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Federal Signal Corporation (FSS)

Q1 2024 Earnings Call· Tue, Apr 30, 2024

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to the Federal Signal Corporation first quarter earnings conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Felix Boeschen, Vice President, Corporate Strategy and Investor Relations. Thank you, sir. You may begin.

Felix Boeschen

Analyst

Good morning, and welcome to Federal Signal's First Quarter 2024 Conference Call. I'm Felix Boeschen, the company's Vice President of Corporate Strategy and Investor Relations. Also with me on the call today is Jennifer Sherman, our President and Chief Executive Officer; and Ian Hudson, our Chief Financial Officer. We will refer to some presentation slides today as well as to the earnings release, which we issued this morning. The slides can be followed online by going to our website, federalsignal.com, clicking on the Investor Call icon and signing into the webcast. We've also posted the slide presentation and the earnings release under the Investor tab on our website. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that some of our comments made today may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to the safe harbor language found in today's news release and in Federal Signal's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These documents are available on our website. Our presentation also contains some measures that are not in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles. In our earnings release and filings, we reconcile these non-GAAP measures to GAAP measures. In addition, we will file our Form 10-Q later today. Ian will start today by providing details on our first quarter financial results. Jennifer will then provide her perspective on our performance, provide an update on our multiyear strategic initiatives and our revised outlook for 2024. After our prepared comments, we will open the line for any questions. With that, I would now like to turn the call over to Ian.

Ian Hudson

Analyst

Thank you, Felix. Our consolidated first quarter financial results are provided in today's earnings release. In summary, we delivered strong financial results for the quarter with double-digit year-over-year net sales and earnings growth, gross margin expansion, a 250 basis point improvement in EBITDA margin, a new records in orders and backlog. Consolidated net sales for the quarter were $425 million, up $39 million or 10% compared to last year. Organic sales growth for the quarter was $28 million or 7%. Consolidated operating income for the quarter was $54.3 million, up $14.8 million or 37% compared to last year. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $70.6 million, up $16.1 million or 30% compared to last year. That translates to a margin of 16.6% in Q1 this year, up 250 basis points compared to last year. GAAP EPS for the quarter was $0.84 per share, up $0.39 per share or 87% from last year. On an adjusted basis, EPS for the quarter was $0.64 per share up $0.18 per share or 39% from last year. Order intake for the quarter was outstanding, and we again reported record orders in the first quarter, surpassing the previous high, which was set in Q2 last year. In total, orders in Q1 this year were $503 million, an increase of $28 million or 6% compared to Q1 last year. Backlog at the end of the quarter was $1.1 billion, another all-time high for the company and an increase of $132 million or 14% compared to Q1 last year. In terms of our group results, ESG's net sales for the quarter were $354 million, up $35.0 million or 11% compared to last year, despite the effects of a third-party component supply issue that delayed the timing of approximately $13 million of unit shipments at our largest…

Jennifer Sherman

Analyst

Thank you, Ian. Our first quarter results represent a strong start to the year as our team set forth set first quarter performance records across many metrics, including net sales and adjusted EPS, while orders and backlog again rose to new all-time highs. The strength of the sales growth and margin expansion during Q1 reinforced the underlying themes and strategies we have previously discussed. Within our Environmental Solutions Group, we were able to deliver 11% year-over-year net sales growth and a 30% increase in adjusted EBITDA. Strong aftermarket demand, continued price realization, contributions from our recent acquisitions and increases in production at several businesses were meaningful contributors to this year-over-year growth which was achieved despite an isolated third-party component supply issue that we experienced in March at our Streator manufacturing facility. We have previously discussed our objective to increase production levels at this facility in an effort to reduce lead times. And on that note, we started this year strong with unit production over the first 2 months of the year, up 12% year-over-year. Upon encountering this issue in March, we shifted some of our production to prioritize customer deliveries at the expense of units destined for our own rental fleets, which resulted in fewer rental fleet additions in Q1 than we had originally anticipated. As Ian noted, this component supply issue delayed the timing of approximately $13 million of sewer cleaner shipments in the quarter as we were unable to ship several substantially completed units. In order to minimize the impact of this disruption, our teams have worked diligently with our supplier and have identified a solution that we began implementing in April. Importantly, given our mitigating actions, recovery plan and good access to labor, we expect to ship all impacted units in the second quarter and do not…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Steve Barger with KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Steve Barger

Analyst

I want to first start with the dealer channel. Obviously, a huge focus. You spent the whole slide on internal growth initiatives. What percentage of the dealers have a market share where realistically, it will be hard to grow share versus what percentage have lower share in their region and you'd consider a substantial opportunity for share?

