William C. Losch
Analyst · the JPMorgan
Thanks, Bryan. Good morning, everybody. I'll start on Slide 7 with our consolidated financial results. You'll see in the fourth quarter, consolidated net income available to common was $49 million or $0.21 a share. You will notice 2 significant items in the quarter, one with respect to taxes and the second, the addition to our litigation reserve that I'll walk you through. On taxes, you'll see that the effective tax rate for both the quarter and the year were negative, reflecting the combination of pretax income levels, permanent benefits from tax credit investments, life insurance, tax-exempt interest. And in the fourth quarter, the tax expense was favorably affected as well by the pattern of quarterly earnings in 2013 as well as some discrete tax items. To give you a quick high-level tutorial on effective rate methodology in a little bit simpler terms, what you do is you estimate earnings and known tax credits or differences at the beginning of the year to calculate an effective tax rate that you would use each quarter. When you have a large change in the estimated earnings level, particularly when that changes later in the year like what we had in the third quarter, it can have a very large impact in any given quarter like what we see here in the fourth, to ensure that the full year tax rate is appropriately calculated. So all in, for 2014, looking forward, what you should assume is an effective tax rate in the low 30s for us. In addition, we made a $30 million addition to the litigation reserve related to existing legal matters. So the net of those 2 items had roughly a $0.06 positive impact in the quarter. Moving to segment highlights on Slide 8. In the fourth quarter, our core businesses contributed $45 million in net income, up 13% linked quarter. In the regional bank, net income was $43 million, down $5 million from 3Q. Linked quarter, our NII was down in the bank on lower average loan outstanding’s, while noninterest income was relatively steady. Expenses were up driven by costs primarily related to branch closings and an increase in professional fees towards the end of quarter. Loan loss provision decreased, reflecting continued stable credit trends in the bank's loan portfolio. In our fixed income business at FTN, net income was $7 million in the fourth quarter. Linked quarter, fixed income average daily revenues declined just modestly to $822,000. Expenses decreased primarily due to lower variable comp on that lower revenue. ADR levels, as you'll see, were below our normalized expectations as the current interest rate environment, as well as seasonality, muted fixed income activity in the quarter. Over the long term and a more normalized environment, we still believe that fixed income average daily revenues will be in the $1 million to $1.5 million range. However, over the first half of 2014, we do expect average daily revenues to remain generally consistent with what we're seeing today in terms of 4Q '13 levels, slightly below that normalized range. Net income in the nonstrategic segment was $4 million. Noninterest income was lower linked quarter primarily due to higher servicing income in the third that included terms of the servicing sale agreement. Fourth quarter reflected the beginning of servicing transfers related to our sale that will be substantially complete in the first quarter. Expenses in 4Q '13 included that $30 million addition to the litigated -- litigation reserve. And the nonstrategic segment also included about $44 million as a tax benefit. Moving on to the regional bank balance sheet trends on Slide 9. Our average loans in the bank were up 2% full year 2012 to 2013. As anticipated, average loans to mortgage companies decreased due to lower refi volumes, but returns on that business remained strong. And despite the decreases in that loan-to-mortgage company line, we are seeing good momentum in other loan portfolios. From 2012 to 2013, commercial lending grew 10%. Asset-based lending was up 6%. Our business banking was up 9%. And on the consumer side, private client and wealth management was up 8%, as well as our retail banking. We'll continue to focus on specialty lending areas that have higher returns and economic profitability going into 2014 as well. Moving on to the consolidated balance sheet and margin trends on Slide 10. Average total assets remained stable again at $24 billion. Linked quarter, our consolidated net interest margin was up about 1 basis point to 2.98%. Fourth quarter NIM benefited from about 4 basis points of higher amortization associated with loans acquired in the Mountain National acquisition, as well as higher-than-expected cash basis income. That benefit was somewhat offset by roughly 3 basis points of lower balances to mortgage companies and an increase in excess balances at the Fed. Sitting here today, we do expect quarterly net interest margin in 2014 to be in the same 2.85% to 2.95% range that we've given over the last few quarters. If you'll recall and as we see in the bottom left chart on Slide 10, we had significant movement in our NIM from 4Q '12 to 1Q '13 last year, with stabilization in the margin throughout the rest of the year. A similar pattern could occur in 2014. Our assumptions around the margin for next year include rates staying at current levels or rising modestly over time, loan yields modestly declining due to competitive pressures, loans to mortgage companies decreasing from fourth quarter levels and new investment security yields flat to slightly higher. The level of excess cash at the Fed and our capital markets inventory are likely to fluctuate quarter-to-quarter, also impacting the net interest margin. You'll notice that the manager interest sensitivity, we have recently begun adding fixed rate product in both loans and securities at about the 3- to 5-year maturities, which has modestly reduced our asset sensitivity and allows us to compete well in the current environment through relationship lending opportunities. Overall, you'll see that our balance sheet remains highly asset-sensitive and should enhance our ability to generate higher returns over the long term. Moving to Slide 11 and looking at our nonstrategic business. In mortgage repurchase, you'll see that provision expense was 0 in the fourth quarter. Linked quarter, the repurchase price line declined 37% to $197 million, and our ending reserve was at $195 million. New requests and realized losses were up in the fourth quarter due to the implementation of our GSE settlement we announced in the third quarter. We've not been named in any new lawsuits related to our private securitization since October of 2012, and we had no loan repurchase requests from our first-lien proprietary private securitizations. Linked quarter, our litigation-related provision expense increased $30 million, primarily related to our formal mortgage business. Turning to expenses on Slide 12. You'll see since 2010, our consolidated run rate excluding GSE-related and litigation expenses has declined 30%. We have improved efficiency in our core businesses, with costs declining across most categories, particularly in places such as compensation, occupancy, operations and advertising. Excluding the fourth quarter's $30 million of litigation accrual, we achieved our target of an annualized run rate in the fourth quarter of below $925 million. We'll continue to work on lowering expenses with ongoing efficiency initiatives and overall cost control, and I do anticipate that we will move below the $900 million annualized run rate in 2014. Looking at asset quality trends on Slide 13. We can see continued positive results. Linked quarter, our net charge-offs were roughly flat at $17 million, and reserves were roughly flat as well. Improvement in the commercial loan portfolio offset a slight increase in the consumer portfolio. In the commercial portfolio, we're seeing continued improvement in loss rates, grade migration and overall credit metrics. Nonperforming assets declined 10% linked quarter as well. Wrapping up on Slide 14. Our core business trends are generally encouraging, with our 12-month trailing core ROA at approximately 93 basis points, and our core ROTCE at 10.7%. Solid returns in the regional banking and capital markets businesses demonstrate the strength of our core. Our capital markets business continues to provide us with solid fee income while using capital efficiently. And our regional bank's specialty lending areas and market growth opportunity should drive profitable loan growth in the future. We will continue to work on expense efficiencies, and our asset sensitivity will, over time, help our overall returns. We've made progress in positively transforming our company and expect additional positive trends in 2014. And with that, I'll turn it back over to Bryan with some closing comments.