Ladies and gentlemen, good afternoon. My name is Abby, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the First Commonwealth Financial Corporation First Quarter 2023 Earnings Release Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. And all lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers’ remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator instructions] Thank you. And I will now turn the conference over to Ryan Thomas, Vice President of Finance and Investor Relations. You may begin.

Thank you Abby, and good afternoon everyone. Thank you for joining us today to discuss First Commonwealth Financial Corporation's first quarter financial results. Participating on today's call will be Mike Price, President and CEO; Jim Reske, Chief Financial Officer; Jane Grebenc, Bank President and Chief Revenue Officer; and Brian Karrip, our Chief Credit Officer. As a reminder a copy of yesterday's earnings release can be accessed by logging on to fcbanking.com and selecting the Investor Relations link at the top of the page. We've also included a slide presentation on our Investor Relations website with supplemental financial information that will be referenced during today's call. Before we begin we need to caution listeners that this call will contain forward-looking statements. Please refer to our forward-looking statements disclaimer on Page 3 of the slide presentation for a description of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in the forward-looking statements. Today's call will also include non-GAAP financial measures. Non-GAAP financial measures should be viewed in addition to and not as an alternative for our reported results prepared in accordance with GAAP. A reconciliation of these measures can be found in the appendix of today's slide presentation. And with that, I'll turn it over to Mike.

Thank you Ryan and good afternoon everyone. We are pleased with our results in a tumultuous quarter for the industry. Core earnings per share beat consensus by $0.06. Our NIM expanded. We had record net interest income, and we grew deposits much faster than loans, bringing down our loan-to-deposit ratio. In short, we worked our way through the first quarter by focusing intently on deposit gathering and retention, while taking a measured approach to loan growth. Core earnings per share, which adjusts for one-time merger expenses and the day one CECL provision associated with our acquisition of Centric was $0.45 in the first quarter. Core return on assets of 1.75% was up from 1.51% last quarter reflecting the benefit of lower provision expense, while core pre-tax pre-provision ROA of 2.11% was down from 2.28% last quarter. The NIM expanded by two basis points to 4.01% and the net interest income was up by $6.3 million over the last quarter. Non-interest income declined and expenses rose contributing to an efficiency ratio that at 52.41% was slightly elevated from last quarter's 50%. The first quarter was an eventful one for us. We successfully closed and converted Centric Bank during the quarter. The legal close took place on January 31st and the conversion occurred over the last weekend in February. I'm deeply grateful for all of the team members on both sides of this integration who work to make this come together as smoothly as it did. We are bullish on the demographics of the region, which includes Harrisburg, Lancaster and the Philadelphia suburbs of Devon and Doylestown. We're also pleased with the former Centric team that joined First Commonwealth, as they have added to our line and back office strength. The events of the first quarter in the banking industry put a…

Thanks, Mike. Net interest income grew by $6.3 million over last quarter to a record $94.7 million. The net interest margin or NIM expanded by two basis points to 4.01% in the quarter as compared to last quarter. The cost of non-maturity deposits was 0.88% in the first quarter for a cumulative through-the-cycle beta of 17.5% to date. Deposit rates increased over the course of the quarter, but at a slowing rate up 31 basis points from January to February but only up 15 basis points from February to March. Our projections for 2023 incorporate a rate forecast that suggests one more 25 basis point rate hike and then a decline in the Fed funds rate to approximately 4.8% by year-end. We estimate roughly five basis points of NIM compression next quarter as always give or take a few basis points. Our forecasts are highly dependent on assumptions regarding the repricing of deposits. In terms of liquidity, we began the first quarter of 2023 with $285 million of overnight borrowings from the Federal Home Loan Bank. And because deposit growth, exceeded loan growth, we had paid off those borrowings completely towards the middle of March. However in response to industry-wide liquidity concerns, we stockpiled some cash as did many banks this quarter to be sure we have cash on hand of these liquidity needs. At quarter end our cash and available for sale for securities as a percentage of total assets, increased 102 basis points to 10.6%, and total available liquidity of $4.1 billion was 2.6 times total uninsured/unsecured deposits. First quarter average deposits grew at a 13.8% annualized rate, as Mike previously mentioned, excluding the acquisition of Centric Bank. Part of that growth came from the transfer in January, of approximately $109.1 million of average off-balance sheet deposits from…

Thank you [Operator Instructions] We will take our first question from Frank Schiraldi with Piper Sandler. Your line is open.

