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Exponent, Inc. (EXPO)

Q3 2016 Earnings Call· Wed, Oct 19, 2016

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day and welcome to the Exponent Third Quarter 2016 Earnings Results Conference Call. Today's call is being recorded. At this time I would like to turn the conference over to Whitney Kukulka. Please go ahead, ma'am.

Whitney Kukulka

Management

Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for joining us on Exponent's third quarter of fiscal year 2016 financial results conference call. Please note that this call will be simultaneously webcast on the Investor Relations section of the company's corporate Web site at www.exponent.com/investors. This conference call is a property of Exponent and any taping or other reproduction is expressly prohibited without prior written consent. Joining me on the call today are Paul Johnston, Chief Executive Officer, and Rich Schlenker, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Before we start, I would like to remind you that the following discussion contains forward-looking statements including but not limited to Exponent's market opportunities and future financial results that involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed here. Additional information that could cause actual results to differ from forward-looking statements can be found in Exponent's periodic SEC filings, including those factors discussed under the caption factors affecting operating results and market price stock in Exponent's most recent Form 10-K. The forward-looking statements and risks in this conference call are based on current expectations as of today, and Exponent assumes no obligation to update or revise them, whether as a result of new developments or otherwise. And now I will turn the call over to Paul Johnston, Chief Executive Officer. Paul, go ahead.

Paul Johnston

Management

Thank you. Thank you for joining us today for our discussion of Exponent’s third quarter 2016 results. Exponent’s third quarter results were better than our prior outlook. That continue to be impacted by a softness in a few industry sectors, which we discussed during our second quarter conference call. This softness, which is primarily related to the oil and gas industry was partially offset by an increase in demand related consumer products and construction. While the third quarter’s utilization increased slightly to 17% from the second quarter, it was still lower than the same period last year. For the third quarter of 2016 net revenues were $74.2 million, a nominal decrease from the same period last year. Net income was $11.3 million or $0.42 per diluted share in the third quarter of 2016. Net revenues in our engineering and other scientific segment grew in the low single-digits both sequentially and year-over-year. As compared to last year, this segment grew 2% in the third quarter and 5% in the first nine months. This is the largest part of our business and represents approximately 78% of Exponent’s third quarter net revenues. Although this is not the level of growth that we have seen in this segment in the past, we remain optimistic about the future as Exponent continues to be called upon to investigate high profile accidents and product recall as well as for its design consulting services. As products continue to become more technologically complex and the consumer products safety commission increases enforcement, we are more frequently called upon to assist clients in evaluating their products for potential recalls. We are also seeing an increased demand related to construction disputes for major capital projects in the United States and Asia. Revenue growth was partially offset by recent shifts in market conditions,…

Rich Schlenker

Management

Thanks, Paul. For the third quarter of 2016, revenues before reimbursements, or net revenues as I will refer to them from here on, were $74.2 million, down 46 basis points from $74.5 million in the third quarter of 2015. Total revenues for the third quarter were 77.6 million, down 2% from 78.9 million one year ago. Our underlying net revenue growth in the third quarter was a little more than 1%, but was offset by the impact of a major project ending in the third quarter of 2015 and translating foreign currency for consolidated financial statements. Net income for the third quarter declined 4% to $11.3 million or $0.42 per diluted share, as compared to $11.7 million or $0.43 per diluted share in the same quarter last year. EBITDA for the third quarter was 19.3 million, down from 20.1 million in the same period of 2015. For the first nine months of 2016, revenues before reimbursements were $226.4 million, a marginal improvement as compared to $25.9 million in the same of period of 2015. Total revenues decline slightly to $238.1 million from $239.2 million in the prior year. As a reminder, in the first quarter of 2016, Exponent early-adopted a new accounting standard for the classification of tax adjustments associated with share-based awards, which was applied prospectively. While this was primarily a first quarter event, there was a nominal impact in the subsequent quarters. In the first nine months of the year, the realized tax benefit was $4.8 million or $0.18 per diluted share. Including the tax benefit, net income was $37.1 million, an increase of 10%, as compared to $33.7 million in the same period of 2015. For comparison purposes, excluding the tax benefit, net income would have been $32.3 million in the first nine months, representing a decrease…

