, on the amount of PPAs you guys sort of continue to reprice and renegotiate. Again, I wanted to ask, there’s another sort of key debate in the space, how do those discussions go for you guys? And also sort of what are you hearing across the space? Obviously, you operate in mostly a physical power market, others do some things around virtual PPAs, et cetera. I’m curious sort of like what you’re hearing from your customers when you go back to them for those things, what you’re hearing from others and how you expect that to evolve from here given the sort of push full of higher rates against much lower equipment costs that you guys alluded to at the beginning of the call.

Gilad Yavetz

CEO

Maybe I can start, Jason, and then you can complement me, okay? So I would say that first, it’s very important to reiterate, as we said in previous quarters that all the discussions we are doing with the utilities on the repricing are doing in goodwill and in mutual interest. There is nothing that is legal about this discussion and I think this means that there is a mutual interest. And the interest is to see projects that are becoming operational soon because the utilities need the electricity and as we all see, there are some delays in the market. So whenever projects are more ready to get constructed, and to support the need of the utilities, I think there is a strong support from the utilities to help them get there. It is true that prices of equipment are going down; from the other side, the steel prices of electricity in the market, which are the alternatives are much higher and also interest rates are still very high. So I think this still supports, I would say, this kind of actions that we are doing, and we are still seeing also new PPAs that we’ve signed in the last quarter that were -- they were 25% higher than the price of PPAs on average that we close on comparing the period last year. So we see that the environment of PPA pricing in market is also influencing our ability to reprice.

Jason Ellsworth

CEO

Thanks, Gilad. Yes. I would reiterate that project readiness is a key characteristic of those discussions right now. It is so important to the utilities to have line of sight to projects coming on to the grid, supplying the needs of their customer base. And so in that environment, we found a lot of support for repricing, though, those conversations are never, never easy. They’re done respectfully and carefully with the utilities considering their needs and the needs of the project and we have been consistently successful in that. We are not looking to advance those beyond what the needs of the projects are in terms of obtaining the increases that are necessary to keep pace with the inflationary environment, especially rate inflation. But with that in mind, the utilities have been very understanding and helpful in that process. And as Gilad has noted, even our new PPAs are seeing roughly the same level of increase versus some months and even years ago. So at a roughly 25% average increase across the board, we continue to find reception and support from utilities, though, as mentioned, those discussions are carefully orchestrated and done respectfully with the utilities. They’re not easy, but they are and have been successful. Got it.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We will now go to our next question. And your next question comes from the line of Justin Clare from ROTH MKM.

Justin Clare

Analyst · Justin Clare from ROTH MKM

So I wanted to go back to the CO Bar project. So it sounds like it’s now planned to be completed in 2026. So I just wanted to understand a little bit better, the potential for that time line to change, whether it could be accelerated back into 2025 or what the risk is that it could be delayed into 2027? And then wondering what you’re waiting on in order to be able to start construction for that project? So that would be helpful.

Gilad Yavetz

CEO

Jason, would you like to take that question?

Jason Ellsworth

CEO

That’s a good question. So in terms of the delay by way of specifics, there is a cluster-type process that is proceeding. And in that process, the time lines, if a reasonably measured out, we’ll put the project into 2026. We are comfortably into 2026. We are work together with the utility and our offtake. APS is the interconnection utility, the offtake -- the primary offtake on the CO Bar project is SRP. We also have an offtake contract with APS at that site. With all of those parties, we are discussing the potential to accelerate given the advanced nature of this project. Affected systems studies were completed already by all affected parties. And so there is potential that the project can be accelerated given its readiness. We don’t have details on that. It is unlikely right now that the project would be accelerated so much as to move it back into 2025. But the current time lines point to a comfortable completion in 2026. And Justin, you asked about the potential to accelerate the build on that project or start construction and what might gate that. Of course, the interconnection time line is important for that for purposes of timing out the project. And we have already begun engineering and procurement with the utilities. So we executed an E&P agreement with APS already. And so there is certain level of procurement and work associated with the interconnection that has already begun.

