Good day and welcome to the Federal Signal Corporation Fourth Quarter Earnings Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Ian Hudson, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead.

Good morning, and welcome to Federal Signal's Fourth Quarter 2018 Conference Call. I'm Ian Hudson, the company's Chief Financial Officer. Also with me on the call today is Jennifer Sherman, our President and Chief Executive Officer. We will refer to some presentation slides today as well as to the earnings release, which we issued this morning. The slides can be followed online by going to our website, federalsignal.com, clicking on the Investor Call icon and signing into the webcast. We've also posted the slide presentation and the earnings release under the Investor tab on our website. Before I turn the call to Jennifer, I'd like to remind you that some of our comments made today may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to the Safe Harbor language found in today's news release and in Federal Signal's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These documents are available on our website. Our presentation also contains some measures that are not in accordance with US Generally Accepted Accounting Principles. In our earnings release and filings, we reconcile these non-GAAP measures to GAAP measures. In addition, we will file our Form 10-K later today. With that, I would now like to turn the call over to Jennifer.

Thank you, Ian. I'm going to begin by giving my perspective on our performance in 2018 and the state of the business, before turning the call back to Ian to provide some more detail on our fourth quarter and full year financial results. I will then give some thoughts on our 2019 outlook before opening the lines for any questions. Overall, 2018 was an outstanding year in which our businesses reported record revenues and earnings. With the traction on our organic growth initiatives and benefits from the prior acquisition of TBEI, our net sales for the year exceeded $1 billion for the first time in over a decade. Both of our groups reported significant improvement in net sales and earnings, delivering adjusted EBITDA margins towards the higher end of their target range. On a consolidated basis, we reported a 41% year-over-year increase in adjusted EBITDA at an improved margin of 14.7%, up 210 basis points from last year and towards the higher end of our target range. The teams did an outstanding job growing sales and improving margins on a year-over-year basis, in an environment where many industrial companies face challenges from increasing commodity costs and supply chain disruptions. Because our teams were proactive in taking actions in response to the anticipated commodity cost increases, our pricing actions largely offset the impact in 2018. The ongoing application of our Eighty–Twenty Initiatives or ETI also contributed to impressive improvement in our margins, which continue to exceed those of many of our peers within the specialty vehicle space. This outstanding operating performance contributed to a 68% increase in our adjusted EPS compared to a strong 2017. We have also further strengthened our balance sheet. Since completing the TBEI acquisition a little over 18 months ago, we have paid down approximately $96 million…

Thank you, Jennifer. Our financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2018 are provided in today's earnings release. Overall, our fourth quarter results represent a strong finish to an excellent year. Before I talk about the fourth quarter, let me highlight some of our full year results for 2018. Consolidated net sales for the year were approximately $1.1 billion, an increase of $191 million or 21% compared to the prior year. Organic sales growth for the year was around $93 million or 12%. Operating income for the year was $121.5 million, an increase of $47.9 million or 65%. The improvement was driven by a $40.6 million increase in our Environmental Solutions Group and a $7.1 million increase within our Safety and Security Systems Group. On an adjusted basis, consolidated operating margin for the year was 11.4%, up from 9.3% last year. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA for the year was $160.5 million, up $47 million or 41% compared to last year and our consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin was 14.7%, up from 12.6% last year and towards the high-end of our target range. GAAP earnings for the year equated to $1.53 per share, up 53% from $1 per share last year. On an adjusted basis, we reported full year earnings of $1.43 per share, which is up $0.58 per share or 68% compared to $0.85 per share last year. Total orders for the year were approximately $1.2 billion, an increase of $155 million or 15% from last year. The improvement included organic order growth of approximately $90 million or 10%. On the back of this improvement, we ended the year with a consolidated backlog of $338 million, which was up $80 million or 31% compared to last year. For the rest of my comments, I will focus mostly on comparisons…