Paul Johnston

Management

Thank you, Rich. I’d like to update you on some recent leadership changes. Exponent announced on July 29th, the appointment of Dr. Catherine Corrigan to the position of president reporting to me. I’m pleased that the board accepted my recommendation to transition the position of president to Catherine. As well planned leadership succession over time is vital to our long-term future. Please let me recap Catherine’s background. Catherine obtained her Ph.D. in Medical Engineering and Medical Physics and her Masters in Mechanical Engineering from MIT and her Bachelors in Bioengineering from the University of Pennsylvania. She joined Exponent’s Philadelphia office in 1996, was promoted to principal in 2002 and Corporate Vice President in 2005. She was promoted to Group Vice President to lead the Transportation Group and joined the Company’s operating committee in 2012. She relocated to our Menlo Park Office in July. Catherine has demonstrated strong leadership as the Group Vice President, and I am confident that she will have a successful transition into managing all of our operating groups. While Catherine has consulted on issues affecting many industries, her deep experience related to vehicle safety is a valuable asset as Exponent continues to expand its transportation consulting services. She is highly respected by clients and employees for her expertise and leadership. I’m excited to partner with Catherine in her new role. As a result of this change, Catherine’s former role of Vice President of our Transportation Group has been takeover by Dr. John Pye. In addition, we made two other planned changes. Dr. Harri Kytomaa has been appointed Vice President of our Electrical and Thermal Sciences Group and Dr. Robert Haddad has been appointed Vice President of our Environmental Sciences Group. Dr. Robert Caligiuri and Dr. Paul Boehm, who previously led these groups will continue their practices with…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And we will take our first question from Tim McHugh from William Blair & Co. Your line is open.

Tim McHugh

Analyst

First just, I guess may be this overly specific, but I think Rich you said underlying growth if we look to the BP, case and foreign exchange was kind of just over 1%. I think you had said low single digits, I guess which wasn’t quite as precise last quarter, on a year over year basis did -- is it about the same or did it get slower? I’m trying to reconcile that with versus. I know you said it was better than expected, but just looking at the year-over-year growth on an underlying basis.

Rich Schlenker

Management

I think it’s was -- last quarter was probably in that same range. It might have been around, in the two or three, I don’t have the number right off the top of my head here, but yes it probably was right around 1% to 2%.

Tim McHugh

Analyst

Okay and you said the growth is obviously slower than the normally look at in an underlying basis and you talked about oil and gas before and I think there is a comment in the prepared remarks this quarter about, most of this or a substantial part of the slowdown, that exact wording, was because of the oil and gas sector, can you update us on kind of the size, the impact oil and gas had on you this quarter on the year-over-year growth rate?

Rich Schlenker

Management

A year ago on that sector was approximately 7% or 8% but 8% of our revenues and now it’s less than 5%, sort of around 4%.

Tim McHugh

Analyst

Okay and does that include the impact of the large case, or is that?

Rich Schlenker

Management

That in the quarter that includes about 1% of that approximately 4% changes from the large major projects.

Tim McHugh

Analyst

Okay and then lastly, just the strength in the consumer electronics area that you talked about, is that broad based or are there are any particularly large projects that are responsible for the I guess for the better outlook on performance there?

Rich Schlenker

Management

Tim, I think that’s a pretty broad based. There is always a mix in that the thing that is, the topic that's currently under CPSC review is usually larger and things that are developing or that were reacting to later in that cycle. So there is always kind of a mixture of that, but the comments we’re making or not based on one project.

Tim McHugh

Analyst

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And we will take our next question from Joseph Foresi from Cantor Fitzgerald. Your line is open.

Joseph Foresi

Analyst

I wonder if we could just look at utilization. Maybe if can give us some idea, I know you talked about 4Q, but what is the trajectory of utilization look like as we kind of head into next year or maybe you can just talk about the seasonality in ’17?

