Earnings Labs

FTI Consulting, Inc. (FCN)

Q4 2021 Earnings Call· Sat, Feb 26, 2022

$183.14

-1.01%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to the FTI Consulting Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2021 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mollie Hawkes, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Mollie Hawkes

Analyst

Thank you. Good afternoon. Welcome to the FTI Consulting conference call to discuss the company’s fourth quarter and full year 2021 earnings results as reported this morning. Management will begin with formal remarks, after which they will take your questions. Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that this conference call may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 that involve risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking statements concerning plans, objectives, goals, strategies, future events, future revenues, future results and performance, expectations, plans or intentions relating to financial performance, acquisitions, share repurchases, business trends, ESG-related matters and other information or other matters that are not historical, including statements regarding estimates of our future financial results and other matters. For a discussion of risks and other factors that may cause actual results or events to differ from those contemplated by forward-looking statements, investors should review the safe harbor statement in the earnings press release issued this morning. A copy of which is available on our Investor Relations website at www.fticonsulting.com, as well as other disclosures under the heading of Risk Factors and Forward-Looking Information in our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021, and in our other filings with the SEC. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this earnings call and will not be updated. During the call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures such as total segment operating income, adjusted EBITDA, total adjusted segment EBITDA, adjusted earnings per diluted share, adjusted net income, adjusted EBITDA margin and free cash flow. For a discussion of these and other non-GAAP financial measures as well as our reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures, investors should review the press release and the accompanying financial tables that we issued this morning, which include the reconciliations. Lastly, there are 2 items that have been posted to the Investor Relations section of our website for your reference. These include a quarterly earnings presentation and an Excel and PDF of our historical financial and operating data, which has been updated to include our fourth quarter and full year 2021 results. Of note, during today’s prepared remarks, management will not speak directly to the quarterly earnings presentation posted to the Investor Relations section of our website. To ensure our disclosures are consistent, these slides provide the same details as they have historically, and as I have said, are available on the Investor Relations section of our website. With these formalities out of the way, I’m joined by Steven Gunby, our President and Chief Executive Officer; and Ajay Sabherwal, our Chief Financial Officer. At this time, I will turn the call over to President and Chief Executive Officer, Steven Gunby.

Steven Gunby

Analyst

Thanks, Mollie. Mollie, can you hear me okay? All good. Well, good afternoon to everyone, and thank you all for joining us. Let me start with a couple of preliminary remarks before we get into it. First of all, thank you all for juggling your time. I know that we had at the last minute switched this time of this, and everybody on this call has busy calendars. So I apologize for the inconvenience and want to express our appreciation for you all, juggling your calendars to be here. Second, my second point was going to be, I thought a positive point. I was going to, maybe for the first time ever, begin to talk a little positively on the COVID situation. And I was going to express my hope that we are finally, in many places around the world and I hope where you are, starting to see some movement towards the normality. I still hope that, but I think the events in the Ukraine in the last little while, remind us that hope to normality, unfortunately, is not just limited to COVID. So I wish many good wishes to you and any colleagues, family, friends who are affected by that situation. Let me turn to what I think is a much more positive set of messages. And today, I’d like to share 3 messages about our company before I turn the call over to Ajay to take you through our financials. The first one, if you don’t mind, I’d like to spend a couple of minutes upfront, thanking and complementing our team for what I believe has been spectacular, spectacular performance over the last year, and in fact, over the last while, a longer period of time as well. As I’m sure many of you have by now…

