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Federated Hermes, Inc. (FHI) Q3 2008 Earnings Report, Transcript and Summary

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Federated Hermes, Inc. (FHI)

Q3 2008 Earnings Call· Fri, Oct 24, 2008

$55.61

-4.27%

Federated Hermes, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Key Takeaways

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Federated Hermes, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to the Federated Investors Q3 2008 earnings conference call. At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Mr. Ray Hanley, President of Federated Investors Management Company.

Ray Hanley

President

As usual we’ll have some remarks to open up the call and then we will open up the call for your questions. Leading today’s call will be Chris Donahue, Federated’s CEO, Tom Donahue, Chief Financial Officer, and also we have from the corporate finance group Denis McAuley, [Laurie Hensler and [Stacy Friday (FII) 00:51.8], and we’re also joined today by Debbie Cunningham who is our Chief Investment Officer for the money market area and will also participate in the Q&A. In terms of the forward-looking statements, let me say that certain statements in our presentation including those related to money market assets, investment performance, sales, new products and acquisitions constitute forward-looking statements which involve known and unknown risks and other factors that may cause the actual results to be materially different from any future results implied by such forward-looking statements. For a discussion of the risk factors, please see our filings with the SEC and as a result no assurance can be given as to future results and neither Federated nor any other person assumes responsibility for the accuracy and completeness of such statements in the future. With that I will turn it over to Chris to talk about the third quarter.

