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Transcript
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you for standing by. And welcome to the Q4 ExlService Holdings Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers’ presentations, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, today’s conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference to your host, Mr. Steve Barlow. Sir, you may begin.
SB
Steve Barlow
Analyst
Thank you, Valerie. Good morning. And thanks everyone for joining EXL’s fourth quarter and full year 2021 financial results conference call. I am Steve Barlow, EXL’s Vice President of Investor Relations. On the call today are Rohit Kapoor, our Vice Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Maurizio Nicolelli, our Chief Financial Officer. We hope you have had an opportunity to review our Q4 and full year 2021 earnings release we issued this morning. We have also updated our Investor Factsheet in the Investor Relations section of EXL’s website. As you know, some of the matters we will discuss in this call are forward-looking. Please keep in mind that these forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements. Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, general economic conditions, those factors set forth in today’s press release discussed in the company’s periodic reports and other documents filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission from time-to-time. EXL assumes no obligation to update the information presented on this conference call. During our call today, we made reference certain non-GAAP financial measures, which, we believe provide useful information for investors. Reconciliation of these measures to GAAP can be found in our press release, as well as on the Investor Factsheet. I will now turn the call over to Rohit Kapoor, EXL’s Chief Executive Officer. Rohit?
RK
Rohit Kapoor
Analyst
Thank you, Steve. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to our 2021 year-end earnings call. I hope all of you and your families are safe and healthy. The past financial year was truly an extraordinary year for EXL. We have had excellent financial results and our focus on becoming the indispensable partner for data-led businesses is resonating strongly in the marketplace. Our clear sighted investments in Data Analytics and Digital Solutions have been well-timed to address the massive changes happening in the marketplace. Put simply, we thoughtfully and proactively positioned our services and solutions to better address market needs in this period of rapid change. We did this by systematically changing our business model to a data-led value creation business. With each new client engagement, whether we are working with digital natives, digital re-inventors or legacy clients, we now lead with data and digital to drive large scale transformation initiatives and accelerate new market introductions. Empowered by our strength in advanced analytics, AI and the cloud, combined with our deep domain-based operational expertise, we are developing scalable integrated solutions to leverage an opportunity rich demand environment. This allows us to drive new efficiencies, have a much bigger impact on our client’s business, while creating solutions that can be rolled out to clients across a wide variety of industries. We were always a strong Operations Management and Analytics company. We have evolved to become a leading Data Analytics and Digital Operations and Solutions company with exceptional talent. Our strategic shift towards front-ending our work with data and digital transformation have allowed us to surpass our projections, take on bigger and more complex and impactful projects, with shorter sales cycles and deliver higher margins for our stakeholders. Our 2021 financial performance is a clear indication that the rapid evolution of our value proposition is…
MN
Maurizio Nicolelli
Analyst
Thank you, Rohit, and thanks everyone for joining us this morning. I will provide insights into our financial performance for the fourth quarter and full year 2021, followed by our outlook for 2022. Our quarter was better than expected with revenue of $295.5 million, up 18.8% year-over-year on a constant currency basis. Adjusted EPS was a $1.21, exceeding the high end of our guidance by $0.03. All revenue growth numbers mentioned hereafter are on an organic constant currency basis. We now refer to our Operations Management Services as Digital Operations and Solutions. Revenue from our Digital Operations and Solutions businesses, as defined by three reportable segments, excluding Analytics, was $165 million, up 12.2% year-over-year. Sequentially, from the third quarter, revenue was flat. Insurance generated revenue of $98.1 million, up 10.5% year-over-year, driven by expansion in existing client relationships and higher volumes. The Insurance vertical, consisting of both our Digital Operations and Solutions, and Analytics businesses, grew 15% year-over-year. Emerging reported revenue of $44.4 million, up 18% year-over-year. This growth was driven by new client wins of 2021 and higher volumes in our travel and transportation businesses. The Emerging vertical, consisting of both our Digital Operations and Solutions, and Analytics businesses grew 24.3%. Healthcare reported revenue of $26.5 million, up 9.7% year-over-year, driven by higher volumes in existing clients. The Healthcare vertical, consisting of Digital Operations and Solutions and Analytics businesses, grew 16.1%. Analytics had revenue of $126.5 million, up 27.4% year-over-year. This growth was driven by over 20% growth in all the major business verticals of Insurance, Healthcare and Emerging. In addition, we saw growth in other verticals, such as Media, Manufacturing and Sports. Analytics now constitutes 43% of our revenue. Sequentially, from the third quarter of this year, revenue was up 3.9%, indicating continued strong momentum and demand for…
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Dave Koning of Baird. Your line is open.