Ajay Sabherwal

Analyst

Thank you, Steve. Good afternoon, everybody. In my prepared remarks, I will take you through our company-wide and segment results and guidance for 2022. I will begin with some highlights from our full year 2021 performance. Revenues of $2.78 billion increased $314.9 million from $2.46 billion in 2020. GAAP EPS of $6.65 increased $0.98 from $5.67 in 2020. Adjusted EPS of $6.76 increased $0.77 from $5.99 in 2020 and adjusted EBITDA of $354 million was up $21.7 million from $332.3 million in 2020. Our record performance this year is primarily because of 12.8% revenue growth, once again demonstrating how beneficial it is to have the breadth of our service offerings. In 2021, demand continued to decline for restructuring, often our highest margin service offering as access to capital remained abundant and many pandemic-related moratoriums and insolvency proceedings were extended. Conversely, the continued high level of liquidity in the market spurred record levels of M&A activity, which drove strong demand for our Economic Consulting and Technology segments as well as our transactions practice within our Corporate Finance & Restructuring segment. Our Forensic and Litigation Consulting, or FLC segment, which was heavily impacted by pandemic-related travel restrictions and core closures in 2020, saw activity levels rebound across almost all practice areas in 2021. So FLC has not yet reached pre-COVID-19 levels of business activity across the entire segment. Lastly, our Strategic Communications segment recovered well from COVID-related impacts in 2020 and delivered a record year. We also continue to invest in people. Our total headcount increased 7.3% year-over-year on top of the 13.5% increase in total headcount in 2020. Revenue growth more than offset the increase in direct costs, primarily from headcount growth and higher variable compensation and an increase in SG&A expenses. Now I will turn to fourth quarter results. For…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question will come from Andrew Nicholas with William Blair.

Andrew Nicholas

Analyst

First question I had was just on FLC. Obviously, a little bit of a challenging quarter on the utilization front for that business. I think, Ajay, you mentioned expecting a rebound in 2022. So I was hoping you could spend a little bit more time about what’s been driving the weakness over the past quarter or 2, whether or not the fourth quarter number was at all surprising to you? And then maybe thoughts on how the segment is setting up for next year. Not sure whether court system throughput is a component to what you’ve seen in 2021? Or if it’s back to pre-COVID levels or not, but maybe you can touch on that as well.

Ajay Sabherwal

Analyst

Sure. Thanks, Andrew. I’ll take that. So no question about it. The utilization in aggregate, in FLC is lower than we would like to see it. There’s no question about that. And we expect better utilization, improved performance as we go out. But that masks a bunch of stuff. It masks the fact that we are making -- continuing to make massive investments. And in places like Europe, for example, you can’t -- we can’t reasonably expect that investment to turn around and generate profits on day 1. So there is -- so it’s a combination. We do expect better utilization, but there is also the factor that one must note of making those significant investments in a whole bunch of new geographies. So that’s one aspect there. The second point I’ll make is that we don’t have -- we do have large jobs, but we don’t have the same volume of large jobs that we had in sort of the first, second quarter of last year. So since then, that volume of large jobs has diminished. We don’t have evidence that others are getting those large jobs either. So perhaps it’s a lag and when the regulatory scrutiny, which drives our business, will manifest itself in sort of work for us. So that could be a factor there, too. And I don’t want to minimize COVID, though I don’t want to make an excuse for COVID, in certain geographies like Asia, there is a COVID effect. In certain segments like health, in our certain sub-practices like health solutions hospitals have deferred operational work. So it’s a combination of factors. Bottom line is we expect to do better. We have the talent, the capabilities, the investment in various geographies that we ought to do better.

Steven Gunby

Analyst

Ajay, maybe I can add a minute to that, if I could. Let me maybe go out a little further out in time frame. And Andrew, let me talk to some longer time frames, which I think you’re also familiar with. We’ve had a great business in FLC for a long period of time. But I think what is easy to forget is at one point, this business for a long time, this business is equally a sizable contribution to the growth and profitability of this company as CorpFin. And we’ve obviously gotten CorpFin on this incredible growth trajectory. If you look hard, over a 10-year period, actually, FLC was flat in terms of EBITDA. I think if you look at ‘15, ‘16, ‘17, we weren’t much higher in EBITDA in ‘15, ‘16 and ‘17, which actually masks the fact that some underlying businesses where we invested were growing vibrantly, like our construction solutions business and our data analytics business. But that in turn means we had other businesses that are stagnating, which was not acceptable. So what we are doing, and we’re in the process of doing is investing to put this back -- a concerted effort to put this thing back on a long-term major growth trajectory. And if you think about it, we had quite a bit of success with some of the first investments in ‘18, ‘19. We got a little bit thrown off in ‘20 and ‘21. But we really have -- we’ll continue -- we’ve got a multiyear path in this way. And right now, we’ve been really successful in getting a bunch of very senior people in new geographies and in adjacent spaces. And so what we’re committing to this year is to invest behind those people and to realize the long-term future. I think Ajay is right. We hope that, that will come along with higher utilization this year. You can’t absolutely be sure. But we’re not planning to run this business at low utilization forever. This is part of a multiyear trajectory to get this business, which has some great people in it back to the position it should be in the company. Does that help, Andrew?

