Earnings Labs

FirstEnergy Corp. (FE)

Q4 2006 Earnings Call· Tue, Feb 20, 2007

$48.72

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon. My name is Sharona and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the FirstEnergy Corp. fourth quarter 2006 earnings conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. (Operator Instructions) It is now my pleasure to turn the floor over to your host, Mr. Kurt Turosky, Director of Investor Relations. Sir, you may begin your conference.

Kurt E. Turosky

Management

Thank you, Sharona. During this conference call, we will make various forward-looking statements within the meaning of Safe Harbor provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Investors are cautioned that such forward-looking statements with respect to revenues, earnings, performance, strategies, prospects and other aspects of the business of FirstEnergy Corp. are based on current expectations that are subject to risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking statements. Please read the Safe Harbor statement contained in the consolidated report to the financial community which was release earlier today and is also available on our website under the earnings release link. Reconciliations to GAAP for the various non-GAAP financial measures we will be referring to today are also contained in that report as well as on the investor information section of our website at www.firstenergycorp.com/ir. Participating in today’s call are Tony Alexander, President and Chief Executive Officer; Rich Marsh, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; Harvey Wagner, Vice President and Controller; Jim Pearson, Vice President and Treasurer; and Ron Seeholzer, Vice President of Investor Relations. I will now turn the call over to Tony Alexander.Anthony J. Alexander: Thanks, Kurt, and good afternoon, everyone. I will begin the call today by highlighting our achievements in 2006 and then Rich will discuss our fourth quarter financial results and touch on a few regulatory matters. Let me start by saying that 2006 was a milestone year for FirstEnergy as we achieved our strongest financial and operational performance since the formation of the company nearly a decade ago. This was evidenced in our 2006 normalized non-GAAP earnings of $3.88 per share, which exceeded the top-end of our October 25th guidance of $3.75 to $3.85 per…

Richard H. Marsh

Management

Thank you, Tony and good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for being with us today. As I begin my review, it might be helpful for you to refer to our consolidated report to the financial community that we issued earlier this morning. Let’s get started with a review of fourth quarter results. Earnings on a GAAP basis in the fourth quarter were $0.85 per share, compared to $0.58 per share during the same period in 2005. Normalized non-GAAP earnings were $0.84 per share, excluding the net effect of unusual items that increased earnings by $0.01 per share. The unusual items involved a net gain of $11 million related to the sale of non-core assets partially offset by an impairment of securities held in our nuclear decommissioning trusts. Our normalized non-GAAP earnings of $0.84 in the fourth quarter compared favorably to normalized non-GAAP earnings of $0.77 per share in the same period in 2005. This improvement was primarily driven by our Ohio rate plans, which increased earnings by $0.23 per share compared to the fourth quarter of 2005, and the deferral of PJM transmission expenses, which increased earnings by $0.09 per share. Other positive drivers included the $0.07 per share benefit from reduced net transmission costs and a $0.01 per share benefit from lower post-retirement healthcare costs. In addition, the reduction in shares outstanding following the accelerated share repurchase of $10.6 million shares in August enhanced earnings by $0.02 per share. Partially offsetting these factors were: a $0.05 per share decrease in distribution delivery revenues, reflecting heating degree days that were 15% below the level of the prior year; a $0.03 per share decline in generation revenues, driven primarily by lower wholesale market prices; a $0.05 per share increase in fuel expenses from higher fossil generation output and increased coal prices; a $0.07…

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Our first question is coming from Paul Ridzon from Key Bank.

Paul Ridzon - Key Bank Capital Markets

Analyst · Key Bank

Rich, I was wondering if you have made any progress in deciding how you might want to take these additional 16 million shares in and the timing of that decision.

Richard H. Marsh

Management

I think we have made some progress, Paul. We have to push the 10K out before we go forward with the share repurchase, but that will be done towards the end of next week, I believe. I am still thinking that the share repurchase is going to be a first quarter event and we would expect that the bulk of it would be through an ASR structure, similar to what we did before.