Justin Clare

Analyst · Justin Clare from ROTH MKM

That’s very helpful. And then just shifting gears a little bit here. So you closed the tax equity portion of the financing for the Atrisco project. Was wondering if you could share how much of the project CapEx could be supported by the tax equity investments and then is that project -- did you elect for the PTC there? And then were you able to also secure the energy community adder as a part of the tax equity investment and then when we look to future projects, if there are projects that are similar to this with the PTC and energy community, would you expect similar terms for a tax equity investment?

Jason Ellsworth

CEO

So for PTC deal, just given the generation profile and where it sits in New Mexico naturally, the adder is not part of the PTC quantum. It is something that we will be monetizing ourselves through the transfer market. And the base tax equity check basically reflects around 50%, a bit north of 50% of project CapEx.

Justin Clare

Analyst · Justin Clare from ROTH MKM

And then the timing of monetizing it in the transferability market, what would that timing be? Is that -- does it need to be closer to COD or after COD, or?

Jason Ellsworth

CEO

Yes, exactly right. That’s exactly right. That will be closer to COD.

Justin Clare

Analyst · Justin Clare from ROTH MKM

And then one other one, just on the capital recycling. So this quarter, you had completed some minority sales. I was wondering if you could just speak to your plans for either the remainder of 2023 or 2024, any meaningful sized projects that you’re looking to complete a minority sell-down? And then are any of your project time line dependent on completing those sell-downs in order to acquire the equity capital?

Gilad Yavetz

CEO

I will start by saying that there is no project time that is dependent on any sell down. With the equity that we have right now in hand, we are fully funded to construct the whole material portfolio pipeline, which is about 4.3 gigawatts plus a significant amount of storage; this is the first part. The second part is that we do, I would say, part of our strategy is to perform sell-down in 2024. I don’t see additional material sell-down in ‘23, but ‘24 is -- part, I would say, part of our strategy will be to perform sell-downs. This is in order to improve the profitability and also recycling equity for the future project because we will continue to grow also towards 26%, 27%, and we would like the sell-downs in the equity that we recycle through sell-downs to be part of our resources. And by doing that, really minimize the need of equity from the market.

Operator

Operator

We will now go to our final question for today. And the final question comes from the line of David Paz from Wolfe.

David Paz

Analyst · Wolfe

I just wanted to touch back on the Atrisco storage supplier delay that I believe you mentioned. Are you -- well, first, maybe any more color you can give that you did not address in the call? And then are you using the same supplier for your other storage -- for your other projects that have storage? And if so, which projects?

Jason Ellsworth

CEO

Thank you for the question. First, I will say that currently, we are optimistic not to have delays in the supply of the storage part in the project. We are considering replacement of the battery supplier in the project, while EPC will remain the same in order to meet or to be more confident in meeting the timetable of the project and some finance ability that will be improved, but we are confident on the ability to deliver the project on -- in the time framework that we estimated. Regarding future -- the second part of the question was on future projects. So as always as part of our supply strategy, we are working with multiple suppliers without exclusivity to any suppliers. So we do work also with other channels, not only in this project, but in the future projects. So we have the flexibility to do the same thing also in the future projects.

David Paz

Analyst · Wolfe

Got it. And then just given some of the project shifts that you mentioned some -- pushed out, some brought forward, do you still anticipate the same EBITDA growth rate through ‘26 as you did, say, a quarter ago? And do you also anticipate -- do you anticipate any new common equity through 2026.

Jason Ellsworth

CEO

So what we’ve articulated and you will see it in the release as well that we have sufficient equity to -- in terms of the capital we have on hand plus recycled capital. We have enough for 4.6 gigawatts and 3.6 gigawatt hours. Anything in excess of that, we intend to focus on our capital recycling strategy, the minority sell-downs and some of the dispositions that we’ve outlined. And remind me, what was your first question?