Andrew Nicholas

Analyst

Yes. No, that’s very helpful. I guess for my follow-up, it’s a -- it’s probably going to be another multipart question, but I want to ask about kind of wage pressures broadly and the ability to pass on kind of rate increases via higher billing rates. I think I asked a similar question last quarter as well. But kind of doing some back of the envelope math on your top line growth expectations and EPS guidance, it seems to me, given the higher tax rate that there are -- there is some margin pressure year-over-year. Correct me if I’m wrong, but with that kind of in mind, how much of that is wage pressures? How much of that is T&E or pass-through costs? Just trying to understand what I think is all things considered a pretty constructive margin guidance. Just trying to understand where wages and hiring talent and the expensive nature of the current environment fits into the overall puzzle.

Steven Gunby

Analyst

Well, yes, let me give you a quick answer, and then Ajay can maybe give a little more detail. Look, I think you’ve hit the right issues. And the truth is you don’t know how much you’re going to be able to capture back in price. My experience is in inflationary environments, where you have talent costing you more and real estate costs and T&E going up, that happens to everybody and it eventually gets reflecting in bill rates. But you never know whether you’re going to get at that first year or not. You can set your list bill rate up, but it’s always also around realization. And so anybody who tells you they exactly know how much they’re going to recapture this year is -- well I guess, is smarter than Ajay and me, I guess, is the point. But I think you’ve hit the right sort of factors. All of those things are going on. And we’ve tried to estimate how that shakes out in the P&L. Ajay, I don’t know if we can give more details on that, I’ll leave that to you.

Ajay Sabherwal

Analyst

No, we don’t, Steve. Mercifully, we don’t. That’s why we gave guidance in the range, Andrew. I mean -- listen, I mean, it’s when we are -- we give revenue and EPS guidance, right? And we’ve given you the tax rate, which is slightly higher. So you can ease in the midpoint of that earnings guidance, and you can take a midpoint on the revenue guidance. Essentially, we’re saying revenue growth resulting in flat EPS. That’s what we would surmise from those midpoints, and that must mean margin contraction somewhere along the way when you have that statistic. So -- and then you have a range around it. And that margin contraction is for the 2 -- among the 3 main reasons, which is headcount growth not sufficiently offset with productivity growth in the same period, wages not sufficiently offset the price increase on our realization there from, and increases in SG&A, especially T&E. It’s those 3 factors. And where you end up with those 3 factors of that spectrum? One more point I will make, we are a very, very, very successful company. Look at those cash balances, look at the earnings growth over a period of time. And one of the reasons we don’t give margin guidance in precision or we don’t give exactly what headcount we aim to hire is because we intend to be opportunistic. If the right -- the most difficult part is hiring in growth, is the hiring the right people in the right geographies. And if we find those opportunities to do so, which is not obvious, then even if it is margin impacting, we ought to do so, given the capacity that we have for further growth. So we don’t want to be handcuffed with every piece spot in our P&L.

Steven Gunby

Analyst

Thank you, Andrew, and thank you for your flexibility on the schedule today. Again, I apologize for asking for it, but I appreciate it.

Operator

Operator

Our next question will come from Tobey Sommer with Truist Securities.

Tobey Sommer

Analyst

I wanted to ask about what are the lines of business that you are seeding and investing in today, that you would consider early stage and analogous to the ones that we know about now and talk about now as growth drivers that were in that position in your first few years at the firm?