Thanks, good afternoon. Just in terms of the margin detail you gave, on I think you said five basis points of margin contraction, in the second quarter give or take. Seems really strong especially, if you're still targeting that 25% total deposit beta, I'm not sure if I missed the change there, but is that still the assumption? And can you maybe just talk about, how long you think or when you think that sort of gets fully baked in to the margin?

Yes. Sure, Frank. We've been spending a lot of time working on that and trying to understand that, deposit movements have been so vary this quarter, but it's difficult to predict. You may recall that a year ago, we dropped our cumulative deposit beta forecast. We have been for some time saying 25% cumulative deposit beta. And then, given the fact that we had almost 0% deposit betas in any -- incremental deposit betas in any given quarter last year, we dropped it to 20%. And then towards the end of last year, we said we better go back to 25%. That was our going assumption. Well, we've done some work now, to understand where deposits are going and based on current estimates, kind of extrapolating the first quarter deposit trends into the end of the year, we would calculate a deposit beta that's in the upper 20s, more like 28%. But it's impossible to peg even in an exact number like that. May be more helpful, I'd tell you that when we look at it that way, we can say that for every point of cumulative deposit beta, it affects the NIM, the ending NIM for the year by about five basis points. So if you have a 28% cumulative beta, you have one results. And if it ends up being 30% cumulative deposit beta by the end of the year, the margin is 10 points different -- 10 points less than that. So, that maybe helps you give you some idea to the sensitivity of the NIM to the betas. But given where things are going, it's very difficult to predict exactly where deposit behavior is going to take us.

Okay. I guess, when you think about that 28% or whatever it ends up being, do you sort of feel like that continues maybe for a few quarters after the Fed stops? So maybe, by year-end it's sort of fully baked in in your analysis?

Yes. And that's, a great question. And our analysis actually, tried to only go out one year. It's difficult to break even several quarters out, let alone going into the next year. So the way, we think about it is a cumulative through-the-cycle beta, taking us to just the end of this year, in a world where the Fed funds comes up a little bit, by another quarter point and then drops down to 4.8% by the end of the year. Even in those results, Frank, when we do a 28% deposit beta, the NIM ends up around in the low 3.90s. And if we stress it and do a 30% cumulative deposit beta, the NIM ends up in the low 3.80s by the end of the year. And that's why, we're fairly comfortable saying, five basis points per quarter, but give or take a few at either side because no one really knows where deposits are going.

Got you. Okay. That's great color. Thank you. And then just curious, I mean it makes perfect sense. You're talking about remaining under the $10 billion and the trust sweep balances coming back on in the first quarter. Just curious, what sort of rates those are at? And if you could talk about the growth in the deposit, which was still very strong the growth in deposits at legacy FCF, outside of those sweep balances coming back on in the quarter?

Yes. Jim, why don't you take the rates and I'll take the strategies.

Yes. So, the rates in the trust -- so the trust deposits, we hold us in a fiduciary capacity for our trust clients, so there can be no better or worse than it's softer to the market. So those rates are going to be over -- probably over -- there are going to be premium rates in the market probably about 4%. So, but no better or worse than they were able to get in their sweep accounts. And so that's why we're able -- as a fiduciary to bring it back on balance sheet. And Mike, why don't you take the other question.

Yes. Just our bank President Jane Grebenc, and her Head of Corporate and Retail Banking, they have been laser-focused on a core depository for a decade and it's taken that long to build it. And we were particularly focused in the first quarter on customer outreach through our branch managers in our commercial RNs, with the competitive rates that Jim mentioned. We've rebuilt the CD book. We had let that whittle down to virtually nothing. We have a team that's really empowered to make exceptions for clients. And we look at a good deposit base of small businesses, corporate client's, municipalities it's long tenured deep relationships sticky and granular. And we just look to add to it every month, and that's a big part of the incentives for our branches, who have a balance sheet and our corporate RMs. So I hope that's helpful.