Jennifer Sherman

Analyst

Yes. So we over -- beginning in 2023 last year and moving into this year, we've undertaken initiative working closely with our dealer partners to better understand market share. In fact, Felix in his strategy role is leading that effort. And we have several very strong dealer partners. I think all of them would agree this initiative has been helpful. And there's a lot of opportunity, we believe, to grow market share, particularly with some of our organic growth initiatives as we move forward.

Steve Barger

Analyst

I guess -- okay, what percentage of the channel is optimized for rental and aftermarket, meaning all the infrastructures in place, to drive meaningful revenue as you push those initiatives out?

Jennifer Sherman

Analyst

I think we always think there's opportunities to improve. We have several strong dealer partners with the ecosystem that we've talked about in terms of new equipment, rental and then used equipment sales, we think that opens up the door for new customers as we move forward. We continue to always identify opportunities to improve as we move forward.

Steve Barger

Analyst

Okay. And I'll just -- I'll ask 1 more about the channel. I think the target for aftermarket to include rental is around 30% or a little less. And I know it's hard to build rental with your new equipment backlog where it is, and you mentioned that for this quarter. The question is, can you compare margin or return on capital for aftermarket and rental versus selling equipment on a third-party basis. How favorable or is it in line or much more favorable? Just trying to gauge the benefit because it seems like a big opportunity.

Ian Hudson

Analyst

Yes, Steve, I think when we look at kind of the optimal life cycle of a piece of our equipment, when you consider the -- you put a piece of equipment into the rental fleet, you rent it for a period of 2 to 3 years you get the parts and service revenue over that time period and then you sell it as a used piece of equipment. And our equipment tends to retain its resale value pretty well. When we look at that whole return versus a new equipment sale, it's more attractive to put it through that kind of aftermarket ecosystem as we refer to it. So yes, the -- and that's what we were trying to explain with the investments we're making in the fleet. From a return standpoint, while it may be a headwind to EBITDA in '24, the longer-term returns are more attractive than new equipment sale. And so from a return standpoint, that's really one of the drivers for the investment.

Jennifer Sherman

Analyst

And what's exciting for us is it opens up both for us and for our dealer partners, new customers that, particularly with that used equipment because it's at a different price point.

Steve Barger

Analyst

No, understood. Yes. It seems like there's a lot of opportunity through a lot of different facets of the dealer channel. But with that, I'll get back in line.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Chris Moore with CJS Securities.

Christopher Moore

Analyst · CJS Securities.

And maybe we'll just stay with the rental fleet for a second. So obviously, you talked about the third-party component supply, you -- to help offset some of that, you took some rental fleet production from Q1 that normally impacts Q1. Is that fair to say that, that piece of it could have a little bit of impact on Q2?

Jennifer Sherman

Analyst · CJS Securities.

Right now, yes, we did shift some of the rental delivery from Q1 to Q2. In addition, as we talked about as a result of this cross-functional task force, we will be investing up to $20 million of equipment in safe digging equipment and our Guzzler equipment. We baked all that into the improved guidance that we gave this morning. So we think we're in pretty good shape.

Christopher Moore

Analyst · CJS Securities.

Got you. That's helpful. You talked about this a little bit. So I think roughly 80% of your products are touched at some point by the infrastructure spending. I just want to go a little deeper maybe into the timing. It sounds like early on street sweeper, some safety equipment would be more of the focus. And as things evolve over the next few years, the balance of that 80%? Or how should I look at that timing?

Jennifer Sherman

Analyst · CJS Securities.

Yes. So we believe we've seen some limited examples thus far particularly with respect to street sweeping, safety equipment, dump trucks and then our warning systems. So again, we think we're in very early innings. Sometimes it's hard to understand, particularly with dump trucks because they have multi-uses where they're going. But we saw dump truck orders were up $22 million or 38%. So that was encouraging. We continue to monitor the White House website, and we believe that the cadence of projects is beginning and that will provide a multiyear tailwind for the company as we move forward.

Christopher Moore

Analyst · CJS Securities.

Got it. Maybe just one last one for me. The new product development, obviously, EV very important. It looks like the biggest hurdle to any significant move by customers to electrification is the cost, not cost coming necessarily from Federal Signal. Just trying to kind of understand what you're seeing there and what your thoughts might be over the medium term?

Jennifer Sherman

Analyst · CJS Securities.

Yes. So EV continues to be an important tenet of our NPD program. We introduced and showcased several EV dump trucks at the NTA show. We're encouraged by the -- although still small, the increasing pace of orders for our electric street sweeper product, but price does seem to be the biggest single objection. And particularly, it's around the cost of the chassis that we don't manufacture. But we are fully committed to continuing our EV development efforts. And we expect as we move forward that sales will continue to increase.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Mike Shlisky with D.A. Davidson.

