Lewis M. Kling - President and Chief Executive Officer
Analyst · Robert W
Thanks, Zac, and good morning. It's a pleasure to welcome you to our 2008 first quarter conference call. I'm pleased to report that Flowserve had a terrific first quarter with continued strong execution and outstanding financial results. We started up the year stronger than expected and are now on track to exceed the full year 2008 target we stated in our fourth quarter 2007 conference call. These record results show the continued strength of our end markets, strong leverage in our income statement, and most important successful execution of our key strategies, which includes significant organic growth, successful operation excellence implementation, SG&A reduction, and margin improvements. The financial results are lower even better than expected penetration of our key end markets, more favorable currency ratios, lower interest rates improved traction on our tax planning initiatives, in our includes confidence in our ability to continue to execute and grow in this environment have bolstered our outlook for our full-year performance. Therefore, we are significantly raising our full-year 2008 earnings per share range to between $5.90 to $6.20. During the next few slides, I will cover some of the quarter's significant highlights, as well as the key performance metrics achieved during the quarter. Then I'll touch on just a small subset of the key global project wins we’ve had over the past year or so, which will highlight more clearly how we are using our global footprint and executing and strategic global locations and key market segments to position the company well for success over the long term. In the back half of my presentation, I will spend a considerable amount of time reviewing what we are seeing and expecting to see going forward relative to our primary end markets. From this discussion, you will be able to gain a clear view of our external market outlook and a stronger sense of the very attractive opportunities we see ahead. Slide three covers the primarily highlights for the first quarter of 2008. We delivered record first quarter earnings per share of $1.53, up 159% over the same quarter last year. This significant increase in earnings was primarily due to improvements in operating income, up 350 basis points during the quarter to 11.9%, driven by 24% increase in sales, 180 basis point improvement in gross margin, and a reduction of 180 basis points in SG&A expenses as a percentage of sales. The company’s fully diluted first quarter earnings per share of $1.53 included currency benefits resulting from our global presence which Mark will discuss in more detail later in the presentation. We also delivered our fifth consecutive quarter of bookings in excess of $1 billion recording bookings of over $1.4 billion, up 31% and another quarterly record for the company. This increase was driven primarily by continued strength in all sectors with noble growth in the power and chemical markets, particularly in the pump and well divisions. We also saw strong manufacturing throughput in the first quarter delivering record first quarter sales of $993 million, up 24% and recorded strong gross margin improvement up 180 basis points to 34.8%. This gross margin increase was primarily due the higher sales volume positively impacting fixed-cost absorption, continued execution on our operational excellence programs, price increases, and success of the company’s end-user after-market strategy, which resulted in higher levels of after-market sales, particularly in the Pump and Seal divisions. It should be noted, that even with our record first quarter sales, our record bookings increased our backlog 27% versus December 2007 to a record $2.9 billion. With respect to our end markets we continued to see broad strength in the first quarter based on continued global infrastructure investment. Slide four outlines in detail many of the first quarter highlights I discussed on the previous slide. As you can see the company has delivered tremendous leverage to the P&L during the quarter, delivering operating income growth more than three times the rate of sales growth and earnings per share growth more than six times the rate of sales growth. Slide five shows our progression of booking success since the start of 2004 and highlights the tremendous growth in bookings we have driven since the back half of 2005. As I mentioned earlier, the first quarter of 2008 represents the highest quarterly bookings level ever achieved by the company at over $1.4 billion, which was up 31% from the same period a year ago. Slide six highlights our sales since the beginning of 2004 and the tight correlation between bookings growth and sales growth. Historically, this relationship pr conversion cycle between a booking and a sale on average has sell to about 12 months or even slightly less, but as projects become more complex and industry supply continues to be tight, customers are ordering earlier and extending the duration of their projects to help ensure their own success. This strengthening of the delivery cycle by a month or so benefits our capacity planning and it allows us to take on additional projects while providing increased opportunity for even better on-time delivery. While we cannot guarantee the average cycle time from a booking to a sale in 2008, our current expectation is for to lengthen slightly to between 12 and 13 months. Slide seven highlights an important element of our business model that we've talked about for some time, that being the strength of our global footprint and how we leverage it. This chart represents a small sampling of our large project wins from across the globe over the past year or so in many of our key industries, including oil and gas, power, chemical, and pulp and paper. We've updated the chart with some recent wins that were not shown in our 2007 year-end