DK
Dave Koning
Analyst
Oh! Yeah. Hey, guys. Tremendous year. And even the last quarter, I mean, we were looking, right, you won the most clients in a quarter, I think, in at least five years, your employee count was up by the most in 10 plus years, right? So a lot going right. But -- so my question, I guess is, with all that going right, how do you know that 2021 wasn’t just kind of a reversion, because 2020 was down a little, 2020 up -- 2021 up a lot, but they average kind of normal, how do you know that this is like a sustainably better than normal environment?
RK
Rohit Kapoor
Analyst
Thanks, Dave. So, there are a couple of factors, which kind of provide us with that level of confidence. Number one is, the amount of business that we have own and the backlog that we have. That’s very strong and very solid. As you know, in our business, most of the deals that we win basically result in revenue being recognized in future periods. So, all the business that we have won in 2021 should really result in revenue growth in place in 2022. Second, the pipeline that we have and the kind of conversations that we have with our clients at this point of time, the pipeline is much larger, much more mature, and the cycle time for sales is reduced sharply. So the speed and velocity at which decision making is taking place with our clients that’s very, very positive and very encouraging. Third, our capabilities and solutions that we have built, they seem to be resonating very strongly in the marketplace, because we are getting a fair amount of inbound inquiry from clients and prospects, asking for those capabilities in Analytics, in Data, in Digital and they can see the client referenceability that we have built with our existing clients, where the customer satisfaction scores are very high, the ability to execute and deliver business outcomes is clearly demonstrated, and therefore, there is a high level of confidence of wanting to engage with us. So when we kind of think about all of these factors put together, that’s very positive and it’s something which we think that this is likely to be a longer term phenomenon. And that’s the reason why we have updated and increased our medium-term guidance, both on revenue, as well as on profitability.
DK
Dave Koning
Analyst
Got you. Thanks, guys. And then maybe, just one quick follow up, definitionally the new guidance, the 15% to 20% Analytics, 7% to 9% Digital Operations. Is that -- does that include acquisitions or is that organic over time?
RK
Rohit Kapoor
Analyst
That’s organic constant currency growth, Dave. And on a combined basis, that would aggregate to 11% to 13% and that’s on an organic constant currency basis.
DK
Dave Koning
Analyst
Great. Thanks, guys.
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from Bryan Bergin of Cowen. Your line is open.
BB
Bryan Bergin
Analyst
Hi. Good morning, guys. Thank you. I wanted to dig in here on the margin side. So can you just give us a little bit more color on how you are seeing the wage inflation environment as far as that incremental wage inflation you forecasted this year relative to 2021? And then, the return to office and the travel expense, maybe help us just as you think about the cadence of this year as kind of operating margin moves forward?