Michael Shlisky

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

I just want to get some more detail from you on your plans in rentals. It's still a relatively small part of the business. It is a large proportion of other parts of the infrastructure world, they're using a lot of others to across whether it's bucket trucks and certain kinds of dump trucks, certain kinds of safety equipment for construction sites, et cetera. I guess I'm kind of curious, more long term, how large of a percent of your business do you think rental can or ought to be? Kind of how far could this kind of go here?

Jennifer Sherman

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

Yes. I think the thing that's important is to think about the ecosystem. And when we rent a truck, the times can vary, but it's usually between 18 months and 2 years. And in many situations that the entity that's renting the truck buys the truck. So it's that used equipment that is an important part of the ecosystem in addition to parts and service. Furthermore, we have several strong rental partners, and we continue to support their efforts in the field. We began in the rental business in 2016. And if you look at our investment into our fleet, you can see that it hasn't meaningfully changed over time given the growth of the company. And we continue to believe that the largest part of our aftermarket business is parts, which is continuing to grow. And that's, again, kind of going back to that ecosystem that we talk about, it is, we rent, we sell it as used equipment, and there's also that parts and service business that's continued to grow. That's a critical part of that ecosystem.

Michael Shlisky

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

So just to kind of recap that, then the added assets you're putting in now is pretty much it. You don't have a much broader plan to make rental the lion's share or a really [indiscernible] the overall revenues?

Ian Hudson

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

Yes. Mike, the investment we talked about was just a specific investment we're making in certain territories that we recently assumed. So it's more -- we look at the investments and the additions to our fleet, we look at it product by product. We look at it by geography. So we're very selective in how and when we add. And so that's really the driver for this most recent investment that we're making.

Michael Shlisky

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

Got it. And then secondly, I wanted to ask about Class 8 chassis supply. At this point, is it Class 8 in any way, a gating factor for your production? Or do you feel that you're -- for supply at this point, there appear to be increases in some OEM class 8 vocational chassis, not all of them. I'm curious as to how you're feeling right now about the investment of the year here.

Jennifer Sherman

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

We feel really good. Class 8 chassis supply is not an issue for us.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Walt Liptak with Seaport Research.

Walter Liptak

Analyst · Seaport Research.

Good quarter. I wanted to ask about the backlog. You had the strong orders this quarter and the backlog now at like $1.1 billion, which is a great thing. But at what point -- is there a point at which the backlog is too big and becomes a bad thing?

Jennifer Sherman

Analyst · Seaport Research.

I think as we've talked about, we're very focused on building more trucks which translates into increased throughput at our various businesses. We have focused on reducing our lead times and we're making some progress before we had the third-party supply chain issue in March, production at our Streator facility was up 12% for the first 2 periods of the year. So we're -- and with the implementation of the Federal Signal operating system and our 80/20 efforts, we continue to expect increased throughput through the year. While maintaining strong orders, we expect those lead times to come down.

Walter Liptak

Analyst · Seaport Research.

Okay. Great. How should we think about the backlog like at the end of the year if you're successful? And do we stay around this $1 billion level through the year? Or do you think it comes down?

Ian Hudson

Analyst · Seaport Research.

Yes. I think we want to obviously, as Jennifer mentioned, what we want to reduce those lead times by increasing production and shipping more, but also at the same time, maintaining that healthy order intake. So rather than kind of focus on a backlog number, I think our objectives and our goals for the year are really increasing build rates per day, increasing production, things of that nature. But we want to maintain that healthy order intake level. So that's really the focus.

Walter Liptak

Analyst · Seaport Research.

Okay. That sounds great. And then the orders, I wanted to ask about the orders for the dump truck business and just some questions around that. How big is the dump truck revenue on an annual basis? And what were the trends in the last couple of years? Because I'm recalling that there were some supply chain issues on chassis and maybe not the order levels or whatever in the last couple of years, and you talked about pent-up demand. So I wonder if you can help quantify how big is the revenue for that business? And what was the growth rate for the last couple of years?

Ian Hudson

Analyst · Seaport Research.

