Mark Parrell
President and CEO
Great. So there’s kind of two questions in that. Part of it I read is just when might we get active on the investment side and another is sort of a New York question, when that city might function a little better. And I guess I would start on the investment side by saying, as I said in my earlier remarks, there’s just not a lot going on right now. We’re seven weeks in, sellers still remember the price they would have gotten in early March and buyers think about the price they dream of getting right now and it’s going to take a little while for that all to sort itself out. Some of the big deals that you might remember, we did we were quite active coming out of the great financial crisis. So purchasing the big portfolio in New York, and development land, and broken condos both on the East coast and the West coast those were all done 12 months to 18 months after the beginning of the great financial crisis. Those were fourth quarter, 2009 deals at the beginning and then into 2010. When you think about that crisis, the GFC really being at 2000 – mid-2008, third quarter of 2008 events. So I’ll tell you, it’s going to be a little while before we really see much to act on. So, I start with that. And the way we are sort of thinking about opportunity is trying to think about replacement costs a little bit, trying to think a little bit about what long-term growth will be in this market, did anything change that matters? And we think and this sort of gets into your New York question a little bit. We think these big cities and I’ll focus a little on New York, are really quite resilient. I mean New York been through, as you’re quite aware, riots, it’s been through wars, it’s been through epidemics before, it’s been through 9/11 and after 9/11 there’s a lot of comment that New York wouldn’t come back and people would decamp from New York in size. And yet, New York had a terrific urbanization trend over the last 20 years and the population in New York city was higher in 2016 than it was in 2001. So I think every morning, millions of owners of businesses throughout the country are waking up trying to figure out how to run their restaurant, their cultural amenities, their nonprofit, their restaurant, whatever. And they’re going to figure that out over time and we’re going to have new rules about distancing and cleanliness, then over time, hopefully there’s some cure to this and we don’t have this top of mind, but I think these cities are going to adjust like they always have. And I think you could expect that we’ll still be focused in our investment efforts on these large cities and these dense suburban areas for our apartment investment.