Eduardo Padilla
Analyst · Bank of America
Good morning, everyone, and welcome to FEMSA's Second Quarter 2020 Results Conference Call. As is customary, Juan Fonseca and Jorge Collazo are also on the line. And today, we're also joined by Eugenio Garza. We hope that you and your loved ones are healthy and safe. The second quarter was the most challenging period we have faced operationally in many decades, although there were differences in performance among our business units. But also, we saw a severe impact from continuing lack of consumer mobility in the geographies we serve. That translated into soft performance for most of our categories and consumer occasions. And the challenge was compounded by the lack of beer supply that only began to recover in the month of June. Our Health Division fared better as demand for its production -- products remained high, but sales were constrained by strict restrictions imposed on consumers and their ability to move around, particularly in our key South American market. The Fuel Division was impacted most as vehicle utilization fell quickly and drastically. However, from a deeper value and in relative terms, it is the retail operation that seems to be rebounding faster. For its part, Coca-Cola FEMSA was quite resilient, leveraging execution capabilities to once again adapt to consumer needs and minimize the negative impact of the downturn. Having said all that, our team continues to execute at a high level in very complex environment, and we continue to focus on the safety and health of our people and our customers above all else. Moving on to discuss FEMSA's consolidated quarterly numbers. Total revenue during the second quarter decreased 10.7%, while income from operations decreased 37.5%. On an organic basis, total revenues decreased 14.3% and income from operations decreased by 40.4%. For this quarter, the difference between reported and organic figures reflects 2 months of our drugstores in Ecuador, a full quarter of the AGV operation in Brazil and 45 days of the WAXIE and North American -- distribution platforms acquired in the United States. Net income decreased significantly, driven by: number one, lower income from operations, as I just described; number two, higher other nonoperating expenses, including ancillary charges related to the extraordinary payments of almost MXN 8.8 billion agreed with the Mexican tax authority as well as impairments, including for certain assets at Coca-Cola FEMSA and the closure of our specialties operations; and number three, in terms of participation in Heineken results, which were lower relative to the comparable figure we reported last year. In terms of our consolidated net debt position, in the first quarter, it increased by approximately MXN 10 billion compared to the previous quarter to reach a level of MXN 72 billion at the end of June. This reflects our investment of approximately $900 million in the WAXIE North American platforms as well as the majority of the large tax payments mentioned before. While we are on the target of debt, we should mention that during the quarter we placed $700 million in the second reopening of our 30-year dollar-denominated bond issuance, bringing the total amount to $2.5 billion, which was our original target. The weighted average yield for the total issuance was 3.5%, which was also our target back in September when we started with this project. And I highlight this because it took us 9 months and we went to the market on 3 separate occasions in order to get the amount we wanted, at the cost we wanted. We were very patient, and it paid off. And this is the approach and the discipline that we try to bring to our financial decisions. Moving on to discuss our operations and beginning with FEMSA's Comercio Proximity Division. We should start with our comment about store openings. While we managed to open a number of new stores during the quarter, we also have to close a small percentage of our store base due to COVID-19 restrictions and effects. Some of the closures will be temporary, but some will be permanent as we take this opportunity to remove certain marginal stores from our base. The numbers for the quarter went like this: 159 new openings; 85 reopenings after remodeling and maintenance; 24 definitive closures; and 260 temporary closures. As a result, we recorded a net reduction of 40 stores for the second quarter to reach 950 net store openings for the last 12 months. In addition to the store closures, we reduced the number of operating shifts from 3 to 2 in a large percentage of our stores as 24/7 operations is not viable or necessary given the current consumer dynamics. Also same-store sales were down 12.4% for the second quarter, reflecting a 24.1% decline in store traffic and an increase of 15.4% in average customer ticket. Here, it is also useful to pause and discuss a little bit what happened in the entire quarter because we did see meaningful differences as the quarter went by. During April, as you may recall, we still had relative availability of beer through most