Yes. So the dump trucks represent about 17% of our total revenues. I think we mentioned on the call that the orders in that business were up $22 million or 38% year-over-year. So what we've seen there is really nice growth with the improvement in some of the chassis flow. We do believe that, that is a business where there is some pent-up demand because -- to your point on the recent trends, that business has been impacted by the tightness in the flow of chassis in recent years. So we do believe there is pent-up demand and what we saw in Q1 gives us encouragement that with the improvement in chassis, there is going to be that pent-up demand. And what we've also seen is some of our businesses have been able to kind of expand geographically, which is really encouraging because as we think about -- I think we had a question earlier about the Infrastructure Bill and the potential there. We think dump trucks is 1 area, probably on the earlier end of the funding for that would be dump truck. So we're encouraged with what we saw in Q1 and I think there's probably more to come.

Jennifer Sherman

Analyst · Seaport Research.

Yes, I'll just add there, kind of reiterating what Ian said. We've got a really good team. They're very focused on geographic expansion and market share growth and they're having some early successes. So with the improved chassis supply, really good quarter by our dump truck businesses and more to come.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Greg Burns with Sidoti & Co.

Gregory Burns

Analyst · Sidoti & Co.

Given the substantial backlog and the extended lead times, can you just talk a little bit more maybe about the calculus of the thought behind diverting production maybe towards the rental fleet. I understand the longer-term opportunity, but how does that decision factor in with this idea that we want to get lead times down. Also at the same time, maybe you could do both hand in hand and also the investments that you're looking to make into the rental fleet are -- could those even be higher were it not for the lead times, needing to manage those? Like what's the dynamic there?

Ian Hudson

Analyst · Sidoti & Co.

Yes. I think the investment, Greg, that we're talking about is specifically, we're only talking about TRUVAC and Guzzler. And so for those product lines, the lead times are probably in an area that will be what we would call normal. So we're not in the same situation with sewer cleaners and sweepers where those lead times are probably more extended than we'd like. So the investment really is not -- it's focused on the product lines where lead times are normal. So that's one area. The other reason that there is that need to add more units to the fleet, it's just given the strength of used equipment sales that we've seen and that creates that need to replenish. We talked about in Q1 shifting some of the production there to prioritize customers. So there is that shift that we had. We had planned to add units to the fleet in Q1. Some of that has now shifted to Q2. So kind of for the full year, that piece is somewhat neutral to our prior guide. The incremental investment we're talking about is primarily on the Guzzlers and TRUVAC side. And again, that's the area where lead times are more normal.

Jennifer Sherman

Analyst · Sidoti & Co.

And I guess I'd add there is that we carefully monitor our rental fleet utilization and used equipment sales, parts and service. And as we assume these additional territories, specifically for safe digging and for Guzzler, we see opportunities there, and we want to be prepared to respond to that because we continue to believe that used equipment, in particular, along with parts, service, will be an important growth area for the company.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Dave Storms with Stonegate Capital Markets.

Preston Graham

Analyst · Stonegate Capital Markets.

Preston Graham sitting in for Dave today. You mentioned in your prepared remarks that your M&A pipeline continues to be strong. I guess any additional color you can share on what you're seeing in the M&A environment and what type of tuck-ins could make sense for the business going forward?

Jennifer Sherman

Analyst · Stonegate Capital Markets.

Yes. I think we're in a pretty good place right now. We're working on a number of different opportunities. Again, in many cases, these are opportunities that we have sourced, and we've developed relationships over a longer period of time. So pipeline is full and more to come. And I guess I'll reiterate that M&A will continue to be a meaningful part of our growth story as we move forward. I mentioned in my prepared remarks, I was out in Denver last week at our open house. It was really exciting to see what happens when you bring all of these Federal Signal brands together under 1 umbrella. A good example of some organic growth initiatives and then some of our M&A working together.

Preston Graham

Analyst · Stonegate Capital Markets.

Got it. Very helpful. And then 1 follow-up. Last quarter, you touched on some lumpiness in sort of the fleet orders, some of the large fleet orders. Obviously, it's hard to predict. But I guess could you talk a little bit more about what you're seeing from your fleet customers from a demand perspective?

Jennifer Sherman

Analyst · Stonegate Capital Markets.

Yes. So one of the things we were encouraged was demand across the board was very strong. And we're particularly encouraged by, as we talked about kind of the dump truck orders, the SSG orders were strong. And despite the fact that the year-over-year comparable is tough because they had a onetime $11 million order to Mexico in Q1 of '23. And again, it's pretty balanced between the publicly funded and the industrial side, which we believe is encouraging and an important sign of the health of our business.

Operator

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the floor back over to Jennifer Sherman for closing comments.

Jennifer Sherman

Analyst

In closing, I would like to reiterate that we are confident in the long-term prospects for our businesses and our markets. We remain focused on executing against our strategic framework. We would like to express our thanks to our stockholders, employees, distributors, dealers and customers for their continued support. Thank you for joining us today, and we'll talk to you soon.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.