Yeah. No, I appreciate that. And then if I could just sneak in one last one. You mentioned Jim the $63 million to $64 million in operating expense. Any change to the -- I think, it was 35% expense saves in the Centric deal? And then when are those fully baked in by? Thanks.

We had -- when we announced that, we projected that those will be fully baked in by the first full year which will be next year but we think we'll be able to we're on track to achieve that 35% this year.

Okay. Great. Thanks.

Thank you.

And we will take our next question from Karl Shepard with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Hey, good afternoon, everyone. I appreciate all the color on deposit betas. But I guess I wanted to follow up to and ask about asset yields. Just kind of what are you thinking about asset yield lift as we roll through kind of the back half of the year assuming kind of your rate forecast?

Actually, the asset deals are -- we're still asset sensitive. And so there's still upside on the asset side. If you look at where we kind of went this quarter, it was a quarter where the Fed rate raised 50 basis points and the asset yields went up by about 50 basis points. So kind of -- I'm not sure, if it works that way every quarter but that's kind of a 100% loan beta at least for the first quarter this year. But the new loans are coming on a really nice yield. I'm sorry Mike...

No, no go ahead.

Yeah. So we're pleased to see where that's happening. And so even with -- for example some portfolios with minimal loan growth the replacing yields are still pretty strong. Significant portfolio doesn't grow. The new loans that are coming on are coming out of higher rates of the loans that are coming off.

Yeah. And Centric added a little to our asset sensitivity probably just over two-thirds of the commercial loans were variable – that's right.

Okay. And then kind of switching over to lending. I think Mike you mentioned taking a measured approach I think was your wording. Just curious what's driving that? I noticed maybe lower construction commitments in the materials but just can you help me understand that? And it feels like maybe a slight tweak in the loan growth outlook, but I don't think you guys are signaling still a kind of a weaker environment.

Yeah. I think the -- it's determined by price and some of the yields on some of our consumer categories had gotten a little tight. So we raised some rates and that restricted some volume particularly in the indirect business. We're still doing a lot of indirect more -- a little bit more on our terms. We have a very experienced leader there. We like the business we're getting just not as much of it. And then I also think -- some of the businesses have slowed down a bit. Mortgage has hopefully bottomed out and they're turning the corner there. And the commercial side, the commercial real estate has backed up a little bit as well. We have nice pipelines I would say more so in C&I in our regions than we've had in a while. And so that's -- and also obviously our new Equipment Finance business everything that's put on there will stick to the balance sheet since that's relatively new.

Great. Thanks a lot.

[Operator Instructions] And we will take our next question from Daniel Tamayo with Raymond James. Your line is open.

Hey, good afternoon, everybody. Maybe first we can start on the office commercial real estate portfolio. I appreciate the new disclosures. But if you could just talk about maybe the dispersion of that office portfolio kind of where it is within your markets if there's any of it kind of Central Business District particularly the big metro areas that you get listed on that slide?

I'll hand it off to Brian Karrip, our Chief Credit Officer in a minute. But just a $5.4 million average commitment rent per square foot in the space of about $17.65, which is really well-below East and West Coast rents and then good debt service coverage of about $1.53 and loan to value of 63.2%, which just means that vacancy could go up quite a bit and a developer -- it won't break the developer. Brian, why don't you add a little more commentary to slide 17.

Thank you. Thanks Mike and thanks Daniel for your question. So when we think about our book and the dispersion of the portfolio, we have a subscription with a global real estate firm that provides information and analytics and we receive monthly updates. We think that our portfolio has behaved as well if not better than most others. Let's talk about the materials we gave you. Our markets are stable and very predictable. As we break our portfolio down and think about our geographic dispersion across each of the markets identified on slide 17, we further define it as what a Central Business District and what is in the suburban. So we have about $87 million that is in Central Business District and it's performing reasonably well. As we think about the balance of the book and the materials we provided there were only two loans above $15 million in the portfolio. One loan is secured by multiple properties and those are leased to the federal government. And the second loan is got a tenant that's a global credit tenant. So the office book has performed fine, notwithstanding, all the concern and the noise. We focus on this book and have focused on it since the pandemic. And it may not come out in the slides, but we're down about $77 million over the past year or so, 14 months and we'll continue to work to appropriately size this book given the economic conditions.