Paul Johnston

Management

First of all, I mean, we are just in the beginning -- middle of our planning for 2017. So we don’t really have -- we haven’t completed that process, so we haven’t sat down with our leadership team to dial that in. I would say that what we’re seeing right now is something that has put us again back at approximately 70% utilization for the full year. And I think that at least the trend off of that is about at that level. It might be somewhere between right now on a run rate basis running between 70% and 71% utilization at this point in time.

Joseph Foresi

Analyst

Got it. And then the environment and health business. What to expect sort of steady state in that business. Do we just wait for the compares to get better or do you feel like there might be something to offset some of the declines?

Paul Johnston

Management

Well, I think that we’re still in the process of what I would call a little bit of shakeout following the large case. Initially when we came off of that large case and whatever it was sort of early third quarter last year, there was a little bit of pick-up demand from other matters that kind of carried us through a little bit more maybe than we had anticipate through Q1 of this year. And I think we’re now sort of really sorting out exactly what that underlying sort of demand level is and I think we’ve now sort of hit what that level is. But that’s why I think it was a little bit -- it’s almost like it was an extent tail, that the BP project, which is the larger project that’s referred to in the Gulf that ended in the beginning of third quarter of last year. While it ended they were still just sort of excess work that hasn’t gotten done, because that project was so large and I think we now kind of see what that initial steady state is like where we are today or where we’ve seen in the last quarter. I think the challenge from here going forward of course is to continue to develop further business and attract additional staff in those areas to grow those practices.

Joseph Foresi

Analyst

Got it. And from a resourcing perspective or additions to headcount where were you focused on maybe trimming versus the additions? If you could just give some idea of where you are looking to add versus where you have taken some reductions? Thanks.

Paul Johnston

Management

I mean we took really -- reductions it was really focused in three areas. I was focused in environmental and health were two of them and the third was in technology development. And technology development was something that we took a very significant step down at the end of 2014, because of the end of the -- of our contracts with the rapid equipping force, the U.S. army that was providing the work to us, while we had combat troops in Afghanistan. And so there was a follow on adjustment we needed to make there and then health and environment. Those are the three areas that we made some reductions in headcount. The areas that are going in the other direction have been focused a lot around various aspects of consumer products, consumer electronics, medical devices and sort of a regulatory side of food and chem in our health practice. So those include some regulatory people, they include human factors people, they include polymer science and chemists and material scientists and biomedical engineers. So those are the areas that are stronger and the areas that obviously we’ve made the reductions in the areas that were weaker.

Operator

Operator

Thank you, sir. We’ll take our next question from Tobey Sommer from SunTrust. Your line is open.

Kwan Kim

Analyst

Hello, this is Kwan Kim on for Tobey, thanks for taking my questions. First off could you talk about the growth in your proactive side of the business? To what extent has the recent recall from Samsung contributed to the demand environment in the customer product for practice services? Thank you.

Rich Schlenker

Management

Yeah, so I think Kwan, as you may be aware we are in a position where our retention with clients is confidential until such time as they choose to disclose our environment. So I’m not in a position to discuss the specific matter you raised. But what I will say is that major recalls like the one that’s been announced do send somewhat of a shockwave through the industry and I think it’s certainly helpful to us in terms of those kinds of companies spending more money and wanting to be more focused to make sure they have successful launch of their products, because the consequences of a poor launch are pretty damaging. And so I do think it creates an environment, where -- I’ll say the willingness of, for example consumer electronics companies to spend more proactively, before they have a litigation matter or recall matter as a way of doing third party reviews testing different concepts and the various kinds of things that we had involved in. While it’s an unfortunate event that happened, we do think it actually does help our business.

Kwan Kim

Analyst

Thank you. And my next question is for the longer-term. How should we think about Exponent's opportunity for margin expansion in 2017 and beyond? What are the internal levers you might pull to drive up utilization other than head count adjustments? And is increasing scale through office consolidations an option on the table?