Paul Ridzon - Key Bank Capital Markets

Analyst · Key Bank

Do we need to have some sense of finality around the leasebacks before we see that?

Richard H. Marsh

Management

No, we don’t.

Paul Ridzon - Key Bank Capital Markets

Analyst · Key Bank

Then, just the strategic rational behind putting solutions in a standalone SEC reporting entity.

Richard H. Marsh

Management

I think in part it is to give more clarity to the investment community. It will also enable them to down the road issue debt, which is an important part of our financing plan longer term. Obviously as we move towards a competitive generation market, FirstEnergy Solutions is going to be a very large driver of our earnings, so we want to make sure that we get prepared for that.

Paul Ridzon - Key Bank Capital Markets

Analyst · Key Bank

Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Our next question will be coming from Paul Patterson from Glenrock Associates.

Paul Patterson - Glenrock Associates

Analyst · Glenrock Associates

I just wanted to follow up on Paul Ridzon’s question with respect to the previous accelerated repurchase program, is J.P. Morgan finished with their buy-back?

Richard H. Marsh

Management

They are not finished but I believe we said they will be finished by the end of next month.

Paul Patterson - Glenrock Associates

Analyst · Glenrock Associates

Okay, thanks a lot.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Our next question will be coming from Dan Jenkins from State of Wisconsin.

Dan Jenkins - State of Wisconsin Investment Board

Analyst · State of Wisconsin

Good afternoon. I have a couple of things here. I am looking at your income statement, both for the quarter and the year, other operating expenses is down about $55 million in the quarter and $104 million for the year. If you could give a little color on what was behind that.

Richard H. Marsh

Management

Do you want to do that, Harvey?

Harvey L. Wagner

Analyst · State of Wisconsin

Sure. A lot of that reflects the reduction in transmissions costs in our MISO and PJM markets, and also the reductions that we have been experiencing in our employee benefit costs.

Dan Jenkins - State of Wisconsin Investment Board

Analyst · State of Wisconsin

So lower transmission and then lower employee costs. I was curious on the pollution control, how much still remains at the operating company that is available to transfer over to the --

Richard H. Marsh

Management

A little less than $700 million, Dan, and we will do that opportunistically in 2007 and 2008.

Dan Jenkins - State of Wisconsin Investment Board

Analyst · State of Wisconsin

Then, on this FirstEnergy Solutions, what is in that entity? Is that just the merchant part of the business or are the plants there too?

Richard H. Marsh

Management

It contains all of our competitive business. As you may remember, at the end of 2005, we transferred ownership of our generating assets from our regulated utility companies over to FES, so they are all contained within FES as our competitive retail business.

Dan Jenkins - State of Wisconsin Investment Board

Analyst · State of Wisconsin

Okay, so all the non -- okay. And then, you may have said it but I didn’t get it down; what did you say your target adjusted equity ratio was going to be going forward?

Richard H. Marsh

Management

Going forward obviously we want to make sure we maintain investment grade metrics and debt-to-total-cap is one of the things the rating agencies look at. Obviously they look at other measures as well. What I said is by the end of -- or, I’m sorry, at the end of 2006 we had an adjusted debt-to-total-cap ratio of 58% and that includes the off-balance sheet items that the rating agencies consider to be on credit, so it is a higher number than what you would see in our financial statements. Also, I mentioned that was about 100 basis points higher than it otherwise would have been because of the adoption of FAS-158 during the year.

Dan Jenkins - State of Wisconsin Investment Board

Analyst · State of Wisconsin

Okay, and what is the effect of the Mansfield transaction? Would that make that go up or would it not really have much of an effect? Do you have a sense of that?

Richard H. Marsh

Management

That will bump that up for a period of time and that is why I mentioned, as a result of our capital spending program primarily, I would expect to see that creep up somewhat over the ’07 and ’08 period and then decline again thereafter, but still maintaining well within the investment grade range.

