Roger C. Altman
Analyst · Sandler O'Neill
Good morning, everyone. You can see that the firm had a very strong fourth quarter on the Advisory side and a very strong full year. As Ralph said, we have record results in both categories. Net revenues for the full year in Investment Banking, $555 million, 32% increase over 2011. Operating income full year, $127 million, 33% increase year-over-year. For the quarter, you can see net revenues $192 million and operating income $57 million and a 30% operating margin. These results are especially noteworthy because the transaction environment was just fair in 2012. Announced M&A volume increased only 2% for the year on a global basis in dollar terms, and the U.S. portion of that announced volume actually decreased by 4% year-over-year. More relevant, completed M&A volume globally declined 15% year-over-year. The U.S. portion of that was down 1%. As you all know, we are largely paid on completed transactions rather than announced ones. So for us to do as well as we did, with completed transactions around the world down 15% year-over-year, is not bad. Now it's important to note, and I'll come back and talk about this at the end, that the fourth quarter did see a turnaround in transaction volume trends. M&A volume was higher around the world in the fourth quarter, higher compared to quarter 4 '11 and quarter 3 '12 and by quite a bit, 56% above the fourth quarter of 2011, in other words, year-over-year, and 53% above the third quarter of 2012, sequentially. So while the year as a whole came in tepid, the fourth quarter did show a marked upward trend. Now let's talk about the composition of our results. For the full year 2012, we earned fees of $1 million or more in 125 separate transactions. That represented a 33% increase in this metric over 2011. In the fourth quarter, we received 48 separate fees exceeding $1 million, and that was by far our best quarter ever on that metric. In terms of total clients, we have 324 fee-paying clients in 2012 compared to 245 in 2011. A word on our competitive standing. Based on data for the full 9 months -- I'm sorry, for the first 9 months of 2012, Evercore's market share grew to 4.3% of the fee pool as disclosed by 13 of our largest competitors, and I want to give you some perspective on that statistic. We track that very closely. And to put it in perspective, our market share using that measure was 0.3% in 2001, 1.0% in 2005, 2.5% in 2010 and as I just said, 4.7% in 2012, not 4.3%, 4.7%. So for obvious reasons, we like that trend, which we, as I say, follow very closely. In terms of the increments lead standing, we were again the most active of the independent firms in the U.S. merger and acquisition market on announced transactions, ahead of Lazard and other firms. Once again, the only firms ahead of us in that standing were the universal banks and the bank holding companies. We all know who they are. On completed transactions, we were sixth among all firms in the United States, ahead of Citigroup and Bank of America, among others. Now you all know that Evercore is 18 years old. It's not 58 years old or 118 years old. So we have a little bit of pride in those results. On a global basis among independent firms, we were third behind Rothschild and Lazard, in that order. Since those 2 firms were each founded overseas and each founded more than 100 years ago, we're catching up at a pretty good rate when you take into account the global totals. Let me turn to productivity. The average revenue per Senior Managing Director on a rolling 12-month global basis was $8.9 million. That's up from the $7.2 million rolling 12-month total at the end of the third quarter and $8 million on the same basis at the end of 2012. In the United States, average revenue per Senior Managing Director for 2012 was slightly over $10 million, which we regard as the gold standard. And I think as you know, if you compare us to any peer on that basis, any publicly owned peer where data is available, we're the highest. And as managers, there's probably no better measure of efficiency than that statistic. The comp ratio, 57.5% for all of Investment Banking for the fourth quarter, that's down from 60.3% in the third quarter, 59.7% for the full year, slightly higher than 2011's 59.3%. And you all know our point of view on the comp ratio which is as long as the firm continues to expand, there'll be a tension between the cost of adding new people who tend to join midyear and aren't productive until their second year and what the comp ratio would be if you stop dead and didn't add any new people. I guess [ph] would be lower and in the long run, it will be lower in Evercore, but you also wouldn't be expanding and growing and so forth. Our headcount, total Investment Banking headcount, 482, essentially equal to the 490 at the end of the third quarter. The Advisory component of that is 391, and total headcount was up from the 437 figure at 2011 year end. So 482 versus 437 year-over-year. Advisory was up to 391, as I said, from 357 a year ago. As you know, we don't release the breakdowns on backlog. I'll just say, we like our backlog. Now let me close with a word on the environment. You all know that there is a renewed enthusiasm on the environment for M&A and related transactions. That's evidenced by equity market trends in terms of share prices of the firms involved and so forth. You all know, as I said at the beginning, that the fourth quarter saw a turnaround in the global trend in transaction volume. In other words, it rose against the year-over-year levels, unlike the first 9 months of the year, and you just saw that we ourselves had a very strong 2012 despite a tepid overall M&A environment. So in light of those factors, we expect 2012 to be an environment which facilitates another strong performance by the Advisory side of our firm and the whole firm, and we expect the environment to be better as a whole for everybody than 2012 was. Now what has changed in the environment? I think one ingredient is changing, and that is the North American economic outlook. 2012 was another weakish year in the U.S., essentially the fourth weak year in a row after the 2008 credit market collapse. And that type of economy restrains transaction volume because it restrains confidence, and the single most important element in confidence is what decision-makers think about the outlook for demand. 2013 isn't likely to be a bang up economic year in the United States, but it's probably a transitional year, transitioning from all the headwinds that originated through the 2008 crisis and into a period where those headwinds have largely, if not entirely, died out. So as the year goes on, there's an expectation we're finding that it will strengthen. Maybe the first half of the year will be another tepid period, but the end of the year will be a bit stronger. And then we'll transition into a stronger 2014, 2015 and 2016, with key elements being housing, oil and gas, manufacturing and the end of household deleveraging and therefore an improved consumer sector. And I think some of these expectations are evident just in the way the equity market is performing. I just myself returned from being in Davos for a week, the center of humility on the Earth. And what was noteworthy about Davos was that the Americans were surprisingly optimistic, economically speaking. And I might add, the Europeans were relieved, but still rather glum. And so I think that optimism, and there was an enormous collection of CEOs over there, is reflective of what I just talked about. So we think the environment will be better in 2013 and 2012, although it's impossible to quantify. On that basis, I'm going to turn it back over to Ralph.