Juan Fonseca
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
Thank you. Moving on to discuss FEMSA's consolidated quarterly numbers. Total revenues during the fourth quarter increased 7.5% and income from operations increased 2.3%. On organic basis, excluding the results of operations in Guatemala and Coca-Cola FEMSA and Caffenio at the Proximity Division. Total revenues increased 6% and income from operations decreased 4.4%. Net income increased significantly reflecting an easy comparison base caused by the charge in the accounting method for Coca-Cola FEMSA operation during the fourth quarter [Technical Difficulty] a decrease by approximately MXN16 billion compared to the previous quarter to reach of a net debt of MXN60 billion at the end of December, reflecting the proceeds from the Coca-Cola FEMSA operations coupled with reduction in Coca-Cola FEMSA's debt. Moving on to discuss our operations and beginning with FEMSA's Comercio Proximity Division. We opened 21 net new OXXO stores during the fourth quarter, reaching 1,422 net store openings for the last 12 months. The includes new stores in Mexico, Colombia, Chile and Peru. Revenues for division increased 11% on organic basis. Revenue grew 10%. OXXO same-store sales were up 4.5%, driven by a 4% increase in average customer ticket and 0.5% growth in the store traffic. These numbers reflect a resilient consumer environment in Mexico, coupled with pricing initiatives and the continued strong performance of the services category. Moving down the income statement. For the fourth quarter, gross margin expansion was quite strong at 300 basis points, reflecting: Number one, sustained growth of the service category, including the income from financial services. Number two, our commercial income activity. And number three, increase and more efficient promotional programs with our key supplier partners. Income from operations increased 11.1% on organic basis. The increase - I'm sorry, increased 11.1%. On organic basis, it increased 6.4%. Operating margins remain flat, in line with our expectations in spite of: Number one, our continued achieved from the commission based store to employee based. Now we have close to 52 to 48 employees and 48 commissioners. Higher secured currency handling costs driven by increased volume and higher operation across the fuel prices. And number three, an increase in this quarter. And four, a step up in the pace of organic growth of OXXO's international operations, which have yet to reach the scale. And we are very happy with the performance in Colombia, Peru and Chile. It seems like we learned our lessons in Colombia and we are applying now for Chile and Peru. Moving on to FEMSA's Comercio Health Division. We drugstores during the quarter to reach in 2351 units across the territories at the end of December and 136 total net new stores for the last 12 months. Revenues increased 6.1%. Same-store sales increased an average of 4.5%, which includes a negative currency translation effect from depreciation of Mexican peso compared with Chilean and Colombian pesos. Gross margin contracted by 30 basis points for the fourth quarter, while operating margin remained stable reflecting the improvement of our operations in Mexico as well as increased operating leverage from our cost efficiencies and tight expense control. FEMSA's Comercio Fuel Division added 20 gas stations during the fourth quarter to reach 539 units at the end of December and 87 net new service stations for the last 12 months. Same station sales grew 6.7% in the fourth quarter and gross margin expanded to 180 basis points, reflecting terms. Operating margin contracted by 30 basis points year-over-year, reflecting provisions related to certain profitable institutional clients; number two, higher wages implemented to register in labor market; and number three, increased marketing initiatives; and four, expenses related to the remodeling of our stations and installations of new environmental controls. Finally, moving on briefing Coca-Cola FEMSA. As Juan highlighted in the press release yesterday, Mexico and Central America's top line continue to grow, while recovering environment and portfolio helped volume growth in Brazil during the fourth quarter. Coca-Cola FEMSA also strengthened its balance sheet by reducing its net debt. If you were unable to participate in Coke's FEMSA conference call, you can access the replay of the webcast for additional details on the results. Finally, let me talk a little about the year that begins. With the microenvironment is producing some mixed signals in Mexico, we continue to see a resilient consumer in our market and a resurgent consumer in Brazil. We are optimistic about most of the markets that we operate across businesses. For most specifically let me share with you some broader expectation for our main operations. FEMSA's Comercio Proximity region, we expect net OXXO openings to be in line with 2018. So more than 1,300 units in Mexico with some upside potential as well as try to improve from the previous year's number. For OXXO international, we expect to have approximately 120 net new among Colombia, Chile and Peru, reaching close to 280 total stores in South America by the end of this year. As you know, we have made strides fine tuning the value propositions markets and as we are - and we as scales these oppressions, especially to put pressure on our margins and begin to contribute to our profitability. In terms of OXXO's same-store sales growth, we should remain with our long-term expected range of mid-single-digit growth. Operating margins will be under a bit pressure, particularly given the increased pace of store growth in South America. However, we should see some upside from the government implementation of revenue agreements with Heineken and. Also, we know the remaining moving pieces regarding public policy tends to be in the first year of extension. So these are a bit more uncertainty to the mix. Finally, there is also a component that we need to be aware of given the will shift from March last year to April this year. And this improves OXXO's prospects for the second quarter and 10% expectations for the first quarter. For FEMSA Comercio Health Division, Mexico will continue to profitability of our unit growth, while increasingly leveraging our consolidated operating platform with our suppliers and customers. South America, we expect a strong year, particularly in Colombia. We expect same-store sales for the region to grow in the mid-single-digits after adjusted for currencies. In terms of margins, we should also see stable growth - see stable to slightly expanding operating margins. Also, we are still waiting for the regulatory approval for acquisition of which we expect will be happening soon. As you may remember, this acquisition will have approximately 620 new stores in the Health Division. For Fuel Division, we see it expanding at 15% to 20% range in terms of added service stations in 2019. All expanding through our asset-light approach, which revenues growing double-digit and stable operating margins. Having said that, as you know, there was a significant assumption in the supply chain earlier in this year and there is always the possibility that something is that will happen again. So there is some added uncertainty in the short-term, but no change in our medium- and long-term possibility outlook for this business. In terms of to be paid in 2019, we will be submitting to shareholders those who are on our ordinary dividend payment of MXN9.7 million, representing a full passthrough of the from the Heineken and Coca-Cola FEMSA as well as a portion of the free cash flow generated by FEMSA Comercio in 2018, consistent with the mechanics of recent years. This proposed amount represents an increase in line with the general in Mexico and is consistent with our view that the current macro environment conservative approach balance sheet management. For capital expenditures expectations, we are 6% of revenues for Coca-Cola FEMSA and FEMSA's Comercio Proximity, 3% of revenues for Health, 2% of revenues for Fuel and approximately $100 million for the logistic operations. Summing up, we are optimistic on the consumer environment in our main market, and we are confident in our ability to execute on our strategy and to keep using the leverage well within our control. I would also comment of our high-quality as we continue to work allocate our capital to higher return opportunities, exercising discipline as we grow our platform across markets with a view on long-term value creation. And finally, let me turn the call over to Juan for