Dan Jenkins - State of Wisconsin Investment Board

Analyst · State of Wisconsin

The last thing I was wondering, it looks like -- for the year in particular, I am looking at -- the industrial sales were down about 1.4% and particularly weak in New Jersey it looked like. They were down 7.9%. Just if you could give us some color on what the industrial sales situation looks like in your service territories.

Richard H. Marsh

Management

I do not know specifically the New Jersey situation. We have a very small industrial load in New Jersey, so any little change could have a big percentage impact on that. Overall I think probably you are seeing, as much as anything, just a reflection of the auto industry during the year. A lot of our manufacturing is related to auto in one way or another -- steel, glass, so I think that is probably as much of what we are seeing as anything.

Dan Jenkins - State of Wisconsin Investment Board

Analyst · State of Wisconsin

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question will be coming from Stephen Huang from Citadel.

Stephen Huang - Citadel Investment Group

Analyst · Citadel

Just a quick question here on the share buy-back. Your authorized last year was for 12 million shares, but you only used 10.6 in the ASR. Does the remaining 1.4 carry over to the new 16?

Richard H. Marsh

Management

No, what we said is the new program supercedes the old program, Stephen, so what that means is the old program is done at approximately 10.5. The new program will be up to 16.

Stephen Huang - Citadel Investment Group

Analyst · Citadel

Okay, and the ASR will be like last year, it will not be for the full amount but it will probably be for --

Richard H. Marsh

Management

Well, it could be even for the full amount. It will definitely be for a large chunk of it, if not all of it.

Stephen Huang - Citadel Investment Group

Analyst · Citadel

Would you guys do it on a shorter time horizon than the last one or would it be similar in terms of how long you stretch out the buy-back?

Richard H. Marsh

Management

Well, it is a pretty big sized program, considerably larger than last year’s, so I would not expect that it would be done in less time, and probably take a little more time, just because of the size of it.

Stephen Huang - Citadel Investment Group

Analyst · Citadel

Any announcements from your discussions with the IRS or other people in regards to the lease treatment on the -- is there going to be a capital operating?

Harvey L. Wagner

Analyst · Citadel

Stephen, we have not had any discussions with the Internal Revenue Service. We would not anticipate that. We are working toward having it be an operating lease. We will not know that until we actually have a final structure in place.

Stephen Huang - Citadel Investment Group

Analyst · Citadel

Is the cost of the lease embedded in your guidance right now, like any lease payments?

Harvey L. Wagner

Analyst · Citadel

Yes.

Richard H. Marsh

Management

Yes, it is, Stephen.

Stephen Huang - Citadel Investment Group

Analyst · Citadel

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) We have a follow-up question coming from Paul Ridzon from Key Bank.

Paul Ridzon - Key Bank Capital Markets

Analyst · Key Bank

Will there be a true-up component from the previous buy-back, depending on what the average share price is?

Richard H. Marsh

Management

Yes, there is a settlement process involved, Paul. That is a cash event. It is not an earnings event, but yes.

Paul Ridzon - Key Bank Capital Markets

Analyst · Key Bank

It will not be an earnings event?

Richard H. Marsh

Management

No.

Paul Ridzon - Key Bank Capital Markets

Analyst · Key Bank

What was the assumed JR price when you did that?

Richard H. Marsh

Management

$56.44 was the share price on the day that we executed the ASR.

Paul Ridzon - Key Bank Capital Markets

Analyst · Key Bank

I guess it is a good problem to have, this true-up?

Richard H. Marsh

Management

It is a great problem to have. We will take those all day.

Paul Ridzon - Key Bank Capital Markets

Analyst · Key Bank

Thank you.

Richard H. Marsh

Management

I think that is it. We appreciate everybody’s time today. If anybody has any follow-up questions, please feel free to contact us. We appreciate you being on the call today and as always, we appreciate your support and interest in FirstEnergy. Thanks very much and have a great day.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today’s FirstEnergy fourth quarter 2006 earnings conference. You may now disconnect.