That's great color. I appreciate all that. And then switching gears to my follow-up here for you Jim. The reserves are much stronger after the deal now at 1.55. Just curious on your facts if you think that still will drift up potentially from here, obviously, a lot of questions in terms of what would happen in the environment but just interested in your thoughts about the ACL here?

No, I appreciate that a lot. And I'll start and then Brian if you have some further thoughts you can add to it as well. With the acquisition and the marks, the mark contributed to the ACL and give us a little bit of a reset following the acquisition, nice higher level of 1.35 to 1.55. So if anything that compares more favorably to peers than it did before, it creates a little less pressure in that sense. After this kind of reset for the acquisition then the normal pressures just resume. Provision expense is going to be driven by loan growth and then changes in our Moody's economic forecast. So after the reset it's back to the same pressure as it was before and have been for a while. Brian I don't know if there's anything you wanted to add to that?

No that was well put.

We hope that is outstanding.

It does. Thanks guys. Appreciate it. That's all for me.

Thank you.

Thanks.

And we'll take our next question from Matthew Breese with Stephens. Your line is open.

Good afternoon.

Good afternoon.

A few modeling questions on my end. Sorry, if I missed it in your opening comments, but I was curious what accretable yield was for the quarter and then the outlook for the rest of the year?

It's about 5.5 basis points in the quarter. It's hard to give you because the CECL is going to go up and down based on how credit performs. So it's hard to give you where that's going to go for the rest of the year, but it's 5.5 for the first quarter.

Okay. And then I hope…

…for rest of the year and I’ll update you as we go along.

Okay. And then turning to the securities portfolio. It's been a decline for five or six quarters now. Just wanted to get an updated message on what you're doing with cash flows there and if there's any appetite to add to it?

Jim?

Yes, thanks for asking. Great question. We do -- I think it will change our approach. We -- as you noted we have been letting it run off to fund loan growth and expectations for strong loan growth and it's really come down to a pretty low level about 12% of total assets. As I mentioned in the prepared remarks, towards the end of the quarter, we stockpiled cash by basically borrowing from the FHLB and putting on deposit with the Federal Reserve. But we'll probably deploy that excess cash into securities at a measured pace with dollar cost average into the market not all at once, but we'll probably deploy that to grow the securities portfolio. And one way to think about that is if we add just reinvested ordinary cash flow for those last couple of quarters the securities portfolio will be at a higher level. And so this will be a way to kind of replicate that redeployment of the cash flow and get it back up to a little bit higher level.

Okay. Do you care to give us some reference point in terms of securities to assets that you feel most comfortable with?

I would right now I don't know exactly. But right now I'm contemplating adding about $100 million of securities portfolio balance from here by the end of the year.

Okay. The other subject we didn't quite fully flesh out was just thoughts around fee income some of the moving parts there this quarter and then the outlook for the rest of the year is hoping for some color there?

Yes. The downdraft here the last year or so it has been with our gain on sale businesses, primarily SBA and mortgage and just had lunch with our mortgage head last week and hopefully we've bottomed out and we can make some progress there. And we think that long term is a will be a strength of the bank. And right now these -- two of the key businesses are struggling a bit and are a little bit below our internal budgets as well. And so we think we can pick up and improve that line item from here towards the end of the year.

Got it. Okay. And then Maybe Mike just commenting on M&A from here. Would love to get a sense for geographically, which direction you'd like to head East or West? And then give us kind of an updated thought on kind of sizing of any potential targets that you might be interested in?