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

I’ll begin by reviewing Federated’s recent business performance and then turn the call over to Tom to discuss our financials. Starting with the cash management business. Money market assets grew by $17 billion or 6% from the prior quarter and have increased by $78 billion or 37% since Q3 of 07. Money market funds grew by $19 billion in the third quarter with the bulk of the increase occurring in September including the addition of $12 billion in initial assets from the Putnam transaction on September 24. We estimate that about 2/3 of the $19 billion money market fund asset growth in Q3 was organic and about 1/3 was the net result of the Putnam transaction. Seasonal money market separate account decreases of about $2 billion occurred during the third quarter. Average money market fund assets decreased slightly from Q2 reflecting both the solid average assets in the prior quarter as well as the timing of the Q3 influx. We’ve continued to see money fund growth in October with assets ranging from $260 billion to $280 billion and averaging about $271 billion. Money fund asset growth has been strongest in our wealth management and trust channels. We have also seen solid growth in the broker dealer channel and we believe that our market share grew during the quarter from either side of 7% to a little over 7.5% in the late September/October timeframe. Within money market funds the bulk of the inflows have come in our treasury and other government money market funds. These funds grew in Q3 by $35 billion or about 28% and have continued to grow in October adding another $18 billion or 11% growth. Prime funds decreased by about $10 billion or 13% during Q3 with most of this occurring in mid-September. In October the assets in prime funds have remained in a narrow range of +/- about 1% from the 930 level and we have had several days with positive flows into our prime funds. On the muni money market fund side assets decreased about 16% in Q3 and have increased about 6% so far in October. As you’re aware, market conditions were unprecedented in the third quarter. Our investment managers and traders in the money market area have continued to do an exceptional job in navigating the difficult market conditions successfully for our investors and our shareholders. The credit culture that we have developed over decades and our many long-term client relationships served our business well during distressed periods particularly in September. We maintain frequent contact with our clients. They understand how we manage their cash and we believe that this fosters confidence and a greater degree of stability compared to others in the cash management business. Though we did not and do not have credit issues in our money market funds, the general lack of liquidity in the credit markets was a challenge in the third quarter. Conditions have improved here in October and we expect further improvement as confidence returns to the system. Measures taken by the Treasury, the Fed and the SEC are well designed in our opinion to address liquidity and have already helped considerably. The newly-announced Fed money market investor funding facility combined with previously-announced asset-backed commercial paper program and the Treasury money market insurance program are designed to improve market liquidity and promote investor confidence in money market fund investments during a period of unprecedented market stress. Federated supports these efforts and we believe that they will help market conditions for money market funds by helping restore stability and confidence in the short-term credit markets and in the overall financial system. As you know, like banks and insurance companies and other financial entities money market funds depend on trust and confidence in the financial system in order to be able to function properly. These programs are designed to be temporary measures for extraordinary market conditions and we anticipate that they will not be necessary when market conditions improve sufficiently. They’re part of the broader effort to return the short-term credit markets to more normal conditions as part of the overall repair of the capital markets. As indicated by the concerted efforts of the Fed, the Treasury and the SEC, money market funds are a vital part of our capital markets and will continue to be critical to the operation and the success of our capital markets. We believe that the core structure of the money market mutual fund has been and will remain essential to their use by investors. Core features including of course dollar-in dollar-out, maintenance of $1 NAV as a primary goal, diligent independent credit work to avoid securities that do not meet the standard of minimal credit risk, and other key components of 2A7 related to quality and duration are essential to the success of these products. Our clients take comfort in investing with a firm with substantial resources, skill, strength and a long-term track record of successful money market management. We have developed proprietary credit rating capabilities and we have played a critical role in the development of this $3.5 trillion industry including the development of its regulatory and operating framework. Our funds have operated successfully through varying market conditions for more than three decades including this most recent period of unprecedented stress. This is not a guarantee of future success. Investors understand that money market funds are investment products. These investment products enable fund shareholders to access the benefits of a large high-quality money market fund including daily liquidity of PAR, diversification, credit analysis, competitive yields and convenience. This is the core value proposition of the money market mutual fund and we believe it will transcend the difficult market conditions that we’ve experienced. We also believe that Federated will benefit from consolidation as institutions and other investors re-evaluate their cash management providers with a view towards concentrating their business with the highest quality and best positioned managers. The transaction with Putnam demonstrates the advantage of Federated’s large well diversified cash management platform. We have seen heightened interest from firms considering exiting the money market business as they realize that they do not have the scale, the resources and the client base necessary to successfully manage money funds especially when market conditions are difficult. We can’t predict the timing, the size or the impact of these various arrangements but we do expect to see additional growth opportunities through consolidation. Now let’s turn to equities. Our assets here decreased about 15% or $6 billion during the third quarter and are down another $7 billion so far in October. This is due largely to market depreciation. For 2008 year-to-date through October 22 our equity assets are down approximately $18 billion or 43%. Net equity fund redemptions are higher in the third quarter against the difficult market background. About 1/3 of the equity fund net redemptions came from passive index funds. Kaufman Products collectively moved from inflows in Q2 to outflows in Q3. We had modest inflows into balanced and core equity products and the MDT mutual funds had positive net sales. Net outflows in our equity funds are running on a higher pace for the first three weeks of October compared to Q3 so we caution as always about drawing conclusions from limited time data. Turning to equity separate accounts. Outflows in this area were driven by SMA products. MDT institutional accounts had modest net inflows and we continue to have success with MDT for new institutional accounts. Q3 saw four more wins that are expected to fund for over $400 million. Overall equity separate accounts including SMAs and institutional accounts had $426 million in net outflows in Q3. On the fixed income side Federated continued to navigate difficult credit market conditions very successfully. Bond fund net fund sales were solid at $528 million led by strong inflows into our total return bond fund and into our ultra-short bond funds. Separate account outflows were due largely to the planned sale of assets from the $1 billion distressed asset account we added last quarter which declined about $200 million. Fixed income fund flows are slightly negative here early in Q4 due to outflows in ultra-short bond products while the remaining bond products collectively remain net positive for sales. As of October 22 our managed assets were approximately $355 billion including $307 billion in the money markets, $24 billion in equities, and $24 billion in fixed income. Money market mutual fund assets stand at about $280 billion. Now looking at investment performance and using the quarter-end Lipper rankings for Federated’s equity funds, our comparative performance results are solid with 76% of rated assets in the first or second quartile over last year, 74% in the first or second quartile over three years, 81% over five years. For bond fund assets the comparable first and second quartile percentages are 71% for the one year, 81% for the three years and 84% for the five years. Let’s talk specifically about distribution. In the wealth management and trust market, combined sales of equity and bond funds were positive. We continued to have success with the total return bond fund in this channel and money market products continue to increase. In the broker dealer channel money market assets increased $6 billion with the disruptions in the markets most likely leading to higher cash balances in these accounts. In the global institutional channel we have had success with MDT strategies for institutional accounts as mentioned previously. We continued to have success adding mandates from state governments with two wins for about $500 million in Q3 that we expect to see during the fourth quarter. On the acquisition front we continue to progress towards the planned closings on the previously-announced Prudent Bear and Clover Capital acquisitions. We expect both to close in December. We are also on track to add about $1 billion in municipal assets from Fifth Third Bank during this quarter and we continue to look for potential alliance and acquisition opportunities. At this point I’ll turn it over to Tom to discuss our financials.