call. The strength of this snapshot is not just a fact that we are a leader on these projects around the globe, it also represents the continued after-market opportunities that projects like this represents for our future. Our growing global manufacturing and supports in our footprint across multiple key infrastructure growth areas is also a major competitive advantage for the company. Slide eight begins our view of our core markets; oil and gas, power, chemical, water, and general industries. In the oil and gas market, we continue to see not only continued strength, but also growth opportunities for Flowserve on a global scale. Several research firms have been analyzing the future of this industry and have created basic models on the growth of daily oil consumption across the globe. These models forecast an average annual increase of approximately 1 million barrels per day worldwide for the next several years. This increased demand is being driven by significant growth from development markets, particularly China and India, as well as many other parts of the globe, which are expecting to have increased demand due to their growth in both domestic industries and populations. This forecasted growth in demand requires continuing increases in upstream and downstream projects. Investments in new plant capacity are forecasted to occur globally with particular focus in Asia, Russia, Brazil, and the Middle East. Refurbishment and upgrading of aging refinery infrastructure is also a key focus for investment to meet these projected demands. On the upstream side, major offshore field discoveries in places like Brazil are helping to fuel significant project activity well into the future. These large offshore finds are in deepwater and are catalysts to driving advanced technology developments for this demanding application. As I had mentioned before, we are actively participating with numerous partners in development of subsea pumping and flow management technologies. We've also benefited recently from the offshore activity driving the increased use of floating platforms and production shifts. These applications require large underwater positioners or thrusters, which are linked to GPS systems to ensure that the floating structure is able to stay in its proper location. We started manufacturing these positions as many years ago and we have recently won several large orders including new opportunities in Russia. Flowserve's product capabilities have also provided some major project wins in Canada for the tar sands production facilities, as technology investments continued to reduce the cost of extracting this oil. The natural gas industry is also seeing measurable growth due to the increasing interest in cleaner burning fuels. This trend is broadcast to drive continued investments and conditioning gas for long-haul transportation. The two methods experienced focus investments are Gas to Liquids know as GTL and Liquefied Natural Gas known as LNG. Flowserve has already seen major project wins in both of these methodologies, including the pro project in Qatar. The power industry continues to experience significant growth. The global demand for electricity has been forecasted almost double by the year 2030 for the 2007 World Energy outlook report. There are also many other external data points, which supports this growth projection. For example, the press recently reported that China's kilowatt-hour consumption in January and February of 2008 increased by almost 12% compared to the same period in 2007. This forecasted growth in both China and India over the next two decades supports significant increases in demand for electricity. In addition, new electrical capacity has been either constructed or planned worldwide due to the ever-growing demand for power. Along with new construction, there is significant focus on low efficiency, aging power infrastructure presently throughout many mature markets. Some of this old infrastructure may have to be taken out of service due to the high CO2 emissions and high operating cost requiring new plants to come online to replace the demand, but most of them reviewed for upgrades and refits to increase power generation capacity and decrease CO2 emissions to ensure they remain operational well into the future. Near term, coal is still being forecasted as a primarily fuel source worldwide. The new coal fired systems are projected to use super critical or ultra super critical designs to increase demand of power for a unit of fuel as well as lowering CO2 emissions. Flowserve has made significant investments in new product technology, which has done specifically to serve the increased pressure and temperature demands for these new power plants. The drive for [inaudible] is also purely more discussion activity around nuclear and gas fire powered plants. As we have mentioned in the past, we are well positioned with product lines which maintain our instant rating, even through the steep fall-off in U.S. market that occurred during the past several decades, and through our continued nuclear experience in other parts of the world combined with strategic joint ventures, such as the one with the Changsha Pump Company in China, we believe we are well positioned for the growth of this growth market. The desire to control greenhouse gases is also supporting investments in geothermal technology and carbon [inaudible], and we are actively partnering with key customers to investigate and test solutions for these critical applications. In the chemical industry, the increasing global consumption combined with the rising cost of feedstock and labor is requiring new investment in plant capacity either closed to input raw materials such as oil and gas or close to increasing demand and lower cost of labor. This is closing many new chemical processing plants we built in both in the Middle East and Asia, which we plan to support through