Thank you, Ian. We entered 2019 with positive economic indicators across many of our end markets and strong order momentum across most of our businesses contributing to a healthy backlog. While ESG's backlog provides a decent visibility into the first half of 2019, lead times for certain products, particularly sewer cleaners and vacuum trucks remain extended. We are taking steps to reduce those lead times. In addition to the plant expansion, we're also moving production of certain low volume sewer cleaners to one of our solution centers. Within our industrial markets, we remain encouraged with recent order intake and the strength of rental markets in North America. The number of used equipment units available at auction continues to be at normal levels, supporting healthy used equipment demand in the market. During 2018, that has helped us with the flow sales out of and into the fleets of our rental partners. Utilization levels within our own rental fleet are strong, particularly relating to products serving industrial markets, like vacuum trucks, hydro-excavators and water blasting equipment. And as I've noted, I'm bullish about the growth prospects for our safe-digging line of products. We continue to attract industry data, our new housing start and activity within Class A trucks. Both of those have a generally positive outlook for 2019, although we are monitoring the availability of chassis at certain of TBEI's locations given our broader alliance on customer supplied chassis there and some ongoing supply constraints. On the municipal front, our US markets remain healthy overall, with particularly strong demand for sewer cleaners. In SSG's police business, we expect to see continued traction on new product introductions, which may be partially offset by a scheduled model year changeover at Ford. This changeover may cause a temporary delay in the number of Ford police…

[Operator Instructions] We will now take our first question from Walter Liptak of Seaport Global.

I wanted to ask first about the CapEx program, you've got a range there. And I wonder, how much of the CapEx is for the Phase 1 and what is the Phase 1? And then how much goes towards Phase 2? And why is there some variance in the 2019 CapEx number, like what has to happen for you guys to spend the whole 25 million?

So the bulk of the 25 million, Walt is in Phase 1, which is what we're expecting to complete by the end of the year. The Phase 2 is really a secondary addition that we would use the combined kind of two of the buildings. The investment for Phase 2 is probably -- we are probably talking about a couple of million bucks. So the vast majority of it would be associated with Phase 1 that we'd expect to complete during 2018.

Okay. Why did you put a range on it?

So we're going to spend up. So overall, in both -- over the both phases, we expect to spend up to $25 million on Vactor expansion. In addition to that, we have kind of our annual run rate CapEx at our other businesses and that's going to be between 15 million to 20 million. That's generally in line with what we spend in a typical year.

Okay, great. Second question along the same lines. It sounds like you’re capacity constrained for some of the sewer cleaners and hydro-excavators. Our lead time is stretching out and are your lead times at least in line with the rest of the industry?

Yes. I think our lead times right now are in line with the rest of the industry. But we -- part of the motivation for the capacity expansion was to reduce those lead times and support future growth. We're really encouraged in terms of what we're seeing. I talked about in the call that our vacuum truck orders are up over $60 million in '18 versus '17, which represents 63% growth. We believe, as we've talked about before in the safe-digging initiative, we're in early phases. So the Vactor team has done a super job in terms of developing plans that will have minimal disruption. I think that's important to understand in 2019, and we're going to be able to increase capacity 40%. So we should be very well positioned to support what we see as exciting opportunities going forward.

Okay, sounds good. Is the new capacity -- will that help production levels in 2019? Or should we look at this as completed at the end of 2019, you get some trucks through the new capacity in 2020?

Yes, I don't -- it's not going to -- we're in a pretty aggressive schedule. We haven't broken ground and the teams are committed to getting it done in 2019. But I think, it will be more of a Q4 celebration. So I don't see a lot of impact in 2019. But I will say that our teams continued to -- with our ETI or Eighty-Twenty Initiative focused on improving productivity. And part of the success that we had in 2018 was a result of producing more trucks at the Vactor facility. Internally, we call it BMT, build more trucks. And the teams have really responded and done a fantastic job. So we would expect that to continue.

Well, that sounds great. Maybe just one last one for me and then I'll get back in queue. What's your expectation for corporate expense for 2019?