Thomas R. Donahue

Management

For Q3 revenues increased 7% compared to Q307 and were about 1% lower than the prior quarter. The growth from Q307 was due mainly to higher money market assets partially reduced by lower equity assets largely from market decline. The decrease from the prior quarter was primarily due to the decrease in average equity assets and to a lesser extent a decrease in average money market assets partially offset by one additional day in the third quarter. The further drop in equity assets in October will meaningfully pressure revenues and earnings. While we continue in October to have significant inflows in our money market fund products, growth of about $20 billion does not offset the loss in value of over $7 billion in equity assets. During Q3 Federated incurred about $100,000 in incremental fee waivers in order to maintain positive yields on certain government money market funds that were impacted by the extraordinary demand for treasuries in the market and a subsequent decline in yields. The assets of those affected funds total about $13 billion. We have incurred bout $300,000 in these waivers so far in October. Depending on market conditions we could see additional waivers in the fourth quarter. This is highly dependent on the yields for short-term treasuries and treasury-backed repo. Market conditions have improved this week with the treasury yields moving back up to the point where over the last three days waivers were not necessary. On the expense side compensation and related was impacted by higher bonus and base pay compared to Q307. Comp expense related to the Q3 special dividend also impacted the variance from both Q307 and the prior quarter. Marketing and distribution expense decreased from the prior quarter due mainly to lower average money market and equity fund assets. Amortization of deferred sales commissions declined from the prior quarter due mainly to lower average equity assets in our B share products. Non-operating expense increased from the prior quarter due mainly to higher mark-to-market investment losses of $900,000 on product seed investments and to $600,000 of recourse debt expense on our new term facility which began on August 19. Our tax rate was lower in the third quarter due to the impact of the state tax law change enacted in the quarter. While the initial effect was a lower Q3 rate, we continue to expect to see a go-forward tax rate of about 38%. On the balance sheet cash and short-term investments were $60 million at the end of Q3 and recourse debt was $160 million. We continue to generate strong free cash flow and expect that we will continue to use cash and our revolver to fund our announced acquisitions, dividends, share repurchases, capital expenditures and debt repayments. We would now like to open up the call for questions.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Our first question comes from Robert Lee - Keefe, Bruyette & Woods. Robert Lee - Keefe, Bruyette & Woods: The first question I have is on the money fund business and I’m sure this is on a lot of people’s minds. You’ve obviously talked about seeing more interest than people getting out of the business but do you think there’ll be any kind of fundamental change in the business? You’ve heard people talk about everything from capital requirements to other things. Do you think this’ll change at all how you may need to manage your own capital, maybe rebuild cash levels or keep a cap on the amount of debt you put on the business? I’m just trying to think of how it may change going forward and how you think about managing your own business and the capital levels?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

There are a couple of ways of looking at that. First of all, I think that the beauty of the money fund has proven itself over several decades and therefore its underlying efficacy if you will is solid. Now will things change in how they’re perceived and how they’re done? I think so and I think that’ll be part of the consolidation. One of the lessons we’ve learned is the rather serious importance of a diversified client base as a factor that we used to talk about but never really saw the beauty of until you see the kinds of disruptions that have occurred in the market so far. It means to us that before we thought you had to be big and well diversified and now we think that is even more so true. On the basic subject of capital and how that will all work, the game in the money fund will remain the same that your job is to provide daily liquidity at PAR and to get the credit right first. Nothing really replaces that in the scheme of things. The money funds are not guaranteed and have not been guaranteed. We have this temporary insurance policy right now to restore confidence which is fine. But that’s why we devote so much time, energy and focus on maintaining the $1 net asset value precisely because they’re not guaranteed. We think that we’re very well positioned to operate these funds. We have a diversified asset mix which has proven very resilient here during the third quarter. We have a very strong balance sheet and very low debt outstanding. So we think we’re in pretty good shape to be able to run these businesses and utilize the capital markets because I think they will be restored as well into the future. Robert Lee - Keefe, Bruyette & Woods: Maybe a follow up on the two transactions you have pending that you expect to close this quarter. Because of the supreme pressure on asset levels which maybe it’s affecting the Prudent Bear fund less than the other one but are the deal terms set? Is there renegotiating potentially going on? I’m assuming at least in the value shop that the assets that they deliver is going to be lower than they were when you struck the deal.

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

Let’s talk about the Prudent Bear first. I just was looking at their numbers this morning and I think the fund’s up year-to-date by over 30% so that fund has grown. We’re pretty excited about that. Our sales people are kind of chomping at the bit to be able to go out and sell it. We are very excited about moving forward with that product and we’ll bring people in here. We’ve got a lot of people moving to Pittsburgh to become part of our team there. They haven’t called us to renegotiate to up the price, no. On the Clover Capital which we again continue to be excited about again I was looking at their performance numbers this morning and they still have long-term excellent track records compared to their peers. We are still very excited about doing that deal which we expect to close in December sometime. In terms of deal terms there it’s set up that there’s some period of time where we take the average assets and that determines the revenue and we’ll pay kind of the going rate. We try to structure these deals so that once we come to agreement, market fluctuations are not going to change whether we do the deal or not. They just will change the price. It will adjust up or down. And it also of course depends on getting their customer consents to agree to the deal.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from [William Cass - Buckingham Research]. [William Cass - Buckingham Research]: I just wanted to follow up on the last set of questions on the money market side. I’m just curious if you could talk maybe longer term about the economics of the business. It just seems to me that there is a premium for scale, the cost of the insurance, maybe a higher cost of credit and regulatory environment. Can you talk about how you see the economics going forward?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