Paul Johnston

Management

Yes so, over the long term, we continue to believe that on average as we look out over the next four to five years, we would think that, on average annually, we would improve margins sort of 30 to 50 basis points on average annually. That would be driven by improved utilization, I don’t see utilization coming from reducing staff, by view that if we’re going to achieve this level to that level of margin improvement, we need to do that in an environment where we’re growing. I think that it will come from growing and as we continue to build out our work in the proactive side, I think it continues our ability to leverage are more junior staff, I mean clients who are looking in the reactive side or looking for that aged person who can testify, understand and such but clients in the more proactive areas in particularly in design, consulting and technology are very apt to take on our more recent Ph.D grads to a system in that work. So we think that there are opportunities for growth, there is opportunities for improved utilization gradually over time there. We do believe that and have been focused on creating more critical mass in the offices that we already have, we’ve seen the benefit of that over time and we would expect that the leverage we get out of other operating and G&A would be, let’s call it 10 to 20 basis points on average annually. If we’re growing in the high single digits on the top line, we think we can get some leverage out of the infrastructure we have.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We will take our next question from Randy Reece from Avondale Partners. Your line is open.

Randy Reece

Analyst

The fourth-quarter guidance suggests that your utilization rate will be roughly back to normal compared with history for a fourth quarter, and wanted to dig into that a little bit. You've already signaled some change in headcount. It's not dramatic. I was wondering if you could describe to us how much of the recovery normalization of utilization rate would stem just from headcount actions and how much reflects how you are feeling about the underlying activity level of the business?

Paul Johnston

Management

So think that what we’ve seen in the utilization moving from the second quarter to the third quarter that we just completed, was that if we trended of off the second quarter into the third quarter, we would have expected utilization to be down approximately 3 percentage points going from Q2 to Q3. Just based on the fact that we had two less work days in Q3 than we did in Q2. So that would be what we would expect to see there. So obviously we saw an improvement in the demand side of our work and not just head count only went down 1% from about 768 to 761. So that explains 1% of that gain, but the remainder of that pick-up that we had there was as a result of improved demand in the quarter. And I would say that that level that we saw in the third quarter was back closer to what we were seeing in the first quarter of this year from a utilization standpoint, a little lower headcount, but on the utilization level about the same level. We are expecting that to -- based on the current demand environment, we’re expecting that to continue on into the fourth quarter and while we will have some lower headcount, because we tend to have less hires in the fourth quarter just based on the timing of the year. Some years that comes in flat, sometimes a little bit down, I think recruiting has been a little bit slower because what we saw slowdown in the business in the second quarter. So we’ll expect it will probably be about 1% short on our headcount, so that’s why we’re expecting that. So overall, I’d say the utilization is picked up to this level based on demand and 1% to 2% here is obviously come relative to the headcount adjustments.

Randy Reece

Analyst

It didn't sound like in your discussion that you'd seen a lot of change in the depressed environment in the agrochemical space. Is there any anticipated recovery there in the fourth quarter or were you looking at that as something that's going to happen next year?

Paul Johnston

Management

In the industrial chemicals, we haven’t really seen any change in that environment and while what we expect is that that isn’t something that we will go for years, like it could happen in oil and gas. We aren’t expecting a near-term recovery either. It’s probably something that we will see later into next year.

Randy Reece

Analyst

Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

And we’ll take our next question from Marc Riddick from Sidoti & Company. Your line is open.

Marc Riddick

Analyst

Wanted to touch on the upside that you have seen in the construction space and wondering if you could spend a little time discussing what you are seeing there and what's driving the strength in construction disputes and if there's any particular pattern that's been emerging that would be helpful for us to get our arms around.

Paul Johnston

Management

Sure Mark. So one other things that we’ve done is we made an investment in expanding it's a relatively small investment -- but expanding our construction and consulting practice more internationally by bringing in a very senior person to our Hong Kong office. And that has resulted in getting a number of significant sized international projects. And so I think that the biggest change that I would say is sort of as a result of that move prior to that our construction consulting projects were almost exclusively U.S. based. And so through that, I think we’ve been able to, we made started growing that practice.