David Paz

Analyst · Wolfe

Just do you still anticipate the same EBITDA growth rate through ‘26?

Jason Ellsworth

CEO

So we’ve obviously accelerated some of the projects, roughly 400 megawatts and 1.3 gigawatt hours of projects from ‘26 to ‘25. Obviously, that doesn’t account for the full delay of the COR project to 2026. But again, as we look towards the end of 2026, the growth is just more back-ended as CO Bar will come in 2026, and we’ll be benefiting from the growth of that project in 2026.

Operator

Operator

We do have a follow-up question, one moment please. And a follow-up question comes from the line of Julien Dumoulin-Smith from Bank of America.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Bank of America

One quick follow-up here, if I can. Just on the panel prices you alluded to and sort of the cost items, curious like if that’s sort of what you’re seeing across the broader market? Or do you think that’s somewhat unique to some of the supply contracts that you negotiated, I think, over a year ago with some parties in India or otherwise? And how are you planning to sort of, I guess, expand that panel strategy into the coming years given the amount of sort of construction or execution that you guys have ahead of you?

Gilad Yavetz

CEO

So I would say, and I can start, Jason then again, can complement me. So first, I would say that in an existing contract with where we were able to benefit from the reduction in prices, although the contract was already signed because it had some linkage mechanism to the price of polysilicon. So I think this was a very strong upside we got from the, I think, wise supply chain strategy, we conducted. And on the broader term, yes, we do see the panel price dropping also on the broader market, also internationally and maybe even more dramatically internationally. So going forward, we believe we will continue to benefit from that on increased returns in the project while being able to do that also on the existing projects that we are entering into construction.

Jason Ellsworth

CEO

Thanks, Gilad. I would add that the India contract was structured in such a way that it was indexed to certain floating prices in the industry, and we have benefited from that. That indexing also provides an anchor for our other negotiations. And so we are seeing similar pricing levels from alternative suppliers, other supplier relationships that we have. And that is benefiting multiple projects beyond the existing India contract. So we expect to see broader application of those prices and that benefit across the portfolio. And are going to -- as we look forward to the coming years, we continue to expect softness on pricing in terms of modules, given the module supply situation across the industry as it impacts our business here in the U.S.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Bank of America

Yes, makes sense given kind of what we’re seeing as well. And just one last one as far as I know I asked about the renegotiation and sort of how those discussions go earlier. I’m curious also just -- I mean, you guys have alluded, I think, mostly to the solar end of it or the generation stack. On the capacity side, we’re seeing some really robust pricing there. I think, frankly, it’s almost counterintuitive to what you would see on the cost deflation side for batteries themselves. I’m curious if you’re seeing the same and then sort of how capacity prices or tolling agreements, if you will, on storage have evolved in parallel around these rate generations and the cost of equipment movements.

Gilad Yavetz

CEO

Jason, why wouldn’t you take it?

Jason Ellsworth

CEO

Yes, I’ll be happy to take that. And thanks for pointing that out. It is a really good time for capacity, especially in the West and over 2/3 of our portfolio is focused in the Western United States where capacity is in great demand and those markets have advanced rather rapidly. We are seeing significant demand that is having a positive impact on rates especially as we are negotiating multiple contracts and continue to see a demand with every solar contract we’re seeing here in the West, demand for capacity. The one fundamental driver for that is the limited interconnection capacity that’s there. So when we have a solar project or other interconnection capacity, the utilities are looking for the opportunity to put battery on there. And the demand remains super strong. We will continue to have some positive announcements as it relates to battery as we move forward. As you can see from the information shared here today, a lot of battery attached to the solar that we are announcing.

Operator

Operator

I will now hand over to Gilad Yavetz, CEO and Co-founder of Enlight for closing remarks.

Gilad Yavetz

CEO

Thank you, operator. Thank you, everyone, for your time. We see strong fundamentals for our project and are excited about the year ahead as we execute an above-market project returns and above-market growth. Thank you. See you next quarter.