The economics of this business we think are still strong. I think that you may see less enthusiasm for people moving money to lower-priced ala carte vehicles that explode on the scene here and there. I think that you’ll see more attention to daily liquidity of PAR versus what the yield bingo game might result in and this will be a plus for long-term players with lots of resources and focus on this. I think that the consolidation that we see going on is another big positive in that business especially from our point of view because people want to go with a type of organization that has been successful and is devoted to those types of principles. We’re paying at the rate of 4 basis points for the government program and that really hasn’t diminished interest in funds or in the basic idea of what they do which is an investment operation that provides a cash management service. Nothing has changed in terms of people’s fundamental need for the convenience that these funds have offered since we brought them out back in the mid-70s. In fact they need them even more and many of the banks are even less enthusiastic to have that money on their balance sheet. The outlook is still very strong. [William Cass - Buckingham Research]: Just on that before I move to my other topic, I’m curious given that you’ve seen an increase in deposit cap for the banking systems, $250,000 from $100,000, in what seems to be a temporary move by the government action on the money market business, is there a longer term disintermediation issue that you’re worried about?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

Not really. The $250,000 cap we think was designed primarily in order to establish a broad-based confidence in the system and we really haven’t seen too much movement especially in our retail funds where that would be most effective. Of course they have said that the $250,000 cap is temporary just like all these other things. You can make your own judgment about what happens there. But our customer base going through intermediaries is more interested in the long-term nature of developing and maintaining of good strong cash management service, and the movement of a $250,000 cap to $150,000 or $100,000 or leaving it at $250,000 really hasn’t affected us that much and we wouldn’t be concerned about a disintermediation because of it. [William Cass - Buckingham Research]: One more question on the money market. If I look at the way the flows have been going just even on a year-to-date basis, it seems like there’s been a real flight to the safer companies including yourself which I think collective are up about 20% for the year and the industry is up about 8% so there’s been some clear market share gain. But are there any scale issues even for Federated to be considered in some of the funds?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

I’m going to let Debbie talk about that. My answer will await Debbie’s answer.

Debbie Cunningham

Analyst

At this point there are flows of assets that have come into the industry that we have effectively been able to put to work in the market place. There has been consternation in the treasury market on a flight to quality basis and some of the returns that we’ve received have been quite low on those instruments. But at a point in time when people were more concerned about safety and liquidity that is ultimately afforded by the treasury market, that’s something that was a willing trade-off from their perspective. As Chris mentioned, that market has improved at this point. Part of the problems that caused it to be so low in yields and lack of supply if you will over the last maybe six weeks or so is being mitigated by additional issuance that’s coming forth from the government, from the Treasury, as well as from the agencies for the government funds that can utilize those and maybe even in some of the FDIC insured products that will also have government guarantees behind it. I think what we’ve dealt with in the context of additional flows is quite manageable at this point and given the increase in supply in those particular sectors of the market I think its outlook is still pretty positive. On the prime and the municipal side where there has been shrinkage in assets, there the issuers have had some problems making sure they were able to get funded when their traditional suppliers, i.e. prime and tax-free money market funds, have not been as flushed with cash as has historically been the case. They have drawn on their bank lines, they have gotten additional relief in the context of federal programs that are available to them, and that is working itself in a pretty positive way in the market place. I think importantly, those funds are stable to growing again also so they’re helping that part of the capital market improve and sort of resume its normalcy at this time.

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

The answer that I was going to start with was that back in the late 70s the money market funds had the money and the securities didn’t even exist. That became very, very powerful and important aspects of the money market fund business. When there is the demand for the cash by coming into the money fund, we are very well attuned and able to create the paper and create the other side of it if that’s what it comes to. We don’t generally look at it as capacity issues. Then I would just say ditto to Debbie’s comments on a functioning market being important to allow that to occur. [William Cass - Buckingham Research]: My last question is more strategic in nature. Just curious as to the timing of the special dividend and then the inherent leverage put onto the balance sheet albeit small. Can you walk through what your thinking was as it relates to that move against more capital management in general?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

On the dividend, we looked at that and felt that with the tax rates where they were that it was appropriate to return capital to the shareholders. If you’re going to get raw about it, we weren’t particularly thrilled with where the price was and how are we going to reward our shareholders, and we thought it made sense to pay them for the quarter $3 dividend. In terms of putting leverage on the balance sheet, we absolutely looked at that and felt that borrowing approximately $140 million in a term loan and having cash on the balance sheet and having our revolver of $200 million in available allowed us to pay the dividend without changing the dynamics or the rich structure of the firm or the flexibility of the firm. Also we knew at the time that we were going to be having a few more deals. We had already announced Prudent Bear and we thought Clover was going to come down the path as well. That basically was our thought process.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Craig Siegenthaler - Credit Suisse.

Craig Siegenthaler - Credit Suisse

Analyst

The first question really hits on the fee waivers. This is really the second quarter that this has occurred. I think it happened in the first quarter of ’08 and it happened again this quarter while the nominal level’s still quite small. Is there risk in the fourth quarter or next year if this becomes a significant problem? Also is there any offset for this on the expense side? And us being investors trying to track this intra-quarter, can you really reference us to any fixed income indices or metrics that we can track intra-quarter?