Well, the first thing order of business is announcing closing and converting a bank are the easy part. The hard part is having a ground game and growing a great franchise and a footprint that we just acquired. And we're working hard on that every month. We had actually modeled just because of our history with M&A a little downdraft initially with deposits and loans and we put that into our deal math. And -- but we need -- we want to hit the ground running in the second half of the year and certainly well into 2024, but those are great markets. It's a great opportunity. Those branches we think we can they can become a terrific depository for us. We're off to a good start. And those are markets that have a little stronger demographics than we're used to in Western Pennsylvania more like Ohio. In terms of our preference for growth, just stating a fact, Ohio has been very good to us. We've had double-digit growth there on the loans and deposits side now for five or six years. Our little $180 million bank in Cincinnati is now over $700 million in assets. Columbus and Northern Ohio are now $1.2 billion and $1.3 billion respectively. They can fill in with the depository and get a better loan-to-deposit ratio like we have in Pennsylvania, but there's a lot of upside there. And we like those markets and they've been good to us. Pennsylvania is our home state and we have $3.4 billion in Community Pennsylvania in deposits. That's kind of the bread basket of the company. To the extent that we could do things in market or contiguous to that and Jim and I use about -- and Jane about rural depositories all the time we love them.…

No, I understand and I appreciate all the color. Thank you. That's all I had.

[Operator Instructions] And we'll take our next question from Manuel Navas with D.A. Davidson. Your line is open.

Hi. Good afternoon.

Good afternoon, Manuel.

Just thinking about the loan portfolio and the mid single-digit loan growth guide, can you kind of go into a little more detail on the mix of it going forward? I know you talked a little bit about consumer pulling back a little bit, but just a little more color on the mix. And it's going to be first half weighted or not? Any kind of thoughts on that end as well?

Yes. When you look back the last several years the first quarter at least for us has always been light and we've tended to do better in the second half of the year. I don't know if that's a trend, but it certainly has been the case for the last two or three years. As I look at kind of on page 7 our -- actually it's not page 7, sorry about that. I think it's page 4 -- page 6. I think we have an opportunity to grow C&I. Construction has been good to us that can present some opportunities. Commercial real estate we've picked up a lot of commercial real estate with Centric. We'd like to grow the C&I the small business and I think this where we would start. And -- but we have good mortgage commercial real estate and other portfolios that just are a little harder in a higher rate environment. And indirect auto as I mentioned where you really need to get the right pricing and the right deal. And so I think it will come on the C&I side and maybe a little bit on the branch side the branch consumer lending side. Certainly on Equipment Finance that business is ramping up a little slower than we expected, but nonetheless it will be meaningful this year. I think we're looking at over $200 million there alone. So that will help the C&I side. Is this helpful? I don't mean to ramble.

Right. I was going to ask about Equipment Finance specifically. So that was kind of helpful with that target.

Jim anything or Jane you're on the line. Anything I missed? Jane?

No. I think that we're really targeting. As you said Mike, C&I and we will get a fair share of commercial real estate. And that's why you have lots of businesses because when some are down the others can carry the water.

Okay. Can I flip that to kind of deposit side just kind of thoughts on where the non-interest-bearing percentage can stay stable or where it can fall to? And a lot of your new growth is CDE. I'm just wondering how high that book can get just as you kind of play out across the year and grow deposits?

Yes. Jim, why don’t -- you've modeled it. So...

Yes. So the NIV the total deposits was 33% last quarter fell to 29% this quarter. It was 25% pre-pandemic. So it probably settles somewhere in the mid- to high 20s.

And then the CD book was so low before like just two quarters ago, where could that get to? I mean you just have capacity there. Just kind of thoughts on more normalized CD book.

It's a fair question, but I don't have an answer for it. I don't know as a percentage of total deposits. We're definitely rebuilding it. We had let it go to zero. We had really during the pandemic focused on trying to get our total cost of deposits as close to zero as possible.

Yeah.

And so with a conscious idea to not pursue time deposits and we are doing that. I would say one thing that's really encouraging is a little anecdote that might be helpful to you. As we put out time deposits now we find that a lot of the customers that we have are very loyal to us and have taken money -- pick up their operating accounts with us, but idle cash balances that because we're offering sectional rates they took them somewhere else and now they're bringing them back. So we have found is that when we put out a time deposit special and we track dollars. For every $100 million we attract just say about $50 million of that will be our own money. That's customers that kept it in a non-interest-bearing account or a savings account may take advantage of a CD special. But about $25 million will be money from our own customers that they kept somewhere else some other bank. They bring back to us. And then the last $25 million is new money coming from outside the bank.

Yeah.

So hopefully that gives you a little color on how things are moving. But we do have...