Yes, it should generally -- well, I think in Q4, what you saw, it was a couple of, I would say, unusual items in both periods. So the 2.4 million drop that we saw is a combination of two main factors. Really, it was -- in the 2017, we had a hearing loss settlement charge of about $1.5 million and then this year, we had some favorable adjustments to our reserves. As we go forward, the one variable in our corporate expenses is the hearing loss litigation. We've seen some -- a lower level of trials in '17 and '18. So we benefited from that. So to the extent that there are more trials in '19, we may see an increase in our hearing loss legal fees. But we are not aware of that at this point. So we would expect probably our corporate expenses to be -- they may increase slightly year-over-year, but as a percentage of sales, they should be generally in line.

Although my former head on Walt for sec is that the teams -- the legal teams has just done a super job in terms of negotiating as we've disclosed some nominal settlements and we're making significant progress in terms of putting the hearing loss litigation behind us.

We can now take our next question from Chris Moore of CJS Securities.

I just want to make sure I understand on the kind of what's baked in on the top line growth. So you had talked about organic growth of GDP plus a couple of points. And then I guess ultimately, kind of high single-digit when you incorporate acquisitions. But for fiscal '19, there are no acquisitions assumed in that, correct?

Correct.

I'm sorry.

Yes, that is correct. And if we're doing acquisition, we would update the guidance at that point in time.

Got it. So the high single digits is just kind of a more mid-term goal?

Yes, we look at that as -- it can vary from year to year, again, depending on acquisitions. So we look at that as a longer-term goal.

Got it. You talked a little bit about kind of relative commodity costs. So can you talk a little bit about kind of commodity cost versus pricing increases? How you're factoring that into this year's guide?

Sure, absolutely. So just a little bit of context. As we talked about previously, in the first half of '18, we realized the benefit of $0.03. In the second half of '18, we said that it could be a potential headwind of $0.03. So if you look at '18, it neutralized to 0 and that's a real credit to the teams in terms -- in a very difficult commodity market with the -- some of the aggressive pricing actions in our ETI initiatives that we are basically throughout the year neutral. We expect our first half commodity prices for '19 to be higher than the first half of '18, but slightly lower than the second half of '18. I know that's a lot to digest. So we should have more price realization from the increases that we put in last year and we're expecting it overall to be neutral in the first half of 2019. And I think the other thing important to mention is, we're expecting year-over-year Q1 earnings growth. So, at this point, we don't have a lot of visibility into the second half of the year. But for example, where most of our steel and aluminum spend is at TBEI and their quotes only hold for 60 days. So we should be able to -- we saw some changes in the second half of the year. Again, we'll employ the same methodologies that we did in 2018 and address those. Overall, we're expecting to deliver EBITDA margin performance in the upper half of our range. So we feel pretty good about 2019.

Got it. Looks like Joe Johnson is doing well. Do you expect at this point in time to expand the rental fleet further in 2019?

Yes, I think it's something we always look at, Chris. We closely monitor the utilization of the various product lines that we have in the fleet. The size of the rental fleet at the end of the year was $97 million overall. That’s up slightly from where we were at the time of the acquisition. So we would look to make some investment. We've got some of that baked into the plan and some additional investment in the product lines where we see the strong utilization. So that's definitely investment that we would be making next year. The other thing on the rental side is that we have seen some strong demand from some of our rental partners as well during 2018, as they are able to sell more units out of their rental fleet. We've seen some nice replenishment of our -- the rental fleet of our rental partners as well.

Got it. Last question really kind of on the SSG side, just in terms of ability to continue that momentum into '19 and obviously the Q4 EBITDA margins were exceptional. Is that a level that can ultimately be sustained on an annual basis or is there some anomalies there?

Yes, I think you're right, Chris, the performance in Q4 was outstanding in that business, the lead times are much shorter than kind of the rest of the ESG business, that can range from 4 to 6 weeks. And so as we get to the end of the year, we sometimes see municipality spend, some of the remaining budget dollars and so that can lead to some large projects that we may not have foreseen. So Q4 tends to be pretty strong on the municipal side. We saw a kind of a similar pattern in Q4 of '17, when our margin was 18%, this time around it was 20.5%. So I think Q4 tends to be the strongest from a margin performance, the cost structure of that facility is such -- as we get more on the top line, we get some nice operating leverage from that facility, so the higher the top line within that facility, a lot of it has a -- the drop through is pretty attractive.