Ray Hanley

President

On the first part of your question, we did have some nominal waivers back in March and we talked about that approximate $100,000 in Q3 and around $300,000 for the first part of October. Back in 2003 when the Fed funds rate touched down at 1% my recollection is we had about $1 million per quarter of waivers but you had a more traditional relationship there between the yields on the money market funds and where the Fed funds rate touched down. What we’re seeing now and what we’ve talked about a bit already of course is with the extraordinary demand for treasuries, the waivers that we’ve seen to this point have come in the government funds and have not really borne a relationship to where Fed funds are. In fact we have not waived on the prime funds because those yields have stayed well in excess of the Fed funds rate. The dynamics are a bit different this time than they were back in 2003 and where it goes from here really depends on predicting how the prime part of the market reacts and what happens on the government side. Debbie I’m sure would have some better thoughts on that front. In terms of offset, there really is no operating offset to that. I would point out that the funds that tend to be affected here are funds that are structured for use in the broker and intermediary channel, so the intermediaries participate in the absorption of those waivers. So when we talk about these numbers we’re really only talking about a fraction of the necessary waiver with the rest borne by the intermediary.

Thomas R. Donahue

Management

It’s still kind of short-term treasuries is the metric to track and not really Fed funds.

Debbie Cunningham

Analyst

Short-term treasuries is definitely something that you want to look at because that’s how funds have been affected, those that can only buy Treasury securities or repo backs by Treasury securities. I think going forward it’s probably a good indicator, as well as looking at credit spreads and making sure in that regard that they remain at a level that keeps the prime funds and other products beyond the Treasury products out of that waiver position because they’re higher than the funds rate ultimately anyway.

Craig Siegenthaler - Credit Suisse

Analyst

Your Treasury business has grown much faster than your commercial paper business over the last year. How big is that now?

Ray Hanley

President

The Treasury and government funds are about $180 billion.

Craig Siegenthaler - Credit Suisse

Analyst

Based on I think it was two questions ago you got into the risk or you guys said that’s not really a risk but the potential for capital charges in this business, the potential for needing a bigger capital base to support your money market funds. Some of the competitors say that might be the option, there’s room for consolidation, but just to be clear you really don’t think that’s a risk going year out? You don’t think the business model’s really going to change?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

I do not, and what that relies on is the strengths of our belief in the credit processes that we’ve put in. If you get into all of the accounting noise on those kinds of things, don’t forget that if you want to make preemptive attacks on what you’re talking about, you’ve got to have probably and estimable I’m told in order to have that stick. We are thankfully in a position where we find that neither probably nor estimable.

Craig Siegenthaler - Credit Suisse

Analyst

On the Prudent Bear and Clover Capital acquisitions which close this quarter, when you think about taking cash off the balance sheet and funding those, what sort of deal accretion are you thinking about in the fourth quarter and ’09? Also what shift to [AUM] is that going to be?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

The Prudent Bear will be around $2 billion hopefully by the time we close and the assets of the Clover I think at the end of September was around $2.6 billion. Now that’s not adjusted for the last 25 days. In terms of accretion I think we’ve talked about those things. Ray’s going to go through that.

Ray Hanley

President

We’ve talked about each of them as about $0.01 in the first year of accretion to book earnings. Probably collectively between the two of them more like $0.06 to $0.08 in terms of the cash earnings.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Prashant Bhatia - Citigroup.

Prashant Bhatia - Citigroup

Analyst

In terms of the cash at the corporate level, what’s the minimum you think you want to have there relative to the $60 million you have now?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

We look at it in terms of the revolver and the cash. We have basically availability today of $200 million in the revolver and we’ve said we wanted a minimum of $100 million in availability. That’s how we’ve looked at it for a long time.

Prashant Bhatia - Citigroup

Analyst

The cash needs for the acquisitions?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

Depending on what happens by the time we close, those are around $45 million to $46 million for Prudent Bear and I think we announced somewhere around $36 million for Clover, again dependent on the adjustments at closing.

Prashant Bhatia - Citigroup

Analyst

When you look at the buy-back right here after the recap, is that on hold for a little while?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

I think hold is not the right word. We bought 50,000 shares in the past quarter so hold is not the right word. If you look at our track record of what we’ve done, generally we pay the dividend. We’ve got two deals coming along and in our past track record we haven’t been big-time buyers of shares when we’ve used up a lot of the capital on other things.

Prashant Bhatia - Citigroup

Analyst

Back in early 2000 when we were at 1%, there was a lot of discussion between the money market industry and the Fed. Is that discussion taking place again now? Do you think that it is possible for the Fed to go below 1% and if they did, what’s sort of the contingency plan?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

We did have discussions with them the last time on this and part of the understandings that both of us came to was that the money market funds are an essential ingredient in the capital markets. So going below 1% for some extended period of time would cause a certain amount of consternation to money fund operators but really wouldn’t be disruptive to the function. If you go below that for any extended period of time, you would start to impact a lot more waivers. The discussions were pretty thorough there. Ongoing, since that time and especially during these times, Debbie and her cohorts and others here have had very frequent conversations with the various people all the way from the SEC, the Fed and the Treasury and I will allow Debbie to comment on how that would intersect with the lowering of rates of which we do not have control.