And we had the luxury of doing that simply because, Jane and the team, our business bankers, our commercial bankers, our branch managers I mean their primary charge is to go out and get a non-interest-bearing deposit account and a core depository from a small business. And not all branch employees and banks run their retail model that way. But Jane and the team do and that really put us in a strong position where really over half of our depository was non-interest-bearing and now accounts are low-interest checking. And so I think it will be natural that perhaps we can grow because our customers are loyal. We just didn't give them a really attractive CD option. Jane, anything you want to add? This is your baby.

No, I don't think so Mike. I think you've covered it.

Let me just add one bit that might also be helpful with you in terms of deposit flows within the bank. We gave a number for the amount of non-interest bearing that -- decline in non-interest-bearing over the course of the quarter. On the average it was $180 million and change. And -- but money market went up other deposit categories went up CD definitely went up. Yeah, here's just one dynamic for you. We have offered the ICS product for a long time. That's the product we all know about now, that allows customers to break up their deposits and receive virtually unlimited deposit insurance. It's a product we've had for years. And now there's much more awareness of it. And so customers are taking advantage of it. There's a cost to it. There always has been. And so the different environment customers were willing to pay that cost. And things have changed. So we saw -- while we saw non-interest-bearing deposits go down. We saw the ICS balances go up from about $100 million to $200 million over the course of the quarter. So that's a lot of non-interest-bearing money that just becomes now account basically within their interest, but stays at the bank. So we're happy to offer that and our customers really appreciate it.

That's great color. Can I shift with one last question? You have your fund outlook -- your Fed funds outlook that has a little bit of a lower end point for the year. Kind of how is -- how are you positioned for a potential rate decline to some point?

Yeah, we're still asset sensitive. So we are considering, but have not executed on derivative strategies that would either -- swap either assets or liabilities to reduce that asset sensitivity. Some of the natural things we're doing will blunt the asset sensitivity a little bit. For example, when we -- I talked about stockpiling cash at the end of the quarter we borrowed that with overnight money. As we deploy them to securities with some kind of term usually four to five years as we typically have bought in the past that will produce a little bit of liability sensitive -- liability -- it will produce a liability-sensitive layer that will blunt our asset sensitivity a little bit. And then, as we grow businesses especially like Equipment Finance which is -- has very few prepayments and really has an average life closer to the stated life. That gives us a little bit more duration too and that helps a little bit organically to blunt against the lower rates.

And that has been our strategy organically. We've used hedges in the past, but we've been very intentional about being 50% variable and 50% fixed. And we've become aware when we veer off of that and then organically we try to get back there. We just think it's straight pool.

Thank you. Thank you for the comment.

And we will take our next question from Dan Cardenas with Janney Montgomery Scott. Your line is open.

Thanks. Good afternoon, guys. Just -- most of my questions have been asked and answered. Just a couple quick questions on the deposit front. I mean I've noticed a number of larger financial institutions kind of tapped the broker deposit market this quarter. Wondering if there's any brokered CDs in your book at quarter end? And then also maybe some color as to your desire if any to use the bank term funding program?

I think on Page 13 -- we have your answer. I do think we've got some broker deposits from Centric, but I don't think we've had on that.

Yeah. No, Dan, I'm so glad you asked because we have not had any broker deposits, but now we are showing $18.7 million. They are all acquired from Centric. So we really have not had any appetite or desire to use broker deposits wholesale funding in the past. But we inherited those in the acquisition.

Okay.

And what was your other question? Sorry.

Any desire to maybe use the bank term funding program?

We've been evaluating it. We have not tapped into that, but we are evaluating it. It seems like some of the financial terms could be attractive. But we want to make sure that there's been a stigma or signaling effect from tapping it in the market. And so we were eager to see the reaction in the market to others that might have tapped into that and how that appears because there may be some financial advantages to using some of that facility. But to date we have not.

Okay. Great. Perfect. That’s all I have. Thanks guys.

Thanks, Dan.

You bet.

And there are no further questions at this time. So I will now turn the call back to Mr. Mike Price for any additional or closing remarks.

Well, thank you again. We appreciate the partnership. We appreciate the opportunity to be with a number of you -- several of you every quarter and we always learn from your perspective and thank you for your great questions today. Take care.

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. We thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.