Yes, I think the two things I would add is, although we expect some disruption in the police side from the Ford model changeover that I talked about, we're encouraged by what we've seen thus far. Mark Weber joined us at the beginning of January. He’s spent a lot of time down at SSG, implementing and reinforcing our Eighty-Twenty principles. So we've seen benefits from that. And then the other part of the equation is the new product development. We're really starting to get some traction there. It's going to vary as you noted quarter-to-quarter. A lot of it depends on to get some large orders, that can impact the mix, but overall, we're encouraged by what we're seeing at SSG into 2019.

We will now take our next question from Marco Rodriguez of Stonegate Capital Markets.

I was wondering if you could kind of -- couple of quick housekeeping items here. First off, the adjustments to the reserves that lower corporate expenses in '19. I think, I may have missed it, but did you give a dollar figure for that?

It was about a $0.02 benefit in the fourth quarter, Marco.

Okay. And that's a one-time that's all done?

Yes.

Got you. And then on the Streator expansion, the additional 100,000 square feet, do you already have the land in which you're going to be putting that building? Or do you need to acquire additional land for that?

We're in the final steps of signing the purchase agreement for the land. But we have agreement with the city, and again, we're on track to complete the facility for the first phase of this by the end of 2019.

Got it. Okay. And then maybe if you could talk a little bit on that expansion. Obviously, the first phase done at the end of the year. How are you kind of thinking about the incremental revenue that plant can do and how you kind of expect that to roll-out into fiscal '20?

We talked about that over time, will have 40% -- increases our capacity by 40% and so we're looking at the long term. We believe that the opportunity, although, it's difficult to quantify for safe digging, is in the $250 million range, but a lot of that depends on how you define the market. So we're seeing year-over-year improvement, as I talked about on the phone. I mean, I talked about in the call, our orders for vacuum trucks were up 60 million. So we are -- believe that this capacity expansion is critical in terms of supporting that future growth.

Understood. And then when talking about the ESG, the landscape that you're kind of looking at, the competitive landscape, that is the next 12 to 18 months, maybe if you can kind of talk a little bit about the opportunities you see as well as some of the threats that are out there?

Sure. I think the critical issue for Federal Signal and what we've been focused on is really new product development. In terms of how do we differentiate our products vis-a-vis the competition, I was at our largest trade show last week, the WWETT Show in Indianapolis and had an opportunity to spend time in our booth and with our dealers and look at some of the competitive competition and what really distinguishes us is both the pace of our new product development, which has changed over the last 3 or 4 years, and we talked on the phone, on the call about our demonstrations. So we found that those demonstrations are critical to increasing the adoption rate of some of these new features that we're increasing, a great example of that for sewer cleaners is our rapid deployment boom. In addition to that, we introduced the single engine street sweeper, the Crosswind1. So I think that's really -- as I spent time with our customers, our dealers, that's what really distinguishes the company. The other thing I would point to is our aftermarkets initiative. With the acquisition of Joe Johnson, we have approximately 20 service centers across North America. So our dealers play an important role in terms of servicing our equipment, but we also can now service the industrial customers as needed. So that is yet another factor that differentiates us. So overall, I think, we're building the right infrastructure to support what we see are some exciting growth opportunities.

Understood. And then next question kind of, off of that one here, your new product introductions. You guys mentioned I believe in the prepared remarks that roughly -- $50 million of revenues in '18 were from new products. Can you maybe kind of give us a sense as far as what levels you might be expecting in fiscal '19 and with these new product introductions and incremental increases or incremental betterments of current products, how -- are there any certain points of time in the year where you have a bigger roll-out of some of these new product information or it will be steady over the year?

