Jorge Ganoza
Analyst · PI Financial. Please state your question
Yes. Morning, Chris. We are in a period of, undoubtedly, of certain level of uncertainty as the new government takes office on December 10. No? We are currently modeling the export taxes that the Macri government implemented towards the end of their mandate, which is today fixed at around $4 pesos to the dollar. No? We been looking at what does this mean from the perspective of total tax burden compared to the other jurisdictions where we operate, Peru and Mexico. And in Peru, our overall tax burden hovers around 42%; in Mexico, hovers around 43%; and in Argentina, around 32%. This of course takes into consideration workers' participation, provincial royalties, the retentions in Argentina that were brought into effect by Macri over the last year. That is our view today. We are cautiously optimistic. We are monitoring closely two things: one is what is the new president elect saying, what messages is he telegraphing; and second, who is he working with, who are the people he's closely associating himself with to lead this phase of transition as he takes office. The messages that he's sending, and those are readily accessible in the media, give us room to be cautiously optimistic that he recognizes the importance of the oil, gas, mining and agricultural sector as drivers for growth. Second, that he understands that the restrictions and further deepening of capital controls will pose a challenge for him to attract much needed dollars into the country. And third, the people he's working with we understand are regarded as pragmatic on the economic front. So those are things that we view positively. Again, we are cautiously optimistic, as a way to put it. The country is in a difficult situation. They will have to sit and negotiate in what will be a difficult negotiation with their international lenders. And we believe Argentina will go through a phase of adjustment and we will need to wait until December 10 to see some of these new measures and actions take place. But today, what we view is what we have in place, and when we compare it to the other jurisdictions where we operate, it still rates favorably. So that is our view, Chris.