Steven Gunby

Analyst

Well that’s a good question. And I’m trying to think about whether I’m actually going to answer it, though, because we don’t like to tip off our competitive view of where we see the opportunities.

Tobey Sommer

Analyst

Right. I understand you might not give us that in year 1, but if there’s something in year 2 or 3, you might?

Steven Gunby

Analyst

Let me take it in a different direction. Rather than business areas, let me do this in terms of geography. We had a business in Germany. We had a business in France. We didn’t have a business in the Netherlands. We had a business in the Middle East. We had a business in Latin America. We had a business in Australia. We didn’t have many businesses that we could bet behind for a long time. We had a very good German Stratcom business, but nothing else in Germany. We had mix -- we were going sideways for a long time in France. We weren’t in the Netherlands, Australia, you heard us talk about for a long time as a turnaround. Latin America, we had to do a cleanup. In Middle East, we were kind of mixed talent for a long time. What we have done over the last while is put in place teams in every part of that market and positions that are worth betting on, in a way that is just radically different but they’re small. They’re small. They fit your definition of early-stage bets. I love the team we have in tech in Germany or in FLC in Germany or construction in Germany. The CorpFin business, we now have in Germany is a terrific platform for growth. The new hires we just had in France are great. The Middle East is the strongest it’s ever been. The Australia business has now turned around and we have real growth aspirations. All of those countries are actually meet your criteria for kind of early stage. We’re not new into Germany, but compared to where we could be in Germany, we are and we’re just at the early stages. And I think every one of the countries I just mentioned and then the sub practices within those countries, meet your definition. And it’s not just in those countries. And in the U.K., we’re investing behind some of our non-bankruptcy services in a way we never did in the past. We’re investing in financial institutions practice, which we always had. So I think there’s a lot of bets, but maybe that gives you a little bit of granularity. Does that help?

Tobey Sommer

Analyst

It did. And I don’t know whether you’ll -- I don’t expect specific numbers, but I’d love to get a flavor for the inputs into your revenue growth guidance. And in the broadest strokes, I see headcount utilization and realized bill rate as sort of the broadest categories that could contribute to that? So if I didn’t ask for specific numbers, any way you could rank order those or give us some color about how you get to your revenue growth?

Steven Gunby

Analyst

Let me talk about conceptually and then ask Ajay, whether he wants to comment on the arithmetic. Look, I think the real issue is when I talk about all these investments, the first place we start is either by betting behind a new senior team that we’ve promoted that is coming into their own, either MDs or SMDs that are coming to their own or we’ve hired and are excited about. And so the real question at the end of the day is how fast can they penetrate the market that we believe. Those are bets that we believe those people can penetrate the markets. But you never know how fast it can be. And sometimes there are constraints, if they’re hired laterally, we on and on competes, if they’re promoted, there may be incredible talent but not have the footprint that some of the laterals have. So there’s a bet on how fast that goes. And then there’s a tendency to say, "Well, why don’t we not hire junior people below those people until they start selling." And that never has worked in the history of professional services firm. You’re not -- when you go in for a huge investigation, people say, you’re fabulous, how big is your team below. I have 4 people. That never sold the huge investigations in the history of the world. And so once you’ve made the decision to bet on the senior people as you bet on the junior people. And then you make a forecast of how fast it’s going to be, and Ajay likes to call it a forecast, I sometimes call it a guess on how fast it is to realize. My experience is it’s not -- we have not made that many mistakes. Most of the bets we’ve made have worked. We’re -- I mean, it’s an exceptional track record on that dimension. In terms of predicting how fast it was, it’s sort of a little bit more mix. But Ajay, you want to be more precise than that or leave it there?