Debbie Cunningham

Analyst

I think at this point we are very much in constant discussions with the various regulators on different ways of providing liquidity to the money markets. They view that as an ultimate goal to allow the money markets to function naturally with an appropriate amount of liquidity. They have found I think much to everybody’s surprise on the positive side of this nasty stressful market that there are a lot more tools than just simply lowering the Fed fund target rate. They’ve done lots of different things in the context of adding additional facilities, providing relief to different parties, utilizing collateralization from nontraditional securities, different things that have historically never been thought about, discussed or touched from their perspective. It was just simply the rate mechanism that was utilized. So I think across the board once we are finalized with this period of stress that resumes in some amount of normalcy back into the market place, it’s a much stronger environment from a regulatory perspective because of the understanding of these new tools and how they work.

Prashant Bhatia - Citigroup

Analyst

Do you think the recent actions to unfreeze the CP market are enough? Is that going to work or is more needed?

Debbie Cunningham

Analyst

I think all these things have been various pieces of the puzzle. I think the NAV insurance from the Treasury was one from a confidence building perspective that was extremely positive. I think the ABCP liquidity facility was one that worked extremely well. It’s winding down at this point. It’s under $100 billion from where it was at its peak initially of $182 billion. The commercial paper funding facility which is for issuers is just coming to bear this coming Monday, the 27th. There was a big announcement yesterday from GE Capital which is arguably one of the highest quality and largest commercial paper issuers in the market place, but they are supporting this facility so I think other issuers will jump on board behind them. The new money market investor funding facility also coming on board sometime next week will be beneficial. But they’re all parts of the puzzle. I think not a single one of them would have had the overall affect that we needed which was a return to normal funding, and that’s effectively what they’re looking to achieve. They’re continuing to measure that on a day-to-day basis. If more is needed, they’ll go down the path of finding what that additional capacity might be. But at this point it’s looking to every possible avenue and putting it together in this mosaic to form something that creates positive confidence and overall liquidity in the sectors.

Prashant Bhatia - Citigroup

Analyst

On the insurance for the money fund, is there concern that that may actually become permanent? Is that something you would oppose because it seems like you’ve got a huge competitive advantage of scale and the insurance kind of neutralizes that advantage; if it were to become permanent? Is that something you’d oppose?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

When we were first informed about the existence of the insurance and that it would be offered, we did not think that we needed it and didn’t especially savor the idea of the shareholders paying for it. On the other hand, there was great wisdom in Secretary Paulson in deciding that he wanted to answer the question over the weekend, “What about money funds?” He wanted to be able to say, “Money funds are insured. Next question.” Just as Debbie said that was addressing in an overall way a confidence. Do we think that’s necessary for the long haul? No. You asked, “Would we oppose it?” We’d have to look at it and see what was being talked about because the issue of trust and confidence and functioning capital markets is very, very important. We still don’t think we need it. We haven’t changed that out. As you point out we believe we’re in a little bit of a competitive advantage there for right now. But we would certainly evaluate that if that came down the line.

Prashant Bhatia - Citigroup

Analyst

On the prime funds, how much do you typically have in short-term government paper and if you could just compare that with what you have currently allocated to short-term government paper?

Debbie Cunningham

Analyst

I think you’re probably asking that in the context as a proxy for liquidity?

Prashant Bhatia - Citigroup

Analyst

Right.

Debbie Cunningham

Analyst

Because we manage all different types of funds; we have strictly Treasury funds, we have strictly government funds, and we have strictly prime funds; we try to manage them very purely within their disciplines. For instance, within our government agency funds you’ll rarely find treasuries and within our prime funds you’ll rarely find government agencies or treasuries. Instead what we look to find within that own sector’s class is liquidity in a higher sense from the instruments from within that class. For instance, for our prime funds at this point in an effort to increase the liquidity within those particular products, rather than buying treasury or government agency securities we in fact have just increased our overnight position in what would be our traditional instruments that we would use within those portfolios, i.e. commercial paper or CDs, that type of credit instrument. But our clients are still getting the benefit of the credit fund which is what they’re buying yet they’re also assured of additional liquidity because of the overnight nature of those issuers that were buying at this point.

Prashant Bhatia - Citigroup

Analyst

So maybe asked another way, what percentage rough numbers is overnight allocated versus what would have been typical when the environment wasn’t distressed?

Debbie Cunningham

Analyst

I’d say across the board we have increased our liquidity positions in our prime funds anywhere from 5% to 15% depending upon the underlying base of shareholders. That’s very important as Chris noted in his initial remarks. We think we know our customers well and certain funds have very little need and certain funds have a little bit more need. So across the board between 5% and 15% increase in what we would normally have in overnights.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Kenneth Worthington - J.P. Morgan.