Yes, I mean it can vary from year-to-year. What I can tell you is we've got a number of products in the pipeline that we're working on right now. And as we looked at the outlook that we gave both for 2019 and a longer-term high-single digit growth output, we factored in, I think a pretty healthy amount of organic growth of a couple of points above GDP and that will really be driven by the pace or cadence of this new product development. What I'm encouraged by is when I spent time with the team is just the amount kind of energy and commitment in terms of understanding what are the unmet needs of our customers and how can we satisfy those needs. So as we move forward, we've got a lot of great ideas in the pipeline, the teams are working on various stages and the cadence will really vary year-to-year.

Got you. And last question here, just kind of circling back on the EBITDA margins, I know that you had mentioned that you're expecting, I guess for fiscal '19, that you perform in the upper half of the range for both segments, obviously SSG is pretty much up at the upper end of that range, that you forecasted before and you had a very great Q4 there. Just trying to get a little bit better of a sense, as you kind of roll through fiscal '19 with the development that you're doing at ESG and the new product launches, just trying to kind of get a little bit better of a sense as far as, do you expect sort of EBITDA margin expansion each quarter as you kind of roll through the fiscal year? And how should we kind of think about that?

I think it can vary Marco from a number of different factors, particularly when you look at the aftermarket business on the ESG side, which tends to peak in Q2 and Q3, just because a lot of the rental activity and the service work is taking place in Q2 and Q3. Q2 and Q3 also tend to be TBEI's strongest quarter. So there is some seasonality that would impact the margin. So it's not going to be gradual improvement, ever -- sequential improvement each quarter during the year, that's not what we would expect, we'd likely expect to see similar patents throughout the quarters as we saw during 2018 in terms of kind of the sequential variability. But I think overall, on a consolidated level, as we said, I think performing in upper half of our consolidated target range, that's what we're expecting for '19 and we think that's pretty strong performance vis-a-vis some of our peers.

[Operator Instructions] We will now take our next question from Steve Barger of KeyBanc Capital.

It's actually Ken Newman on for Steve this morning. I do want to touch back on the strategic margin targets. Just given the fact that you are closer to the top-end of your range already. Do you foresee any ability to expand margins above the top-end of that longer-term range? Or is this really more capped by the product portfolio that you have in place that you need to do some M&A to really expand margins beyond the top-end?

I think it really varies as we showed with us this quarter, where they were above the top-end of the range. It varies quarter-to-quarter and there are number of factors that we take into account. Ian spoke about the seasonality and other critical factors, large fleet orders. We expect some production efficiencies with respect to completion of this factor expansion that we should be able to realize in 2020, we're outsourcing some work that we should be able to do insourcing more efficiently. So what we're trying to give you with respect on the EBITDA range is, our targets through the cycle that we’ll operate with that. But clearly as we showed with SSG, there are opportunities to operate above the range. And the other thing I would add, and I think it's really important the change in 2018 and we gave the material about this in our investment deck, is we changed our short-term incentive compensation program where there are EBITDA targets for each of our businesses, that's tied to the performance of those businesses and we expect improvement. So, again, I think we're aligning the teams around operating in that top half of the range and it will vary quarter-to-quarter depending on the factors that I mentioned.

Right. Switching gears here to orders. Obviously orders were pretty good for the full year on a consolidated basis, despite some pretty tough comps that you saw the year prior. Just any color, and maybe I missed it. But any color on order inquiries by business that you've seen year-to-date in the first two months of 2019? And what are some of the pushing points in terms of price that -- if you're hearing anything from your customers?

Yes, I mean, I think we've seen -- certainly in January, we saw pretty strong orders. We haven't seen any signs of any meaningful slowdown to this point. As you mentioned, Q1 of '18 was -- is a pretty tough comp because of the effects of the portfolio that we saw between Q4 of '17 and Q1 of '18, we estimate there was about $40 million of order pull forward. So that might distort the comparisons a little bit. But January orders look pretty healthy and I think even with the Q4 orders being down by a nominal amount versus Q4 '17, we still saw our backlog increase by about $17 million or 5% from Q3 of last year. So -- and we think that's pretty healthy.