Ajay Sabherwal

Analyst

No, I’d be honest, I won’t be more be exactly precise, but I put it in context of some numbers and some opportunity. So the 2 areas where we give utilization numbers in CorpFin, FLC and Econ, right? And our utilization numbers in CorpFin and FLC are low and are lower than we had in the prior years. So what I’m trying to paint a picture on, Tobey, is that we have a lot of avenues or paths to significant revenue growth. Simply improving that utilization statistic would get us very significantly higher revenue growth as well as profitability. Now we also have clearly said today that we’d like to hire lots and lots of people globally, right? Again, it’s just our desire to hire people doesn’t necessarily mean people will come to us. I mean, that’s always we have to go out there and get them similarly with the business. But we have many avenues for growth there. So the first, the utilization piece would impact your bill rate, It’ll take that bill rate higher. And the headcount piece if it’s not followed immediately with revenue growth, would take your bill rate lower, but would get you the headcount growth. And this is the reason we have the range of revenues in there and range of estimations around that midpoint. In terms of the geography, then I don’t know whether you noticed in the supplemental disclosure that in the last 6 years, Tobey, our revenue outside the U.S. has grown from 28%, I think, to 38%. U.K. has doubled in revenue. The rest of countries other than the U.K., other than the U.S. have more than doubled and the U.S. has grown by 1/3. So I mean, there is -- as Steve mentioned, there are now platforms for growth. If you have one partner in one country, that may not necessarily be an adequate platform. But when you have 50 or 100, it certainly is. And we have platforms from growth in various places. We never had information governance. We never had privacy and cybersecurity. We never had an ESG offering, tremendous avenues for growth.

Tobey Sommer

Analyst

Last question for me, if I could ask one more. Do you -- could you give us a sense for the mix of lateral senior hires versus when you’re going to be able to be generating a substantial mix of internally promoted MDs and SMDs? Because I think that’s where you start to get into a sort of a different orbit, where you’re nurturing this talent internally and fueling your growth that way.

Steven Gunby

Analyst

Yes. I don’t know if we have the numbers here. But at the same time, I think you know we’ve been doing record numbers of lateral hire SMDs. I think maybe over 3 years -- I don’t know, maybe 150 over 3 years or something like that. But I don’t think the homegrown promotes are that far behind. We’ve also had record numbers of homegrown promotes. I mean it’s not like some firms that never have hired laterally, where 80% of the people are homegrown, but we are making real progress on the homegrown. And luckily, at this point in time, it’s -- our story is one that allows us to supplement it. I don’t think we could today meet our growth aspirations with only homegrown, but we’re getting stronger and there’s a commitment to it that there never was. So we can get you the exact numbers. I think, Mollie, we can get to the exact numbers of homegrown promotes, too. But it’s a pretty impressive number, too. It’s not just the laterals. Well, thank you, and thanks to you also for juggling your calendar.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question will come from Marc Riddick with Sidoti & Company.

Marc Riddick

Analyst

I was wondering if we could sort of head in a slightly different direction. Maybe you could talk a little bit about what you’ve seen. There were a couple of acquisitions last year, which were certainly additive. I was wondering if you could spend a little bit of time on those and maybe talk a bit about the what the pipeline looks like? And based on commentary, it seems as though the pipeline might be a little more attractive or complementary on the international side, but maybe you could spend a little bit of time on that?

Steven Gunby

Analyst

Well, the acquisitions we’ve done over the last several years, I’m very excited about. They are -- we look at -- poor Jeff Amling, but not only Jeff Amling, looks at a whole lot of acquisitions. We don’t do very many. And that is not our primary growth vehicle. Our growth -- we now have a management team that believes -- understands and believes that our day in, day out responsibility is organic growth, and that’s what we do. We will supplement that with great acquisitions when we find them, but they have to be great acquisitions. And that has 2 constraints, both of which are pretty substantial constraints. One is a financial constraint. And right now, with the looseness of private equity, with the looseness of bank money, and the aggressiveness of private equity, a huge number of deals are going at prices that are not -- have no historical precedent. And we’ve not gotten into a bidding auction. I don’t think we’ve ever gotten on a bidding auction while I’ve been here and not certainly any of the deals we’ve done. So there’s a price constraint. But more important than that, there’s a fit constraint. I think some of our history was doing acquisitions, which look good at the first time, and we never integrated them. They didn’t click with the culture of the company. And then after 5 years, even if there was good financials, people went poof. And if you actually look at it, when you look at it over 5 years, there’s never been an acquisition, I don’t think, in the history of professional services that if everybody disappears after 5 years, the cash on cash is a good return. And so we really screen aggressively for people who we think will grow on our platform better than they are on their current platform, who will be excited to be here. And so we’re really pleased when we find those, but those are hard to find. I think both the deal we did in the Netherlands and the construction deal we did this past year, we’re really excited about both of those as we were on the German acquisition and the Delta acquisition before and the CDG acquisition before it, but those are hard to find. When we -- if we could find 30 of them, I’d do them. We don’t have a constraint on cash or saying we only can do 3, but it’s hard to find them. The more we find, the more we’ll do. But our day job, day in, day out is not the acquisitions. It’s to build out organically. Does that make sense, Marc? Did I answer your questions?