MN
Maurizio Nicolelli
Analyst
Sure, Bryan. Why don’t I take both those questions? The first one on wage inflation, we are anticipating wage inflation going forward into 2022. We have incorporated that into our 2022 budget and also into our guidance that we given to the street. We have -- we are starting to see that or seeing that, I should say, in particularly a number of different areas and it’s the hotbed areas within our business. It is in our capabilities or in the areas of Analytics, in the area of AI and Digital, and also within our technology group. Those are the areas that we are seeing some significant wage inflation coming into 2022. So, in seeing that, we have adjusted our expense base and have projected higher compensation for those areas going forward within our budget and included -- it’s included within our guidance. So those are the areas that we are seeing that happening and the areas that we are making adjustments into to mitigate that going forward so that it doesn’t affect our business. In terms of travel expense and also back to the office. First off, on back to the office, we are -- we will start migrating back to the office slowly throughout the year. We are putting that process in late Q, first quarter really in the month of March, but that’s really starting out in the voluntary basis and really gradually doing this. So this is going to progress throughout the year. At the endpoint, we have thought about what our endpoint is in terms of how we operate going forward. And in general, after speaking to our clients and also doing a lot of work internally, it really comes down to a structure of potentially a third in the office full time, a third on a flexi model and a third working from home. But we are going to migrate into that and that’s going to happen throughout the year, starting in the first quarter. In terms of travel, you are going to start to see travel expenses start to come back into our P&L. We do -- we are going to start to do a bit more of travel, especially visiting our clients and having our clients visit us in our centers, but we do not anticipate going back to the same expense level that we were at in 2019. We do believe that the world has changed and also our clients, in terms of their level of wanting to travel also has changed. So we are we are basically adjusting with the whole environment around us and we do believe that a travel expense will start to come back, but nowhere near where it was in 2019.
BB
Bryan Bergin
Analyst
Okay. Just kind of digging in there on the gross margin side then, obviously, you guys did very well in 2001 above 38%. I presume wage inflation pressures out there, but what are you thinking about a sustainable gross margin level within the context of that 17% to 18% target?
MN
Maurizio Nicolelli
Analyst
And so when we look at gross margin in terms of that construct, it would be fairly similar to 2021, with maybe a slight improvement. But when we think about gross margin, it really is -- it really would be barely comparable, I would say, to 2021, even with wage inflation, because we will continue to grow our revenue base and get some leverage out of that.
RK
Rohit Kapoor
Analyst
Let me add to that, Bryan. One of the things which we are seeing is that, with general inflation being high in the U.S. as such, the propensity for our clients to agree to changes in our pricing is much, much more accepting and much more understanding. So, we do think we will be able to benefit from some of the COLA increase in our provisions that we have in our existing contracts, some of the changes that we would need to make to our rate card and to our pricing and be able to pass that on to our customers, and be able to have a commercial arrangement that will allow us to be able to maintain the high quality of service, the innovation and the value-added work and do that at a reasonable price point. So, frankly, there’s going to be a play, which is going to be there, both on the expense management side, as well as on the pricing side.
BB
Bryan Bergin
Analyst
Okay. Great. Thank you very much.
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Maggie Nolan of William Blair. Your line is open.
TS
Ted Starck-King
Analyst
Hey. It’s Ted on for Maggie. Thanks for taking our question. Rohit, you talked about developing scalable solutions that could be used across a wide variety of industries. I am curious, is that creating opportunity to decouple revenue growth from headcount growth through some of those solutions that you are providing to clients?
RK
Rohit Kapoor
Analyst
Yes. Ted, that’s a great question. So let me just try and elaborate on that. One, when we create an industry solution, our ability to leverage that across multiple clients becomes far more scalable and it certainly delinks completely the revenue growth from the headcount growth. You will see that, in 2021, our revenue per employee has increased quite significantly by approximately 10%. So it’s a big shift that’s already taking place and it’s visible enough in our financial statements. The other piece is, the ability to apply and leverage solutions from one industry to another industry is also becoming more and more prevalent, and something that our clients can take advantage of, and we can be a lot more helpful to them with. So, for example, in order to improve customer experience, if we apply certain solutions in one particular industry, the same solution is actually applicable in other industries, because the end goal is the same, which is of enhancing end customer experience. And, therefore, it allows us to play in a much larger field, it allows us to replicate these solutions without necessarily taking up our employee headcount correspondingly and it provides for much greater leverage as we get into these database and digital solutions.