Yes. Your other question about price and what we're hearing is, again, I think one of the reasons that we were able to get the price realization that we did in 2018 was because the -- our new product introductions that we made and people are willing to pay for these enhanced features. So I'll reiterate, I think, the teams did a fantastic job where we entered -- we ended 2018 in a neutral position. With respect to commodity costs, seems to be a lot of our industrial peers and as we look into the first half of 2019, that we've got decent visibility. We're expecting again it to be -- we should be in a neutral position also.

I guess as a follow-up to that question then, is there any way you can help us kind of think about the dollar increase in orders, the mix between price-volume or obviously, beneficial mix impacts for some of these new product developments?

Yes. I think one of the things we talked about on the call was the $50 million of incremental revenue from new product introductions. So we think that's an important metric and one that our businesses continue to focus going forward.

Okay. And then last one from me. It does sound like these new organic initiatives are pretty top of mind for you going forward. Just curious, have you guys ever put out a -- I guess, a vitality index or a way to measure how much some of these new products are incrementally impacting revenue? Just any help in terms of figuring out where you are now and where you expect to go in 2019?

We have across our various businesses, because our businesses have different cycles. So we have different vitality indexes for each of our businesses and a lot of it focused on, for example, something like a sewer cleaner. Features of that sewer cleaner, for example, the rapid deployment from a water recycling can be a very significant differentiator in the marketplace. So the short answer to your question is, we've got individual targets from our businesses and they vary anywhere from 10% to 30%.

We will now take our next question from Walter Liptak of Seaport Global.

Just a couple of really quick follow-ups on the margin questions. Jennifer, what inning would you say you are in with the ETI? It sounds like you've got new training programs that are going on for employees. Is there -- what inning are you in?

I firmly believe that there is always opportunity for improvement. And we talked about, I think it was on the second quarter call, the success that we've had using the ETI principles with Joe Johnson and the margin improvement that we saw. So we believe that with any acquisition that we're in earlier innings, but -- I would say we're -- it's a continued focus. We still think there's opportunity as we move forward and I'm -- I was at Elgin last week and with our Plant Manager and he was walking through some new ideas that they have got in ETI and they were one of the first early adopters. So it can vary business-to-business. But I will tell you it's part of the culture. We incentivize people with respect to their accomplishments in this area and I think there's a lot of opportunity going forward.

Okay, great. And then the second one is on the ESG capacity. If my memory serves, you did a plant expansion at Streator, it was 2004 or something like that. And the margins after the capacity went in went up through sort of some record levels in the high teens. How do you see the new capacity impacting profitability unlike the 2020 time period?

Yes, I think, Walt, if you look back to that last expansion, it was really intended to be the addition of the HXX line and that product really was the one that was sold directly to oil and gas. And so some of that impact would have been just the mix effect. We had a lot of volume of high margin product that was sold to customers in oil and gas. As we've mentioned, we've seen that. It certainly -- oil and gas has recovered a little bit in '18, but it's not to the same extent that it would have been over that time period and we've seen something of a shift toward more of a rental activity on the oil and gas side. So I don't know that you'll see the same correlation. But the reason for the expansion is because we see strong growth potential and to be able to perform within that impressive EBITDA margin range.

Thank you. As there are no further questions, I'd like to hand the call back to Jennifer Sherman for any additional or closing remarks.

Before we sign off, I'd like to mention that we recently introduced a new mission statement in order to provide additional clarity as to our overall goals as an organization. We aim to be relentless in our commitment to our customers to building and to delivering equipment of unmatched quality that moves materials, cleans infrastructure and protect the communities, where we're working with. Our new tag line is move, clean, protect. In closing, I would like to reiterate that we are confident in the long-term prospects for our businesses in our markets. Our teams are performing at a very high level and remain focused on delivering high quality results. We remain committed to investing in our businesses and our people to generate sustained, long-term success for our shareholders. Our foundation is strong and we are focused on delivering profitable long-term growth through the execution of our strategic initiatives. We look to express our thanks to our stockholders, employees, distributors, dealers and customers for their continued support. Thank you for joining us today. We'll talk to you next quarter.

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.