our new facilities in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia and Suzhou, China. In addition there are numerous coal gasification projects underway to convert feedstock from oil to less expensive coal. These developments support the continued growth in our chemical market as our customers invest to increase capacity, move capacity, and convert capacity. It is also important to note that several of the major national oil companies are beginning or have announced aggressive investment plans to add petrochemical operations adjacent to their refineries to lower the cost of production. These include companies such as Petrobras in Brazil and PetroChina in Asia. Our line of specialty products designed for critical applications in chemical processing plants continue to support strong business growth for major project wins in these growth areas. In the water market, the outlook remains positive due to the increasing demand for cleaner water worldwide. Forecast continues to show sustained growth in this industry with strong growth in developing areas of the global market. Research data shows at almost one fifth of the world's population currently live in areas with an insufficient supply of water. This will require increased infrastructure, which is capable of moving large volumes of water over long distances. Flowserve's project and application expertise along with our line of large water and [inaudible] pumps for movement of large volumes of water, flood control, and irrigation applications supported by our Changsha Pump Company joint venture in China position us well to pursue this market opportunity. A very exciting [inaudible] in this industry is the aggressive increase in desalination demand worldwide. Litter supply around the globe by desalination is expected to double by the year 2015. This is mostly driven by new technology that is significantlly reduced the cost of building desalination plants. Desalination projects are now under consideration in many regions of the world, not just in developing countries with easy access to ocean water. Today we are seeing projects being implemented or under review in more mature markets such as Western Europe, and even in the United States. Slide 12 shows the market grouping referred to as General Industries, this group contains industries such as mining and ore processing, district heating and cooling, agriculture, government, pulp and paper, and food and beverage. And also contains orders of flow through general distribution. It should be noted that much of this distribution serves a broader array of customers, which may include companies in the oil and gas, power, chemical, or water markets. One of our lead businesses in this grouping is mining and ore processing with current forecasts supports strong growth going forward. Our improved ability to handle slurry type materials in severe environments are providing robust systems integrity as self-support our growth in this industry. In Russia and Eastern Europe, the expansive efforts to refurbish aging infrastructure of a district heating is driving significant volume growth in this market. As I have mentioned in previous calls, we are investing in capacity expansion and our welded ball valve manufacturing site specifically to support this expanding market. In addition, many of the same valve products used in our district heating systems combined with our pump products are used to support the growing district cooling market in the Middle East. We have also continued to invest with our strategic customers, partially supported by government funding to develop new solutions for the growing biotechnology market. Investments in production of cellulosic ethanol have also increased recently and our forecast to grow as market manages the need for alternative fuels and its associated impact on the global food supply. We’re also seeing specific projects in pulp and paper such as the recent major project wins in Brazil. We have ample, deal our analysts of both external and internal market forecast supported by our own ongoing discussions with our customers leads us to believe our market outlook continues to remain very positive. In summary, the first quarter was another outstanding quarter for Flowserve and I am extremely proud of the Flowserve team around the globe for their tremendous performance. They not only met, but in many cases far surpassed our expectations with respect for the quality of the operational execution, which as I noted many times is probably the most important factor in our success of the company. Relative to growth, we have continued to demonstrate our ability to deliver strong financial performance across the P&L and bookings, revenue, operating income, and earnings per share. We continue the strong momentum we had when we exited 2007, taking advantage of the ongoing strength of our key end markets, as well as our global footprint and continue to drive strong bottom line earnings to operational excellence and leverage in our P&L. We will also continue to place prime importance on building sustainable long-term relationships with our customers, which is critical to our success. This is a key element of our strategy and is focused on creating a win-win, low cost of ownership model for our customers. As to our focus going forward, we will continue our strategic deployment of assets and resources to provide local support with global expertise to our customers worldwide. And we will continue to focus on executing against the critical customer metrics of on-time delivery, performance, and reliability. Lastly, we will continue to ensure that shareholder goals and Flowserve employee goals are tightly aligned by continuing to lead closure of compensation plans to our performance. At this time, I would like turn the presentation over to Mark to discuss the segment results and our financial performance in more detail. Mark?