TS
Ted Starck-King
Analyst
Great. That’s helpful. I wanted to ask about the pipeline, what are you seeing in terms of the mix of project work, and first, annuity type analytics fields, do you expect the one-third, two-thirds ratio to change? And then how should we think about the cadence from Analytics and Digital Operations in 2022? Thank you.
RK
Rohit Kapoor
Analyst
Sure. So on Analytics, we continue to see the same trend, which is we will typically engage with a new customer with essentially project based work and that quickly translates into an annuity based relationship. The overall mix between one-third project base and two-thirds annuity base work pretty much holds true for us. What we are seeing is, as we provide greater insight to our clients leveraging data analytics, our clients are coming to us and asking us to take those insights and deliver the full business outcome to them, and therefore, give us responsibility for managing that process end-to-end. And that’s, again, a very positive trend that we are seeing, where the engagement on analytics can lead to us getting more work around Digital Operations and Digital Solutions, and that works really, really well. So, frankly, our Analytics business right now is growing very rapidly. It’s something which we have acquired a leadership position in. It is something which we deliberately invested in for the last 15 years, and right now, it seems to be playing out very, very well for our clients and for us.
TS
Ted Starck-King
Analyst
Great. Thank you very much.
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from Vincent Colicchio of Barrington Research. Your line is open.
VC
Vincent Colicchio
Analyst
Yeah. Rohit, a follow-up on an earlier question, so what portion of your contracts have COLA adjustment, say, a year ago versus now? And another part of the question is, do most of your contracts have COLA adjustments right now, most of your new contracts?
RK
Rohit Kapoor
Analyst
Sure. So, Vincent, all of our existing contracts, which have COLA adjustments, those, of course, kick-in and continue to be in force. But in this environment of heightened inflation expectations, all new annuity and long-term contracts that we are signing do have in general a COLA clause built in into it. We don’t really share the percentage of contracts that have COLA elements in it. But you are aware that, we have about a third of our business which is on the basis of transaction base and outcome base pricing models and two-thirds of it is based on long-term annuity contracts. We think the way in which our contracts are spread out, it gives us an opportunity to renew these contracts at price points, which are going to be higher, taking into account the changes that have taken place in the underlying cost dimensions. So, frankly, the COLA part protects us and then the fact that our contracts are well spread out over the next three years, each time there’s a renewal, it allows us to be able to reset the pricing with our clients accordingly. So, frankly, we feel very good about how our business is structured and set up, so that we can adjust total to the market needs appropriately.
VC
Vincent Colicchio
Analyst
Thanks for that and one follow-up. So the tight labor market, to what extent do you think you are benefiting from clients having a hard time doing things digitally internally, because of the shortage and so turning to you as a result?
RK
Rohit Kapoor
Analyst
Oh! Absolutely. I think that is a huge driver of demand. I think there is a big talent war that is out there, and particularly, in Data Analytics and in Digital, being able to recruit is a big challenge for our clients. Our ability is a lot, lot better, because we have established a very strong brand with our employees, the kind of growth that we can promise them, the kind of quality of work that they can have, the kind of work environment that they have and the culture of our organization, these are strong motivating factors for us to be able to attract very, very good talent. We have built up pipeline of talent, hiring from premier colleges and universities, and our ability to train and upskill the workforce, that’s also very, very significant. So, frankly, this is driving demand and we are very well-suited to be able to help our clients in this time period of working on these projects and doing that at scale and doing it with speed.
VC
Vincent Colicchio
Analyst
Thank you. Nice quarter. Thanks for answering my questions.
RK
Rohit Kapoor
Analyst
Thanks, Vincent.
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you. I am showing no further questions at this time. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference. Thank you all for participating. You may now disconnect. Have a great day.