Marc Riddick

Analyst

Great. And you had touched on this a little bit, but I was wondering if you could spend a little bit more time on the idea of some of the public difficulties out there that can lead to more proactive services, particularly within the consumer space. Is there a general sense of how we should look at the potential for the amount of lead time it takes from when you have such a high profile action, whether it's what we are seeing in the consumer electronics space currently or maybe historically, sort of the amount of lead time it takes from when the headline catches everybody's attention to when that leads to business being written and growth in your revenues?

Paul Johnston

Management

Yeah, I mean I think that’s probably sort of fairly gradual thing and what I would say about that is there are usually some immediate things that come from that, where let’s say another good client of ours who is worried about whether they have a similar problem may very quickly bring you into check that out. So you get some sort of initial thrust and then the real issue is over time how do you expand that through your reputation to other clients who aren’t so -- necessarily so used to doing that. I mean I think we’ve seen that situation play out with other sort of high publicity events that have happened in the past. And so we expect that there is like I say some immediate boost, but these, no one project enough to move the needle that much, remember we do 6,000 to 8,000 project a year, but there is no question that, right immediately something hits the news, we do get some calls right away basically saying that we have this problem, so on.

Marc Riddick

Analyst

Okay and you'd touched on the increased enforcements and I wanted to get a sense of whether -- I guess maybe it's somewhat of a similar question, the impact of increased enforcements and then maybe some of the areas that you are seeing that have some benefit and maybe now or where you see that might lead to some revenue benefit going forward, if there were specific areas that you think were maybe a little more active in responding to those increased enforcements?

Paul Johnston

Management

Well, I mean I think, I think that the comment that Rich and I made earlier about one of the areas of strength for us is really consumer products and when we talk about that obviously, interactions with the CPSC is a significant part of that I’m not saying that’s the only thing, but clearly safety and reliability of consumer products is indeed a huge area. It’s something that we have been seeing over a period of time here, some increase in the level of activity with regard to that. CPSC I mean this -- I think you can see in the newspaper there’s a lots of articles written about stepped up CPSC enforcement. People understand, the concerns about this, the concerns about getting ahead of it, really handling the reporting write, handling the investigations right and so forth. And so we do see that as something that is frankly helpful to our business, because we I think are respected by the regulatory agencies as a good independent source of engineering work, whether it be a consumer product safety commission or whether it be NHTSA on the vehicle side.

Marc Riddick

Analyst

Great. And finally I was wondering, as we look at a very strong level of cash that you have on hand, I wanted to get a sense of maybe what you are looking at maybe in the acquisition and what the acquisition pipeline may look like in some of the areas that sort of the target for future growth through acquisitions, be they small or medium-size. Thank you.

Paul Johnston

Management

I mean first of all in general I think, we would expect acquisitions to be relatively small. We think that focusing on us acting as one company and having a certain kind of culture makes a very large acquisition risky to that. So we would focus on a smaller acquisitions. So these are more seed acquisitions. You know a pipeline may not be quite the best way to describing that, we always have a few, in every year we have quite a number of our companies we look at and often get to the point of making offers on some. But as we’ve sort of explained before there are certain areas we’re focused on. They continue to be in the sort of the health, sort of pharmaceutical area where we think we could provide, high value, toxicology, epidemiology and so forth in that space. They are also in the computer science space, embedded software and some data analytics related to that. Those are sort of the primaries we’ve looked at. But I think it would be misleading for us to indicate that we’ve got a pipeline, of acquisitions. We haven’t done one since 2002, but we are very open to doing the right kind of acquisition, as long as we got a company at the right stage, where it’s a seed for future growth and where they have got a leadership team, that’s going to continue to drive the business as opposed to one that is looking for retirement.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And we have no further questions at this time.

Marc Riddick

Analyst

Thank you very much.

Paul Johnston

Management

Okay, thanks you.

Operator

Operator

This does conclude today's program. Thank you all for your participation. And you may disconnect at any time.