Kenneth Worthington - J.P. Morgan

Analyst

In this kind of market, what is the philosophy about expenses and margins? Like your business mix is much more secure than your peers but it’s still a challenging market. You mentioned that equity assets are down a bunch. What are you thinking over the next couple quarters in terms of reacting to what the market is doing?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

We’ve already reacted. If you look at the press release on page 5 where you run down our comparison of Q3 to Q2, our revenue was down and so were our expenses. Virtually every category was decreased to lead to increased operating income, so if you remember me talking in past about success items, it isn’t like we had any kind of draconian things happen during the third quarter. It really follows the way we have the company structured that the expenses kind of follow in a band the revenue. We’ve already had a reaction to that and it will continue to react like that both on the downside and the upside. The heart of what you’re talking about; what are we going to do in terms of T&E and comp and all those other things? The first thing is we have a couple of deals going on where we’re going to actually grow. So with Prudent Bear we’re going to get new employees. With Clover we’re going to get 50 more employees. We’ve got a couple other deals that are happening around the country in terms of state mandates where were’ going to put sales people out in interlands to help grow those products. So we’re actually going to see growth there. Do we diligently manage our costs and what we’re doing? Absolutely and we’ll come into our normal budget process here that has already started to address things because the equity assets down what they are is a significant revenue impact to the company.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from John Fox - Fenimore Asset Management.

John Fox - Fenimore Asset Management

Analyst

My main question is on the government funds and the fee waivers which have been handled pretty well. I guess the only question I have left there is, is there a break-even rate that we can monitor for short-term treasuries if we kind of think about above this level? You mentioned the last three days has been okay. Is there a break-even level that we can monitor that might kind of trigger the fee waivers?

Debbie Cunningham

Analyst

I think effectively at this point if you see short-term treasuries, and you can look at the three-month bill, you can look at the one-year bill, but if you see the money market treasury securities trading with zero handles, that is generally something that will cause some issues from a fee waiver perspective. When they’re trading with one handle or above, that’s generally a pretty positive thing.

John Fox - Fenimore Asset Management

Analyst

You mentioned $1 billion of muni assets coming from Fifth Third. Is that something that’s going to go into the fixed income mutual fund line item or what is that exactly?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

That’s assets that will be merged into our private products.

John Fox - Fenimore Asset Management

Analyst

So that’s in the fixed income mutual fund line?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

Both fixed income and money market.

John Fox - Fenimore Asset Management

Analyst

And that’s $1 billion closing this quarter?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

We hope so.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Cynthia Mayer - Merrill Lynch.

Cynthia Mayer - Merrill Lynch

Analyst

In terms of the consolidation in the industry, is it your sense that the other big players are also looking to buy assets and gain share actively or do you think it’s really more a matter of they’ll be happy to take any share gains just passively as there’s sort of a flight to the bigger providers?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

I can’t really speak for other players. There are certain of the other players that we know about that really don’t engage in these kinds of transactions but that isn’t to say that they wouldn’t have increases in assets because clients can find the firms anyway. So I really can’t say what the other firms are doing on that.

Cynthia Mayer - Merrill Lynch

Analyst

I guess what I’m asking is if you’re interested in buying money market assets, what kind of competition do you think you’ll see and what kind of pricing do you think you’ll see?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

Sometimes in these kinds of circumstances, the pricing isn’t really the issue. In other words, sometimes there really isn’t any price paid. It’s more or less what’s in the best interests of the shareholders of the funds in order to resolve the situation. In other circumstances, it’s related to payments for assets that happen to stick around for services rendered. Once again I don’t know about any competition. We’re talking to some people and what’s going on on the other side we just don’t know about. I would expect that there would be other people interested in doing what we’re doing but I can’t address it.

Cynthia Mayer - Merrill Lynch

Analyst

Basically it sounds like what you’re implying is you might be able to acquire some more assets without a lot of upfront cash so the slightly extra leverage you have wouldn’t necessarily affect your ability to acquire money market assets?

Ray Hanley

President

You can go back and look at our past money market transactions like Alliance. While there was some upfront there, the structure was to pay them as Chris said with contingent payments if the money stays over a long period of time. That’s the way we do those kinds of transactions.

Cynthia Mayer - Merrill Lynch

Analyst

Did the Putnam fund come in for free?

Ray Hanley

President

Free? No. There was no upfront payment to Putnam. Remember what the Putnam was. The transaction was that our funds gave shares for securities and cash to their clients. [Denis McAuley III]: At a $1 for $1 basis.

Cynthia Mayer - Merrill Lynch

Analyst

I’m just wondering if there was like a five-year trailer of some kind on that? [Denis McAuley III]: No.