Marc Riddick

Analyst

You did actually. That’s perfectly fair. One thing I was sort of curious about, I think you made a little -- you touched on this a little bit, but I was sort of curious about maybe what you’re seeing as to pickup first on your end of things as far as pickup of sort of visiting clients, are you beginning to see folks kind of get out there and travel a little bit more, not just from an expense side, but just from an engagement perspective?

Steven Gunby

Analyst

Absolutely. Look, I think I’ve personally done this. I spent 3 weeks in Europe in January. I spent -- went over there in September last year. I -- when there were lows in the summer, I started traveling around the U.S. and we might see these people, not -- clients are people, too, and people, humans are starved for contact. And Zoom is good and Teams is good. But I mean there’s something about the quality of a face-to-face engagement that really matters. And I think there’s an unlocking of that now. It’s happening interestingly enough, in my observation, quite differentially around the world. I mean there’s just parts of the world that have essentially emotionally declared COVID is over. I think the U.K. felt more like that than New York. So I mean, it just -- I think it has to do with the history of COVID and how cautious that has made people feel. But you can feel that desire to put it behind us and go back, not to the same as before. I mean there was a huge amount of travel that will never happen because Zoom is actually very effective. And there’s a huge amount of work remotely that will happen. But to supplement that with the essence of person-to-person connection. And I feel that internally, but I also -- as I visited clients, we’re not alone. To the clients, as I say to people, clients are humans, too. Does that resonate with you? I assume it’s true on your firm too, Marc?

Marc Riddick

Analyst

It certainly is. I was sort of thinking about the -- what we’ve seen on the leisure side of things from folks who are in the travel business, I was getting -- I just wanted to get a sort of a sense of if we’re beginning to see a little bit of an impact from that on your end. I guess the last thing for me is that -- so it really -- it seems as though that part is part of your guide that you’re expecting more travel and more face-to-face going forward within the firm, and that sounds like it’s part of the investment that you’re doing. The last part I would sort of add to is from the hiring time frame perspective, things like that, should -- is it fair to -- I mean, we’re a couple of months into the year now, is it fair to assume that, that process has already begun?

Steven Gunby

Analyst

Yes. Sure. Look, I think a lot of the senior most hiring has already happened. I mean the bets we’re making a lot of -- I mean, look, I think actually we’ve had incredible run on senior hiring even this year. But a lot of the bets that we are thinking about here had to do with a great set of senior hires we were doing during the course of last year, the last year or 2, which were in place. And so that we’re now hiring less tenured people below them in various geographies around the world. And so there’s a lot underway. Second issue, of course, is we always have pre-committed for the entry level hires, right? Because the entry-level hires come from schools, the timing of that means you make those decisions quite a bit ahead of time. So yes, a lot of hires -- not all the hires are pre-committed, but a lot of hires are not just intellectually in our minds, but we’re either -- we have in place or are right now interviewing people for. Does that answer your question, Marc?

Marc Riddick

Analyst

Yes. That sounds very encouraging.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session, which also concludes our conference for today. Thank you for taking...

Steven Gunby

Analyst

Thank you all for attending.

Operator

Operator

You may now disconnect your lines at this time.