of the month as well as some panic buying for certain categories on the part of consumers. And this mitigated the glow and late April, the least -- the last month of the quarter for OXXO. During May, however, we basically depleted our beer inventories, and we saw the steepest contractions in traffic, making the worst month of the quarter. Finally, in June, we began to recover beer availability, and we also began to observe a gradual shift in consumer dynamics. During the first part of the quarter, most of the consumer demand weakness came from mobility restrictions and lockdowns with the thirst and craving suffering from the absence of customers going about on the street and the gathering occasion reeling from social distancing. However, late in the quarter, the weakness in demand seems to be driven increasingly by economic hardship as so many consumers have lost their income, making the crisis today a bit more similar to prior downturns, but also more pronounced. Adding to the headwinds, as much as half of our stores in Mexico were under some type of operating restriction from local authorities during the quarter. Also related to the sale of alcohol in certain time windows, we expect most of the restrictions to be temporary. Moving down the income statement. For the second quarter, gross margin contracted by 10 basis points, reflecting a negative sales mix effect caused by the beer shortage in May and improved performance of our daily and replenishment categories, partially offset by a high single-digit increase of our services category. Income from operations decreased almost 66%, and operating margin contracting 620 basis points, reflecting significant operating deleverage. Moving on to FEMSA's Comercio Health Division. We reduced our store count by 7 drugstores as amount of temporary closures was enough to offset the number of stores we opened during the quarter. Having said that, we have a total of 300 -- 3,189 open units across our territories at the end of June and 128 total net new stores for the last 12 months. Revenues increased 2.4%, while on an organic basis, they decreased 9.1%. Same-store sales decreased an average of 9.8% in Mexican pesos, reflecting the negative impact of the strict mobility restrictions implemented in our South American markets, including curfews, partially offset by a solid performance in operations in Mexico. Gross margin expanded by 80 basis points in the quarter, reflecting: number one, a positive sales mix effect driven by consumer behavior shifts in connection to the pandemic; number two, more effective collaboration with key supplier partners in our operations in South America; and number three, better margin performance in our business in Ecuador, where applying Socofar's operational best practices is very, very improved. Operating margin contracted 120 basis points, reflecting lower operating leverage in South America. As we anticipated last quarter, FEMSA Comercio's Fuel division was the most exposed to the current environment of lockdowns and reduced mobility, and the impact is visible in our quarterly results. While we were able to add 1 new net -- 1 new station to our network, same-station sales decreased an average of almost 50% in the second quarter. Gross margin reached 13.3%. The operating margin was 0.8% of total revenues, reflecting considerable operating deleverage. Operating expenses decreased 15% as a result of tight expense control and increased efficiencies. As a silver lining in relative terms, it seems this business is the one that is recovering more quickly in relative terms, showing the sequential improvement in certain weeks, but rising from a very -- from a deeper contraction. Finally, moving on briefly to Coca-Cola FEMSA. As John highlighted yesterday, the results show a resilient volume performance in Mexico, improvements in Brazil and Colombia and continued strength in Guatemala. They made further progress in development of digital and omnichannel initiatives in key markets and managed to deliver solid profitability in Mexico and Central America even in the context of the current pandemic. For more detail, you can listen to the webcast of the quarterly conference call. Looking ahead, uncertainty remains high, and it is hard to make predictions. However, as I mentioned before, it seems the crisis is terribly evolving. In the beginning, its main drivers were severe health concern and the lack of consumer mobility, and this remain a problem. However, we are increasingly seeing the signs of another set of more traditional economic headwinds come into play. This is not possible, but at least, we have more experience with economic downturns. As you might imagine, we continue to look for our entire business in an effort to optimize it to the changes taking place today and for those that seem to be on the way -- and for those that seem to be underway. And we will continue to work hard to evolve our company to meet the moment and to come out in better shape on the other side. And with that, we can open the call for questions. Operator?