Paul Pittman
Analyst · B. Riley Securities.
When you look at California, you really have to break the farms out crop by crop. So yes, California continues to be challenging. There are water issues, whether they're caused by politics of water or the actual availability of water. In either case, they're negative for farmers.
And that's why, as we said now for probably a year or more in these conference calls, we will gradually lessen our exposure to the U.S. West Coast and frankly, to the Colorado High Plains region as well, also because of water limitations.
So those problems continue, and that's an overlay on all crops in California. It will lead to the very best farms we own in that region, actually appreciating quite rapidly. The really good farms with a really good water.
California is a unique location in terms of climate and there are high-value crops there that you can grow a few other places in the world and certainly no other places in North America. And so those best firms out there are going to continue to appreciate rapidly. But the more mediocre farms, which we own some of, they're going to be a little challenged and they are challenged because of water.
And then depending on the crop, they're challenged because of worldwide supply-demand characteristics. Walnuts, for example, are in a really tough place on a worldwide supply-demand basis. Pistachios and almonds are challenged, but not nearly so much as walnuts.
They're probably going to be okay and recover, although there's certainly some over planting in those crops. Citrus on the other hand, is very much a local U.S. market only. We get a lot of citrus in this country from South America, but at a certain harvest window that the U.S. crop becomes available, there's not much competition. So citrus is, this year, I think, going to be a pretty good crop for us and so on and so forth.
We, for example, own one vegetable/strawberry farm in California, and that farm is quite profitable, quite successful and will continue to be. So it's kind of all over the map, but for the general reason of water, we will gradually reduce exposure on that -- on the Western U.S. markets sort of think of it as Colorado West. We'll probably own less over time than we do right now.