Cynthia Mayer - Merrill Lynch

Analyst

One more Fed funds question. The old dynamics seemed to be that when rates went lower, flows would go into money market funds. Do you think that would still hold here or if all the turmoil in the markets have changed those dynamics?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

All of the turmoil in the markets has changed dynamics because the old blind thing that you’re talking about was basically a yield move when the Fed was reducing rates so our rate would be higher than the spot market or the repo rate or the Fed funds rate or whatever rate somebody was looking at. Those were all rate things and people are now a little more concerned about the security and safety of their cash so there’s a little bit less of that. On the other hand, if the market strengthens, people will begin again to make moves based on those yields. It won’t be a zero factor but it certainly won’t be as strong as it had been in the past.

Cynthia Mayer - Merrill Lynch

Analyst

Given what’s happening in the overseas markets with currencies, are you seeing any more interest from overseas investors?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

You mean overseas investors coming into our money funds?

Cynthia Mayer - Merrill Lynch

Analyst

Yes.

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

We haven’t seen a whole lot of that money coming in as of yet. There are certain things that have to occur inside funds in order for them to participate in terms of tax reporting and the structure of the funds.

Cynthia Mayer - Merrill Lynch

Analyst

I know you have some overseas funds too but the interest there hasn’t been particularly strong.

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

That is correct.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Mike Carrier - UBS.

Mike Carrier - UBS

Analyst

I just want to follow up on the money markets. Given all the initiatives that the Fed and the Treasury have put in place, if you look at the past initiatives that are actually now in place and operational, any of the new ones that are said to begin whether it’s Monday or in the coming weeks, do you feel like the money market itself in terms of yield has already priced that in or do you think based on what you saw in the past once it actually does take effect you’ll have more of a benefit in terms of the money markets running a bit more smoothly?

Debbie Cunningham

Analyst

I think one of the things that’s going to affect rates next week and has already been doing so through this week and the end of last week is this commercial paper funding facility which is the one that is administered by the Fed in New York and it’s for issuers. As I said today GE announced that they will participate in it, so if GE is unable to place $100 million worth of CP in their normal mode, i.e. going to money fund investors or whoever else they would normally place that paper with, they can then go to this facility that the Fed is providing and place the paper there. There is a set formula from a rate perspective as to what they’ll be charged by the Fed in that placement of paper, and I think that set formula is off of something call OIS which is an overnight index swap rate that you can look up on Bloomberg, it’s trackable. I think that is a great floor that has been set if you will by this facility that is allowing LIBOR on a day-to-day basis to trend toward. LIBOR has been drastically affected over the last month and a half by various things in the market place. In just the recent week and a half because of that facility I believe specifically rates have been trending down. I think that facility opening next week being utilized, being reported on, will continue to allow that drop in LIBOR to occur next week. That will positively affect the market place. The money market funding investor facility, which doesn’t have all the specifics about it available yet, I also think had a nice competence boost that was provided to the market place upon its announcement. But when it begins to be utilized by the participants in the market place I think that will provide a little bit more rationale if you will to a more normal operating market.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Marc Irizarry - Goldman Sachs.

Marc Irizarry - Goldman Sachs

Analyst

Chris, obviously this is both an absolute and relatively very strong time for your business relative to other asset categories. What’s your appetite and what’s your framework when you think about doing some sort of transformative deal to take advantage of what may end up in hindsight being an extraordinary time to diversify your business?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

Our attitude remains the same as I guess it’s been for many, many of these calls that given the right type of transaction we would certainly look, entertain any of those kinds of ideas whether they were transformational or not. Part of the reason for that is that you’ve got a lot of change in the market place, a lot of players with a lot of good ideas and we’ve talked to a lot of them over the years. We would remain open for those kinds of ideas. As I’ve said often on these calls, a CEO of a public company simply doesn’t have the right to just sit back and declare victory and say, “No.” So we’re always open to looking at those kinds of ideas.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from [William Cass - Buckingham Research]. [William Cass - Buckingham Research]: It’s hard to believe I have a follow up with all this discussion on money markets, but I’m curious. I said I had a different take on the insurance and I want to get your perspective. If in fact insurance would become permanent, is that a cost buster for smaller players so that the larger players ultimately win anyhow?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

It could be but maybe not. It all depends on how sensitive and how important the yield becomes. The current cost is now 4 basis points. I can make no comment about whether that’ll be the future cost or the insurance cost. That was something that they came up with more or less over a weekend. Whether that would actually be the thing that broke down the smaller fund players, I don’t know. It certainly is not helpful to a smaller player because they’ve got all these other things going on and now they have this additional expense on top of their machinery. So it’s not helpful but I don’t think it would supply any death mail to them. The fact of the insurance would probably be a help for them, just the fact of the insurance. [William Cass - Buckingham Research]: How do you get the 4 basis points? I thought it was between 1 and 1.5 basis points?

J. Christopher Donahue

Management

Yes. It’s 1 basis point per quarter so it hits the yield 4 basis points.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today’s question and answer session. I will turn the conference back over to Ray Hanley for closing comments.

Ray Hanley

President

That concludes our call. Thank you very much for joining us today.

Operator

Operator

All parties may now disconnect.